后凯恩斯主义经济学的货币非中性理论

后凯恩斯主义经济学的突出贡献是将凯恩斯关于不确定性和货币非中性思想发展为一个完整的关于货币非中性的理论框架,它强调无论是长期还是短期,货币都是影响真实部门的一个重要因素。后凯恩斯主义的货币理论在凯恩斯的灵活偏好理论中加入融资性需求,这样就必然导致存量和流量的矛盾,从而造成利息率的不确定性和波动性;从不同角度分析了货币的创造过程,提出了内生货币供给理论。这一理论完全是与主流经济学所信奉的货币数量论对立的,从而拒绝资本主义经济自然趋于长期充分就业均衡的概念。     

由凯恩斯经济周期理论想到的经济衰退应对方案

结合凯恩斯经济周期理论,分析美国、欧盟及中国三大经济体的经济危机及衰退的本质,并给出应对经济危机及衰退的方案。     

后凯恩斯主义的企业理论

后凯恩斯主义者认为在典型的两权分离的现代企业制度条件下,企业的目标是多元化的。但企业所有者和经理人的目标函数存在根本差别,所有者更偏好于企业利润目标,而经理人更偏好于企业增长目标。后凯恩斯主义者还区分了经理人资本主义化的企业和金融演化下的股东控制型企业两种模式。     

凯恩斯主义回潮及其失效

本文试图从凯恩斯陷阱内因来解析凯恩斯主义政策在中国部分失效的原因。文中描述了 1997年以来预期扰动的过程 ,论证了凯恩斯货币传导机制一步步失效的原因。研究方法以实证分析为主 ,兼顾事理分析。     

后凯恩斯主义内生货币供给理论的发展——分析方法与理论模型

后凯恩斯主义的内生货币理论打破了货币供给前提,提出中央银行既没有能力控制基础货币,也不愿去控制基础货币。他们认为货币的供给是内生的,即由信用驱使、需求决定的,与商业银行和企业的利润最大化行为有关。结合最新的实证研究对后凯恩斯主义的内生货币理论进行了系统的评介,并认为其将与宏观经济、开放经济相结合向更广、更深的方向发展。     

Endogenous Money Supply and the Business Cycle

This paper documents changes in the cyclical behavior of nominal data series that appear after 1979:Q3 when the Federal Reserve implemented a policy to lower the inflation rate. Such changes were not apparent in real variables. A business cycle model with impulses to technology and a role for money is used to show how alternative money supply rules are expected to affect observed business cycle facts. In this model, changes in the money supply rules have almost no effect on the cyclical behavior of real variables, yet have a significant impact on the cyclical nature of nominal variables.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: E32, E42, E50.     

Post Keynesianism,Heterodoxy and Mainstream Economics

After briefly presenting the concepts of orthodox, mainstream and heterodox economics, and applying them to the contemporary period, this article discusses the Post Keynesian school and its relation to contemporary orthodox and mainstream economics. While opposed to the neoclassical orthodoxy, the Post Keynesian school has some positive unifying ideas, although some internal tensions remain. There are also some overlaps between Post Keynesianism and other approaches, and a careful combination of contributions from different approaches and different disciplines is not only possible, but also necessary. Post Keynesianism is located outside current mainstream economics, although this argument partly depends on a more precise specification of the concept of uncertainty. The non-mainstream character of Post Keynesian economics has at least two types of important implications. The first involves the approach's ability to influence the economy and the danger of ‘the scholastic fallacy’; the second refers to a reproductive difficulty inside academia.     

世界经济周期研究述评

本文对世界经济周期的概念、存在与否、产生原因、中国经济与世界经济的协同性等方面的研究成果进行了综述,并提出了进一步研究的方向。     

The Australian Business Cycle: Its Definition and Existence*

Recent research has suggested that for a number of economies, aggregate output does not behave in a stationary way about a fixed trend Campbell and Mankiw have provided much evidence, and their techniques are adopted here to indicate that Australia's national output has behaved in a way similar to that of other similar economies.     

The Hayekian Puzzle: Spontaneous Order and the Business Cycle

In his early years, F. A. Hayek focused his research on the theory of capital and the business cycle. Later he turned to social philosophy and the theory of a spontaneous economic order. The two phases, it is argued in this paper, correspond to two basically incompatible research programs—general equilibrium theory vs. a theory of adapting, collective learning, and expectation formation. Hayek never reconsidered business cycle theory in the light of his later thought. The paper asks why and discusses what role cyclical fluctuations in aggregate economic activity may have to be play in the theory of spontaneous economic order.