我国加收特别出口关税政策对化肥行业的影响及利弊分析

4月20日,加征100％的化肥出口特别关税,2008年8月29日,继续加征化肥出口特别关税,并将氮肥及合成氨的特别出口关税上调至150％。彻底关闭了出口的大门,国内众多化肥企业的巨大产能被堵在国内备受煎熬。本文分析加收特别出口关税政策对化肥行业的影响及利弊,及对化肥企业的几点建议。     

加征特别关税化肥板块遭遇“垂直打击”

经国务院批准,自2008年4月20日至9月30日,对所有贸易形式、地区、企业出口的化肥类产品及部分原料,在现有出口税率的基础上,以出口价格为基础,加征特别出口关税,税率为100％。其实,一段时期以来,化肥板块得益于市场对农业题材股的追捧,再加上行业景气度较高,行业业绩优异等因素,走势相对较强。但此项政策的出台对化肥行业无疑是一个重大利空。从整体上讲,此次加征特别关税对化肥行业将产生较大的负面影响,并具体到各个品种上,影响则有区别。目前我国磷肥出口比例大约为17％,在出口品种中比例最大,而且磷肥企业多为规模较大企业,该项关税对其价格影响也最大。     

最新化肥出口税率速查表

2008年8月29日,海关总署发布2008年第63号公告,从2008年9月1日起,将氮肥及合成氨的特别出口关税上调至150%,并实施至今年12月31日。至此,今年以来国家已连续6次调整化肥出口关税。     

贸易专栏

加征特别关税化肥板块遭遇垂直打击经国务院批准,自2008年4月20日至9月30日,对所有贸易形式、地区、企业出口的化肥类产品及部分原料,在现有出口税率的基础上,以出口价格为基础,加征特别出口关税,税率为100%。其实,一段时期以来,化肥板块得益于市场对农业题材股的追捧,再加上行业景气度较高,行业业绩优异等因     

国家对化肥类产品加征特别出口关税

经国务院批准,国务院关税税则委员会不久前作出决定,在2008年4月20日至9月30日国内用肥旺季内,对所有贸易形式、地区、企业出口的所有化肥及部分化肥原料在现有出口税率基础上,加征100%的特别出口关税.     

国家对化肥类产品加征特别出品关税

经国务院批准,国务院关税税则委员会不久前作出决定,在2008年4月20日至9月30日国内用肥旺季内,对所有贸易形式、地区、企业出口的所有化肥及部分化肥原料在现有出口税率基础上,加征100％的特别出口关税。这一决定是针对目前国内春耕生产化肥供应及价格情况,依据有关法规作出的。     

中国化肥出口关税增至110％

据息,经国务院批准,国务院关税税则委员会决定,自2010年12月1日起至12月31日止,中国对部分化肥产品按35％的暂定税率征收出口关税,并征收75％的特别出口关税。     

我国化肥对外经济贸易的现状及对策研究

国家给予化肥很多优惠政策,促进化肥产业的发展.在市场发展的过程中,国家出台化肥限价政策是为稳定化肥价格,确保农民增产增收而采取的一项重要举措.历年来国家及地方政府出台的很多限价措施及化肥进出口的关税政策,但收效甚微.究其根本原因是限价只限源头,在流通环节没有很好的制约措施,使得国家只要发布限价政策,市场价格反而出现大幅度上涨的被动局面.最终国家将放开化肥价格监管,让市场在资源配置中起决定性作用.     

税收

消费税调整“抑大扬小”;出口税收政策将结构性微调;我国调整铝合金焦炭和煤炭出口关税;部分化肥类产品关税上调至150％;增值税抵扣凭证协查管理办法出台;7月全国税收总收入同比增长13．8％.     

基于局部均衡视角的碳关税壁垒对我国出口影响的实证分析

碳关税具有名义上的合理性、对象上的歧视性、形式上的合法性和主体的广泛性等特征。碳关税对我国出口的冲击主要源于出口产品生产过程中碳排放强度,由局部均衡分析知,碳关税不但会对我国工业产品这个行业造成影响,还会对我国整体福利造成影响。我国政府应在国内开征碳税,完善国内碳交易市场,积极参与碳关税的制定;我国企业应加快新能源技术的开发和应用,实施低碳战略,以应对碳关税壁垒对我国出口的影响。     

On unit prices and their use in the analysis of the international specialization pattern within heterogeneous industries

The existence of factor intensity reversals between industrial countries has sometimes been attributed to differences in intra-industry specialisation. The industries studied are in fact quite heterogeneous. Consequently the relationships between the specialisation pattern of individual countries and differences in technology between industries may be obscured. In this paper a new method is presented with which specialisation of engineering trade can be studied in great detail. The method rests on the hypothesis that so called (metric) ton prices can be used as a proxy variable for differences in technology in a cross-section of engineering products. This hypothesis is further specified and tested in the paper for a cross-section of engineering products consisting of 40 subindustries of the Swedish engineering industry. If the outcome of the test can be assumed to hold both for a lower level of commodity aggregation and for other countries as well, the new method can be used to test different trade theories (including the factor proportions theory) on the engineering trade of industrial countries. It uses among other variables three variables constructed from the ton prices in engineering exports of OECD-Europe.The results of this paper carry major implications also on the construction and earlier use of price indices of engineering products. The results seem to imply that ton prices fo not measure product prices of engineering goods but rather the technology used in converting tons of metals into units of engineering goods. The price indices used in studies estimating price elasticities in foreign trade or production functions on time series data rest, however, im part on such an assumption.     

Crazy Cotton Collapse the Textile Industry＇？

Crazily has the price for the cotton rocketed!
The -transaction price, for only month, has seen a 40% rise,     

The Global Finance Banquet Will Be Served

Oil and finance, the most two vivid and changeable expressions in the world, attracted more and more concerning and tingled people＇s nerves from time to time.     

浅谈粮库不同流通功能的仓型选择

我国幅员辽阔,人口众多,农业人口约有9亿多,而有效耕地面积有限,据统计,去掉退耕还林、还草的坡地,实际耕地面积只有1.23亿hm2,人均耕地面积还不足0.1hm2。所以,粮食问题历来是人民生活和国家经济工作的头等大事。近3年来,我国粮食总产量每年均超过5亿吨,2009年粮食生产总量达5.3亿吨,再创历史新高,流通量高达2亿吨。因此,建立起快捷、流畅的粮食流通体系,已成为社会主义市场经济的重要组成部分。粮库仓型的选择作为粮食流通体系基础设施建设的关键,不仅直接影响到粮食流通系统的工作效率,而且影响到流通体系的经济效益。     

土豆困境

<正>随着天气渐渐变冷,我国北方马铃薯主产区——内蒙古自治区的许多薯农心急如焚。今年,内蒙古马铃薯不仅价格低迷,而且滞销卖难。为减少农民损失,国家和内蒙古已出台多项措施,力抓马铃薯销售、加工和储藏工作。一方有难,八方支援。内蒙古马铃     

Inflation Returns

China's November economic data suggests continued strong growth momentum.Industrial production rose by 19.2% year-on-year (y/y), well above the market consensus.Retail sales growth (15.8% y/y) remained healthy, despite being a bit lower than October (likely due to a holiday-effect distortion).Fixed asset investment growth slowed (32.1% year-todate versus 33.1% as of October), hut as wc discussed before, this data is not the best gauge of investment activity on the ground (see OTG, 19 November 2009, 'Watching cement dry').Consumer price index (CPI) inflation turned positive in y/y terms for the first time since February, up 0.6% y/y (versus -0.5% y/y prior).The challenge for policy makers is to balance the need to support growth with the need to contain the excesses that are building up as a result of the stimulus.     

Inflation Returns

Positive y/y inflation is back which means rising inflation expectations are back on the radar Industrial growth steams ahead, while increasing project starts suggest the same goes for FAI Policies to remain stimulative, supporting consumption and wage growth into 2010     

Seeking China Capital for Investment in Iran Oil Refining

Influenced by the financial crisis, the overall bilateral trade volume between China and lran decreased .by 39% in the first quarter of 2009;however, the volume of Iran＇s exported crude oil to China has increased by 88% compared with the same period last year up to May of 2009, totaling 308.8 million tons. Iran, as the world＇s No.5 crude exporter, replaced Saudi Arabia as China＇s largest oil supplier. At the same time, China, as the world＇s No.2 oil consumer, now imports half of the crude oil it consumes, and has become Iran＇s third largest customer.     

Investigation of Directional and Functional Relationships of Australian Dollar Exchange Rate,Steam Coal Export,and Steam Coal Price

The interesting finding in this article is that the Australian coal exporter's loss, which occurs due to a strong Australian dollar, is less than the profit from increasingly higher prices of Australian steam coal. For this reason, Australian steam coal exporters choose to export more when the price is high. The empirical results of this analysis confirm that for each one cent increase in Australian dollar value against the U.S. dollar, the Australian steam coal price increases by 0.8182 U.S. dollars and for each additional one million tons export of Australian steam coal, the Australian steam coal price increases by 1.752 U.S. dollars.     

VIX option pricing

Substantial progress has been made in developing more realistic option pricing models for S&P 500 index (SPX) options. Empirically, however, it is not known whether and by how much each generalization of SPX price dynamics improves VIX option pricing. This article fills this gap by first deriving a VIX option model that reconciles the most general price processes of the SPX in the literature. The relative empirical performance of several models of distinct interest is examined. Our results show that state‐dependent price jumps and volatility jumps are important for pricing VIX options. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 29:523–543, 2009