OTC derivatives market in India: recent regulatory initiatives and open issues for market stability and development

In the wake of the present financial crisis, which is believed to have been exacerbated by over-the-counter derivatives, increasing attention is being paid to analysing the regulatory environment of these markets. In this context, we analyse the regulatory framework of the over-the-counter derivatives market in India. The paper, inter alia, analyses how a good reporting system and a post-trade clearing and settlement system, through a centralized counter party, has ensured good surveillance of the systemic risks in the Indian over-the-counter market. This research paper also explores those open issues that are important to ensure market stability and development competition among centralized counterparties and better supervision of the off-balance sheet business of financial institutions.     

The empirical relationship between risk and return: evidence from the UK stock market

Previous studies reach no consensus on the relationship between risk and return using data from one market. We argue that the world market factor should not be ignored in assessing the risk-return relationship in a partially integrated market. Applying a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in mean (GARCH-M) model to the weekly stock index returns from the UK and the world market, we document a significant positive relationship between stock returns and the variance of returns in the UK stock market after controlling for the covariance of the UK and the world market return. In contrast, conventional univariate GARCH-M models typically fail to detect this relationship. Nonnested hypothesis tests supplemented with other commonly used model selection criteria unambiguously demonstrate that our bivariate GARCH-M model is more likely to be the true model for UK stock market returns than univariate GARCH-M models. Our results have implications for empirical assessments of the risk-return relationship, expected return estimation, and international diversification.     

Early warning systems and systemic banking crises in low income countries: A multinomial logit approach

This paper estimates an early warning system (EWS) for predicting systemic banking crises in a sample of low income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since the average duration of crises in this sample of countries is longer than one year, the predictive performance of standard binomial logit models is likely to be hampered by the so-called crisis duration bias. The bias arises from the decision to either treat crisis years after the onset of a crisis as non-crisis years or remove them altogether from the model. To overcome this potential drawback, we propose a multinomial logit approach, which is shown to improve the predictive power of our EWS compared to the binomial logit model. Our results suggest that crisis events in low income countries are associated with low economic growth, drying up of banking system liquidity and widening of foreign exchange net open positions.     

The impact of revenue diversification on bank profitability and risk: evidence from MENA banking industry

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of revenue diversification on bank performance while shedding light on the impact of the shift towards non-interest income sources. To this end, we use a sample of 275 banks from fourteen MENA countries over 1990–2011. The model estimation using the GMM system reveals that diversification, when taken as a whole, improves bank profitability. We also split the non-interest income and we find that trading-generating business lines contribute the most to boosting profitability and stability. Engaging in non-interest-related activities worsens the benefit-cost trade-off of diversification, induced by the increased insolvency risk.     

发达国家促进中小企业发展的财税政策及借鉴

从发达国家的工业化进程看,财税政策对中小企业的发展起着举足轻重的作用。因此,我国应从以下几方面继续完善财税政策:鼓励中小企业的技术创新;加大财政对中小企业发展的资金融通援助力度;建立面向中小企业的政府采购制度,等等。     

The long-term role of non-traditional banking in profitability and risk profiles: Evidence from a panel of U.S. banking institutions

The goal of this empirical study is to identify empirically and on a panel basis how non-traditional bank activities affect directly the profitability and risk profiles of the financial institutions involved in such activities. Through a dataset that covers 1725 U.S. financial institutions involved in non-traditional bank activities spanning the period 2000–2013 and the methodology of panel cointegration, the empirical findings document that non-traditional bank activities exert a positive effect on both the profitability and the insolvency risk. The results could be important for regulators given they could serve as a pre-warning signal that sends a clear message to regulators about the potential systemic risk that exists within the financial markets.     

The influence of the nature of government accounting and reporting in decision-making: evidence from Switzerland

A key objective of government accounting and reporting has been to achieve accountability and its use in that respect has been well documented, however its use for decision-making has had less coverage. This article addresses the latter issue, providing evidence from Switzerland that the accounting basis used (accrual versus cash) influences decision-making. This is the result of the effect that the different approaches have on the nature of the information used for decision-making. Switzerland was among the first western democracies to adopt accrual accounting at both state (canton) and local levels of government in the 1980s. The Swiss federal government followed in 2007. The main examples of the use of accrual information in decision-making are: the focus on self-financing of investments in order to control borrowing, as well as the fiscal policy targets of debt reduction and maintenance of capital. All three require accrual basis information. Therefore accrual basis information is key in fiscal decision-making in Switzerland.     

New development: Integration of budget and governmental accounting in Mexican states

ABSTRACT

Mexico recently introduced an accounting–budgeting framework compatible with the International Public Sector Accounting Standards (IPSAS). This article discusses the implementation of this framework, including the harmonization of information for the functional, administrative and economic budget categories for all Mexican states and for Mexico City. The author analysed public accounts and budgets prepared under the framework’s information requirements, as well as assessing the harmonization of accounts between the local, state and national levels of government. The results show an increase in both the amount and the harmonization of the public expenditure information being reported. This paper contributes to the literature of harmonization between financial reporting and budgeting processes (Dabbicco, G., & Mattei, G. (2020 Dabbicco, G. , & Mattei, G. (2020). The reconciliation of budgeting with financial reporting: A comparative study of Italy and the UK. Public Money & Management , 1–11. doi: 10.1080/09540962.2019.1708059 [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The reconciliation of budgeting with financial reporting: A comparative study of Italy and the UK. Public Money & Management, 1–11).     

数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利差异效率及影响因素研究--基于DEA-Malmquist-Tobit模型

基于DEA-Malmquist-Tobit模型,对2011—2018年我国31个省份的数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利差异效率展开静态和动态分析,并进一步探究影响数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利差异效率的主要影响因素。结果表明,数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利差异效率较高,但是全要素生产率呈下降趋势,主要源于技术进步的制约;经济发展水平、产业结构、财政支出水平、互联网普及率与数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利差异效率呈显著正相关关系,对外贸易开放程度、传统金融发展水平与数字普惠金融调节城乡居民福利效率呈显著负相关关系。在此基础上,提出加强数字普惠金融技术创新、合理配置数字普惠金融资源、政府适当加大扶持力度、优化产业结构、提高互联网普及率等建议。     

Comparative issues between linear and non-linear risk measures for non-convex portfolio optimization: evidence from the S&P 500

Abstract

This article focuses on inferring critical comparative conclusions as far as the application of both linear and non-linear risk measures in non-convex portfolio optimization problems. We seek to co-assess a set of sophisticated real-world non-convex investment policy limitations, such as cardinality constraints, buy-in thresholds, transaction costs, particular normative rules, etc. within the frame of four popular portfolio selection cases: (a) the mean-variance model, (b) the mean-semi variance model, (c) the mean-MAD (mean-absolute deviation) model and (d) the mean-semi MAD model. In such circumstances, the portfolio selection process reflects to a mixed-integer bi-objective (or in general multiobjective) mathematical programme. We precisely develop all corresponding modelling procedures and then solve the underlying problem by use of a novel generalized algorithm, which was exclusively introduced to cope with the above-mentioned singularities. The validity of the attempt is verified through empirical testing on the S&P 500 universe of securities. The technical conclusions obtained not only confirm certain findings of the particular limited existing theory but also shed light on computational issues and running times. Moreover, the results derived are characterized as encouraging enough, since a sufficient number of efficient or Pareto optimal portfolios produced by the models appear to possess superior out-of-sample returns with respect to the benchmark.     

Ritual legitimation, de-coupling and the budgetary process: managing organizational hypocrisies in a multinational company

The study of participation in the budgetary cycle has formed a prominent part of the research literature concerned with the budgetary process. More recently there has emerged a body of literature concerned with exploring the political and symbolic nature of the budgetary process. The paper reports upon the outcomes of an empirical study of the introduction of `budgetary participation' in a division of a European subsidiary of a large North American car manufacturer. We detail the long process of consultation and negotiation within the subsidiary, and between it and the European Headquarters. The study provides a revealing instance of the roles of formal budget participation as a ritual of control and legitimation without the substantive involvement of middle managers and suggested to us the introduction of de-coupling and organizational hypocrisy alongside the introduction of budget participation. The study pays close attention to the contingent effects of the wider political context of the division and the relationships between the division, its organizational context and organizational environment, and how this context played upon the budgetary process in the division. The outcomes that we analyse at `Delta' reflect the de-coupling strategies and organizational hypocrisies commonly found in public sector organizations. In this wider setting the corporation persists with the ritual of `tight' budget negotiation and target setting and apparent underachievement in performance. Yet we conclude that the complex technological and political context to the formation and siting of Delta continued and may continue to support its existence.$g0