零售业:消费潜力被激发

商业零售板块整体表现出了攻守兼备的特征。行业全年仍处景气通道中,2011年业绩更趋稳定增长,政策面有望继续深化,将助于行业持续向好。     

牢牢把握经济景气趋势回升的大好时机

一季度国民经济综合景气出现了稳中向好的阶段性变化，中国经济景气监澳4中心根据改革开放以来我国经济周期波动规律预测分析，这将是经济增长趋势性回升的重要契机。     

嘉兴市工业景气动态监测预警系统研究

工业景气动态监测预警系统是采用一系列与工业高度相关的经济指标建立起来的进行工业景气监测的“晴雨表”或“报警器”。市经贸委作为负责调节近期全市 国民经济运行的市政府综合经济部门，进行嘉兴市工业景气动态监测预警系统的研究，可以正确地把握我市工业经济的波动规律，     

试论我国零售商业的电子商务支持

20世纪80年代以来，我国零售商业面临着四大挑战。在挑战面前，零售商业需要不失时机地植入电子商务。为了提高竞争力，零售商业必须依靠B to B和以网上直销业务、网络结合业务为主的B to C电子商务的支持。     

研发产业景气监测研究

以北京地区为例,对研发产业的景气监测进行了初步探讨。建立了北京地区研发产业景气监测指标体系,确定了北京地区研发产业的景气基准循环,并得出景气循环波动的峰谷日期、周期长度等基本信息。     

抓住经济景气趋势回升的契机

近年我国国民经济综合景气出现了稳中向好的阶段性变化，中国经济景气监测中心根据改革开放以来我国经济周期波动规律预测分析，这将是经济增长趋势性回升的重要契机。     

经济周期波动与行业景气变动:因果联系、传导机制与政策含义

经济总量波动与行业景气变动之间存在着一致的对应关系,行业景气的强弱波动及其共振与扩散,形成了宏观经济的复苏、繁荣、衰退与萧条。在宏观经济由繁荣到衰退周期性发生的背景下,在行业层面同样表现出相应的线索和规律,国民经济景气沿着产业链条逐次传导,形成了"行业景气轮动"现象,"先行行业"能够提前预测经济走势。通过建立"DRC(国务院发展研究中心)中国年度、月度行业景气模型",本文发现,经济发展阶段与增长动力结构决定经济周期波动的阶段性特征;我国经济增长动力的多元化决定了国民经济景气先行行业的多种类型;实体经济景气周期和通货膨胀周期都存在"行业景气轮动"现象,现实中的行业景气度由二者叠加而成。本文认为,宏观经济形势分析应该采用"从长期看短期"、"从动力看形势"、"从中观看宏观"更为全面的视野。     

大型零售商业发展的趋势

大型零售商业发展的趋势张瑞清大型零售商业是商品流通中的一支重要力量。近年来，大型零售商业在市场竞争中，呈现出以下几个发展趋势。一、零售组织的规模化、组织化、集中化零售商业在市场竞争中越来越意识到：随着消费心理个性化、消费行为多元化的出现，零售商业的最...     

移动互联网下的O2O业务及其物流模式研究

O2O这种业务模式,能够帮助传统零售商业转型,但是也给传统零售企业带来了挑战。在移动互联网的条件下,消费者能够更快地下单购买所需要的商品,但是也对企业的物流配送速度提出了新的要求。因此,O2O业务模式下的,移动互联网深刻地影响了企业物流模式的选择和结构特点,需要企业对物流框架和功能型进行强化,才能够促进传统零售商业的可持续发展。     

论90年代中国经济的“生长型”景气循环

论９０年代中国经济的“生长型”景气循环杜辉景气循环，是市场经济中经济周期运动的形象化说法，尤其是用于描述长期持续繁荣时期的尤格拉类型周期波动。８０年代以来，我国经济进入了快速成长时期，其尤格拉式周期性波动也呈现出“生长型”景气循环的特点。本世纪末前的...     

Effects of wholesaler concentration on retailers by format: evidence from Japanese brand-level price data

Using unique brand-level wholesale price data, this article examines how purchase prices of commodities for retailers are influenced by wholesale concentration. Compared with studies focusing on retail prices, little empirical work has measured the impact of wholesale concentration on wholesale prices. Economic theory suggests that the sensitivity of purchase price in response to degree of wholesale concentration is smaller for large retail formats than for small retail formats in the presence of intra-format retail competition. To test the validity of the theoretical implication, I measure the impact of the concentration on purchasing prices for retailers by format. Empirical findings support the hypothesis that the large retail format tends to draw advantageous purchase prices when wholesalers become increasingly oligopolistic.     

How transparency affects investment-linked insurance products

Investment-linked insurance products exhibit a series of advantages versus direct investments, such as accumulation of retirement funds, tax benefits, and waiver of premiums in the case of disability. However, they are perceived as more complex and difficult compared to plain investments. Consequently, there is a need for disclosures, so that retail investors - insured can make well-informed decisions. Such disclosures have so far been uncoordinated. The EU has identified the need for uniform transparency rules in the packaged retail and insurance-based investment products market. The EU made an effort to enhance protection for investors - insured via a regulation effective in 2017. Such an effort is expected to restore retail investor confidence lost in the aftermath of the crisis. In this paper we attempt to quantify the effect of the existing transparency rules in the various member states to have an indication of what to expect as soon as the new uniform rules are implemented. We use customer satisfaction and trust so as to measure the effect of transparency. We find that increased transparency positively affects both measures.     

水资源承载力视野下的城市水资源安全分析——以成都市为例

城市化进程的加快带来了城市空前的繁荣,同时也给城市水资源安全带来了前所未有的压力。本文通过构建以水资源承载力为测度方法的水资源安全保障水平的优化模型,对成都市未来年份的适度入口容量加以预测分析,并在此基础上提出了确保缺水型城市水资源安全的相应措施。     

Consumers’ perceived risk and hold and use of payment instruments

Consumer decisions regarding retail payment instruments entail private and social costs. Due to these social costs, policymakers are increasingly trying to understand the determinants of consumer payment choices as documented by the European Central Bank’s regular publications. This article contributes to this understanding by investigating the role of perceived risk. Based on an original survey of French consumers, we measure the effects of perceived risk on the decisions to hold and use the main retail payment instruments: cash, card and cheque. We point to the sequential dependence of the decisions to hold and use a payment instrument, and study jointly both decisions. The bivariate analysis based on risk factors shows that unavailability risk and time risk have the greatest transverse influence on holding and using payment instruments. Our results, robust to controlling for consumer characteristics, confirm their propensity for a quick-to-use and constantly available payment instrument. We discuss the relevance of our results for policy making purposes.     

水生态环境治理背景下的城市河湖水网规划目标与对策

水生态修复工程已逐渐成为城市水生态环境治理的主要措施,而其有效实施有赖于河湖水网系统的形成。以水生态修复原理为基础,提出水网规划的目标在于水网与城市用地的共生共荣,其节点还应该拥有各自的特色,以实现水网空间的多样化,提高水网空间的活力。规划应对水网周边用地进行功能管制,建设生态斑块间的联系廊道,打造环湖路及滨河、滨渠路等,并提出建立水环境监测机制和应急机制的建议。     

新零售商业模式场景化创新的理论框架与实现路径研究

随着场景化要素在新零售嵌入程度的逐渐深入,一方面凸显出新零售商业模式未能紧跟时代发展的事实;另一方面也为新零售商业模式的加速创新提供了条件.从商业模式的场景化视角出发,首先对现有新零售商业模式进行解构,其次将场景化要素融入解构的商业模式要素之中,使商业模式要素具有场景化功能,进而形成新零售商业模式创新的理论框架,再次以新零售商业模式的场景化价值重构为触点,以新零售商业模式的场景化创新为痛点,设计了新零售商业模式场景化创新的实现路径.最后运用多案例的研究方法对新零售商业模式的场景化创新进行实证,研究结果表明场景化是新零售商业模式创新的方向,价值主张是新零售商业模式创新的遗传物质,而场景化商业情境配置则是新零售商业模式创新的核心能力.     

FDI对中国零售市场与企业绩效的影响及对策

零售业作为国民经济的终端产业,在一国经济格局中具有十分特殊的地位。入世后我国零售业面临着外商直接投资(FDI)的冲击,因此有必要系统而又具体地研究零售业开放对我国零售市场乃至整个产业链系统的影响。本文运用产业组织和微观经济学的相关理论,结合计量分析方法,对中国零售业进行了考察,通过对比内、外资进入零售业绩效的差异,以及外资进入制造与零售两个不同行业领域绩效的差异,得出外资企业过度进入我国零售业市场,挤占内资份额和制造业利润,影响我国产业安全,降低消费者福利等结论,并在此基础上提出解决问题的对策建议。     

Global apparel production and sweatshop labour: can raising retail prices finance living wages?

This paper provides some empirical evidence on issues raisedby the global anti-sweatshop movement. We first consider therelationship between wage and employment growth, finding noconsistent trade-off between them. We then measure the shareof labour costs in the production of garments in the US andMexico. We find that the retail price increases necessary toabsorb the costs of raising wages substantially are small, wellwithin the range of price increases that polls suggest US consumersare willing to pay. We close by considering some implicationsof these results.     

共同富裕:理论思考与现实审视——基于国家级城乡统筹实验区(成都)的经验证据

"共同富裕"思想是由邓小平明确提出来的,其中,《邓小平文选》第三卷集中体现了邓小平关于共同富裕思想的论述。包括允许一部分人、一部分地区先富裕起来;先富带后富;公有制为主体和共同富裕是社会主义的根本原则等。总体来说,社会生产力的发展,是实现"共同富裕"的必要条件;社会主义公有制,是实现"共同富裕"的充分条件;市场机制和政府调控的交织,是"共同富裕"的实现机制,而城乡统筹则是客观"共同富裕"的现实支撑点。     

Home bias, distribution services and determinants of real exchange rates

This paper examines empirically how exogenous changes in the terms of trade affect the real exchange rate through the relative price of traded goods with Canada–US data. The relative price of traded goods is constructed using prices at the dock and retail prices. The first measure emphasizes the importance of home bias in consumption of traded goods. The second measure highlights the importance of distribution services required for consumption of traded goods. It is found that terms of trade shocks affect the relative price of traded goods using both measures. A possible interpretation of empirical findings is that home bias and distribution services are important for understanding the relative price of traded goods.