Financial development and economic growth in Egypt

The relationship between financial development and economic growth has been widely examined in both the theoretical and empirical literature. This paper studies the relationship between these two variables in Egypt during the period 1961 to 2009, using co-integration and vector error correction analysis, Granger causality tests, and multivariate Beveridge-Nelson decomposition. Results indicate that the two variables move together in the long run, and that financial development Granger causes economic growth in both the short-run and the long-run, thus providing support for the supply leading hypothesis. These findings are robust using different measures of financial development.     

Europe's Single Banking Market

This article provides an overview of the main principles underlying the regulatory for banks in Europe.     

我国影子银行发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

本文从信贷需求角度对我国1990—2014年影子银行规模进行系统测度,通过建立VAR模型对影子银行发展与经济增长的关系进行实证研究。结果显示：经济增长与影子银行发展存在单向因果关系,即经济增长促进了影子银行发展,反之则不成立。本文认为监管部门应加强对影子银行的监管,引导影子银行资金流向,建立预警监测系统以保证影子银行风险可控。     

银行业危机:金融泡沫视角的分析

自20世纪80年代以来,银行业危机爆发越显频繁。然而,通过对银行业危机内部形成机理分析可以发现,银行业危机的爆发其实是伴随着金融泡沫的形成与破灭这一过程的。在金融泡沫的形成过程中,银行往往会给一些高风险行业发放贷款,从而增加银行经营风险;而在金融泡沫破灭之后,这将直接或间接地导致银行产生大量的不良贷款,从而使银行业危机最终爆发。因此,我国应尽快化解国有商业银行的不良资产;完善银行微观治理结构;建立和完善金融监管机制。     

风险分担机制变迁、银行经营模式转型与银行安全

经济全球化过程中,金融市场横向风险分担机制侵蚀了银行中介跨期风险分担机制;一部分资金从银行中介转移到金融市场,致使商业银行传统盈利模式遭受冲击。银行必须从传统的存贷款经营模式转变为参与金融市场和衍生工具交易的、提供综合金融服务的现代经营模式。在这一转型过程中,如果转型过快或者银行不能适应变化,银行体系则可能积累大量风险,并导致银行危机。实证检验结果显示,风险分担机制变迁显著增加了银行危机的概率。     

Industrial Organization of Financial Systems and Strategic Use of Relationship Banking

Using standard Industrial Organization tools, we analyze the relation between competition in arm's length financial markets and the prevalence of close bank-firms ties. We show how the degree of competition between financial intermediaries affects the intensity of relationships between banks and client firms, and explore the idea that investment in bank-firm relationships can be used strategically by incumbent multi-product (universal) banks to limit competition in arm's length markets. The analysis implies that reforms designed to facilitate entry of new intermediaries may actually induce incumbent banks to increase investment in relationship banking, so that regulatory entry barriers are replaced by entry barriers created endogenously, namely, there is ``path dependence' in the market structure of financial systems. This result suggests that increased (potential) competition in the financial services industry will not always destroy bank-firm relationships but, on the contrary, may actually strengthen them.     

银行监管对银行发展的影响

本文以银行发展为因变量,银行监管系列措施为自变量,影响银行发展的其他重要因素为控制变量,构建了银行发展与银行监管的关系模型,利用数十个国家的数据实证检验了银行发展与银行监管的关系.结果表明:银行业外部治理和监管部门独立性均能够显著促进银行发展;资本监管和官方监管对银行发展的作用不明显,银行业务活动的过高限制不利于银行长...     

Market Power in European Banking Sectors

We analyze the evolution of market power in the main banking sectors of the European Union. The evolution of the relative margins does not show an increase in the degree of competition within the EU. The explanatory factors of the relative margins most directly related to market power are not significant, and even have a negative influence (concentration in the deposits market). The size and efficiency of banks, default risk, and the economic cycle have a notable capacity to explain the behavior of the market power. The results show the inadequacy of using concentration measures as proxy for the competition environment in banking markets.     

Financial intermediation and economic growth: the post-liberalization Indian experience

The paper is concerned with the relationship between economic growth and financial intermediation, in particular stock market development, in post-liberalization India. It identifies three possible relationships: (a) the relationship between growth of manufacturing and growth of the stock market; (b) the relationship between growth of the stock market and growth of traditional financial intermediaries like banks; (c) the relationship between the growth of the primary stock market and that of the secondary stock market. These three relationships are empirically tested using Indian data. While the growth of turnover in the stock market is found to be positively correlated with the change in the growth of manufacturing and the growth of sales of new shares is found to positively affect the secondary market, evidence on the relationship between sales of new shares and traditional banking activities is mixed. The primary stock market is found to crowd out bank deposits, but crowd in bank credit.     

The Determinants of Stock Prices: New Evidence from the Indian Banking Sector

We examine the determinants of stock prices for major Indian banks using panel data modeling techniques. Our work is novel because, for the first time in the literature on Indian banking, we use a panel Granger causality test that reveals the direction and sign of causality. We find evidence of panel cointegration among stock prices, economic activity, interest rates, and exchange rates for thirteen banks. Our results suggest that while economic activity and currency depreciation contribute to a rise in share prices, an increase in the interest rate reduces bank share prices. Moreover, only economic activity Granger-causes stock prices in the long run.     

Banking stability,competition, and economic volatility

The paper analyzes the influence of banking stability on the volatility of industrial value added using data for 110 countries. Our results confirm the relevance of lending and asset allocation effects because banking stability reduces the volatility of value added more in industries that have greater external financial dependence and intangible intensity when they are located in countries with more developed financial and institutional systems. Moreover, banking stability helps reduce economic volatility more in countries with less bank market competition. We control for recessions, reverse causality problems, and endogeneity of banking stability.     

风雨同舟 共铸辉煌——新中国成立60年经济与银行业携手前行

新中国成立60年来,经济和金融取得了巨大的成就。在经济方面,国民经济综合实力明显增强,国际地位和影响力显著提高;人民生活实现由贫困到总体小康的历史性跨越,正向全面小康目标迈进;对外经济实现了从封闭半封闭到全方位开放,对外贸易和利用外资规模均跃居世界前列;经济结构实现由低级到高级、不均衡到相对均衡的巨大调整。在银行业方面,金融机构资产规模不断扩大;存贷款规模不断上升;资产质量大幅改善,抗风险能力进一步增强;盈利能力稳步提升;从一元化、大一统的银行体制发展到多种类型金融机构相互竞争、共同发展的局面。     

Effect of Banking Regulation on Performance: Evidence from Turkey

In this study, we investigate the effect of regulation on banking sector performance in an emerging country context. Consecutive crises in the early 2000s led to three waves of reformist banking regulations in Turkey: (1) the banking sector restructuring program in 2002, (2) limitation of the full deposit insurance system in 2004, and (3) a corporate governance-related banking law in 2005. Results show that these actions had a positive effect on bank lending, asset quality, and profitability. Findings also support the view that the sequence and timing of banking reforms in Turkey acted as a shield against the global financial crisis of 2008.     

Banking industry volatility and economic growth

Utilizing the recent dynamic panel GMM estimation techniques for 36 markets, this research investigates the relationship between banking industry volatility and future economic growth, and provides empirical evidence complementary to Cole et al. (2008) who examine the finance-growth nexus from a unique asset pricing theory perspective and document a positive relationship between bank stock returns and future economic growth that is significantly influenced by a series of country-specific and banking institutional characteristics. We find that the negative link between banking industry volatility and future economic growth is significantly affected by government ownership of banks, the enforcement of the insider trading law, systemic banking crises, and bank accounting disclosure standards, while the impact of financial development is ambiguous. The significant results are primarily driven by the data from emerging markets.     

Entropy,environment, and endogenous economic growth

This paper investigates the proper modeling of the interaction between economic growth and environmental problems, summarizes under which conditions unlimited economic growth with limited natural resources is feasible, and describes how sustainable growth can be achieved. It synthesizes the results from various environmental endogenous growth models.The physical dimension and the value dimension of economic activity have to be treated as conceptually distinct. Accumulation of natural variables is bounded due to biophysical laws (notably, the entropy law). However, economic value may grow through the substitution of reproducible human inputs for natural inputs. The properties of knowledge, which is the primary human input, do not contradict unlimited new knowledge creation.     

中国银行业结构变迁与经济增长的实证研究

何种金融结构更有利于经济增长是一个在理论上存在巨大分歧的问题,中国经济为经验验证金融结构对经济增长的影响提供了一个非常理想的样本。本文以1995～2006年中国29个省级单位的经验数据为样本,采用Difference GMM和System GMM动态面板回归估计方法系统地检验了中国的银行集中度对经济增长及其两个组成部分(TFP增长和资本积累)的影响,得出的主要结论是,中国金融中介整体规模的扩张实际上并未对经济增长贡献更多,在这个环境下,中国当前较高的银行集中度是阻碍了经济增长,这主要表现为较高的银行集中度抑制了劳均资本的积累,其对TFP增长的影响在统计上却是不显著的。     

中国金融发展与经济增长研究综述

金融发展与经济增长的关系是金融发展理论的核心问题,目前,学术界对二者的关系仍存争议.本文首先从理论层面回顾了金融与经济之关系的产生和演变路径,在此基础上,梳理总结了关于金融与经济关系的主要学术观点以及实证研究领域,最后,提出了未来的研究趋势和有待深入研究的问题.     

我国影子银行发展及其对经济金融的影响研究--以山东省为例

本文基于我国对影子银行的定义测算其规模,并在此基础上采用2002-2014年的月度数据和结构VAR模型（SVAR）实证研究了影子银行对宏观经济发展和金融体系的影响。结果表明,近些年我国影子银行发展规模均以较为平稳的速度增长;影子银行短期内对经济增长有负面影响,但总体来看其发展对我国宏观经济具有积极作用;影子银行发展对我国金融发展具有一定的促进作用,但其规模过度扩张将会增加商业银行流动性风险,弱化其信用中介功能,对金融稳定产生负向冲击效应。最后在总结研究结论的基础上提出政策建议。     

Consolidation and Competition in the Banking Industries of the EU Member and Candidate Countries

This paper investigates competitive conditions in the banking markets of all EU member and candidate countries over the period 1995-2007. The Panzar and Rosse (1987) model is implemented on bank-level data. In particular, the unscaled revenue equation is employed to assess market structure. Country-specific empirical results suggest a wide variation in the competitive conditions of the banking systems in the sampled countries. Nineteen banking systems are characterized as monopolistically competitive, nine as monopolies or perfectly colluding oligopolies, and two as perfectly competitive over the sample period. This study also investigates whether competition conditions changed over the sample period, using 2001 as an endogenously determined break year. The empirical evidence reveals that banking systems became less competitive after that time.     

我国影子银行发展及其对经济金融的影响研究——以山东省为例

本文基于我国对影子银行的定义测算其规模,并在此基础上采用2002—2014年的月度数据和结构VAR模型(SVAR)实证研究了影子银行对宏观经济发展和金融体系的影响。结果表明,近些年我国影子银行发展规模均以较为平稳的速度增长;影子银行短期内对经济增长有负面影响,但总体来看其发展对我国宏观经济具有积极作用;影子银行发展对我国金融发展具有一定的促进作用,但其规模过度扩张将会增加商业银行流动性风险,弱化其信用中介功能,对金融稳定产生负向冲击效应。最后在总结研究结论的基础上提出政策建议。