共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
外商直接投资对我国进出口贸易影响的协整分析 总被引:33,自引:2,他引:33
本文运用协整方法和误差修正模型,考察了改革开放以来我国外商直接投资与进出口贸易之间的长期均衡关系以及相应的短期偏离调整机制。20多年的数据证实,从长期来看,外商直接投资对我国进口和出口贸易都存在显著的促进作用;从短期来看,外商直接投资与进出口的关系由短期偏离向长期均衡调整的速度很快。外商直接投资的短期波动对进口的短期变化影响明显,而对出口短期变化影响不显著。 相似文献
2.
3.
4.
工业机器人企业是中国推动制造业数字化革命、抢占国际分工制高点战略的主力军,然而其出口持续时间平均不足1年,需引起高度关注。本文基于2000-2015年中国海关数据库和工业企业数据库的匹配数据,运用Cox风险模型分析了出口机会增大和进口竞争加剧对工业机器人企业出口持续时间的影响和作用机制。结果表明,出口机会增大更有利于延长企业出口持续时间,进口竞争加剧则提高了企业的退出率,这一结论在产品多样化程度低、产品核心度低、行业竞争小和市场集中度低的企业中尤为明显;出口机会与进口竞争,主要是通过企业生产率和技术创新的中介作用影响企业的出口持续时间;面对双重叠加影响,工业机器人企业应充分利用产品间的技术关联效应提高出口持续性。 相似文献
5.
6.
中国对亚洲制成品出口竞争影响 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
中国加入WTO,进一步贸易和投资自由化将对发展中国家和地区的制成品出口产生极大的影响,尤其是亚洲新小虎。亚洲四小虎也会面临越来强的竞争压力。低技术水平出口的南亚和非洲国家交面临严重挑战。中国的直接的威胁体现在劳动密集型产品上,但是很快影响到整个技术产品范围。中国影响的范围和速度取决于中国进一步提高竞争力的能力,加入WTO将加速这一进程。 相似文献
7.
8.
日元升值对日本进出口贸易的影响分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
一国的汇率变化将对该国的进出口贸易产生重大影响。从20世纪70年代初开始,日元经历了3次大幅升值。通过分析日本对外贸易和汇率变动的历史统计数据,发现第三次日元升值对日本进出口贸易产生的影响更为明显。这同日本企业所采取的产业升级、技术革新等对策有很大关系。其对我国政府和企业如何应对人民币升值带来的影响具有很强的启示和借鉴意义。 相似文献
9.
10.
11.
人民币实际汇率水平与波动对进出口贸易的影响——基于1980~2004年的实证研究 总被引:31,自引:0,他引:31
本文首先用AR—GARCH模型测算了人民币实际汇率的波动率,之后采用Engle-Granger两步法,研究了其波动对我国进出口贸易的影响。我们发现,从长期看,随着汇率波动率的增加,我国的出口量会减少,而进口量则会增加,而短期中汇率波动率的增加对贸易影响不大。因此在人民币汇率改革后,只有有效控制汇率风险,才能保持贸易收支的相对稳定。 相似文献
12.
哈尔滨市服务贸易应重点放在旅游、会展、专有权利使用和特许、商务服务、软件外包服务、境外分销服务、对外劳务输出等几个方面.为此应完善服务贸易管理体制;加快培育服务贸易企业;搞好服务人才的培训. 相似文献
13.
在文献综述的基础上,提出了影响湖南农产品进出口的因素,并运用多元线性回归方程对四个主要影响因素进行了定量分析。利用Eviews软件剔除一个因素以后,得出生产总值、居民消费价格指数、进出口总额和农产品关税税率的线性关系,从而更准确的了解这些因素对进出口贸易的影响力度,有利于对其进行有效的控制与管理,提高湖南农产品的进出口水平。 相似文献
14.
When-issued trading concerns transactions in securities that have not yet been issued. This paper investigates the Dutch “grey
market” for when-issued shares prior to stock splits, using a unique hand-collected data set. Market makers are more likely
to set up a when-issued market when the underlying firm is larger, the relative trading volume of the stock is higher, and
the stock return is less volatile. The when-issued securities trade at a small premium over the regular shares during the
weeks prior to the stock split, but this when-issued premium disappears in the last days of trading. 相似文献
15.
汇率波动对我国进出口影响的门限效应 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
前人在研究汇率波动对我国进出口的影响时均采用线性模型。然而,在不同汇率区间及不同汇率波动幅度下,汇率波动对进出口的影响可能是非线性的。本文利用Hansen(1999)的门限面板模型,对我国17个主要贸易伙伴1985~2008年年度数据进行了实证研究。结论为:(1)在不同的汇率区间,马歇尔-勒纳条件均不成立,不存在门限效应。(2)在不同的汇率波动幅度下,马歇尔-勒纳条件成立情况不同,存在门限效应。当人民币升值率大于11.78%时,马歇尔-勒纳条件成立,其他情况不成立。 相似文献
16.
17.
The paper examines the wage structure in the Chinese state enterprise sector between 1981 and 1987. This period is of particular interest given the introduction of major labour market reforms in China during the early 1980s. In essence the reforms represented a movement away from administratively determined prices towards a market–oriented system combined with a relatively flexible system of labour allocation. The Juhn, Murphy and Pierce (1991) decomposition is employed to shed light on the role of changing labour market institutions over the period.
JEL classification : J 31; J 16 相似文献
JEL classification : J 31; J 16 相似文献
18.
Evidence broadly confirms that European Union (EU) harmonization of food regulations can be considered as a trade-promoting
and market-integrating instrument in the Single Market. However, little is known on how this particular trade liberalization
measure may impact total factor productivity (TFP). One of the general presumptions is that trade liberalization has a positive
impact on productivity through the effect of competitive pressures to which domestic firms are exposed. For instance, as a
result of lowering or removing regulatory barriers to trade, a decline in entry costs of foreign and domestic competitors
leads to more competitive pressures which have a downward effect on prices and markups and higher TFP through a better reallocation
of inputs. The overall evidence shown in this paper leads to the conclusion that the impact of EU harmonization on various
TFP measures occurs through a markup mechanism: more EU harmonization results in more competition (lower markups) and greater
TFP growth. We also investigate the impact of assumptions relating to market structure and the production function. We empirical
test and refute the assumptions of perfect competition and constant returns to scale in our sample. The analysis is carried
out at the level of Dutch food processing firms for the 1979–2005 period. We extend and built upon a new database on EU harmonization
of regulations in the food industry. The product classification of this database follows the detailed Combined Nomenclature
classification that codes the relevant harmonization initiatives of technical regulations at the product level. 相似文献
19.
This paper analyzes the competitive impact of the recent import liberalization of the Japanese oil product market. In response to the import liberalization in March 1996, not only did the market price of gasoline decline sharply but also its domestic production kept rising and did not decline relative to imports. Moreover, its price fell substantially before the actual liberalization of the import. This paper demonstrates both theoretically and empirically that the theory of implicit cartel can explain such features of the impact of import liberalization very well. The paper also identifies the significantly positive welfare impact of such liberalization due to the expansion of supply in a market with a large tax wedge between price and cost and, possibly more importantly, due to the transformation of competitive conduct from unproductive investment for cartel-rent shifting into price cuts. J. Japan. Int. Econ., December 1999, 13(4), pp. 397–423. Hitotsubashi University; and Keio University. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: L40, F12, K21. 相似文献
20.
We consider both the overall macroeconomic performance of theUK labour market since 1997, as well as some of the underlyingmicro problems, particularly those facing unskilled workers,On the macro front, we have seen unemployment decline to itslowest level for a generation without excessive inflationarypressure. The main factors behind this decline in equilibriumunemployment stem from actions taken by the previous government.Changes introduced in the labour market since 1997 are likelyto have only small effects on equilibrium unemployment. Underlyingthis favourable aggregate labour-market performance are seriousproblems facing unskilled men who have seen dramatic increasesin their unemployment and inactivity rates, concentrated particularlyin Wales and the northern regions of Britain. The policy responsesince 1997 has focused on encouraging the unskilled into work(the New Deal) while simultaneously raising the rewards forworking (the minimum wage, tax credits). These policies havehad a positive impact on youth employment and have significantlyreduced child poverty. So far, however, existing policies donot seem likely to have a serious impact on the high levelsof worklessness among unskilled men. 相似文献