中美农产品加工业产业内贸易影响因素研究

分析了中美农产品加工业贸易状况,并对两国农产品加工业产业内贸易的影响因素进行了实证研究。结果表明,近年来中美农产品加工业贸易快速发展;而中美贸易不平衡对两国农产品加工业产业内贸易起到了显著的抑制作用,同时中美两国人均GDP差异、行业开放程度则较强地促进了两国农产品加工业产业内贸易的发展。基于此,中国应侧重提升中美农产品加工业产业内贸易水平,实施产业间贸易和产业内贸易双轮驱动战略。     

中国与巴西农产品产业内贸易实证研究

中国与巴西农产品贸易发展迅速,中国出现大量的农产品贸易逆差。本文利用格鲁贝尔—洛伊德指数、布吕哈特边际产业内贸易指数以及汤姆和麦克杜威尔水平和垂直产业内贸易指数对两国的农产品产业内贸易水平进行分析,得出两国间的农产品产业内贸易水平较低,主要的贸易形式为产业间贸易。最后本文给出了相关的建议,以期企业能得到最大的贸易利益。     

中日农产品产业内贸易实证研究

本文运用静态产业内贸易指数(Static GL index)和边际产业内贸易指数(MIIT index)对2001年至2012年中日农产品贸易数据进行分析,实证研究了中日两国农产品的产业内贸易分布现状,研究结果表明:双边农产品贸易具有明显的产业间贸易特点,只有少数的农产品如水果、坚果、蜜糖及烟草保持了良好的产业内贸易水平,特别是自2007年金融危机以来,几乎是完全的产业间贸易;日本农产品的竞争力水平日益提升,对中国农产品的出口威胁加重。     

中美农产品产业内贸易研究

本文主要从产业内分工的角度出发,通过产业内贸易指数、Bruelhart边际产业内贸易指数、贸易竞争力指数和AE法,对中美农产品产业内贸易发展现状、中国农产品对美竞争力状况和中美产业内贸易结构等进行实证分析,并根据相应的结论得出不断提高两国农产品产业内贸易水平、改善农产品贸易结构的启示。     

我国海峡两岸农产品产业内贸易的实证分析

本文选取2001—2006年我国海峡两岸农产品贸易数据,利用G-L指数和B指数从整体和分类两个层面对我国海峡两岸间农产品的产业内贸易状况进行了实证分析,并得出以下结论：我国海峡两岸农产品以产业间贸易为主,产业内贸易水平较低,且在贸易结构上具有较明显的互补性;2001—2006年我国海峡两岸间的贸易变动主要由产业间贸易引起。在此基础上,提出今后两岸农产品产业内贸易的发展方向。     

中日农产品产业内贸易影响因素的实证研究

采用格鲁贝尔-洛伊德指数评估了1997～2008年中国与日本农产品产业内贸易水平,发现中日间总体农产品、各大类农产品产业内贸易水平很低。就中日农产品产业内贸易的国家层面的影响因素来说,中日市场规模和中日人均收入差距对中日农产品产业内贸易水平影响不显著,中日农产品产业内贸易水平主要受日本对华直接投资的影响。由于日本对华直接投资的动机是市场导向型投资,所以阻碍了中日农产品产业内贸易水平的提高。     

中国与“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线地区农产品贸易结构分析

本文运用RCA指数、TCI指数、GL指数、BI指数和Thom&Mc-Dowell指数,较为全面地分析了2009年至2021年中国与“一路”沿线地区农产品贸易结构。结果表明：自2009年以来,中国与“一路”沿线地区农产品贸易结构的问题逐渐显现,主要表现在进出口结构失衡,贸易逆差持续扩大;商品结构集中度偏高,以食品和活动物类为主;区域结构不合理,东盟地区所占比重过高。同时,双方依据比较优势展开贸易,逐渐形成有明显互补性的、以产业间贸易与产业内贸易并存的农产品贸易结构,其中双方农产品产业内贸易水平不断提高并且以垂直型产业内贸易为主。     

中美农产品产业内贸易研究

入世以来，中美之间的贸易额急剧增加，中国已经成为美国第3大农产品进口国，农产品贸易在两国经济往来中占有特殊的地位。近年来，中美农产品贸易不断呈现新的特点，同类（种）产品贸易也呈现出迅猛发展态势。这种以产业内贸易为特征的贸易模式也成为推动中美贸易增长的重要因素。本论文在综述国内外相关学术文献和研究成果，探讨有关产业内贸易理论研究的基础上，阐述中国与美国农产品贸易发展的政策背景、结构变动及存在的主要问题，并采用各种产业内贸易指数对中美农产品产业内贸易发展进行全面分析，并提出有利于中国农产品产业内贸易发展的有效政策和建议。     

中美农产品产业内贸易研究

入世以来,中美之间的贸易额急剧增加,中国已经成为美国第3大农产品进口国,农产品贸易在两国经济往来中占有特殊的地位.近年来,中美农产品贸易不断呈现新的特点,同类(种)产品贸易也呈现出迅猛发展态势.这种以产业内贸易为特征的贸易模式也成为推动中美贸易增长的重要因素.本论文在综述国内外相关学术文献和研究成果,探讨有关产业内贸易理论研究的基础上,阐述中国与美国农产品贸易发展的政策背景、结构变动及存在的主要问题,并采用各种产业内贸易指数对中美农产品产业内贸易发展进行全面分析,并提出有利于中国农产品产业内贸易发展的有效政策和建议.     

扩展引力模型下中澳服务业产业内贸易分析

近年来,中国与澳大利亚两国贸易往来日益密切,服务贸易迅速发展,服务业产业内贸易水平也不断提高.本文基于2000-2014年的面板数据,运用衡量产业内贸易水平的相关指数对中澳服务业各部门的产业内贸易水平进行了度量,并在此基础上对其影响因素进行经验分析,最后给出了中国服务贸易发展的相关政策建议.研究发现,动态测算结果显示中澳间的服务贸易总体是以产业间贸易为主;服务业产业内贸易则以水平型为主;中澳服务业产业内贸易总体水平受消费需求差异、研发投入、对外开放程度和产业结构差异的影响较大,而从分部门来看,消费需求差异、两国的对外开放程度、研发投入、货物贸易密集度和产业结构差异对不同的行业有不同的影响,且各因素的影响方向略有不同.     

中国农产品产业内贸易现状分析

By using HS classification, the author has divided total agricultural products into 24 categories. The paper calculated the G-L intra-industry trade index, Brülhart marginal intra-industry trade index, and Thom & McDowell marginal industry trade index for each type of agricultural products during the period from 1996 to 2005 in China. The conclusion shows the overall level of agricultural intra-industry trade is relatively low, and Brülhart index indicates China’s agricultural products decades of improvement mainly from inter-industry trade, at the same time Thom & McDowell index shows that China’s agricultural intra-industry trade growth is mainly from the growth of vertical intra-industry trade. __________ Translated from Guoji maoyi wenti 国际贸易问题 (Journal of International Trade), 2008, (1): 14–20     

中美木质林产品产业内贸易的实证研究——基于1992—2009年的进出口贸易数据

采用UNcomtrade数据库的中美木质林产品贸易数据,利用G-L指数、G-L修正指数、Aquino指数、Brülhart边际产业内贸易指数及Thom&McDowell水平型和垂直型产业内贸易指数,对1992—2009年中美木质林产品产业内贸易的水平和结构进行实证分析。结果表明:中美木质林产品产业内贸易水平总体较低,贸易方式仍以产业间贸易为主;中美木质林产品贸易的增长由产业间贸易和产业内贸易共同引发;产业内贸易方式以垂直型产业内贸易为主。     

海峡两岸产业内贸易动态变化特征分析

选用Aquino指数,定量地分析了海峡两岸产业内贸易在二者贸易份额中的比重。在此基础上,进一步将产业内贸易细分为垂直型和水平型两种形式,选取2001—2008年的相关数据,运用GMH法对两岸的产业内贸易结构特征进行全面的实证分析。结果发现:两岸贸易产业内贸易水平还比较低,但产业内贸易增长迅速,尤其在中高技术层面产品上产业内贸易逐步增强;两岸产业内贸易以垂直型为主,但最近几年,水平型所占比重增长较快,有垂直型向水平型发展的趋势;两岸产业内贸易在区域结构上也呈现出动态演进的特征。     

Industry-specific determinants of vertical intra-industry trade: the case of EU new member states’ agri-food sector

The determinants of intra-industry agri-food trade are analysed to only a limited extent in the literature. This article investigates the industry-specific determinants of vertical intra-industry agri-food trade between new member states of the EU and the other EU countries for the period 1999–2010 by applying a dynamic panel data model. Results suggest that IIT is mainly low vertical in nature, suggesting regional export of low-quality products to EU markets. Results also show that vertical product differentiation and FDI are positively related to VIIT, suggesting that quality growth and investments foster vertical intra-industry trade. As to productivity and factor endowments a negative relationship with VIIT was found, implying the labour abundant and similar nature of NMS agricultural sectors.     

Disentangling the migration-trade nexus: the pro-trade effects of immigrants and emigrants in the presence of vertical and horizontal product differentiation

This paper presents an exploration of the migration-trade nexus taking the case of Italy by crossing the two dimensions of migration (immigration and emigration) and the two dimensions of intra-industry trade (vertical and horizontal). This empirical strategy proves useful in refining interpretation of econometric results. In general, we find that both immigration and emigration are positively and significantly related to intra-industry trade. However, the magnitude and the statistical significance of the impact of migration on trade vary, depending on the type of trade flows considered (vertical or horizontal), the direction of migration (immigration or emigration) and the partner countries considered (OECD or non-OECD). In particular, we find that immigrants from non-OECD countries have a positive and significant impact on both ‘variety trade’ and ‘quality trade’, while immigrants from OECD countries significantly affect ‘variety trade’ only. Emigrants to non-OECD countries have positive effect only on ‘variety trade’. These findings are largely consistent with predictions deriving from theoretical models of intra-industry trade and from the literature on migration-trade nexus.     

产业内贸易类型、利益与经济增长

在分析产业内贸易测度、分类及其利益的基础上,探讨产业内贸易促进经济增长的机制,并从产业内贸易总水平、垂直差异型产业内贸易、水平差异型产业内贸易等角度实证分析其对中国经济增长的影响。研究发现:垂直差异性产业内贸易在经济增长过程中起着促进作用,而水平差异性产业内贸易对经济增长起着阻碍作用。     

Global Value Chains,Horizontal Intra-Industry Trade and the Heterogeneous Firm

This paper examines global value chains at the level of the heterogeneous firm. The context is a world of horizontal intra-industry trade, characterized by imperfect competition and product differentiation at the firm level. Standard microeconomic tools are employed to assess the effects of inter-firm dissimilarities in both demand and supply on firms’ responses to changes in trade policy. In this set-up, dissimilarities in firm characteristics play roles similar to factor endowments and technology differences in traditional trade models. When cross-border production sharing (“fragmentation”) is introduced into this framework, those differences in firm characteristics determine the degree to which individual firms will enter into production networks. In this context, horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade elements interact in their effects on firm decisions. Traditional comparative advantage considerations still govern the choice of off-shored activities, while direct competition between imports and exports expands the range of possible outcomes. Finally, it is shown that cross-border production sharing reduces the sensitivity of firms to variations in exchange rates, matching a phenomenon that has been observed in traditional country-level models.     

Evaluating Russia’s trade patterns

This article offers empirical evidence on the major trends in the nature of Russia’s trade and on the determinants of the different types of trade: horizontal intra-industry trade (HIIT), vertical intra-industry trade (VIIT) and inter-industry trade (INT). The estimation results of gravity-type log-linear models suggest that the combined economic size of Russia and the trading partner has a positive effect, while the distance between the two countries has a negative effect for all types of trade. They also suggest that FDI has a significant effect on all types of trade; however, the effect varies according to whether the partner country is a member of the CIS/CU or not, and whether the FDI is outward or inward.