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1.
William H. Beaver Maureen F. McNichols Karen K. Nelson 《Review of Accounting Studies》2007,12(4):525-556
We show that the asymmetric effects of income taxes and special items for profit and loss firms contribute to a discontinuity
at zero in the distribution of earnings. Income taxes draw profit observations towards zero while negative special items pull
loss observations away from zero. These earnings components are thus expected to contribute to a discontinuity even in the
absence of discretion. We show our results are not an artifact of deflation and that other common components of earnings do
not have similar effects on the earnings distribution around zero.
相似文献
Karen K. NelsonEmail: |
2.
Using a sample of seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), this paper examines the association between the choice of financial intermediary
and earnings management. We contend that with more stringent standards for certification and intense monitoring, highly prestigious
underwriters restrict firms’ incentives for earnings management to protect their reputation and to avoid potential litigation
risks, while firms with greater incentives for earnings management avoid strict monitoring by choosing low-quality underwriters.
Consistent with our predictions, we find an inverse association between underwriter quality and issuers’ earnings management.
In addition, we find that underwriter quality is positively related to SEOs’ post-issue performance, even after controlling
for the effect of earnings management. We also find that firms with low-underwriter prestige and high levels of earnings management
under-perform the most. However, the effect of underwriter choice on post-issue performance does not last long.
相似文献
Myung Seok ParkEmail: |
3.
Oliver Kim Steve C. Lim Taewoo Park 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(2):145-168
In this paper we examine how sales affect earnings and in turn the stock price using a model in which sales contribute to
earnings by a fixed sales margin rate and the stock price responds more sensitively to sales-induced earnings than to non-sales-induced
earnings. We report that the regression coefficient of the sales margin (2.54) is about three times the earnings response
coefficient (0.85) for the full sample and can be as high as 19 times the earnings response coefficient for an industry (i.e.,
11.95 vs. 0.62 for restaurants). We contribute to the literature by identifying and documenting factors that make separating
out the sources of earnings more important in equity pricing.
相似文献
Taewoo ParkEmail: |
4.
Stephen P. Baginski John M. Hassell Michael D. Kimbrough 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(3):311-330
The 1990s were characterized by substantial increases in the performance of and investor reliance on financial analysts. Because
managers possess superior private information and issue forecasts to align investors’ expectations with their own, we predict
that managers increased the quality of their earnings forecasts during the 1990s in order to keep pace with the improved forward-looking
information provided by financial analysts, upon which investors increasingly relied. Using a sample of 2,437 management earnings
forecasts, we document an increase in management earnings forecast precision, management earnings forecast accuracy, and managers’
tendency to explain earnings forecasts in 1993–1996 relative to 1983–1986. Given that these forecast characteristics are linked
to greater informativeness and credibility, we also document that the information content of management earnings forecasts,
as measured by the strength of share price responses to forecast news, increased in 1993–1996 relative to 1983–1986. As expected,
the increased information content of management forecasts primarily occurred for firms covered by financial analysts.
相似文献
Michael D. KimbroughEmail: |
5.
John J. Maher Robert M. Brown Raman Kumar 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(2):167-189
We examine the valuation effects of overall demand for corporate equities combined with the influence of abnormal earnings
and unexpected funds flow. Our results indicate that the expected and unexpected net new total flow of funds into all stock
mutual funds do not by themselves have a meaningful effect on firm equity valuation. However, we find the combination of unexpected
funds flow and realized abnormal earnings have significant and important valuation effects. Importantly, the valuation impact
is greatest for those firms with high earnings growth potential that also operate in an environment characterized by high
information asymmetry.
相似文献
Raman KumarEmail: |
6.
Rewriting earnings history 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Research on the usefulness of financial information generally focuses on the innovation in the information examined, such
as an earnings surprise or cash flow growth. Consequently, prior research sheds little light on the role of the rich historical
record of financial information in users’ decision-making. Using a sample of published restatements of earnings, we show that
the revision of the historical pattern of earnings, distinct from the magnitude of the restatement and its impact on current
earnings, significantly affects investors’ decisions and predicts class action lawsuits. Specifically, we find that restatements
that eliminate or shorten histories of earnings growth or positive earnings have significantly more adverse effects for investor
valuations and the likelihood of lawsuits than other restatements. This evidence about the value-relevance of refreshing the
historical record of earnings is pertinent to the FASB’s recent cautious expansion of the scope of circumstances that require
a restatement of financial information in FAS 154.
相似文献
Min WuEmail: |
7.
Shai Levi 《Review of Accounting Studies》2008,13(1):1-21
This study investigates firms’ decisions to disclose accruals information in earnings press releases versus to provide it
only in 10-Q filings and the impact of this disclosure on the pricing of accruals. I find that firms disclose accruals in
their press releases when earnings alone are a weak indication of cash flow performance and that following these disclosures
the accruals information is fully impounded into stock prices. The evidence suggests that when investor demand for accruals
is likely to exist and firms disclose the information in earnings press releases, the mispricing typically associated with
accruals is mitigated.
相似文献
Shai LeviEmail: |
8.
Firm diversification and earnings management: evidence from seasoned equity offerings 总被引:4,自引:3,他引:1
Chee Yeow Lim Tiong Yang Thong David K. Ding 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,30(1):69-92
Popular press suggests that diversified firms are more aggressive in managing earnings than non-diversified firms. We examine
this claim in the seasoned equity offering (SEO) setting, where firms have been shown to have the incentive to manage earnings
upwards. Using the cross-sectional modified Jones [(1991) J Accounting Res 29:193–228] model to measure discretionary current accruals, we find that discretionary current accruals
are higher among diversified firms than in non-diversified ones. Our evidence is consistent with the view that the extent
of firm diversification is directly related to the degree of earnings management. We further show that diversified issuers
with high discretionary accruals underperformed other SEO firms.
相似文献
David K. DingEmail: |
9.
We investigate if the SEC’s recently mandated disclosure of fees for audit and nonaudit services paid by firms to their incumbent auditors affected the market’s perception of auditor independence and earnings quality. Following the initial fee disclosures in 2001, we find that the market valuation of quarterly earnings surprises (earnings response coefficient) was significantly lower for firms with high levels of nonaudit fees than for firms with low levels of such fees. In contrast, in the year prior to the new fee disclosures, there was no reduction in earnings response coefficients for firms that subsequently reported high nonaudit fees. Our evidence suggests that mandated fee disclosures provided new information that was viewed by the market as relevant to appraising auditor independence and earnings quality.
相似文献
Bin KeEmail: |
10.
We find no evidence of accrual mispricing for firms that disclose accrual information at earnings announcements. For these
firms, the market differentiates the discretionary from the nondiscretionary components of the earnings surprise. In contrast,
the market fails to distinguish between the discretionary and the nondiscretionary components of the earnings surprise for
firms that do not disclose accrual information at earnings announcements. These firms experience some stock price correction
around the filing date. However, the correction is only partial, resulting in a post-filing drift.
相似文献
Henock LouisEmail: |
11.
The contextual nature of the predictive power of statistically-based quarterly earnings models 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
We present new empirical evidence on the contextual nature of the predictive power of five statistically-based quarterly earnings
expectation models evaluated on a holdout period spanning the twelve quarters from 2000–2002. In marked contrast to extant
time-series work, the random walk with drift (RWD) model provides significantly more accurate pooled, one-step-ahead quarterly
earnings predictions for a sample of high-technology firms (n = 202). In similar predictive comparisons, the Griffin-Watts (GW) ARIMA model provides significantly more accurate quarterly
earnings predictions for a sample of regulated firms (n = 218). Finally, the RWD and GW ARIMA models jointly dominate the other expectation models (i.e., seasonal random walk with
drift, the Brown-Rozeff (BR) and Foster (F) ARIMA models) for a default sample of firms (n = 796). We provide supplementary analyses that document the: (1) increased frequency of the number of loss quarters experienced
by our sample firms in the holdout period (2000–2002) vis-à-vis the identification period (1990–1999); (2) reduced levels
of earnings persistence for our sample firms relative to earnings persistence factors computed by Baginski et al. (2003) during earlier time periods (1970s–1980s); (3) relative impact on the predictive ability of the five expectation models
conditioned upon the extent of analyst coverage of sample firms (i.e., no coverage, moderate coverage, and extensive coverage);
and (4) sensitivity of predictive performance across subsets of regulated firms with the BR ARIMA model providing the most
accurate predictions for utilities (n = 87) while the RWD model is superior for financial institutions (n = 131).
相似文献
Kenneth S. Lorek (Corresponding author)Email: |
G. Lee WillingerEmail: |
12.
David Abad Sonia Sanabria José Yagüe 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(3):287-308
Using Spanish data, this paper examines, for the first time, the differences in the intraday response of an order-driven market
to earnings announcements made during trading and non-trading hours. We show that the speed of reaction depends on timing
of the announcement: for overnight (daytime) announcements, the improvement in liquidity is (not) immediate. This finding
could explain why Spanish firms prefer to release the bad (good) earnings announcement in trading (non-trading) hours. This
strategic timing differs from the traditional disclosure policy in American markets, suggesting that different microstructures
may react differently to news releases and, consequently, drive the strategic timing of corporate disclosures.
相似文献
José Yagüe (Corresponding author)Email: |
13.
We condition security price reactions to quarterly earnings announcements on whether firms disclose supplementary balance
sheet and/or cashflow information that can be used to estimate the consequences of earnings management. Disclosure of supplementary
information is voluntary, and thus, we consider the possibility that firms that disclose balance sheet and/or cashflow information
differ systematically from firms that do not disclose. Results indicate that investors discount evidence of earnings management
at the disclosure date when supplementary information is disclosed. Such results indicate more informed earnings interpretations
of quarterly earnings when firms provide balance sheet and/or cashflow information concurrently.
相似文献
William R. BaberEmail: |
14.
Louis T. W. Cheng Hung-Gay Fung Tak Yan Leung 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(1):23-54
The literature has suggested that earnings and earnings forecasts provide stronger signals than dividends about future performance
of a firm. We test the information effects of simultaneous announcement of earnings and dividends in the Hong Kong market,
distinguished by three interesting features (concentrated family-shareholdings, low corporate transparency, and no tax on
dividends). Our results show significant share price reactions to unexpected earnings and dividend changes, but dividends
appear to play a dominant role over earnings in pricing, a result contrary to findings in the literature. The signaling hypothesis
works primarily for firms with earning increases, while the maturity hypothesis works mainly for firms with earnings declines.
相似文献
Tak Yan LeungEmail: |
15.
We provide an alternative explanation for the previous finding of analysts’ overreaction to extreme good news in earnings.
We show that such finding could be a result of analysts’ rational behavior in the face of high earnings uncertainty rather
than their cognitive bias. Extreme earnings performance tends to be associated with higher earnings uncertainty that generally
leads to more forecast optimism. Once this effect is accounted for, the univariate result of analysts’ overreaction to extreme
good news in earnings is subsumed, leaving only their underreaction in general.
相似文献
Jian XueEmail: |
16.
The persistence of earnings per share 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
Luis A. Gil-Alana Rolando F. Peláez 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(4):425-439
The persistence of innovations to accounting earnings per share, EPS, has important implications for equity valuation, yet
it remains a largely neglected subject. This paper employs various empirical tests in order to measure the persistence of
shocks to EPS for the S&P 500 index. Within the I(0)/I(1) paradigm the empirical evidence rejects the I(1) specification, supporting instead a trend-stationary representation. When fractional orders of integration are considered,
the results indicate that the detrended series is long memory (d > 0) and mean reverting (d < 1). The responses decay slowly to zero, albeit 50 quarters after an initial shock the responses remain significantly different
from zero. Likewise, the variance ratio evidence suggests that the effect of a shock persists over time spans characteristic
of the business cycle.
相似文献
Rolando F. Peláez (Corresponding author)Email: |
17.
We examine stock sales as a managerial incentive to help explain the discontinuity around the analyst forecast benchmark. We find that the likelihood of just meeting versus just missing the analyst forecast is strongly associated with subsequent managerial stock sales. Moreover, we provide evidence that managers manage earnings prior to just meeting the threshold and selling their shares. Finally, the relation between just meeting and subsequently selling shares does not hold for non-manager insiders, who arguably cannot affect the earnings outcome, and is weaker in the presence of an independent board, suggesting that good corporate governance mitigates this strategic behavior.
相似文献
Vicki Wei TangEmail: |
18.
Rong-Ruey Duh Wen-Chih Lee Chi-Yun Hua 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(1):33-59
This paper examines whether non-audit service provision impairs auditor independence, and whether the degree of auditor independence
in Taiwan changed in the wake of the 2004 Procomp scandal. The auditors involved in the Procomp affair were suspended from
practice for 2 years and were sued, and we posit that these unprecedented sanctions and litigation affected subsequent auditor
behavior. Considering the measurement errors involved in discretionary accruals, we propose an alternative analytic approach
in which the dependent variable in the regression analysis is the difference between audited earnings and forecast earnings,
scaled by total assets, and the primary independent variable is the non-audit fees ratio. After controlling for the effects
of financial leverage, operating and market performance, industry, company size, audit firm size, management forecast error,
and management attempts to manipulate earnings, regression analysis indicates that the coefficient for non-audit fees ratio
is negative and significant in 2003 but not in 2004. Using non-audit fees instead of non-audit fees ratio to conduct the regression
analysis yields similar results. This finding is consistent with the notion that auditors make a trade-off between gaining
service fees and avoiding litigation and reputation loss. Limitations and policy implications are also offered.
相似文献
Chi-Yun HuaEmail: |
19.
Do core and non-core cash flows from operations persist differentially in predicting future cash flows? 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This study investigates the persistence of cash flow components (core and non-core cash flows) using a cash flow prediction
model. By extending the Barth, Cram, and Nelson (Account Rev 76(January):27–58, 2001) model, we examine the role of cash flow components in predicting future cash flows beyond that of accrual components. We
propose a cash flow prediction model that decomposes cash flows from operations into core and non-core cash flow components
that parallel the presentation and format of operating income from the income statement. Consistent with the AICPA and financial
analysts’ recommendations, and as predicted, we find that core and non-core cash flows defined in our paper are differentially
persistent in predicting future cash flows; and these cash flow components enhance the in-sample predictive ability of cash
flow prediction models. We also analyze the association of in-sample prediction errors with earnings, cash flow and accruals
variability. We find that disaggregating cash flows improve in-sample prediction, especially for large firms with high cash
flows and earnings variability.
相似文献
Dana Hollie (Corresponding author)Email: |
20.
Marcel Naujoks Kevin Aretz Alexander G. Kerl Andreas Walter 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2009,23(1):3-29
We employ an innovative methodology suggested by Bernhardt et al. (J. Financ. Econ. 80:657–675, 2006) to examine the herding (or anti-herding) behavior of German analysts regarding earnings forecasts. This methodology avoids
well-known shortcomings often encountered in related studies, such as correlated information signals, unexpected common shocks
to earnings, systematic optimism or pessimism, or forecast target mismeasurement. Our findings suggest that German analysts
anti-herd, that is, they systematically issue earnings forecasts that are further away from the consensus forecast than their
private information indicates. Furthermore, we analyze the association between herding behavior and different characteristics,
including the size of the brokerage, general or firm-specific experience, and the coverage of firms on the Neuer Markt. We mainly confirm findings for the United States, for example, that anti-herding is more severe in cases of higher competition
among analysts. Contrary to anecdotal evidence, we also find anti-herding behavior in earnings forecasts for Neuer Markt firms during the “new economy” bubble.
相似文献
Andreas Walter (Corresponding author)Email: |