Financial and economic characteristics and trends of interstate labor migration

International labor migration and its financial and economic consequences in the form of labor migrants?? international cash transfers are reviewed in the paper. The trends in labor migration from CIS countries to Russia are revealed.     

Labor migration and problems of innovative development

The negative effects of the current process of labor migration in Russia are analyzed in this article. It is proposed to limit the migration of low-skilled labor by means of setting quotas and to make the number of labor migrants contingent upon the direct investment in high technology from countries that export labor.     

The potential trade effects of an FTA between the EU and Russia

The Potential Trade Effects of an FTA between the EU and Russia.- This paper analyzes some of the potential economic effects of free trade agreements between the EU and Russia and the other European CIS countries using standard indicators of trade patterns. It confirms that it would not be feasible for the EU to conclude such an agreement with Russia alone. It is also shown that, if the current high tariff levels are maintained in the CIS countries, they may not benefit from an agreement with the EU. More generally, the authors question the economic motivation for countries such as Russia in seeking free trade agreements with industrial countries which already have low levels of external protection.     

Energy cooperation between Russia and Northeast Asian countries: Prerequisities,directions and problems

The paper deals with prerequisites, conditions, problems and directions of energy cooperation between Russia and Northeast Asian (NEA) countries. It describes a transition period of the Russian economy, shows the significance of the Eastern energy policy of Russia, and the role the fuel and energy potential of the Eastern regions of Russia can play in its implementation. Prediction of the economy and energy development in the eastern regions of Russia is given in terms of export of Russian energy resources to Japan, China, Korea and other NEA countries. A comprehensive strategy of energy cooperation for NEA countries is shown and elaborated.     

西方经验背景下的俄罗斯报废汽车回收利用

俄罗斯是以汽车作为主要交通工具的国家之一。但长期以来,俄罗斯的老旧汽车回收始终处于粗放的自发状态。造成了环境污染和资源浪费。借鉴学习他国经验,建立自己的报废汽车回收利用体系,成为俄罗斯政府和社会的迫切任务。近年来,俄罗斯在这一领域取得了显著进展。     

Forecast of qualitative and quantitative characteristics of external labor migration in Russia using foresight

This paper provides a long-term forecast of the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of the external labor migration in Russia up to 2050. The author appeals to the unique experience of the United Kingdom in migration forecasting using foresight. The author has proposed a mini-foresight methodology, which made it possible to identify global trends that affect migration policy in the future, and has systematized peer reviews of the future migration background in Russia up to 2050.     

Interregional migration and socioeconomic differentiation of space in present-day Russia

An analysis of the scale and directions of interregional migration in Russia and its relation to most important economic indicators describing the standard of living and quality of life in regions. The feasibility of using migration indices as indicators of the level of social and economic development of constituent entities of the Russian Federation is discussed.     

Investments in fixed assets and human capital: Two interconnected drivers of socioeconomic growth

This paper highlights the great importance of increasing the share of the knowledge economy in the GDP, which is currently 13% in Russia, compared to 30% in Western Europe and the United States. The accelerated growth in the fixed asset and investment in the knowledge economy at levels of 20–25% and 20%, respectively, by 2020 have been justified. Attention is drawn to the inadequately low, declining level of investment in healthcare in Russia, the GDP share of which is twice as low as in 25 developed countries and 1.5 times lower than in 30 developing countries, which is reflected in the increased mortality rate. The WHO data on the average life expectancy of men has been analyzed; it amounts to only 58.7 years, which is below the age of retirement in Russia. In developed countries, the average life expectancy of men is 13–14 years higher. It has been concluded that, in order to tackle the long-term challenges in human capital, it is necessary to boost labor productivity and increase wages by reducing the groundless differentiation of the population’s income to the level of Western European countries.     

石油冲击对“金砖国家”经济增长和通胀的影响

本文从外生性、长期乘子和短期动态乘子研究石油冲击对"金砖国家"经济增长和通货膨胀的影响。文章引入了Bootstrap方法对短期动态乘子进行了统计推断,结果表明:石油价格对"金砖国家"经济具有外生性;长期而言,油价会显著拉动巴西和俄罗斯的经济增长,还会显著推高俄罗斯的通货膨胀;短期而言,油价会显著刺激巴西、俄罗斯和南非的经济增长,还会显著推高俄罗斯、印度和中国的通货膨胀。本文认为,石油冲击不是导致世界经济衰退的主要原因,但它可能是形成全世界范围内通货膨胀不可忽略的重要因素。     

俄白哈关税同盟对中国能源战略和地缘政治的影响

俄白哈关税同盟的形成不仅对三国经济乃至政治和军事产生重要影响,也将对上海合作组织框架内的区域经济合作以及中国与中亚俄罗斯国家的经贸关系产生重要影响。本文在阐述俄白哈关税同盟成立的深层背景和意义的基础上,深入分析了关税同盟对中国与俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦能源合作的影响,以及对中国在中亚国家以及上海合作组织中地位的影响。     

中国对俄罗斯及中亚国家直接投资的贸易效应研究——基于面板数据的实证分析

本文在分析中国对俄罗斯及中亚国家直接投资和进出口贸易发展的基础上,以俄罗斯和中亚五国为研究样本,利用2003年-2012年的面板数据分析了中国对俄罗斯及中亚国家直接投资与进出口贸易的关系。研究结果表明：中国对饿罗斯及中亚国家的直接投资均具有明显的出口促进效应,除塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦外也都具有进口促进效应;中国对饿罗斯及中亚国家直接投资的贸易效应存在较为明显的国别差异。造成这些差异的原因可能与俄罗斯及中亚国家在要素禀赋、中国对其投资行业结构、投资方式以及东道国自身投资自由度等方面的差异有关。     

The social-demographic situation and labor migration: the Far Eastern vector

This paper examines the demographic and migration components in the development of the population potential in the Far East of Russia, as well as issues of the social development and their effect on the comfort of living in the region. The labor migration and use of foreign labor in the region are examined.     

从比较优势看中、俄贸易的前景

自1999年以来,中、俄双边贸易呈快速增长的态势,并连续10年以近年均30%的增幅持续发展。2009年中国已成为俄罗斯的第三大贸易伙伴,俄国也成为中国的第八大贸易伙伴。因此研究中俄贸易对于双边经贸关系的发展具有重要的意义。本文在中俄贸易现状的基础上分析了两国贸易中各自的比较优势,进而结合贸易结合度指数,对中俄双边贸易的前景进行了展望。     

中国—俄罗斯FTA的贸易、关税及福利效应——基于WITS-SMART的模拟分析

当前,中国与俄罗斯亟需通过FTA夯实双方战略伙伴关系的经贸基础。文章利用WITS-SMART模型估算了中俄FTA的贸易、关税以及福利效应,结果显示:随着FTA框架下关税不断削减,中俄两国大多数产品部门都将从贸易规模扩张中受益,尽管两国的关税收入会出现下降,但是整体的经济福利都将获得提升。如果两国能够尽快实现零关税,那么两国之间的贸易往来会获得快速增长。因此,中俄两国需要从战略层面把握中俄FTA建设的重要意义,尽快推动中俄FTA谈判与建设。     

俄罗斯与东北亚地区能源合作的现状与前景

在东北亚区域内,俄罗斯巨大的油气产能与中国、日本和韩国巨大的油气消费构成了很强的互补性。加强俄罗斯与东北亚地区能源净进口国的双边合作符合各方的长远利益。当前,俄罗斯和东北亚国家的双边能源关系正在稳步发展。虽然合作当中不无挑战,但目前,东北亚区域内已客观形成了供需市场链,区域内的能源合作潜力巨大、前景广阔。     

Circulatory disease supermortality in the Russian federation in comparison with advanced countries

The dynamics of mortality in Russia between 1990 and 2002 is analyzed in comparison with developed countries. The notion of supermortality is introduced, and its main component is identified—circulatory diseases, which reduce 1 longevity, increase death rate and decrease the average death age in Russia.     

Migration intentions of contemporary generations in Russia: A new wave

This paper studies the explanatory models of the modern population mobility and migration in Russia as an integral part of the societal trends. The intensity, structure, and vectors of migration f lows have changed due to the large-scale shifts in a society, political instability, exacerbation of ethnic conf licts, and establishment of independent states. Our study focuses on two important streams driving a high migration potential in present, i.e., the population outf low abroad and outf low of rural population to cities.     

The competitiveness of agricultural commodities systems: Their potential and growth factors

Strengths and weaknesses as well as potential and threats to the development of agricultural commodities systems in Russia and other CIS countries under the world economy globalization and regional integration are considered. The influence of certain factors on the efficiency and competitiveness of agrarian production is studied.     

Analysis of dynamics of public and private expenditures on health care and education in contemporary Russia

This paper provides an estimate of the dynamics in expenditures on health care and education made from all sources in Russia in the 1995–2012 and viewed as investments in human capital. These data from Russia are compared with those from other countries. The problems of efficiency in the functioning of these systems and different affordability of these services are considered.     

加强中俄经济合作的路径分析

中国的复兴之路不仅需要中国不断提升自身的发展水平,也需要同周边国家建立良好的政治、经济、文化等方面的友好合作关系.中国与俄罗斯作为彼此重要的战略合作伙伴,在经济方面的来往十分密切.从中俄两国经济合作不断向深度和广度拓展的视角下,考虑科技、投资、贸易协调、教育、文化等因素,分析中俄经济合作新路径.主要包括:经济贸易结构调整,促进两国经济稳定持续发展;提倡科技互助,提升两国可持续发展能力;扩大投资规模,增强两国经济依存度;开展教育合作,共同培养高素质人才;强化民间文化交流,提高两国文化认同感.