期货投资基金与期货市场投资主体结构的完善

期货投资基金是国外期货市场主要的投资方式,发展我国的期货投资基金可以使我国期货市场从目前以散户为主的投资者结构向以机构投资者为主的投资结构转变,促进我国期货、证券市场的健康发展。在现阶段,我国应借鉴国外期货投资基金发展的历史经验,逐步建立起符合我国国情的,运作规范的期货投资基金。     

期货投资基金与期货市场投资主体结构的完善

期货投资基金是国外期货市场主要的投资方式,发展我国的期货投资基金可以使我国期货市场从目前以散户为主的投资者结构向以机构投资者为主的投资结构转变,促进我国期货、证券市场的健康发展.在现阶段,我国应借鉴国外期货投资基金发展的历史经验,逐步建立起符合我国国情的,运作规范的期货投资基金.     

期货投资基金与期货市场投资主体结构的完善

期货投资基金是国外期货市场主要的投资方式，发展我国的期货投资基金可以使我国期货市场从目前以散户为主的投资者结构向以机构投资者为主的投资结构转变，促进我国期货、证券市场的健康发展。在现阶段。我国应借鉴国外期货投资基金发展的历史经验，逐步建立起符合我国国情的，运作规范的期货投资基金。     

期货投资基金与我国期货市场发展

期货投资基金 (FuturesFund)是一种专家理财的期货投资方式。它不但可使投资者享受到专业化管理和规模经营的好处 ,而且可以有效防止期市风险波及到社会 ,有利于期市稳定和社会安定。随着我国期货市场的发展 ,我国已实现了发展期货投资基金所需的市场容量条件、规范性条件和人才准备。后发优势、民间资金充足和投资者入市动机为现阶段发展我国期货投资基金创造了一个良好的有利条件。发展我国期货投资基金对我国证券与期货市场的发展与完善有着突出的现实意义     

我国发展期货投资基金必要性与可行性研究

自1949年首个期货投资基金在美国设立以来,期货投资基金成长为期货市场的主流投资者并对期货市场的发展起了重大的作用。在我国推出股指期货后,讨论在我国发展期货投资基金具有重大的现实意义。从期货投资基金的一般规律和基础理论出发,采取理论与实际结合文字阐述和数据对比,联系美国期货市场和期货投资基金,研究了在我国发展期货投资基金的必要性和可行性。     

我国商品期货市场国际地位研究

在经历长期整顿后,我国期货市场取得了显著的成就,但是我国期货市场的国际地位却不高。从国际期货市场与我国相关期货市场的关系来看,国外期货市场对我国期货市场有较强的引导作用,而我国期货市场对国际期货市场的影响并不显著。要提高我国商品期货市场国际地位,必须排除期货市场发展的认知障碍,高度重视期货市场和定价中心建设;完善我国期货交易所品种上市机制以及扩大交易品种范围;提高期货市场的流动性,促进市场投资者结构合理化;促进我国期货经营机构发展以及加快培养国际化期货专业人才;尽快出台《期货法》,进一步完善我国期货市场法律和法规体系。     

我国期货市场高成交量隐含的问题与对策

本文通过对我国境内期货品种与境外相同期货品种的成交量和持仓量数据进行比较研究发现,我国期货市场在持仓量远低于境外市场的情况下,成交量远大于境外市场,这样的高成交量背后隐含着四方面问题:带来了系统风险,造成了保证金流失,削弱了价格发现功能和增加了运行成本.文章分析了造成我国期货市场高成交量的原因,提出了实行差别化、阶梯化的保证金制度和手续费制度,提高期货合约交易单位,超常规发展期货市场机构投资者,健全期货经纪人考核与激励机制,加大期货市场投资者教育力度以及加快期货市场对外开放步伐等对策建议.     

对我国开展股指期货的探讨

股指期货是一种金融创新产品,它具有价格发现、套期保值和增加市场流通性等功能,是目前资本体系中重要组成部分。在金融市场竞争日益激烈和逐步开放资本市场的时刻,我国有必要推出股指期货,这是广大投资者回避风险、利用期货市场套期保值的需要。它可充分发挥股市作用,促进股票市场健康发展,有利于吸收更多闲散资金进入证券市场和完善市场机制与功能,促进我国股市国际化,国家应在开展股指期货上给予政策支持。     

我国农产品期货市场发展现状与趋势展望

本文认为,我国农产品期货市场在未来发展中,应从以下四个方面积极努力:第一,完善品种上市机制,增加期货品种,满足实体经济发展要求;第二,完善投资者结构,稳步发展机构投资者,大力推动现货企业进入期货市场管理风险;第三,紧密跟踪现货市场变化,进一步完善规则制度,提升市场运行效率;第四,深入开展投资者教育,进一步提高社会各界特别是企业对期货市场的认识和利用水平.     

刍议中国基金业规范化发展的自律模式

中国资本市场成熟化的一项战略性措施就是积极发展机构投资者。大力发展证券投资基金是我国发展机构投资者的重要部分 ,而其中自律监管对于证券监管体系的完善极为重要。自律监管模式是一种针对我国现有基金业监管不足的新的制度规范思路     

利用农产品期货市场完善粮食流通体系

本文认为,期货市场所特有的价格发现和套期保值功能为有效解决粮食流通体制改革中存在的问题提供了解决途径。目前,我国期货市场正由分散建设逐步趋向于集中规范,其功能和作用日益增强,但期货市场本身还存在着市场规模过小、交易品种过少、流动性不足、对进入主体和资金限制过多导致套期保值者过少及因限制外国资本进入而使国际期货市场与国内期货市场内在联系被割断等缺点。为充分发挥农产品期货市场对粮食流通体制改革的促进作用,必须在认识农产品期货市场不足的同时,积极采取应对措施,创造宽松的政策环境,放开市场准入限制,培育机构投资者,优化期货市场的主体结构,逐步推进我国期货市场的对外开放,提高期货市场的国际化水平。     

黑龙江省设立农产品期货交割库可行性研究

黑龙江省既是产粮大省,又是国家战略粮仓,在黑龙江省设立农产品期货交割库,势必会引发本省企业参与期货市场的热情,可以引导粮食企业更好地利用期货市场价格发现和规避风险的机制,扩大期货交割规模,活跃现有期货市场;可以引导农民科学备耕生产、均衡卖粮并促进均衡运输,延缓价格波动,稳定产业发展和拉动农民增收。这对于黑龙江省完善粮食流通体系,搞活粮食流通,以及进一步解决好三农问题将打开新思路。     

我国设立开放式基金对证券二级市场的影响分析

2001年是我国证券市场改革的关键一年,因为在加入WTO以后,国外资金将大量涌入我国的证券市场,这必将对我国幼稚的证券市场产生巨大的冲击。鉴于我国目前的投资者近90％都是个人投资者,证券市场监管部门在2000年就多次明确提出要积极培育机构投资者,并将超常规培育机构投资者列入议事日程,基金（开放式投资基金）是我国目前主要的机构投资者。然而,开放式基金的面市必将对二级市场产生重大的影响,这种影响关键在于开放式基金参与各方行为的理性程度,即基金管理人专家理财的理性投资策略、市场上投资者的投资与投机行为、监管部门的监管。     

Investor behavior and volatility of futures market: A theory and empirical study based on the OLG model

Investor trading behaviors are always an important issue in behavioral finance and market supervision. This study examines the relationship between investor behavior and future market volatility. We first introduce a two-period OLG model into the futures market, and develop an investor behavior model based on future contract price. We then extend the model to two scenarios: complete and incomplete information. We provide the equilibrium solution, and develop two hypotheses, which are tested with cuprum tick data in Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). Empirical results show that the two-period OLG model for future market is consistent with the market situation in China. More specifically, investors with sufficient information such as institutional investors usually adopt the contrarian trading strategy, whereas investors with insufficient information, e.g., individual investors, usually adopt the momentum trading strategy. These findings reveal that investor behaviors in the Chinese futures market are different from those of in the Chinese stock market.     

Institutional trading in IPOs and post-IPOs: Value-based vs speculative

Using a unique dataset from Shanghai Stock Exchange, we study institutional trading behaviors in IPOs and post-IPOs. From the perspective of value-based or speculation, we find that, (1) institutional investors are flippers on the first day of IPOs, (2) trading by institutional investors and the active institutional investors (mutual funds or brokerage) is value-based, and (3) the net buys of institutional investors can predict the long term performance of IPO-firms and shows a negative relation with a bubble in future. Since individual investors are the opponent of institutional investors, our results mean that individuals are speculators in the market. Our study suggest that institutional investors are the sophisticated ones in the market and they can process information more efficiently, whose value-based trading can enhance market price discovery and is good for market stabilization.     

从国际期货定价机制变化看我国期货市场风险管理

在国际金融危机持续的背景下,以石油、黄金为代表的商品价格出现了剧烈震荡,国际期货市场定价机制的变化及期货交易规则的高杠杆效应也使得市场风险被明显放大。面对世界复杂的经济环境及国内通胀压力,如何增强我国期货市场抗风险能力,保护投资者正当利益成为社会各界普遍关心的问题。     

Estimating the connectedness of commodity futures using a network approach

Using a network approach of variance decompositions, we measure the connectedness of 18 commodity futures and characterize both static and dynamic connectedness. Our results show that metal futures are net transmitters of shocks to other futures, and agricultural futures are vulnerable to shocks from the others. Furthermore, almost two-thirds of the volatility uncertainty for commodity futures are due to the connectedness of shocks across the futures market. Dynamically, we find connectedness always increases in times of turmoil. An analysis of connectedness networks suggests that investors could be forewarned that the connectedness of various classes of futures could threaten their portfolios.     

A revisit to the hedge and safe haven properties of gold: New evidence from China

We examine the role of gold as a hedge and safe haven from the perspective of Chinese investors. Using the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE)-Gold futures prices and the CSI 300 index from 2008 to 2017, we find that gold is not a hedge against the Chinese stock market on average. However, gold acts as a safe haven when market returns are below their 1%, 5%, and 10% quantiles and during the two crash periods. Our findings apply to most of the industry sectors as well. We also show that the role of gold can change drastically due to some market policy reforms.     

The price impact of futures trades and their intraday seasonality

This study examines the price impact of futures trades and their intraday seasonality by analyzing the continuous trading session dataset of KOSPI 200 futures, including the opening and closing periods. For this purpose, the study analyzes the futures dataset that contains information on transaction times, trade directions, order sizes, and the types of investors initiating the transactions. The results suggest several novel findings. First, a substantial portion of the price impact of futures trades is persistent, indicating the presence of informed trading in the futures market. Second, informed trading is concentrated in the opening period and liquidity trading is concentrated in the closing period of the continuous trading session. Third, small trades usually have a greater price impact than large ones, supporting the existence of stealth trading by futures traders. Fourth, trades by institutional investors have a greater price impact than those by individuals, suggesting that institutional investors are better informed and/or more sophisticated than individual investors in the futures market.     

中国小麦期货市场效率的协整检验

本文采用扩展恩格尔-格朗杰检验对中国小麦期货市场效率进行研究,结果显示:未来现货价格与距最后交易日前第7、14、28天期货价格协整,并且距最后交易日越近,期货价格越接近对未来现货价格的无偏估计,期货市场接近有效率市场;未来现货价格与距最后交易日前第56天的期货价格不协整,因此可推断距最后交易日超过56天的期货市场没有效率。