房贷风险高悬

2004年底不断出炉的房贷黑名单反映了个人住房不良贷款节节攀升的趋势，而背后，是房地产价格的急速上升和风险的不断积累。在商业银行业务竞争白热化的今天，之所以产生如此局面，主要是一些商业银行为了抢占更多的市场份额，恶意竞争所造成的。如果继续任其自由发展，势必后患无穷。因此对商业银行而言，如何有效地规避房贷风险已经到了刻不容缓的地步。     

正视房贷风险

在中国,居民购买住房的主要手段是从银行获得个人住房贷款,如何规避个人住房贷款这个新兴的,高速发展的市场所带来的风险,从中获得最大利益,不可避免地摆在了个人住房贷款的经营者——银行的面前。     

房贷分餐制

同样是分羹房贷市场,信托产品因运作模式不同,风险显然比小型银行低。     

优选房贷也是理财

随着房贷市场的不断发展，商业银行越来越注重房贷产品的开发。市场上新的房贷产品如雨后春笋般层出不穷。这让很多人在选择时难以决断。究竟应该如何挑选适合自己的房贷产品呢？[编者按]     

个人房贷在变局中创新——商业银行角力房贷创新

2006年，我国房地产业走势尚未明朗，个人房贷市场却已成为商业银行大打创新牌的“角力场”：先是光大银行、建设银行等扎堆上市固定利率房贷产品；继而深圳发展银行力推个人按揭“双间供”业务，再掀市场波澜。[编者按]     

高技术产品创新活动中的风险因素

高技术产品创新活动中的风险因素甄红伦高技术产品创新活动伴随着较大的风险，是由高技术成果转化为现实生产力的活动过程和特点决定的。高技术产品创新，一般要经过基础研究——应用研究——试验发展——设计试制——中试——工业适应性试验——批量生产——市场营销等环...     

新开业银行房贷营销工作新思路

2003年沈阳市个人住房贷款计划新增41亿元人民币（其中公积金住房贷款11亿元)，年末余额将达到182亿元。这表明各家银行正在或已经做了资产结构调整，将个人住房贷款资产业务作为一项战略性工作来抓。那么，房贷市场的竞争将更加激烈。对于新开业银行来讲，如何将房贷业务做大、做强，并防范信贷风险，就成为一个严峻的课题。下面，就近期新开业银行房贷营销工作谈几点看法。     

后金融危机时代下我国商业银行的房贷风险浅议

美国的次贷危机波及全球,对我国的金融市场也造成了一定的冲击,进一步加大了中国商业银行住房信贷业务的风险.本文意在通过借鉴美国次贷危机的启示,对商业银行的房屋贷款的风险因素分析,进而寻找有效的防范措施,推动其更好地发展.     

房贷入市蕴含大风险

由于银行的低利率政策,使得这几年房地产价格快速飚升,也使得国内股市的价格步其后尘,如果政府职能部门不严格禁止银行信贷资金进入股市,后果不堪设想[编者按]     

Chinese housing market and bank credit

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the determinants of housing prices using the province-level panel data that covers all the regions in China for the period 1999–2015. The bank credit is the primary determinant of housing prices. Remarkably, a one-percentage-point increase in the growth of bank credit leads to a subsequent appreciation in the growth of the housing price by 0.281 %. The sensitivity of bank credit varies across subcategories of buildings, and between the province-level analysis and the city-level analysis.     

Short-term loans and Firms' high-quality innovation: Evidence from the access to patent-backed loans in China

When obtaining short-term loans, an innovative firm tends to expand its production scale, thereby reallocating its R&D-related resources away from innovation. By exploiting the unique situation in China that patenting firms for the first time obtained short-term patent-backed loans (PBLs), we find that the PBL access negatively influences firms' propensities of producing high-quality innovation. Consistent with the R&D resource reallocation hypothesis, we find that this negative effect exists only among firms initially having invention patents; it is more pronounced when the PBL covers a larger portion of firm investment and when these firms expand more aggressively. We confirm the scale expansion effect by finding that the PBL access positively influences firms' subsequent size.     

Influence of real estate prices on domestic bank loans in Southeast Asia

This study examines whether and how fluctuations in real estate prices affected bank lending in Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand before and after the 1997–98 Asian financial crisis. Since the crisis, it has been claimed that the rise and fall in the price of real estate, which is used as collateral, affected bank lending and the macroeconomy in these Southeast Asian countries. The study implements a dynamic model of bank lending and employs a test using the panel data of domestic bank balance sheets in order to estimate the influence of real estate prices on new bank lending in the three countries. The study also examines the conditions surrounding the role of real estate as collateral for bank loans in the countries. The regression results suggest that fluctuations in real estate prices can influence domestic bank lending and did so, especially after the crisis in Singapore and Thailand, and that domestic bank lending behaviour in these countries changed after the crisis.     

Transparency in the interbank market and the volume of bank intermediated loans

In the present paper we study the equilibrium interaction through which the interbank market is related to the public lending and borrowing market. It turns out that this interaction is affected by the transparency in the interbank market. Interbank market transparency is modeled by means of more informative signals about future interbank rates. We find that more transparency might increase or decrease the volume of bank intermediated loans in the public market. In particular, the impact of more transparency on the volume of loans depends on the curvature of the marginal cost function of the banking firm. Furthermore, we find that expected profits of the bank are higher when the interbank market is more transparent.     

我国商业银行不良贷款现状及治理对策

目前我国银行业存在着巨大不良贷款,不良贷款的处理,关系到我国银行业改革和我国的金融安全,本文对我国商业银行不良贷款的现状及其成因进行了分析,提出了减少不良贷款的对策。     

商业性个人住房抵押贷款的银行债权保护

1992年,中国建设银行首次发放了个人住房抵押贷款。从此,商业银行为自己找到了一个优良的贷款方向。但是个人住房抵押贷款期限一般都比较长,这就致使风险的暴露需要一个缓慢的过程。因此,个人住房抵押贷款的风险问题已经成为金融机构关注的焦点,同时也成为理论界研究和讨论的热点问题之一。基于以上背景,在对个人住房抵押贷款市场中的各种风险进行透彻分析和对我国的具体国情进行详细考究的基础上,本文有针对性地提出了一些银行债权保护的具体方法。     

我国银行监管体制创新分析

上世纪80年代以来，世界金融市场的不稳定性日渐突出，地区性的金融危机时有爆发，对各国的经济金融稳定造成巨大冲击。而银行作为金融市场的基础，其脆弱性在危机中暴露无遗，业已成为传递甚或放大金融风险的“罪魁祸首”。因此，目前各国都已放缓了金融自由化的步伐，重新达成了强化银行监管，以维护整个金融体系安全与稳定的共识。就我国而言，自1984年人民银行开始执行监管职能以来，伴随着监管法规的不断完善，     

Information contents of collateral under heterogeneous borrower qualities on the bank loans market in China

We analyze the risk of default and provision of collateral for bank loans made to firms of varied credit qualities using a unique dataset obtained from a major state-owned commercial bank in China. Both high and low quality borrowers provide collateral more often than medium quality debtors do. Using models that explicitly incorporate heterogeneous borrower qualities, we find a positive relation between collateralization and risk of default for loans issued to debtors with low credit ratings. In contrast, collateral provided by debtors with high credit ratings is negatively associated with the risk of default. These results suggest that low quality borrowers may be required to provide collateral at the bank's request to mitigate moral hazard problem. On the other hand, high quality borrowers may provide collateral willingly to signal quality in order to mitigate adverse selection problem when competing for getting access to bank loans. Our findings shed new lights on different information contents of collateral on the bank loans market of China, and have important implications for banks in screening, contracting and monitoring the risk of commercial loans for clients with diverse credit qualities.     

Financial innovation and European housing and mortgage markets

In this paper we assess the recent history of house prices andof mortgage lending across Europe. We develop a simple economicframework to estimate the likely contributions of fundamentalfactors, such as changes in real incomes and population growth,to house price appreciation. We also try to quantify how muchof price rises might have been driven by rising expectationsof future capital gains. We estimate that this might have playeda significant role in several countries, including Spain, Sweden,Belgium, and the UK. We then consider what different types ofmortgage arrangement might become attractive in a world of higherhouse prices, analysing types of indexed mortgage that haveadvantages where prices are higher relative to incomes and wherehouse prices may be volatile and cannot be assumed to carryon rising.     

我国商业银行中间业务创新的再思考

商业银行的中间业务越来越成为业界所关注的重点。本文在分析我国商业银行中间业务发展现状的基础上,对我国商业银行中间业务发展所存在的问题进行剖析,并结合实际提出了相应的对策与建议。