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1.
建立融合自然灾害、农业保险以及道德风险的动态模型.模型显示:自然灾害会降低农业产出,而农业保险可以降低自然灾害对农业生产的负面影响,但前提是道德风险的影响较小.实证表明,每增加1元农业保险保费对应的保障水平,可以降低由自然灾害导致的第一产业产出约8.19元的损失.同时,未发现农业保险市场在省级加总层面存在显著的道德风险. 相似文献
2.
In 2011, Japan received a massive blow from the Tohoku Earthquake and the ensuing disaster at the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Generation Plant (hereafter, the Fukushima Nuclear Plant), with 18,000 people dead or missing, and more than 330,000 evacuated long-term. Anxiety among the people of Japan concerning earthquakes and nuclear accidents is higher than ever, but other hazards confront them as well. This research investigated whether the Japanese people’s anxiety about a variety of other hazards has increased or decreased since the Tohoku Earthquake. Based on the availability heuristic, the contrast effect, and the finite-pool-of-worry hypothesis, it was predicted that public anxiety about earthquakes and nuclear accidents would increase, but anxiety about other hazards would decrease. Data from two nationwide surveys conducted in January 2008 and January 2012 were compared to see the change in societal levels of anxiety toward 51 types of hazards. The results showed that anxiety had increased after the Tohoku Earthquake for only one hazard other than earthquakes and nuclear accidents. For 29 other hazards, the anxiety levels had significantly decreased; and for the remaining 19 hazards, there was no significant change. These results support the prediction, indicating that post-disaster, the overall anxiety levels of the Japanese people tended to decline. Practical implications were discussed with a focus on problems that might be caused by the changes in anxiety level. 相似文献
3.
国有控股商业银行合规文化建设研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
中国工商银行江苏省分行课题组 《金融论坛》2007,(6):46-53
随着我国加入WTO过渡期的完成,中国银行业将完全实现对外开放.合规风险逐渐成为除信用风险、市场风险和操作风险之外的我国国有控股商业银行面临的重要风险.有效控制合规风险的长期措施应该是进行商业银行合规文化的建设.本文从建设国有控股商业银行合规文化的现实要求出发,结合国有控股商业银行经营实践,通过对合规文化的内涵与特点及国有控股商业银行合规文化现状的分析,提出了对国有控股商业银行合规文化建设的设想,主要包括:健全合规制度及组织体系、强调"有效互动"的合规文化、建立有效的绩效考核机制、流程再造应突出合规文化等. 相似文献
4.
随着我国加入WTO过渡期的完成,中国银行业将完全实现对外开放。合规风险逐渐成为除信用风险、市场风险和操作风险之外的我国国有控股商业银行面临的重要风险。有效控制合规风险的长期措施应该是进行商业银行合规文化的建设。本文从建设国有控股商业银行合规文化的现实要求出发,结合国有控股商业银行经营实践,通过对合规文化的内涵与特点及国有控股商业银行合规文化现状的分析,提出了对国有控股商业银行合规文化建设的设想,主要包括:健全合规制度及组织体系、强调“有效互动”的合规文化、建立有效的绩效考核机制、流程再造应突出合规文化等。 相似文献
5.
证券公司合规管理体系的现状、问题和对策 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
合规管理是企业全面风险管理的重要组成部分。近几年国内证券公司违法违规事件频发,系统性风险集中显现,与合规管理机制缺失密不可分。认真研究国内外金融业合规管理状况,加强国内证券公司外部合规法规体系建设,建立公司内部合规检查与监督机制,塑造合规文化,将有助于证券公司的规范经营和持续发展。 相似文献
6.
自券商创新大会以来,证券公司创新业务迅速发展,证券行业迎来了从传统业务向创新业务转型的新机遇。但是,在新业务发展和新产品推出的同时,合规风险管理也暴露出一些问题。合规风险管理的职责不清、独立性不强、方式单一等问题制约了我国证券公司合规风险管理的有效性。因此,充分认识业务创新与合规风险管理的关系,熟悉创新背景下合规风险的特征,构建“大合规”系统,有助于提高证券公司合规风险管理水平,为创新业务发展保驾护航。 相似文献
7.
We examine the effect of rating history and the passage of time on the rating migration hazard for corporate debt issuers. Controlling for industry effects and the evolution of business and political cycles, the results consistently show that the next change of rating depends more strongly on rating history than it does on the current rating. However, there are significant interactions between the main effects of rating history and the duration of the current rating. The result is substantial decay in the effects of rating history the longer a rating remains unchanged. This decay effect is stronger for downgrades and for ratings in the speculative category. 相似文献
8.
Antoine Bozio; 《Fiscal Studies》2024,45(1):43-54
This short paper presents an overview of the French policy mix towards labour market inequalities, consisting of a high minimum wage together with targeted payroll tax cuts around the minimum wage. It reviews the recent literature documenting the impact of that policy mix on employment and wage inequality. The main takeaways are that pre-tax wage inequality has been increasing in France rather like it has in the UK and the US, while net wage inequality has decreased and then remained stable. The employment experience for the middle age group is also very close in France to the one in the UK and the US, while it differs markedly at young and older ages. The paper offers two more general thoughts on how to make progress in comparing policy options. First, most studies tend to give too much weight to tax and benefit reforms in being able to reduce inequality as they disregard incidence mechanisms, and fail to incorporate properly longer-term effects of other policies on pre-tax inequality. Second, the design of effective policy should always incorporate simplicity and salience. Failure to do so is likely to lead to little expected impact of such policies. 相似文献
9.
EUGENE SOLTES 《Journal of Accounting Research》2020,58(2):429-472
In an effort to motivate firms to more rapidly detect potential misconduct, legislators, regulators, and enforcement agencies incentivize firms to have integrity or “whistleblowing” hotlines. These hotlines provide individuals an opportunity to report alleged misconduct and seek guidance about how to appropriately respond. Beyond some isolated examples, little is known about the responsiveness of hotlines to actual claims of alleged misconduct. I undertake a field study to investigate how hotlines function in practice by making four different inquiries involving alleged misconduct to nearly 250 firms. I find that one-fifth of firms have impediments (e.g., phone line disconnected, email bounce back, direct to incorrect website) that hinder reporting and approximately 10% of firms do not respond in a timely manner. Overall, this investigation illuminates several differences between integrity hotlines “on paper” and how they actually perform in practice. 相似文献
10.
本文介绍了国内外合规管理的进展和我国金融监察的基本情况,然后分析研究二者在监督职能、监督层次、监督流程、监督方法等方面的互补性,从而发掘二者协同的本质和潜力,最后从正确处理监察与合规的关系、制订有针对性的合规政策条款、加强信息与沟通、完善人才培养与选拔体系等方面提出发展完善我国国有保险公司监督体系的建议。 相似文献
11.
Presumptive taxes can be found in the tax system of most developing countries and make sense when the desired tax base is difficult to measure, verify, and monitor. As a substitute for the desired tax base, the presumed tax base is derived from items that can be more readily monitored. Presumed taxes can also be found in developed countries, and examples include fixed depreciation schedules in place of asset-specific measures of decline in asset value, floors on deductible expenses, and the standard deduction. The authors analyze presumptive income taxation with an ultimate goal to initiate an approach to optimal presumptive taxation. This paper begins that task by analyzing the standard deduction in the individual income tax system in the United States. 相似文献
12.
This paper uses survey evidence to estimate the compliance cost of the U.S. system of taxing foreign-source income. The evidence suggests that this cost is about 40 percent of the total tax-compliance cost of large U.S. corporations, which is disproportionately higher than the aggregate share of assets, sales, and employment that is abroad. It is also very high compared to the revenue raised by the United States from taxing foreign-source income, although this comparison must be qualified because arguably a principal purpose of this system is to protect U.S. revenues collected on domestic-source income. The disproportionate compliance cost of foreign-source income is not apparent in a survey of European-based multinational corporations. 相似文献
13.
This study aims to shed light on the debate concerning the choice between discrete-time and continuous-time hazard models in making bankruptcy or any binary prediction using interval censored data. Building on the theoretical suggestions from various disciplines, we empirically compare widely used discrete-time hazard models (with logit and clog-log links) and the continuous-time Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) model in predicting bankruptcy and financial distress of the United States Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs). Consistent with the theoretical arguments, we report that discrete-time hazard models are superior to the continuous-time CPH model in making binary predictions using interval censored data. Moreover, hazard models developed using a failure definition based jointly on bankruptcy laws and firms’ financial health exhibit superior goodness of fit and classification measures, in comparison to models that employ a failure definition based either on bankruptcy laws or firms’ financial health alone. 相似文献
14.
对商业银行实施合规风险管理的分析与探讨 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
随着金融全球化、市场化的迅速发展和银行业间竞争的不断加剧,特别随着各行股份制改造带来的内部治理结构和管理机制的深刻变化,整个经营运行的环境日趋复杂,商业银行不仅面临着传统意义上的信用风险,而且还承担着更加多变的操作风险和市场风险,风险管理难度日益加大.风险日益增多。实施合规风险管理已经成为确保提高经营管理水平的关键环节。本文指出了商业银行风险管理工作中存在的薄弱环节和合规风险管理体系应具备的主要特点,并就如何建立合规风险管理体系提出了相关建议。 相似文献
15.
The evidence suggests that a surprisingly large number of firms comply with pollution standards even though expected penalties for non-compliance are quite low. This paper establishes an environmental social norm model that embodies collective environmental actions among firms. It provides a plausible explanation for these puzzling empirical findings. In this social norm framework, we also explore how the extrinsic pricing incentive affects the intrinsic environmental morale among firms. By taking into account the crowding-out effect of pricing incentives, we show that pollution taxes may not be an effective tool in fighting pollution. 相似文献
16.
We study the effectson tax enforcement and tax policy of unintentional complianceerrors by taxpayers and administrative errors by tax auditors.The government can impose both penalties for misreporting andrewards for honest reporting. Maximal sanctions will not be appliedbecause errors are possible, so evasion cannot be eliminatedcostlessly. Under optimal policy intentional evasion can be deterred,but innocent tax evaders must be penalized whether they haveunintentionally evaded or have been mistakenly convicted. Thisdeters intentional evasion, but limits redistribution. Withoutrewards for honest reporting, the revelation principle need notapply, so intentional evasion can occur. 相似文献
17.
Nicola Paltrinieri Nicolas Dechy Ernesto Salzano Mike Wardman Valerio Cozzani 《Journal of Risk Research》2013,16(3-4):337-354
Proper hazard identification (HAZID) in safety reports has become progressively more difficult to achieve. Several major accidents in Europe in recent years, such as Buncefield and Toulouse, were not even considered by their site ‘Seveso-II’ Safety Case. One of the reasons is that available HAZID methodologies take no notice of apparently least likely events. Nonidentified scenarios thus constitute a latent risk, whose management is extremely complex and open ended. For this reason, the EC project iNTeg-Risk, in one of its tasks, aimed to investigate the issue of atypical scenarios and explain how they could have been identified. This study wants to describe the approach used and its immediate results, paving the way towards a new method for the identification of atypical accident scenarios. An in-depth accident analysis of some of these accidents was performed, in order to outline general features of plants in which they occurred, their causes, consequences, and lessons learned. This analysis followed a precise common scheme, which allowed a systematic approach to the problem by the experts involved. Based on the findings, failures connected to risk management and risk appraisal were identified. Three main basic issues in risk appraisal were identified: the low perception of emerging risks related to atypical accident scenarios, the lack of knowledge about related events, such as early warnings, and the incapability of current techniques in leading analysts to the identification of atypical scenarios. 相似文献
18.
Ernesto Salzano Anna Basco Valentina Busini Valerio Cozzani Enrico Marzo Renato Rota 《Journal of Risk Research》2013,16(3-4):469-485
Dramatic natural events recently stroke several countries worldwide. The impact of the natural events on industrial sites often resulted in large releases of hazardous materials, causing severe technological accidents (Natural-Technological or NaTech events). Industrial operators were often found unprepared or off-guard for unannounced events but also when they had received early warnings. Due to these occurrences, public awareness has raised and the issue of NaTech is now considered as an emerging risk. Due to the climate change and increase in the frequency of some categories of natural disasters, the likelihood of NaTech scenarios is growing, thus NaTech may be also considered as a new risk in some areas of the world. In the present study, the process that ended in the awareness of the scientific community and of the general public toward NaTech has been analyzed. Available tools and knowledge gaps in the assessment of NaTech scenarios are evidenced. The analysis is mainly addressed to the potential impact of flood, lightning, and earthquake events on industrial installations where hazardous substances are present, aiming at the identification of strategies to improve the resilience of industrial facilities to technological accidents caused or intensified by natural hazards. 相似文献
19.
Phillip Cobbin Graeme Dean Cameron Esslemont Patrick Ferguson Monica Keneley Brad Potter Brian West 《Abacus》2013,49(3):396-422
The application of advanced digitization technologies to accounting and business archives has created new opportunities for accounting and business historians. The joint American Accounting Association and European Accounting Association Task Force (2006–2010) that examined digitization confirmed this. This paper explores these opportunities, along with some attendant challenges and cautions, with reference to the digitization of two significant archives located in Australia. The first is the archive of CPA Australia, a professional accounting association that has its beginnings in 1886 and which today has over 132,000 members. The second is the archive accumulated by the pre‐eminent accounting scholar Raymond Chambers during his long and extraordinarily productive tenure at the University of Sydney. Studies of surviving business records, biography and institutional history provide examples of scholarship that is enabled by digitization technology and which has the capacity to inform contemporary issues and debates. 相似文献
20.
大数据技术在金融领域的广泛应用,一方面,改善了金融服务;另一方面,由于大数据技术自身的属性而可能导致更多、更大的隐私风险.在这种背景下,金融领域的合规管理面临双重的隐私风险:一是金融实体之业务活动所可能产生的隐私风险,二是合规管理自身所可能产生的隐私风险.因此,为了应对金融领域中合规管理所可能遭遇的隐私问题,也就需要有两个方面的伦理对策:一是针对金融实体全部业务活动中隐私风险的伦理对策,二是针对有权接触、利用金融客户数据、信息的合规管理人员的伦理对策.除了基本的伦理对策之外,为了使得柔性的伦理对策不至于成为花瓶般的摆设,有必要为其设置相应的制度保障. 相似文献