金融支持路径对风电产业技术创新影响的比较研究

寻找有效的金融支持路径对我国风电产业突破技术瓶颈具有重要意义。以风电产业为研究对象,建立协整与误差修正模型,分析金融支持与技术创新间的长期及短期均衡关系,在此基础上应用典型相关分析对金融支持与技术创新的具体关系进行讨论。研究表明：金融支持与技术创新间存在长期正向均衡关系,当技术创新水平偏离均衡状态时,误差修正项的反向修正机制可使其恢复到长期均衡;政府补贴对代表技术创新产出的专利数有正向推动作用,银行信贷额对研发支出和固定资产投入具有正向推动作用,股票市场对技术创新的作用不显著。     

对金融活动公平性的伦理关注

在世界金融发展中,金融活动的公平性已经成为金融发展的重要标志之一。中国金融活动的公平问题亦是一个难以回避的问题,对中国金融公平性的关注,不只是对金融活动的伦理关注,也是对金融活动自身完善性的表现。在中国现代金融建设中,如何体现金融活动的公平性是一项长期而艰难的任务,是金融业健康发展的内在动力。     

THE STRUCTURE OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

Since most studies of the financial services industry have viewed the structure of the industry as fixed, there has been little discussion of its determinants. Events of the past few years make it clear that the structure of the financial services industry is changing much more rapidly than it did between the end of World War II and the mid 1960's. This paper categorizes and discusses the major factors affecting the structure of the financial services industry. The concept of supply and demand provides a useful framework for categorizing these factors. Demand is best analyzed in terms of the demand for various characteristics or attributes of financial services. These include: 1) yield; 2) liquidity; 3) safety; 4) convenience of access to the services, 5) financial advice or information. The demand for these various characteristics or attributes depends importantly on demographic and economic factors
The supply of financial services is determined by the cost curves associated with those services which are in turn determined by the cost of the factors of production and the underlying production function. Three aspects of these cost curves have an important effect on the supply of financial services and the structure of the industry — economies of scale, economies of joint production and distribution, and the management of risk. The nature of the cost and production functions underlying the supply of financial services and the structure of the industry is affected by several exogenous factors. Foremost among them are the economy, technology, regulation, and the role of the Federal government in financial service markets
Based on the discussion of how the various exogenous factors affect the structure of the financial services industry, an attempt is made to predict how structure will change as deregulation occurs.     

“后危机”时代大连市会展业发展对策

金融危机在给大连市会展业带来不利影响的同时,也为其带来了发展的机遇。大连市会展业要进一步完善会展管理体制,创新展会运营模式,合理规划使用展馆,注重对会展人才的培养,以促进其会展业的健康发展。     

Bayesian analysis of Hong Kong's housing price dynamics

This paper uses a Bayesian vector‐autoregressive model with sign restrictions to estimate the underlying drivers of Hong Kong's housing price dynamics in the short run. While existing studies are useful in analysing housing valuation, little attention has been paid to the short‐run dynamics. In contrast, the present paper identifies short‐run drivers of housing prices using structural identification with theoretical underpinnings. We find that among the shocks that we have identified, bank lending shock and housing supply shock were the main factors affecting Hong Kong's housing prices. Low mortgage rates were another key factor that led to the significant increase in housing prices after the global financial crisis.     

Australian Specific Bank Features and the Impact of Income Diversification on Bank Performance and Risk

Since financial market deregulation, Australian banks have significantly diversified from a dependence on simple products such as interest‐bearing loans to a broader range of financial products services. Such initiatives have transformed the structure of the Australian banking industry and are destined to receive scrutiny following the announcement of Australia's financial services inquiry. Against the common view that attempts by firms to diversify can be expected to impact negatively on financial performance, we find no strong evidence to suggest that diversification has been unfavourable to the performance of Australian banks. We find rather that Australia's banks have improved their risk‐return profiles as an outcome of diversification.     

Multinationals, Endogenous Growth, and Technological Spillovers: Theory and Evidence*

FDI has received surprisingly little attention in theoretical and empirical work on openness and growth. This paper presents a theoretical growth model where MNCs directly affect the endogenous growth rate via technological spillovers. This is novel since other endogenous growth models with MNCs, e.g. the Grossman–Helpman model, assume away the knowledge‐spillovers aspect of FDI. We also present econometric evidence (using industry‐level data from seven OECD nations) that broadly supports the model. Specifically, we find industry‐level scale effects and international knowledge spillovers that are unrelated to FDI, but we also find that bilateral spillovers are boosted by bilateral FDI.     

基于BSC与EVA结合的企业绩效评价体系的构建

企业绩效评价越来越多地受到理论界与实务界的关注。采用EVA与BSC结合的绩效评价指标的运用可以提高企业的整体管理水平,从而使企业具有一定的竞争力。通过对企业绩效评价指标体系的概述,以乳品行业为例,分析了乳品行业的背景,构建了乳品行业的业绩评价体系,并根据乳产品的特性增加了质量维度,从内部业务流程维度、顾客与财务等五个维度进行设计评价体系,从而得出了绩效评价结果,以为企业的绩效评价提供切实参考。     

奥巴马政府采取新的政策加强网络安全管理

美国历届政府重视信息安全。Google事件以后,美国高调呼吁网络信息自由,但同时积极强化自身网络安全。奥巴马新政府上任一年多来,尽管面临化解金融危机、应对气候变化、发展新能源经济等系列难题,但更加重视网络安全,并围绕加强网络安全管理,采取了新的政策。     

中国金融产业集聚空间格局与影响因素——基于地理探测器模型的研究

研究金融产业集聚的空间格局及其影响因素,对于优化金融资源空间配置和加快推动金融产业集聚具有重要意义。基于高德地图提取的POI数据共计250522个兴趣点,运用核密度方法,对我国金融业以及银行、保险、证券业等细分行业的空间格局进行了研究;运用地理探测器模型,对金融产业集聚的影响因素进行了分析。结果表明:①无论从金融产业整体还是细分行业的空间格局来看,以胡焕庸线为界,东南半壁始终占据显著优势;②金融产业集聚最为显著的区域主要集中在长三角、京津冀和珠三角城市群,北京、上海始终处于高集聚区;③影响东部、中部和西部地区金融产业集聚的主要因子不同,伴随着经济发展水平的提升,对外开放水平、人力资源、信息流动、规模经济、政府行为等因子的作用逐渐凸显,城乡居民储蓄、工业化水平等因子的作用逐步减弱;④不同影响因子两两之间的交互作用都呈现了增强关系,主要表现为非线性增强和双因子增强,没有出现减弱和独立的关系。2010年,对外开放水平和其他因子的交互作用对于金融业集聚影响的强化作用较为显著;2016年,影响因子的交互作用比较均衡,人力资源和其他因子的交互作用对于金融业集聚影响的强化作用较为显著。     

Notes on partnerships in the services sector

Although in most developed countries the service sector is almost as large as the industry sector, little attention has been paid to its industrial organization. These notes are concerned with only one problem: why partnership, as a form of economic organization, is more popular in some industries within the services sector, while it occurs less frequently in other. Without refuting other possible explanations, we shall argue that partnerships are more frequent in consulting service industries than in other service industries and this form of organization comes to save consumers' time as well as other consulting fees in exactly the same way as the clustering phenomena emerge in the industry sector to save consumers' search time.     

Expectations, the business cycle and the Mexican peso crisis

The 1994–95 ‘peso’ crisis did not displaycharacteristics which allow it to be easily captured by traditionalcrisis models. Models based on Minsky's financial fragilityhypothesis offer more persuasive accounts but have been supportedby relatively little direct empirical evidence. This paper providessuch evidence, with particular attention being paid to the roleof domestic financial liberalisation in the process. Minsky'shypotheses about the evolution of expectations over the businesscycle are tracked using business survey data. In addition, crisisindicators are constructed, reflecting the changing vulnerabilityof the economy to shocks. The findings support a Minskyian interpretationof the crisis.     

科技创新创业金融政策满意度研究

首先分析了陕西省科技创新创业的金融环境,然后评价创业者对金融政策各指标的关注度和满意度,并运用四分象限图法寻找关键影响因素,最后从创业者视角研究了创业者对陕西省金融政策的直接诉求。结果发现,政府需加强金融理念创新、体制创新、商业模式创新、产品与服务创新、管理创新以及风险防范创新,为创业者营造完善的金融运行机制,而非直接资助或对企业进行补贴。     

江苏省金融业投入产出分析

主要应用投入产出分析方法及其模型,依据江苏省2007年投入产出表数据资料,计算出金融业及各部门的直接消耗系数、完全消耗系数、感应度系数等有关指标,从总产出及其使用情况、总投入及其结构、直接产业关联和完全产业关联等角度,就金融业对江苏省经济的直接影响和完全影响进行了实证分析。分析结果表明江苏省金融业是江苏省经济体系中极为重要的产业组成部分,但与其他产业关联度不高,对经济发展的拉动作用较弱,属于强制约力、弱辐射力的产业。     

生产性服务业对制造业集聚、竞争力提升的影响及两产业耦合关联的实证研究

运用DEA模型、显示性比较优势指数和协整耦合关联度,对我国长三角区域和珠三角区域的生产性服务业与制造业集聚和竞争力提升的关联以及两类产业的耦合关联进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:长三角区域的金融保险业和房地产业以及珠三角区域的交通运输物流仓储及邮电通讯业和金融保险业分别与本区域的制造业集聚显著正相关;长三角区域和珠三角区域的生产性服务业各细分行业对本区域制造业竞争力的提升有促进作用,但其增值贡献较小;生产性服务业与制造业之间存在耦合关联,但存在生产性服务业推动制造业耦合结果显著性的非对称差异,且长三角区域的该方面差异表现略大。     

The Joint Distribution of Net Worth and Pension Wealth in Germany

The research on wealth inequality has generally focused on real and financial assets, while giving little attention to pension wealth: the present value of future pension entitlements from public and company pension schemes. This is surprising given the important role pension plans play in guaranteeing material security and well‐being for a majority of the population, and suggests that they should be accounted for in peoples’ wealth portfolios. Using novel data from the Socio‐Economic Panel (SOEP), we study the incidence, relevance, and distribution of individual pension wealth, net worth, and augmented wealth (the sum of the two) in Germany. Further, we investigate age‐wealth profiles and differences between East and West Germany.     

Impact of the GST and Wine Tax Reform on Australia’s Wine Industry: A CGE Analysis

This study analyses the impacts of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) introduced on 1 July 2000, and the associated wine tax reform, on both the premium and non‐premium segments of the grape and wine industry using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Australian economy. Through input cost reductions, the grape and wine industry is projected to gain from the GST tax package. Thus the industry can still gain even though wine consumption is taxed a little more heavily after than before the introduction of the GST. This is particularly so for the export‐oriented premium wine segment. A switch from the current ad valorem to a revenue‐neutral volumetric tax on wine under the GST is shown also to favour the premium segment of the industry, but at the expense of the non‐premium segment.     

MUTUAL VERSUS PROPRIETARY OWNERSHIP: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY FROM THE UK UNIT TRUST INDUSTRY WITH A COMPANY‐PRODUCT MEASURE

ABSTRACT ** : In the debate of the relative merits of differing ownership forms, most empirical studies examine either corporate performance or the product characteristics of the financial products that are available in the financial services industry. Based on the UK unit trust industry, this paper assesses which ownership form, mutual or proprietary is more efficient in managing unit trust operations and providing high return generating unit trusts. Using a combined corporate performance and product range performance metric, this study reveals no significant differences between the two ownership forms in terms of the corporate‐product performance score. The results indicate that the owner‐customer fused role in the mutual organization must be considered in the mutual versus proprietary ownership debate.     

Are Islamic Banks More Resilient During Financial Panics?

Islamic banking is one of the fastest growing segments of the financial sector in developing countries. Rapid growth of this segment is accompanied with claims about its relative resilience to financial crises as compared to conventional banking. However, little empirical evidence is available to support such claims. Using data from Pakistan, where Islamic and conventional banks co‐exist, we compare the behaviour of Islamic and conventional banks during a financial panic. Our results show that Islamic bank branches are less prone to deposit withdrawals during financial panics, both unconditionally and after controlling for bank characteristics. The Islamic branches of banks that have both Islamic and conventional operations tend to attract (rather than lose) deposits during panics, which suggests a role for religious branding. We also find that Islamic bank branches grant more loans during financial panics and that their lending decisions are less sensitive to changes in deposits. Our findings suggest that greater financial inclusion of faith‐based groups may enhance the stability of the banking system.     

CROSS‐COUNTRY CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF THE 2008 CRISIS: INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES AND AMERICAN EXPOSURE

We model the causes of the 2008 financial crisis together with its manifestations, using a cross‐country multiple indicator multiple cause model. We consider both national and, critically, international linkages between countries and potential crisis ‘epicentres’, including the United States. A country holding an epicentre's securities is exposed through a financial channel, while a country that exports to that epicentre is exposed through a real channel. We are unable to find strong evidence that international linkages can be associated with crisis incidence. In particular, exposure to the United States in either form has little impact. If anything, it appears to help.