影响业务流程重组个人接受的技术和方法研究

本文的研究目的主要是在解释个人接受BPR的原因的基础上,研究BPR实施技术和方法对个人接受行为的影响,并寻求有效地提高个人接受程度的技术与方法。本文构建BPR实施方法与BPR个人接受影响因素相关关系的概念模型,利用描述性统计方法,从实证研究的角度验证了BPR实施方法与BPR个人接受影响因素的相关关系模型。     

某大型流通企业的物流业务流程重组

分析了业务流程优化原理及方法,特别是常用BPR重组流程的方法,并在此基础上应用在某大型流通企业物流业务流程重组过程中,物流业务流程优化是提高企业管理水平,增强企业竞争力的有力手段,BPR优化方法在其中起到关键作用。     

Industry variations in the broadband business nexus

Although broadband Internet infrastructure is acknowledged as a key ingredient to competitiveness, an unfortunate aspect of current work is the dominant focus on households. Given the need for more research on the multidimensional relationship between broadband and businesses, or the broadband-business nexus, this study estimates econometric models to evaluate the impact of early broadband availability on future levels of business activity. Model results suggest regions with an early advantage in broadband provision had more business growth than other regions. Model results also highlight long-lasting spatial effects on business activity stemming from broadband spillovers from core hubs to neighboring areas.     

New highways as economic development tools: An evaluation using quasi-experimental matching methods

Stimulating economic growth and development in rural and economically lagging regions is the goal of several federal and state highway programs. This paper examines the effectiveness of highway investment as an economic development tool. A quasi-experimental matching method is used to examine the effects of interstate highways on counties which obtained links during the period 1963–1975 or are in close proximity to these newly linked counties. The results show that the beneficiaries of the interstate links in terms of economic growth are interstate counties in close proximity to large cities or having some degree of prior urbanization, such as a city with more than 25,000 residents. Rural interstate and off-interstate counties exhibit few positive effects.     

越秀地产商业模式创新驱动因素及实施路径

整合优化企业价值链与创新商业模式是房地产企业加快转型,寻找适合自身的生存和发展模式的必然选择。立足越秀地产的商业模式创新,从战略、行业、价值链和政策角度思考驱动越秀地产商业模式创新的驱动因素;探析其独特的地产开发与资本运作双剑合璧的实施路径,为我国房地产企业商业模式的创新和持续经营提供新的切入角度;然后通过财务绩效变化检验其商业模式创新的经济后果;最后,提出建设具有企业特色的价值网络、项目多元化发展及形成稳定资金链等建议。     

A GUIDE TO WAVELETS FOR ECONOMISTS*

Abstract Wavelet analysis, although used extensively in disciplines such as signal processing, engineering, medical sciences, physics and astronomy, has not fully entered the economics discipline yet. In this survey article, wavelet analysis is introduced in an intuitive manner, and the existing economics and finance literature that utilizes wavelets is surveyed and explored. Extensive examples of exploratory wavelet analysis are given, most using Canadian, US and Finnish industrial production data. Finally, potential and possible future applications for wavelet analysis in economics are discussed.     

Concepts Used in Statistical Business Registers in View of Globalisation and the Information Society

The globalisation of markets and the development of the information society are two factors increasingly affecting statistical business registers. The article describes a number of problems caused by the globalisation process and the information society as which kind of business units should be recorded-enterprises or enterprise groups, how cross-border ownership, control and cooperation could be identified in the administrative registers, classification of activity in connection with foreign subsidiaries, recording of date of commencement of foreign subsidiaries in a national economy, recording of places of work in the case of teleworking, problems in connection with the recording of individuals involved in teleworking as self-employed persons and the emergence of virtual enterprises. The article also raises the question of whether there is a need for an international satellite register for (transnational) concerns. Both globalisation and the growing information society therefore place new demands on statistical business registers, and these demands might necessitate mobilisation of additional resources for maintaining and developing the registers.     

Variable pricing business solutions in a decomposed business environment

Evolving business models and technology advances have facilitated the creation of innovative pricing strategies. Variable pricing represents the ability to configure a pricing schedule from a set of pricing options such as fixed cost, usage, shared benefit, and performance. The objective of variable pricing is to improve a pricing schedule for the mutual benefits of the provider and consumer, based on an evaluation of criteria that results in the setting of a price as a function of the expected value to be derived, as well as the time and materials used. In this paper, we focus on the variable pricing of ‘business solutions’, which is abstractly defined as the capabilities that enable or add value to the purposes of an enterprise. In a decomposed business environment, the structure of a business is partitioned into discrete business components that are assigned specific purposes and are endowed with resources to meet them. Business components interact to achieve business goals, and do so by exposing their capabilities through business services they offer. Business services have suitable levels of granularity offering constituent units of function, which, when selectively chosen and composed, form business solutions. We assert that business services are also suitable units for variable pricing, the implication being that pricing for a given business solution is an evaluation of the variable pricing of its assemblage of business services. The benefits of this ‘variable price composition’ approach offer greater accuracy for the pricing plan, coupled with increased flexibility to compose, modify, calculate and articulate pricing for business solutions.     

Comments on: “Structural vs. atheoretic approaches to econometrics” by Michael Keane

My comments on the keynote paper by Michael Keane.     

Network-centric business models for health,social care and wellbeing solutions in the internet of things

In this multiple case study we analyze solutions based on connected devices in the context of health, social care and wellbeing. Based on the consideration that a solution is a combination of services and products, we build on the notion that business models can be studied at a firm-level and also at a network-level. The network-level analysis is used to motivate the reasons why solutions emerging at the intersection of the healthcare and the ICT industries benefit from collaboration among different actors. We conclude that the firm- and the network-level development of business models provide alignment in the business network and are useful to establish the relation that technological component have with overall solutions. Our findings suggest that some component bring novelty in the final offer without affecting the ongoing operation, while other component aim at improving the internal working processes, with minimal effects on the final offer to end users. We discuss the benefits of a network-level perspective for each case.     

Networking,entrepreneurship and microbusiness behaviour

It has been argued that networking by owner-managers of small businesses will enhance business performance. Yet to define and demonstrate the presence of networking activity is suffused with methodological difficulties. In this paper the authors attempt to disentangle some of these difficulties. The paper draws on quantifiable data from 104 owner-managers and qualitative data from 34 critical incident interviews from a study of microbusinesses to assess the nature and extent of networking activity. The paper shows: a high proportion of owner-managers use their trading contacts as sources of useful additional information; they use ‘weak ties’ for purposes such as recruitment; a sparse use of institutional networks; an association between networking activity and business performance, although it seems that this must be qualified by sectoral differences; an association between type of owner-manager on a scale of entrepreneurship and networking activity. The policy implications of this paper suggest that economic development agencies continue to have problems reaching out to the microbusiness. This paper recommends that such agencies might use a tool to differentiate more finely amongst the microbusiness population.     

Labor and investment frictions in a real business cycle model

This paper develops a prototype real business cycle model in which labor and investment frictions may compete directly with technology shocks in accounting for fluctuations in the postwar US economy. Using Ireland's [2004a. A method for taking models to the data. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 28, 1205–1226] methodology, we establish that both types of friction are quantitatively important. Technology shocks still explain a substantial fraction of the fluctuations in aggregate output, as the baseline real business cycle model predicts. Formal hypothesis tests suggest that changes in the recurrence of shocks, frictions, and structural parameters all play a role in accounting for the shift in the time series properties of the data between the periods before and after 1980.     

经营理念三角轴：使命、愿景和商业模式

本文构筑了关于一个组织经营理念的三角轴概念模型,涉及使命、愿景、商业模式三方面,分别对应于“做什么”、“为什么”、“如何做”三个基本命题,并分别展开论述了此三方面的理念要义、开发方法和典型案例等。     

Kaggle forecasting competitions: An overlooked learning opportunity

We review the results of six forecasting competitions based on the online data science platform Kaggle, which have been largely overlooked by the forecasting community. In contrast to the M competitions, the competitions reviewed in this study feature daily and weekly time series with exogenous variables, business hierarchy information, or both. Furthermore, the Kaggle data sets all exhibit higher entropy than the M3 and M4 competitions, and they are intermittent.In this review, we confirm the conclusion of the M4 competition that ensemble models using cross-learning tend to outperform local time series models and that gradient boosted decision trees and neural networks are strong forecast methods. Moreover, we present insights regarding the use of external information and validation strategies, and discuss the impacts of data characteristics on the choice of statistics or machine learning methods. Based on these insights, we construct nine ex-ante hypotheses for the outcome of the M5 competition to allow empirical validation of our findings.     

Meaningful Measures: Indicators on Progress, Progress on Indicators

This article reviews the international debate on statistical indicators. It describes historical backgrounds, as well as the present chaotic situation. It discusses what statistical indicators are and what they are for, as well as criteria for the choice of indicators, designed to monitor the achievement of economic, social, demographic, environmental and other goals set by United Nations conferences. Some suggestions for future work are made.     

江苏沿海区域中心城市与服务业互动发展的问题与对策

服务业与城市的互动发展是一个世界性趋势。由于江苏沿海区域中心城市规模偏小、服务业总量偏少、产业基础偏弱、开放层次偏低等问题,致使江苏沿海城市与服务业发展之间没能形成良性互动关系,而是在低水平上实现了均衡。必须加快推进工业化,发展与之配套的服务业,为中心城市的发展奠定产业基础;必须加快推进城市化,屏弃与之不相适应的制度阻碍,拓宽中心城市的发展空间,使江苏沿海区域中心城市与服务业发展之间形成良性互动的发展关系。