论我国现货市场发展与结构金融发展

尽管结构化金融产品市场在国外金融机构中占有重要地位,但由于我国结构化金融产品市场发展时间不长,因此在我国还属于一个崭新的极具研究意义的金融创新领域。本文就以现货市场与结构金融的相互关系入手,在考察国外以现货市场发展为基础设计的结构金融产品的同时,结合我国的实际情况,就如何在我国现货市场发展的同时引入更多的结构金融产品,丰富投资者的避险投资工具。     

我国商业银行金融产品创新机制的思考

我国商业银行金融产品创新的主要精力和资源应集中在累进型创新上，商业银行应增强主动负债能力，创新储蓄联结保险、证券、基金投资产品，建立以投资银行业务为主的大客户服务模式，实施跨市场金融产品的结构化融资，积极探索以银行信贷服务为主的中小企业客户服务模式，调整业务结构，收入结构，客户结构，大力发展中间业务与表外业务深化金融创新，运用其他信贷业务等间接投资方式，完善个人信贷体系业务。其中，理顺金融产品创新客理机制是前提，技术与人才资源是支撑，风险防控是关键，价值服务能力是内在动力，市场将考验金融产品的理性定价和定位能力。只有透过真正的市场需求，主动运用先进的安全技术并作适宜包装，技术业务经过测试，下大功夫做好产品的销售策划，品牌建立，营销方案制定，售后跟踪服务和市场信息反馈，才能不断提升创新产品的综合竞争力。     

商业银行金融产品创新存在的问题及对策

商业银行金融产品创新是增强自身市场竞争力的关键。本研究重点分了我国商业银行金融产品创新现状问题，并提出了针对性对策。研究认为，我国商业银行金融产品创新主要存在创新意识不足、缺乏战略性、创新模式单一和金融体制不完善问题，提出根据市场需求推进金融产品创新．加强我国商业银行金融产品内部创新氛围，完善我国商业银行金融产品管理机制三方面建议。     

分红保险——投资理财的新贵

金融产品的日渐丰富提高了人们的投资理财意识。20世纪的最后10年．我国证券市场从无到有，从小到大走过了西方国家资本市场近百年的历程，从金融品种看，股票基金债券等常见的投资工具都初具规模。金融产品的日渐丰富既提高了人们的投资理财意识．又为人们的理财规划提供了可实施的投资渠道。近年来，一种新的投     

金融衍生交易法律风险初探

金融衍生产品简介金融衍生产品是一种金融合约,其价值取决于一种或多种基础资产或指数。合约的基本种类包括远期、期货、掉期(互换)和期权。衍生产品还包括有远期、期货、掉期(互换)和期权的一种或多种特征的结构化金融工具。基于金融衍生产品的投资价值和风险管理价值,在国际金融市场上,金融衍生产品一直呈现几何级数增长的发展速度。在我国,近年来也有越来越多的金融机构和大型企业开始从事国际金融衍生产品交易业务。对投资者个体而言,金融衍生产品有利于投资者的资产负债管理,并且提供了投资的多样性;对社会而言,金融衍生工具有助于发现…     

我国房地产投资信托基金的困境探析

房地产投资信托基金是投资多元化的一种选择,是降低金融市场系统性风险的的金融产品。我国目前尚无标准化REIT产品的发售,相比成熟市场存在产品定价,法律制度,税收政策,经营管理不完善等问题,本文立足REIT的投资特点及相关问题,借鉴成熟市场经验,提出对我国REIT发展的可行建议。     

商业银行投资模式的拓展

当前,商业银行以越来越快的步伐拓展自己的投资业务。借鉴发达国家经验,我国商业银行拓展投资业务主要应从改变商业银行投资管理模式、丰富金融产品、提高商业银行投资市场的流动性、完善商业银行投资的信用风险和定价机制等方面入手。     

我国跨境金融衍生产品的交易现状、问题与建议

金融衍生产品因其规避风险和价格发现功能,已成为一个企业乃至一个国家的国际竞争力的重要组成部分。目前我国境内金融衍生产品市场的发展还不尽完善,交易品种比较单一,难以满足企业及个人日益增长的投资避险需求,逐步有序地放开跨境金融衍生产品交易已是大势所趋。鉴于美国次贷危机所引发的全球性金融危机带给我们的经验教训,发展金融衍生产品交易的同时,尽快完善跨境金融衍生品交易相关的外汇管理政策法规具有深远意义。     

理财产品推荐榜

排行榜说明本排行榜上榜产品均为当月所发行同类产品中在风险、收益等方面具有明显优势的产品。本栏目不构成任何投资建议,投资者操作产生的任何风险由投资者自负。关于产品分类1.保本保收益类:主要是投资于银行间市场、交易所以及其他金融市场固定品种的货币类产品,一般风险与收益较低。2.保本浮动收益类:产品资金主要投资于风险较小的货币、债券等金融市场,其余资金投向具有较高风险的资产。3.非保本浮动收益类:一般包括结构化产品,即运用金融工程技术,将固定收益产品与金融衍生产品组合形成的金融产品,挂钩标的市场(如期货、股票等)表现,通常设定处罚条件来确定投资者的最终收益;也包括证券投资类产品等,风险相对较高。     

金融危机后我国场外金融衍生产品市场的发展研究

发生在美国的次贷危机向全球扩散,演变成全球性的金融危机,乃至经济危机。场外金融衍生产品的过度创新对危机的扩散和演变起到了助推器和放大器的作用。我国场外金融衍生产品的发展既要吸取危机的教训,同时要根据我国的国情,鼓励金融创新、完善有关场外衍生金融产品市场的法律法规、加强对衍生金融产品监管的协调与合作、完善市场基础设施建设并加强场外衍生产品市场的信息披露。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.