An optimum sampling design to base HT-method of estimating a finite population total

The problem of constructing a sampling design with the value of the sum of second order inclusion probabilities attaining its lower bound for non-integral values of the expected effective size of a sample in the design has been considered in this paper. If the values of the characteristic of interest on all the units in the population are non-negative the design is admissible (in the sense of variance) with respect to Horvitz-Thompson estimator in the class of designs with the same set of values of the first order inclusion probabilities of the units. Again such a design is best to use Horvitz-Thompson estimator of population total in the sense of smallest average variance of the estimator under a special superpopulatio model.     

Variance estimation for unequal probability sampling

In this paper, we discuss the optimality of the variance estimator of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator proposed by Kott (1988) in the class of model-unbiased quadratic estimators. We also propose some improved estimators over Kott's estimator in the class of general quadratic estimators. Received: February 1999     

A comparison between PPSWR and chaudhuri’s IPPS procedures

Chaudhuri (1975) suggested a simple procedure for extending any IPPS procedure involving two draws to an IPPS procedure for a general sample size, provided the size measures satisfy a certain condition. It is proved that the variance of the HTE based on Chaudhuri’s procedure is smaller than the variance of the usual unbiased estimator based on a PPSWR sample in the same number of draws, if the same is true for the procedure to start with.     

A note on Hájek’s theory of rejective sampling

Summary Supplementing results of Hájek (1960, 1964) sufficient conditions for Poisson convergence of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator in pps Rejective sampling are obtained.     

On efficiency of the ratio estimator

Summary The exact mean square error for the ratio estimator of a finite population total based on simple random sampling without replacement is shown to have an expected value less than that of the variance of the ratio estimator based on Midzuno’s scheme, under a usual super-population model.     

Model assisted survey sampling strategy in two phases

Postulating a super-population regression model connecting a size variable, a cheaply measurable variable and an expensively observable variable of interest, an asymptotically optimal double sampling strategy to estimate the survey population total of the third variable is specified. To render it practicable, unknown model-parameters in the optimal estimator are replaced by appropriate statistics. The resulting generalized regression estimator is then shown to have a model-cum-asymptotic design based expected square error equal to that of the asymptotically optimum estimator itself. An estimator for design variance of the estimator is also proposed.     

Sample Design and Allocation for Random Digit Dialling

Sample design and sample allocation methods are developed for random digit dialling in household telephone surveys. The proposed method is based on a two-way stratification of telephone numbers. A weighted probability proportional to size sample allocation technique is used, with auxiliary variables about the telephone coverage rates, within local telephone exchanges of each substrata. This makes the sampling design nearly “self-weighting” in residential numbers when the prior information is well assigned. A computer program generates random numbers for the local areas within the existing phone capacities. A simulation study has shown greater sample allocation gain by the weighted probabilities proportional to size measures over other sample allocation methods. The amount of dialling required to obtain the sample is less than for proportional allocation. A decrease is also observed on the gain in sample allocation for some methods through the increasing sample sizes.     

Sampling with probabilities proportional to the variable of interest

To estimate the mean sojourn time, a sample of Tilburg fair visitors was asked for the duration of their stay on the fair grounds. The longer a visitor's sojourn, the larger his/her probability of being interviewed will be; therefore, longer sojourn times will be overrepresented in the sample. As a consequence, the arithmetic sample mean is not a good estimator.
The paper places this problem against a theoretical background. Sampling with unequal probabilities is considered in a general context. The special case that the sampling probabilities are a function of the variable under investigation, is discussed in detail. As a better estimator the harmonic mean of the observations is presented. Most properties of this estimator are difficult to derive analytically, but a suitable variance estimator is derived. The behavior of estimator and variance estimator is studied in a number of quite different examples.     

Pseudo empirical likelihood method in the presence of missing data

In this paper, we propose an estimator for the population mean when some observations on the study and auxiliary variables are missing from the sample. The proposed estimator is valid for any unequal probability sampling design, and is based upon the pseudo empirical likelihood method. The proposed estimator is compared with other estimators in a simulation study.     

On the efficiency of systematic sampling in ratio and product estimation

Summary In this paper the possibility of gain in efficiency in systematic sampling as compared to simple random sampling has been considered when a ratio or product estimator is used to improve upon the conventional unbiased estimator. The expression for the variance of the estimators are derived for multistage design where systematic selection is used at the ultimate-stage with any probability scheme at the previous stages. In particular the results for the uni-stage systematic sampling and for two-stage sampling with systematic selection at the second-stage have been obtained in section 3.     

Estimation from two-stage unequal probability sampling with missing units

A formula is presented for an unbiased estimator for the variance of an unbiased estimator of a survey population total as well as for an unbiased estimator of its variance based on sampling in two-stages following Rao et al. J Roy Stat Soc B 24: 482–491 (1962) scheme in both stages when the originally selected units in both stages cannot be fully covered in the survey but are to be randomly sub-sampled. The development is helpful to tackle non-responses if assumed to have occurred at random in either or both the stages     

Comparison of sampling strategies

Summary Horvitz andThompson [1952] considered varying probability sampling method in general and furnished an unbiased estimator of the population total.Rao, Hartley andCochran [1962] proposed a simple procedure of unequal probability sampling with replacement. It leads to an estimator of the population total having smaller variance than is obtained by sampling with replacement. An attempt has been made in the present paper to compare efficiencies ofHorvitz-Thompson's estimator with that due toRao, hartley andCochran. It is demonstrated that the generalized ps sampling strategy consisting of the design with _i , the probability of inclusion of thei-th population unit in the sample proportional to the modified size together withHorvitz-Thompson's estimator is superior toRao, Hartley andCochran's sampling strategy under a general super-population model.     

Random non-response in multi-character surveys

In the present investigation, we have made first shot to propose an alternative estimator of population total, in the presence of random non-response, for multi-characteristics by using probability proportional to size and without replacement (PPSWOR) sampling when the selection probabilities are poorly correlated with the study variables. The mean square error (MSE) expressions are derived for the proposed estimator. The behavior of the proposed estimator has been examined under super population model. An empirical study has also been carried out to look into the performance of the proposed estimator. The proposed estimator has been applied to real data set.     

A non-negativity criterion for a certain variance-estimator

Summary A well-known strategy for the estimation of a finitepopulation-total is to use the ratioestimator based on the Midzuno-Sen scheme of sampling. Unbiased estimators of the variance of this estimator are not always non-negative though they are required to be so from practical considerations. One such estimator is shown to be non-negative for all variate-values under an easily verifiable condition on the parameters of the sampling strategy.     

Mixed random systematic sampling designs

In this paper, an alternative sampling procedure that is a mixture of simple random sampling and systematic sampling is proposed. It results in uniform inclusion probabilities for all individual units and positive inclusion probabilities for all pairs of units. As a result, the proposed sampling procedure enables us to estimate the population mean unbiasedly using the ordinary sample mean, and to provide an unbiased estimator of its sampling variance. It is also found that the suggested sampling procedure performs well especially when the size of simple random sample is small. Received August 2001     

Calibration Estimation in Survey Sampling

Calibration estimation, where the sampling weights are adjusted to make certain estimators match known population totals, is commonly used in survey sampling. The generalized regression estimator is an example of a calibration estimator. Given the functional form of the calibration adjustment term, we establish the asymptotic equivalence between the functional-form calibration estimator and an instrumental variable calibration estimator where the instrumental variable is directly determined from the functional form in the calibration equation. Variance estimation based on linearization is discussed and applied to some recently proposed calibration estimators. The results are extended to the estimator that is a solution to the calibrated estimating equation. Results from a limited simulation study are presented.     

Model‐Assisted Estimation of a Spatial Population Mean

This paper deals with the estimation of the mean of a spatial population. Under a design‐based approach to inference, an estimator assisted by a penalized spline regression model is proposed and studied. Proof that the estimator is design‐consistent and has a normal limiting distribution is provided. A simulation study is carried out to investigate the performance of the new estimator and its variance estimator, in terms of relative bias, efficiency, and confidence interval coverage rate. The results show that gains in efficiency over standard estimators in classical sampling theory may be impressive.     

An IPPS (inclusion probability proportional to size) sampling scheme

Abstract  In this paper a sampling scheme for selecting a sample of size two is formulated where the inclusion probability of a population unit is proportional to its size.     

Residual‐based IV estimation of dynamic panel data models with fixed effects

In dynamic panel regression, when the variance ratio of individual effects to disturbance is large, the system‐GMM estimator will have large asymptotic variance and poor finite sample performance. To deal with this variance ratio problem, we propose a residual‐based instrumental variables (RIV) estimator, which uses the residual from regressing Δy_i,t?1 on as the instrument for the level equation. The RIV estimator proposed is consistent and asymptotically normal under general assumptions. More importantly, its asymptotic variance is almost unaffected by the variance ratio of individual effects to disturbance. Monte Carlo simulations show that the RIV estimator has better finite sample performance compared to alternative estimators. The RIV estimator generates less finite sample bias than difference‐GMM, system‐GMM, collapsing‐GMM and Level‐IV estimators in most cases. Under RIV estimation, the variance ratio problem is well controlled, and the empirical distribution of its t‐statistic is similar to the standard normal distribution for moderate sample sizes.     

SOME SMALL–SAMPLE NON–PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS RESULIS FOR THE KAPLAN–MEIER ESTIMATOR

CHEN, HOLLANDER and LANGBERG (1982) presented exact small–sample results for the KAPLAN–MEIER (1958) estimator under the proportional hazards model. We present simulation results for the same estimator for small samples in a number of cases where the hazard rates are not proportional. These suggest that the proportional hazards results, especially with regard to the Mean Square Error, are typical for a fairly large variety of "non–proportionalities" that may be encountered in practice. Thus the MSE of the KAPLAN–MEIER estimator appears to be rather robust against deviations from proportionality of the survival and censoring hazard rates. We illustrate the practical importance of this property by two examples.