Capital Market Reactions to Accounting Earnings Announcements in an International Context

This study examines the association of four factors with U.S. securities market reactions to annual earnings announcements by non-U.S. multinational corporations and by a control sample of U.S. firms. The four factors examined are firm size, the magnitude of earnings change, timeliness, and the presence or absence of a concurrent dividend announcement. The non-U.S. corporations are from five countries - Israel, Japan, Netherlands, Philippines, and United Kingdom. Results for the group of non-U.S. firms indicate that firm size and timeliness are significant explanatory variables. For the control sample of U.S. firms, only size is significant.     

上市公司年报披露及时性影响因素实证分析

上市公司年度报告作为投资者决策的重要信息之一,其及时性受到了监管部门和研究者的关注。本文通过对我国上市公司2003～2005年间公布的432份年度报告披露时间进行多元回归分析后发现,年报披露及时性受审计意见类型、公司是否盈利、外资股发行及第一大股东持股量的影响,且年报披露及时性整体较差。建议相关部门应加强对公司年报披露及时性的监管。     

机构投资者与上市公司年报披露及时性的实证研究

我们运用Logit模型检验机构投资者持股量与上市公司年报披露时间差异之间的关系时发现,机构投资者促进了上市公司年报的及时披露。但是,机构投资者在促进上市公司年报及时披露的程度与整个证券市场环境相关。在证券市场整体牛市时,机构投资者似乎对上市公司年报披露是否提前并不产生影响,但是当股票市场整体处于熊市时,机构投资者对会计信息的需求愿望比较强烈,机构投资者持股量与上市公司提前披露年报显著正相关。这说明了机构投资者只是会计信息的外部使用者之一,机构投资者促进了上市公司年报及时披露,机构投资者没有降低信息披露的质量。     

上市公司年报披露及时性问卷调查报告与分析

鉴于年报披露及时性的重要性,文章通过向境内A股市场流通股投资者发放问卷的形式对上市公司年报披露及时性问题进行了研究。调查发现投资者对上市公司年报披露的及时性有着强烈的需求,但目前上市公司年报披露的及时性较差,尚不能满足投资者的需求,一定程度上降低了年报信息的决策有用性。为提高上市公司年报披露的及时性,文章建议进一步修订《证券法》,缩短我国现行上市公司年报法定披露期限,以满足年报信息使用者对年报信息的使用。     

资本市场:中国的民营企业实证研究

改革开放20多年以来,民营经济得到飞速发展。我国从1996年开始,民营企业的上市数量逐年增加,而且间接上市已成为民营企业进入资本市场的主要方式。本文对截至1998年底进入中国证券市场成为上市公司的53家民营企业进行了实证分析。通过对民营企业上市公司的绩效分析,应用SHAZM的回归检验,得出的结论是出乎意料的：就上市公司而言,从总体上看,从总体上看,民营企业的绩效远不如国营企业的绩效令人满意。这说明改善民营企业的管理应该提到议事日程上来了。     

The Usefulness of Earnings and Book Value for Equity Valuation in Emerging Capital Markets: Evidence From Listed Companies in the People's Republic of China

This paper examines the relative value relevance in equity valuation of two sets of accounting information of listed Chinese companies which issued the so-called B shares to foreign investors on the Chinese stock exchanges. These firms are required to prepare two sets of financial statements: one based on China's accounting regulations (domestic GAAPs) and the other based on International Accounting Standards (IASs). The study adopted the Ohlson (1995) model and used the Davidson-MacKinnon J-test to assess which one of these two competing sets of accounting information is more closely associated with the share prices. The results showed that earnings and book value reported based on IASs have greater information content than those based on domestic GAAPs. The results of yearly regression analysis generally suggested that the explanatory power of these earnings and book values for share prices increased over time.     

Time-based Experience and International Expansion: The Case of an Emerging Economy

Building on the organizational learning theory and international expansion process model, this paper examines the effect of time-based experience on multidimensional performance including return on equity, sales growth, competitive position, and asset efficiency of foreign-invested enterprises (FIEs) in an emerging economy (the People's Republic of China). The analysis, based on a recent survey of FIEs in China, demonstrates that time-based experience has a significantly positive effect on overall and individual dimensions of performance of FIEs. The underlying link between time-based experience and multidimensional performance is, however, moderated by the cultural distance between the host and home countries. Moreover, time-based experience moderates the positive impact of resource contributions, market commitment, and strategic innovativeness on venture performance.     

年度财务报告编制探析

年度财务报告是本年度内财务报表及其附注与其他必须在财务报告中披露的相关信息和资料组成的文件。文章分析了财务报告编制的意义,总结年度财务报告编制前期工作的主要内容,分析年度财务报告编制过程应把握的关键环节,探讨年度财务编制过程面临的主要风险。     

股市周期、投资者情绪与盈余管理——来自中国A股市场的证据

将中国大陆1394家上市公司2004年至2007年期间5576份年报,分为熊市悲观样本组与牛市乐观样本组,用Givoly&Hayn(2000)的应计项目模型和Ball&Shiva-kumar(2005)的应计项/现金流模型进行实证检验。研究发现:熊市悲观样本组的应计利润以及非经营性应计利润较低,会计盈余下降周期与熊市悲观周期吻合;牛市乐观样本组的应计利润以及非经营性应计利润较高,会计盈余上升周期与牛市乐观周期一致。上市公司经营者(代理人)操纵应计项目以及刻意安排应计项目在牛市与熊市之间回转,使得熊市悲观周期会计盈余被低估而牛市乐观周期会计盈余被高估,以迎合投资者(委托人)牛市过度乐观而熊市过度悲观的情绪和盈余预期。     

西方智力资本报告研究进展及其对我国的启示

在知识经济时代,智力资本是企业持续竞争优势的基础,是企业价值的一个重要组成部分,在会计报告时应将智力资本纳入报告体系。本文阐释了知识经济环境下企业智力资本会计报告发展的必要性;概述世界各国智力资本报告应用的研究状况并对其进行评述;提出智力资本报告在我国发展及应用的构想与建议。     

从内部资本市场角度分析新兴市场企业集团多元化

活跃于高速发展的市场经济环境中的多元化企业集团,是现代新兴市场中的主导性企业组织,新形势下从内部资本市场角度对新兴市场企业集团多元化展开研究,具有十分重要的现实意义和战略意义。     

会计盈余与非预期盈余宣告对股价冲击作用的一项实证研究

本文以中国上市公司为样本对象,研究了会计盈余信息的市场冲击作用.文章分别从上市公司个股和市场整体两个角度考察了上市公司股价对会计信息的反应模式,得出了不一致的结论.首先,会计盈余对股价不一定具有正向冲击;其次,历史盈余信息不一定能代表未来收益;再次,市场对财务信息的反应模式和宏观经济环境有关,而这种关系则通过会计盈余和折现率之间的正相关关系传递.     

复苏与活力:详解中国上市公司2010年报

2010年是中国经济发展历程中不平凡的一年,是继续应对国际金融危机、保持经济平稳较快发展、加快转变经济发展方式的关键之年,也是全面实现十一五规划目标、为十二五发展打好基础的重要一年。     

The Valuation-relevance of Earnings and Cash Flows: an International Perspective

We investigate which variable, earnings or cash flows, provides greater information for equity valuation within the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and Japan. We regress returns on earnings and cash flow metrics. We generally find earnings developed in three Anglo-Saxon countries—where capital is traditionally raised in public markets and reporting rules are unencumbered by taxation requirements—to have greater explanatory power for stock returns than cash flow metrics. Conversely, in two non-Anglo-Saxon countries—where capital is traditionally raised from private sources—earnings are generally not superior to cash flows for equity valuation, except in Japan, non-consolidated sample. While sensitivity analyses generally support the conclusions of our primary tests, in some of the additional analyses, earnings were superior to cash flows for samples from all countries. As expected, in all countries earnings have incremental information content over cash flows in explaining returns. Collectively, our findings provide two contributions. First, we generalize the findings of prior US research by showing that earnings are more important than cash flows for equity valuation in other Anglo-Saxon countries. Second and more importantly, our findings demonstrate that the superiority of earnings over cash flows is not universal. Rather, it depends on the national reporting regime and attendant institutional factors.     

我国股市募集资金对GDP贡献的分析和测算

我国股市募集资金对经济增长的贡献孰大孰小,是经济学界和企业界一直关心的话题。本文则在对证券市场募集资金的数量态势估计基础上,分析募集资金对GDP的贡献的关联性,探索具体测算方法。结论认为我国股市规模小,募集资金数量少,对经济增长贡献不是非常明显;还认为上市公司募集资金对GDP直接贡献的测算方法,用新增加净利润则更为合适。     

经济新闻自由度与资本市场的有效性

从金融经济学"效率市场假说"的理论与实证研究结果角度分析经济新闻自由对于金融市场发展的影响后认为,经济新闻自由是实现效率市场的宏观机制之一;只有充分的经济新闻自由,信息才能迅速而充分地扩散到市场,并被包括到资产的价格中,从而实现效率市场,促进资本市场的发展。利用世界银行各国股市市值数据与"自由之家"对各国新闻自由度的评定数据进行的统计分析表明,经济新闻自由与股市市值之间具有显著的正相关性。     

Accuracy, Bias, and Dispersion in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts: The Case of Cross-Listed Foreign Firms

This paper examines differences in analysts' earnings forecast characteristics for foreign incorporated non-U.S. firms cross-listed in the U.S. stock markets relative to a control sample of purely domestic firms. Examining summary earnings forecasts over the calendar years 1984 through 1989, this paper provides evidence that there are statistically significant differences in bias and accuracy between domestic and cross-listed foreign firms. Consistent with prior research, we find a horizon effect in accuracy; i.e., accuracy improves as we get closer to the actual earnings announcement for both types of firms. However, the differences in accuracy between the cross-listed and domestic firms persist only in the earlier forecast horizons where analysts' forecasts are less accurate for foreign cross-listed firms compared with domestic firms. The evidence is also consistent with analysts' exhibiting less optimism with respect to cross-listed foreign firms compared with the domestic firms. Finally, the paper also documents that there is a greater consensus among analysts for foreign cross-listed firms than for domestic firms.     

上市公司盈余管理动机和企业价值的探索

本文指出我国企业盈余管理的主要动机是出于政治目的和为追逐股票价值短期利益最大化,提出了不当盈余管理会导致资本结构失衡,由此给企业带来财务风险的观点。最后笔者指出了建立重复交易机制,彻底进行体制改革是降低不当盈余管理带来的财务风险的必由之路。     

市场择时行为对公司资本结构的实证研究

本文以1999年至2008年间我国非金融类A股上市公司作为样本,采用多元线性回归的方法进行数据分析,选择上市公司股票换手率作为市场时机的衡量指标研究了我国上市公司融资的市场择时行为及其对资本结构的影响。