河南省2010年高招政策的公众满意度研究

政策的公众满意度反映政策绩效中的公平性和回应度。用价值评价和技术分析相结合的方法,通过对公众信息、公众期望、公众信任和公众质量感知四个准则层的调查可知。河南省2010年高招政策的公众满意度较高。公众对平行志愿、知分知位知线填报志愿、网上填报志愿等政策满意度较高,对各类加分和自主招生政策则评价较低,时高招改革的方向则心态...     

去年接单萎缩 今年相对乐观——韩国造船企业2009年接单分析及2010年展望

2009年接单分析 2009年．韩国造船业在新船承接方面遭到前所未有的挑战．全年承接新船及海洋工程订单刚刚超过100亿美元。这一规模不及大宇造船海洋2008年全年的接单金额．而现代三湖重工、韩进重工等世界10强造船企业全年“颗粒无收”。韩国造船企业前几年在新船承接方面力挽狂澜的气势荡然无存．     

在房价博弈中寻求双轨并行发展之路——2010年广州楼市回顾及2011年展望

2010年在国家加强宏观调控并继续实施财政货币双宽松政策之下,国内经济复苏势头趋于巩同,而与此相对,在流动性保持总体宽松,通胀持续升温令市民购房投资热情不断高涨的背景下,部分城市房价过快上涨,从而促使中央一年内三次出台重点围绕土地、信贷金融、财税、保障房及政府监管等5大方面的调控政策,其中以限贷及限购政策对市场成交量影响最为直接,造成较大冲击,但对房价上涨的遏制作用则并不明显。于是,2011年开春迎来了中央更为严厉的新国8条的出台。     

中国企业社会责任整体水平依然较低 尚需多方共同推动 社科院发布2010年《企业社会责任蓝皮书》

2010年11月3日,由中国社会科学院经济学部和社会科学文献出版社共同举办的＂2010年《企业社会责任蓝皮书》发布会＂在北京举行。这是继2009年之后,社科院第二次发布《企业社会责任蓝皮书》。     

2011年房价或将平稳运行

2010年是中国房地产市场的“调控年”,政府在4月中旬和9月底先后出台了两次调控政策,一次比一次力度大,包括提高首付款和“限购令”等,这些有史以来最为严厉的调控政策出台后对房地产市场的影响是立竿见影的,首先是交易量有了明显下滑,虽然最近几个月交易量在同比上升,     

2011农机市场：谨慎中乐观

如何看待2011年农机市场？业内充满期待。目前,唱高的声音仍是主流,甚至有观点认为在2010年调整后,超过2009年的历史记录不是没有可能。由于农机市场的长期利好,而潜伏着看不见的风险。所以调整也许不是结束了,而是刚刚开始。     

政府调控政策频频出台：房价动荡

毫无疑问，进入2005年之后房产市场是最受众人关注的一个热点。     

银行经不起房价腰斩

在房地产调控新政之下,2010年的商业银行房贷压力测试显得尤为意味深长。     

2010年经济政策走向的新特点

2010,中国年历为虎年,虎虎生威,这是中国人对吉祥生肖最美好的期盼.果然,人们还未来得及体验2009年的忆往昔峥嵘岁月稠,一个大干快上的势头便在年初的几天形成.     

乐观趋势迎开年

“新财富投资者信心指数”自2009年2月推出,至2012年底已运行47个月。将指数自创建以来走势的环比变动与同期上证综指变动对比显示,除个别月份外,祈财富投资者信心指数具有较好的预测性,对投资具有一定参考意义（附图）。     

Lagrange Multipliers as Marginal Rates of Substitution in Multi‐Constraint Optimization Problems

This paper shows that, when a function is optimized subject to several binding constraints, some of the Lagrange multipliers in the dual problems can be interpreted as marginal rates of substitution among certain arguments in the generalized indirect objective function for the primal problem. It also shows how to calculate these Lagrange multipliers from observable price–quantity data. Three particular examples are discussed: a firm that minimizes costs subject to both fixed output and rationing constraints, a household that maximizes utility subject to both income and time constraints, and portfolio choice under uncertainty treated as a multiple constraint optimization problem.     

Failure Rates for Female‐Controlled Businesses: Are They Any Different?

Previous research has found that female-owned businesses generally underperform male-owned businesses on a variety of measures such as revenue, profit, growth, and discontinuance (failure) rates. It has been suggested that this finding might be the result of systematic differences between male- and female-owned businesses, particularly industry differences. This paper analyzes data from a representative sample of 8,375 small and medium-sized Australian enterprises that originally were surveyed in 1994–95, with follow-up surveys in each of the subsequent three years for a subsample of businesses. The aim was to determine whether female-owned businesses exhibit higher failure rates than male-owned businesses and, if so, whether this finding persists after controlling for industry differences. The results suggest that while female-owned businesses do have higher failure rates compared to male-owned businesses, the difference is not significant after controlling for the effects of industry.     

Linear and Non‐Linear Granger Causality Between Short‐Term and Long‐Term Interest Rates: A Rolling Window Strategy

In this article, a rolling window strategy is used to detect the linear and non‐linear Granger causality relationships between the U.S. federal funds rate and the 10‐year government bond rate, during different time horizons, investigating whether these causalities change with the passing of time. For linear Granger causality tests, we apply the Toda and Yamamoto ( 1995 ) approach and for non‐linear ones we use a non‐linear Granger causality test introduced by Diks and Panchenko ( 2006 ). Our findings show that during nearly all time periods there is a significant two‐way Granger causality relationship between these two interest rates.     

Fair Microfinance Loan Rates

This paper uses a reduced form credit risk model to determine fair lending rates for microfinance loans. A fair lending rate is defined to be that rate which makes the loan have a net present value of zero to the lender, after the inclusion of the lender's costs of issuing and monitoring the loan.     

论适度保护关税税率

面对日益加速的经济全球化进程,各国仍然在普遍使用关税措施来保护本国产业的发展.在这方面,发展中国家需要解决的问题是设定一个适度的保护关税税率,以让国内产业既有生存和发展的空间,同时又有足够的竞争压力来提高效率.根据国内与国际平均生产成本的差异来确定保护关税的税率是一个可行的办法.进一步削减关税是我国加入WTO后需要承担的义务,应当按照适度保护关税的原则把平均关税的税率稳定在一个合理的水平上,并根据国内不同产业的发展状况,提供必要而有效的保护.     

远洋航线运价上扬 近洋航线运价下行——2009年12月21日～2010年1月20日中国出口集装箱运输市场分析

本期中国出口集装箱运输市场总体行情呈现不断升温之势．欧美等远洋航线舱位紧张．市场运价明显上扬;近洋航线运输需求平淡．市场运价震荡下行．     

An Analytical Foundation of the Classical View of Long‐Period Prices with Differential Profit Rates

The uniformity of the profit rates has been justified by the modern literature on long‐period positions on the ground of the working of free capital mobility across sectors. However, classical economists allow for profit rates differentials also in case of absence of barriers to entry, because of specific factors affecting the investment behavior of producers in industries. We develop a linear multisectoral model in which differential profit rates are determined by such ‘idiosyncratic’ factors. We provide conditions ensuring the uniformity of the profit rates in the long‐run.     

The Potential Approach to the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Rates

It is possible to specify a model for interest rates in various ways, by giving the dynamics of the spot rate or of the forward rates, for example. A less well–developed approach is to specify the law of the state–price density process directly. In abstract, the state–price density process is a positive supermartingale, and the theory of Markov processes provides a rich framework for the generation of examples of such things. We show how this can be done, and provide simple examples (some familiar, some new) where prices of derivatives can be computed very easily. One benefit of the potential approach is that it becomes very easy to model the yield curve in many countries at once, together with the exchange rates between them.