Participation in risky asset markets and propensity for financial planning: a missing link?

This study examines whether the association between financial literacy and participation in risky asset markets is robust to variation on a more innate level: the propensity for financial planning. I find that individuals’ propensity for financial planning is strongly positively related to stock market participation as well as membership in a voluntary workplace retirement savings scheme. This result holds when controlling for financial literacy and a range of demographic and control variables in a multivariate regression setting. Importantly, the positive association between financial literacy and risky asset market participation also persists, suggesting that these two variables operate through separate channels.     

Uncertainty avoidance,loss aversion and stock market participation

Stock market participation differs a lot across countries. Cultural dimensions could be a potential factor for that. We show that indeed uncertainty avoidance (UAI) is linked to rates of stock market participation across countries. We can show even more that uncertainty avoidance has an indirect effect through loss aversion on stock market participation. The country level effects are confirmed on the individual level using data from a recent large-scale international survey, but on individual level there is also a strong effect of UAI on stock market participation after controlling for loss aversion. These results are robust after controlling for ambiguity aversion, and economic and demographic variables. Finally, we find that UAI is related to negative attitudes about stock markets in general.     

The effect of performance feedback on prior budgetary participative research using survey methodology: An empirical study

Prior research examining the relation between budgetary participation and job performance explicitly or implicitly posits budgetary participation and intervening variables such as role ambiguity, motivation, job satisfaction, and job-relevant information as independent variables; job performance as the dependent variable. However, these studies are often based on correlated data in which the direction of causation is unknown. This paper uses attribution theory to examine whether job performance affects perceptions of budgetary participation and/or intervening variables (e.g. role ambiguity). Using a laboratory experiment and multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA), the findings of this study show that knowledge of performance, obtained through performance evaluations and/or external cues, affects individuals’ perceptions regarding budgetary participation, job satisfaction, role ambiguity, motivation, and job-relevant information. The results of the study may undermine correlations between self-reported data on individual characteristics (e.g. motivation) and performance data, as well as correlations between self-reported data on organizational variables (e.g. budgetary participation) and performance data. The study provides suggestions how researchers could overcome problems associated with causal directions in future budget participation studies that link self-reported individual and organizational characteristics to job performance.     

新生代农民工养老保险参与意愿及影响因素——基于安徽省调查数据

摘要：文章从理性选择理论出发,建立养老保险参与意愿模型,运用Tobit模型和安徽省微观调查数据研究了新生代农民工养老保险参与意愿及影响因素。研究发现,新生代农民工参与意愿较高,实际参与率较低;性别与婚姻对新生代农民工养老保险参与有显著影响,文化程度与年龄对新生代农民工养老保险参与没有显著影响;新生代农民工养老保险参与意愿概率不仅仅是其经济理性体现,更重要的是其非经济理性行为的体现,这些非经济理性变量对新生代农民工养老保险参与概率与数量都有非常显著的正向影响。     

Managerial attitude,motivation and the effectiveness of budget participation

This study empirically examined the effect of budget participation on managerial performance using a contingency theory approach. Contingent variables investigated included managerial attitude (towards their job and company) and motivation (to work). The results indicated that both variables moderated the effect of budget participation. Specifically, participation in the budgeting process by managers who reported a more favourable attitude or motivation, was associated with improved performance; whereas participation by managers exhibiting a less favourable attitude or motivation, was associated with hampered performance. These results support the fundamental argument that an organization may be better off following a budgeting style (participative or non-participative) that is congruent with its employee attitude and motivation.     

The determinants of contractual choice for private involvement in infrastructure projects

Numerous studies have examined the determinants of private participation in infrastructure projects. We depart from this simple public/private dichotomy by empirically examining a rich set of contractual arrangements. Infrastructure characteristics, particularly those that reflect ‘stand alone’ versus network characteristics, are key factors influencing the extent of private participation. Fiscal variables as well as basic controls, such as population and locality of government, increase the degree of private participation. A greater tax burden reduces private participation.     

The eurosystem money market auctions: A banking perspective

This paper analyzes the individual bidding behavior of German banks in the money market auctions conducted by the ECB from the beginning of 2000:IIIQ to the end of 2001:IQ. Our approach takes a variety of characteristics of the individual banks into account, particularly variables that capture the different use of liquidity and the different attitude towards liquidity risk of the individual banks. It turns out that these characteristics are reflected in banks’ bidding behavior. Thus, our study contributes to a deeper understanding of the way liquidity risk is managed in the banking sector.     

An empirical analysis of bank interest rate swaps

Considering the characteristics of banks that do and do not report interest rate swaps, the long-term interest rate exposure of a bank and the likelihood and extent of swap market participation are found to be positively related. Key to the finding is the inclusion of variables related to the provision of swap market intermediary services, which significantly explain both the likelihood of swap market participation and the notional value of outstanding swaps. The results suggest that the likelihood and extent of swap market participation by low-capitalized banks is less than for other banks.     

Decentralisation as a Moderating Factor in the Budgetary Participation-Performance Relationship: Some Hong Kong Evidence

This study tests the contingency or ‘fit’ hypothesis that the effects of budgetary participation on managerial performance will be positive in decentralised organisations and negative in centralised organisations. The responses of 37 managers from a cross-section of Hong Kong manufacturing companies to a questionnaire survey designed to measure the variables were analysed by examining the interaction term in a multiple regression equation. The results supported the interaction hypothesis and found that at high levels of decentralisation there is a positive relationship between budgetary participation and managerial performance but at low levels of decentralisation this relationship is negative. These findings have implications for the design of effective control subsystems.     

A Note on Capital IQ's Credit Line Data

Empirical work in finance is increasingly using Capital IQ's detailed data on capital structure. We compare the Capital IQ credit line data to hand‐collected data for a random sample of firms. Missing values in Capital IQ are prevalent, so the data set underreports the importance of corporate credit lines. When data are reported, Capital IQ often differs from hand‐collected credit line activity. We suggest methods for correcting the errors in the Capital IQ data, note which portions of the data are most reliable, and quantify the effects of Capital IQ's underreporting by examining the tradeoff between cash and lines of credit.     

Does Participation Improve Performance? Establishing Causality with Subjective Data

Data from 121 diverse rural water projects provide strong statisticalfindings that increasing beneficiary participation directlycauses better project outcomes. Three possible econometric objectionsto these findings are addressed and answered. The subjectivenature of the data does not preclude valid, cardinal measuresof participation appropriate for statistical analysis. "Haloeffects"—changes in the measurement of one variable becauseof the observed state of another variable—do not seemto induce a strong upward bias in the measurement of participationor project performance. Reverse causation is unlikely: estimationusing instrumental variables, data on project timing, and documentationof case studies support the cause-effect relation between participationand better project performance.     

Leadership style, budgetary participation and managerial behavior

This paper reports the results of a study of the effects of leadership style and budgetary participation on performance and job satisfaction. The first two variables have been given much attention in the organizational behavior and management accounting literatures, respectively, while litte consideration has been given to both jointly. The most important results of the study reveal that the two variables interact in their effects on the criterion variables. Under certain leadership conditions, budgetary participation was found to have strong positive effects on performance and job satisfaction. Under other conditions, the reverse was true. The implications of the results for control system design and personnel management are considered.     

Market participation in delegated and intrinsic common‐agency games

We study how competition in nonlinear pricing between two principals (sellers) affects market participation by a privately informed agent (consumer). When participation is restricted to all or nothing (“intrinsic” agency), the agent must choose between both principals' contracts and selecting her outside option. When the agent is afforded the additional possibilities of choosing only one contract (“delegated” agency), competition is more intense. The two games have distinct predictions for participation. Intrinsic agency always induces more distortion in participation relative to the monopoly outcome, and equilibrium allocations are discontinuous for the marginal consumer. Under delegated agency, relative to monopoly, market participation increases (respectively, decreases) when contracting variables are substitutes (respectively, complements) on the intensive margin. Equilibrium allocations are continuous for the marginal consumer and the range of product offerings is identical to both the first‐best and the monopoly outcome.     

传统家庭观念抑制了城镇居民商业养老保险参与吗？———基于金融信任与金融素养视角的实证分析

随着我国人口老龄化的加速和金融产品的不断创新,以商业养老保险为代表的个人养老金逐步成长为我国养老金体系的第三大支柱,为解决养老问题提供了重要渠道。但现阶段我国城镇居民的商业养老保险参与度不足,养老金融市场发展缓慢。区别于既有研究的经济理性视角,本研究从影响金融发展的文化观念视角为这一“有限参与”现象提供新的理论解析。利用CHFS 2015数据进行实证分析,本文发现“养儿防老”等传统家庭文化观念会抑制我国城镇居民的商业养老保险参与,这一影响在控制了内生性后依然显著;进一步研究发现,传统家庭观念(养儿防老等)会削弱居民的金融信任,减少居民对金融信息的关注,不利于居民金融素养的提升,进而降低其商业养老保险参与度;异质性分析表明,传统家庭观念(养儿防老等)对商业养老保险参与的负向影响在中西部地区和受教育水平偏低的群体中更加突出。本研究揭示了影响居民商业养老保险参与和我国养老金融市场发展的深层文化因素,对推进我国多支柱养老保险体系的建设也具有政策启示意义。     

IQ and corporate insiders’ decisions to time insider and outsider trading

We examine how corporate insiders’ cognitive ability (IQ) affects their decisions to time insider and outsider trading before abnormal stock price changes. Our analysis of archival data on male corporate insiders in Sweden shows they are less prone to time their insider selling and to sell in larger amounts, before abnormal stock price declines as IQ increases. We also find that insiders with a higher IQ are better at timing their outsider buying. Taken together, our results show that corporate insiders’ IQ affects their trading decisions differently, depending on whether they are trading in their insider or outsider stocks.     

IQ,trading behavior,and performance

We analyze whether IQ influences trading behavior, performance, and transaction costs. The analysis combines equity return, trade, and limit order book data with two decades of scores from an intelligence (IQ) test administered to nearly every Finnish male of draft age. Controlling for a variety of factors, we find that high-IQ investors are less subject to the disposition effect, more aggressive about tax-loss trading, and more likely to supply liquidity when stocks experience a one-month high. High-IQ investors also exhibit superior market timing, stock-picking skill, and trade execution.     

IMF programs: Who is chosen and what are the effects?

IMF loans react to economic conditions but are also sensitive to political-economy variables. Loans tend to be larger and more frequent when a country has a bigger quota and more professional staff at the IMF and when a country is more connected politically and economically to the United States and major European countries. These results are of considerable interest for their own sake. More importantly for present purposes, the results provide instrumental variables for estimating the effects of IMF loan programs on economic growth and other variables. This instrumental estimation allows us to sort out the economic effects of the loan programs from the responses of IMF lending to economic conditions. The estimates show that a higher IMF loan-participation rate reduces economic growth. IMF lending does not have significant effects on investment, inflation, government consumption, and international openness. However, IMF loan participation has small negative effects on democracy and the rule of law. The reduction in the rule of law implies an additional, indirect channel whereby IMF lending reduces economic growth.     

Heterogeneous Background Risks and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from Micro‐level Data

We construct a set of household‐level background risk variables to capture the covariance structure of three nonfinancial assets and two financial assets. These risks are in general statistically significant and economically important for a household's stock market participation and stockholdings. A one‐standard‐deviation increase in background risks reduces the participation probability by 11% and the stockholdings‐to‐wealth ratio by 4%. The volatilities of labor income, housing value, and business income reduce a household's participation and stockholdings. A household with labor income highly correlated with stock (bond) returns is less (more) likely to invest in stock.     

Who makes markets

A dealer needs access to order flow and information to make a market profitably in a Nasdaq stock. Several variables that proxy for the stocks that an individual market maker's brokerage customers trade, including volume, location, underwriting participation and analyst coverage, are significant determinants of market making activity. Informational advantages may also factor in the market making decision as evidenced by dealers specializing in industries. These findings suggest that individual dealers have competitive advantages in making markets in specific stocks, and that potential market making competition comes from the dealers who share those advantages rather than all Nasdaq market makers.     

Private Participation in Infrastructure and Financial Sector Development: Evidence from Developing Countries

This article studies whether private participation in infrastructure (PPI) investments promote financial sector development (FSD). With data from 62 developing countries over the period 1990–2013, we provide evidence of a positive and significant relationship between PPI investments and FSD, irrespective of different control variables, estimation methods and measures of FSD. With heterogeneity tests, we illustrate that the promotion effect is larger in emerging countries than in the other countries; however, the difference is marginal. We also identify that both civil and common legal origins have a comparative advantage than socialist legal origin for FSD.