THE EFFECTS OF BORROWING ON THE RATE OF GROWTH OF CAPITAL AND THE RISK OF RUIN OF A FIRM

The research reported in this paper used Monte Carlo simulation to study the long term effects of borrowing policy on the rate of growth of capital and the risk (probability) of ruin of hypothetical firms, operating in explicitly described, realistic capital budgeting environments. The capital rationing environment is described explicitly. The debt policies modeled were based on the results of interviews with senior financial executives in eight major firms. The results indicate that three intuitively appealing ranking procedures performed equally well and all out-performed a random selection decision procedure: yielding higher rates of capital growth with lower risks of ruin. In general, an aggressive borrowing policy resulted in a higher average capital growth rate for a firm but a conservative borrowing policy resulted in a lower risk of ruin. It is believed that the results provide some interesting insights which indicate that a computer simulation model could be used to aid management in the evaluation of their capital budgeting procedures and borrowing policies.     

论存款被冒领时银行储蓄机构应承担的法律责任

目前储蓄机构因储户存款被冒领的事件时有发生,且呈逐年上升的趋势,由此增加了银行的经营风险;另外,我国司法机关对储蓄机构适用的严格责任原则,更加大了储蓄机构的责任风险。因此,如何保护银行合法权益,已成为当前金融法律的重大现实课题。本文通过案例,详细分析了对此类案件中两个重要问题:其一,储蓄机构应负的法定责任,即若存款在挂失前或挂失失效后已被他人支取,储蓄机构是否承担责任;其二,储蓄机构对储户是否应进行身份证件的实质性审查。同时,本文还对金融数字化、信息化的法律保护问题进行了探讨,阐述了完善储蓄法律制度,制定统一储蓄法的紧迫性及现实意义。     

利用外资、引进技术与优化产业结构

当前我国现代化进程已跨上了一个新的发展平台,进入一个关键的历史性转折时期.在这一转折时期,我国在利用外资引进技术方面应作出一番重新思考与定位.本文分析了我国近20年来经济增长的支撑点及我国未来将面临着的资源约束等方面的压力,探讨了国际上新一轮的产业结构调整及经济全球化等对我国的影响,指出了利用外资、引进技术以产业结构优化为主要目标是我国目前利用外资引进技术工作的必然的战略选择;同时提出了在实现这一战略选择过程中须处理好的几个主要问题:优化利用外资引进技术的结构、建立和完善企业和国家的技术创新体系、改变对国内幼稚产业的保护方式等.