浅析企业人才现代化管理

随着市场竞争的不断加剧,人才对企业发展的重要性逐渐凸显。本文通过阐述人才工作是一项社会系统工程,同时提出相应的政策建议,进而为企业人才现代化管理提供参考依据。     

Constructing optimal randomized response designs with consideration for the level of privacy protection

This paper considers the problem of procuring truthful responses to estimate the proportion of qualitative characteristics. In order to protect the respondent's privacy, various techniques of generating randomized response rather than direct response are available in the literature. But the theory concerning them is generally developed with no attention to the required level of privacy protection. Illustrating two randomization devices, we show how optimal randomized response designs may be achieved. The optimal designs of forced response procedure as well as BHARGAVA and SINGH [Statistica (2000) Vol. 6, pp 315–321] procedure are shown to be special cases. In addition, the equivalent designs of optimal WARNER [Journal of the American Statistical Association (1965) Vol. 60, pp. 63–69] procedure are considered as well. It is also shown that stratification with proportional allocation will be helpful for improving the estimation efficiency.     

Two–step sequential sampling

Choosing the sample size in advance is a familiar problem: often, additional observations appear to be desirable. The final sample size then becomes a random variable, which has rather serious consequences.
Two such sample extension situations will be considered here. In the first situation, the observed sample variance determines whether or not to double the original sample size. In the second situation, the variances observed in two independent samples are compared; their ratio determines the number of additional observations.     

The Use of Indices in Surveys

The paper deals with some new indices for ordinal data that arise from sample surveys. Their aim is to measure the degree of concentration to the “positive” or “negative” answers in a given question. The properties of these indices are examined. Moreover, methods for constructing confidence limits for the indices are discussed and their performance is evaluated through an extensive simulation study. Finally, the values of the indices defined and their confidence intervals are calculated for an example with real data. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

物流系统优化问题研究方法概述

结合物流系统的特点,分析了物流系统中存在的优化问题。并针对一些关键技术问题对近年来国内外有关文献进行梳理和研究。文章首先综述了物流系统中四类组合优化问题以及此类问题的传统确定性算法及智能优化算法,同时分析这些方法在处理不同的问题时各自的优缺点。最后对物流系统优化问题的研究方法及研究方向做了分析和展望。     

Mixed random systematic sampling designs

In this paper, an alternative sampling procedure that is a mixture of simple random sampling and systematic sampling is proposed. It results in uniform inclusion probabilities for all individual units and positive inclusion probabilities for all pairs of units. As a result, the proposed sampling procedure enables us to estimate the population mean unbiasedly using the ordinary sample mean, and to provide an unbiased estimator of its sampling variance. It is also found that the suggested sampling procedure performs well especially when the size of simple random sample is small. Received August 2001     

Estimation of a finite population total in varying probability sampling for multi-character surveys

The problems of estimating population total in multi-charter surveys are considered in a unified set up. Alternative estimators for Rao-Hartley-Cochran (1962), Midzuno-Sen (1952,53) and other varying probability sampling schemes are proposed when the measure of size is not well related to the study variables. Some of the proposed estimators are found superior to the existing alternatives. A numerical study is carried out to investigate the performances of the proposed alternatives.     

Tesla电动汽车商业模式分析及启示

Tesla电动汽车的成功源于其独特的商业模式,它以顾客价值创造和企业价值获取为中心,准确定位目标客户,通过轻资产运营、超常的资本运作等方式构建起电动汽车产业的系统性价值链,同时获得了产品市场和资本市场的认同。本文对Tesla电动汽车商业模式进行了剖析,并结合我国新能源汽车的发展状况,探讨了Tesla电动汽车商业模式对我国新能源汽车产业发展的启示,以期为我国新能源汽车产业发展提供切实可行的操作建议。     

Determining the parameters of statistical tests by fuzzy constraints

In this paper an approach is presented how to determine the parameters of statistical tests by means of fuzzy constraints on the probabilities of the errors of type I and of type II and on the sample size; here the case of single sampling is considered. A general upper bound for the sample size of an optimal test is derived. Furthermore, the approach is illustrated by two applications: the determination of an optimal one-sided Gauß-test and the determination of an optimal test on a fraction particularly important in acceptance sampling.     

Successive Sampling to Estimate Quantiles with P-Auxiliary Variables

The successive sampling is a known technique that can be used in longitudinal surveys to estimate population parameters and measurements of difference or change of a study variable. The paper discusses the estimation of quantiles for the current occasion based on sampling in two successive occasions and using p-auxiliary variables obtained of the previous occasion. A multivariate ratio estimator from the matched portion is used to provide the optimum estimate of a quantile by weighting the estimates inversely to derived optimum weights. Its properties are studied under large–sample approximation and the expressions of the variances are established. The behavior of these asymptotic variances is analyzed on the basis of data from natural populations. A simulation study is also used to measure the precision of the proposed estimator.     

Disclosure risk for microdata stemming from official statistics

In the research project on data anonymity, the possibilities and difficulties of restoring the identity of respondents, whose data have been anonymized, were tested in realistic simulations. In this paper the results of an application of a) a matching procedure and of b) a method based on discriminate analysis are reported. In the experiments carried out, empirical data of a handbook about German scientists and scholars and the German microcensus were used. A check of the results by an independent data-trustee demonstrated that a real intruder has more difficulties achieving an identification than is frequently assumed.     

Economic design of T<Superscript>2</Superscript> control charts with the VSSI sampling scheme

T ² charts are used to monitor a process when more than one quality variable associated with process is being observed. Recent studies have shown that the T ² chart with variable sampling size and sampling interval (VSSI) detects a small shift in the process mean vector faster than the traditional T ² chart. The paper considers an economic design of the VSSI T ² chart, in which the expected hourly loss is constructed and regarded as an objective function for optimally determining the design parameters (i.e. the maximum/minimum sample size, the longest/shortest sampling interval, and the warning/action limits) in sampling-and-charting. Furthermore, the effects of process parameters and cost parameters upon the expected hourly loss and design parameters are examined.     

Randomized Response Techniques: A Review

Randomized response techniques (RRT) are well–known as tools to procure trustworthy survey data on confidential issues. A review is attempted here of mostly published accounts on RRT covering qualitative and quantitative characters. Conflicting criteria of efficient estimation and protection of privacy are discussed. Infinite hypothetical and concrete finite population set–ups are treated separately.     

Sample Design and Allocation for Random Digit Dialling

Sample design and sample allocation methods are developed for random digit dialling in household telephone surveys. The proposed method is based on a two-way stratification of telephone numbers. A weighted probability proportional to size sample allocation technique is used, with auxiliary variables about the telephone coverage rates, within local telephone exchanges of each substrata. This makes the sampling design nearly “self-weighting” in residential numbers when the prior information is well assigned. A computer program generates random numbers for the local areas within the existing phone capacities. A simulation study has shown greater sample allocation gain by the weighted probabilities proportional to size measures over other sample allocation methods. The amount of dialling required to obtain the sample is less than for proportional allocation. A decrease is also observed on the gain in sample allocation for some methods through the increasing sample sizes.     

A systematic mapping study of process mining

This study systematically assesses the process mining scenario from 2005 to 2014. The analysis of 705 papers evidenced ‘discovery’ (71%) as the main type of process mining addressed and ‘categorical prediction’ (25%) as the main mining task solved. The most applied traditional technique is the ‘graph structure-based’ ones (38%). Specifically concerning computational intelligence and machine learning techniques, we concluded that little relevance has been given to them. The most applied are ‘evolutionary computation’ (9%) and ‘decision tree’ (6%), respectively. Process mining challenges, such as balancing among robustness, simplicity, accuracy and generalization, could benefit from a larger use of such techniques.     

Sequential estimation of means of linear processes

First the minimum risk point estimation as well as the fixed-width confidence interval problems for the mean parameter of a linear process are addressed under the framework of Fakhre-Zakeri and Lee (1992). The accelerated versions of their full sequential methodologies are introduced in order to achieve operational savings. Next, multi-sample analogs are discussed along the lines of Mukhopadhyay and Sriram (1992) both under full sequential as well as accelerated sequential sampling. In either setup, the first-order asymptotic characteristics are highlighted.