以保单贷款为切口,浅谈科技赋能保险服务

移动互联网的迅猛发展改变了人们的生活方式,金融科技使金融行业的业态和发展格局大为改观。保险是金融领域的重要分支,保单贷款是保险服务的重要组成部分。不只限于保单贷款,保险服务的数字化转型,不仅能更好地服务客户,也为保险企业带来了新的业务增长点。文章从精益经营、风险控制、信息化建设等角度出发,重点剖析了保单贷款业务的特点、现状,分析了保单贷款如何结合金融科技实现进一步的增长,并针对性地提出了相应的行业性思考。     

Bank size, lending technologies, and small business finance

Under the current paradigm in small business lending research, large banks tend to specialize in lending to relatively large, informationally transparent firms using “hard” information, while small banks have advantages in lending to smaller, less transparent firms using “soft” information. We go beyond this paradigm to analyze the comparative advantages of large and small banks in specific lending technologies. Our analysis begins with the identification of fixed-asset lending technologies used to make small business loans. Our results suggest that large banks do not have equal advantages in all of these hard lending technologies and these advantages are not all increasing monotonically in firm size, contrary to the predictions of the current paradigm. We also analyze lines of credit without fixed-asset collateral to focus on relationship lending. We confirm that small banks have a comparative advantage in relationship lending, but this appears to be strongest for lending to the largest firms.     

Indeterminacy, aggregate demand, and the real business cycle

We show that under indeterminacy aggregate demand shocks are able to explain not only aspects of actual fluctuations that standard RBC models predict fairly well, but also aspects of actual fluctuations that standard RBC models cannot explain, such as the hump-shaped, trend reverting impulse responses to transitory shocks found in US output (Cogley and Nason, Am. Econom. Rev. 85 (1995) 492); the large forecastable movements and comovements of output, consumption and hours (Rotemberg and Woodford, Am. Econom. Rev. 86 (1996) 71); and the fact that consumption appears to lead output and investment over the business cycle. Indeterminacy arises in our model due to capacity utilization and mild increasing returns to scale.     

Financial contagion and the real economy

This paper studies the spread of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009 from the financial sector to the real economy by examining ten sectors in 25 major developed and emerging stock markets. The analysis tests different channels of financial contagion across countries and sectors and finds that the crisis led to an increased co-movement of returns among financial sector stocks across countries and between financial sector stocks and real economy stocks. The results demonstrate that no country and sector was immune to the adverse effects of the crisis limiting the effectiveness of portfolio diversification. However, there is clear evidence that some sectors in particular Healthcare, Telecommunications and Technology were less severely affected by the crisis.     

Bank-specific shocks and the real economy

Governments often justify interventions into the financial system in the form of bail outs or liquidity assistance with the systemic importance of large banks for the real economy. In this paper, we analyze whether idiosyncratic shocks to loan growth at large banks have effects on real GDP growth. We employ a measure of idiosyncratic shocks which follows Gabaix (forthcoming). He shows that idiosyncratic shocks to large firms have an impact on US GDP growth. In an application to the banking sector, we find evidence that changes in lending by large banks have a significant short-run impact on GDP growth. Episodes of negative loan growth rates and the Eastern European countries in our sample drive these results.     

Mutual fund flows,expected returns,and the real economy

This paper investigates the relation between mutual fund flows and the real economy. The findings of this paper support the theory that the positive co-movement of flows into equity funds and stock market returns is explained by a common response to macroeconomic news. Variables that predict the real economy as well as the equity premium – in particular dividend-price ratio, default spread, relative T-Bill rate and consumption-wealth ratio – are related to fund flows and can account for the correlation of flows and market returns. Furthermore, consistent with the information-response hypothesis, mutual fund flows are forward-looking and predict real economic activity.     

Bond finance,bank credit,and aggregate fluctuations in an open economy

Corporate sectors in emerging markets have noticeably increased their reliance on foreign financing, presumably reflecting low global interest rates. The evidence also shows a rebalancing from bank loans towards bonds. To study these developments, we develop a dynamic open economy model where these modes of finance are determined endogenously. The model replicates the stylized facts following a drop in world interest rates; in particular, rebalancing towards bonds occurs because bank credit becomes relatively more expensive, reflecting the scarcity of bank equity. More generally, the model is suitable for studying interactions between modes of finance and the macroeconomy.     

世界货币金融格局大转换与中国金融经济战略选择

自70年代以来，世界货币金融格局调整，并逐渐定型为以洲际为特征的相互联结、合作税姑大货币金融板块，中国处于亚洲及东太平洋地区板块的要地，制定稳步推进资本项目人民币自由兑换战略，占据先机，正当其时。     

大力开展消费金融业务 推动信用卡产业更快发展

随着信息科技的高速发展以及客户财富管理需求的变化、消费方式的转变,零售银行所依托的传统的业务模块、服务水平、盈利模式等都将在未来发生变化,信用卡产业的发展所面临的内外部环境将更加复杂。     

论“新经济”对当代金融发展的影响

“新经济”是在20世纪末出现的一个新范畴，是指以技术创新为主导动力，以质量型增长为内涵的新经济形态。正确认识新经济，认真研究新经济条件下金融发展的新现象、新规律，对我国金融业的进一步改革开放是十分必要的。     

科技赋能助力商业银行服务实体经济转型升级

"科技赋能、守正创新"成为当下金融企业谋变创新的关键词,商业银行作为国民经济命脉,其所提供的金融服务与人民生活息息相关,信息科技的快速发展在助推商业银行转型升级的同时也给其破解传统金融服务局限性问题、深化服务实体经济拓展了全新路径。