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1.
我国入境旅游客源市场竞争态分析及对策 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
杨智勇 《内蒙古财经学院学报》2005,(4)
通过聚类分析法,利用spss软件分析了我国入境旅游客源市场近年的分布情况;利用波士顿矩阵法,建立了我国入境旅游客源市场的竞争态模型,并深入分析了各市场在入境旅游竞争中所处的地位与态势,为我国入境旅游业的发展战略的制定和市场开拓提出了政策建议. 相似文献
2.
以1997—2007年以上海入境旅游市场统计数据为依据,对上海入境旅游市场现状进行了分析.通过对11年上海市海外客源市场结构、格局、旅游者消费等相关数据的分析,对上海入境旅游市场存在的问题提出了进一步发展的策略。 相似文献
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内蒙古入境旅游市场特征分析与预测 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在分析内蒙古入境旅游市场发展总体特征的基础上,根据内蒙古1980-2009年入境旅游人数和入境旅游收入数据,利用Logistic模型对"十二五"期间内蒙古入境旅游业的发展进行了预测与分析,得到的结果能够帮助我们把握"十二五"期间入境旅游业的变动趋势,并寻求最佳的调控办法。 相似文献
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中国1987~2006年金融体系脆弱性的判断与测度 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
关于金融系统性风险状况的判断,一直是研究的难点和热点。本文在前人研究的基础上,利用动态因子分析的方法,构建了季度的金融脆弱性指数,对我国1987—2006年的金融系统脆弱性进行评估与判断,并对主要风险来源和演变过程给出分析。主要得到如下几点结论:一、在过去二十年中,约有20%的时间是极度脆弱的,主要表现在1994年以前。二、金融脆弱性总体呈现下降趋势,但在1999—2002年表现出上升趋势。三、不同风险演变路径不同。1987—2006二十年里,流动性风险是主要风险来源,但其呈显著下降趋势,而信贷风险和市场风险并没有下降趋势,相反自2005年开始呈现不断上升的态势。这些结论也与定性分析的结果相一致。 相似文献
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本文阐释了基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险形成机制,据此建立了分阶段、跨部门的房地产市场的系统性金融风险网络模型,并运用2006-2017年16家上市银行数据,分析和测度了我国房价大幅下跌所引发的系统性金融风险水平和结构,构建了基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险预警指标并进行测算。研究发现:在房价下跌30%的压力情景下,我国金融体系的潜在总损失总体呈级数式上升,年均增长22.70%;基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险值(SR)呈现先上升后波动下降的总体趋势;系统性金融风险(SR)的脆弱性指标(FLI)整体呈现波浪式振荡变化,且与房地产贷款/权益整体呈反向变动,系统性金融风险(SR)的传染性指标(CTI)在2012-2017年呈持续下降趋势,且与金融市场压力指数、金融机构间资产占总资产比重呈现出高度的一致性变化趋势。最后,基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险预警指标(SRWI)值呈收敛式振荡走势,表明基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险总体可控且呈收敛式下降。 相似文献
7.
近年来,由于国际金融环境的变动,尤其是国际金融市场直接融资的迅速增长、资产证券化趋势的加强,加上世界经济的不景气,国际银行信贷总体呈现下降趋势。同时由于美、日、欧各国银行体系、政策不同,国际金融环境对美、日、欧各国银行的影响程度也不同,相比之下,美国银行在经历了80年代的急剧下降后,目前地位有所回升;日本银行在经历了80年代的迅速扩张后。 相似文献
8.
本文以IPO审计报告为研究对象,通过对比二级市场,从数量、内容和形式三个方面刻画了2018—2020年间IPO企业关键审计事项的披露全貌:在数量上,不同行业差别较大,均值与二级市场没有显著差别,但呈现下降和集中分布趋势;在内容上,较二级市场更明显集中于收入和应收款项减值且也呈现逐年集中,确认理由主要是事项重要性和重大估计,平均出现的理由次数超过了两个且呈现增加趋势,仅少数事项披露了审计结论但主要采用积极的语气;在形式上,主要采用纯文本和合并披露方式,详细度和精确度较二级市场更高,且呈现进一步提升趋势;而四大所在数量和形式上均好于非四大所。这些结论为了解IPO企业的关键审计事项披露情况提供了依据。 相似文献
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本文阐释了基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险形成机制,据此建立了分阶段、跨部门的房地产市场的系统性金融风险网络模型,并运用2006-2017年16家上市银行数据,分析和测度了我国房价大幅下跌所引发的系统性金融风险水平和结构,构建了基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险预警指标并进行测算。研究发现:在房价下跌30%的压力情景下,我国金融体系的潜在总损失总体呈级数式上升,年均增长22.70%;基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险值(SR)呈现先上升后波动下降的总体趋势;系统性金融风险(SR)的脆弱性指标(FLI)整体呈现波浪式振荡变化,且与房地产贷款/权益整体呈反向变动,系统性金融风险(SR)的传染性指标(CTI)在2012-2017年呈持续下降趋势,且与金融市场压力指数、金融机构间资产占总资产比重呈现出高度的一致性变化趋势。最后,基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险预警指标(SRWI)值呈收敛式振荡走势,表明基于房地产市场的系统性金融风险总体可控且呈收敛式下降。 相似文献
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步入2011年的首个交易月份,现券市场变化相对平缓,但是资金市场则明显波澜。在1月份中,市场的关注焦点集中在资金面的波动上。一、银行间市场利率变化一览1月份长期利率整体呈现先抑后扬态势,利率波动浮动大约在20BP区间,总体上基本稳定,但是当月短期资金利率的波动历史罕见。 相似文献
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《Global Finance Journal》2014,25(1):17-26
This paper investigates how global market sentiment propagates among the markets and how the interdependency through the propagation changes during the course of the US subprime crisis. We adopt a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, and use a sample of eight global markets: Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Belgium, Germany, Netherlands, UK, and the Eurozone in our investigation. Our results identify that: (1) a long-run equilibrium relationship existed between market sentiment in the US and other major global markets during the subprime crisis period; (2) a global contagion of market sentiment occurred from the US market on September 15, 2008 to Japan, Korea, Belgium, Germany, Netherlands, and the Eurozone; and (3) the major global markets are all interrelated. 相似文献
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Financial integration for emerging economies should be seen as a long-term objective. In this paper, we examine stock market integration among five selected emerging stock markets (Brazil, China, Mexico, Russia and Turkey) and developed markets of the US, UK and Germany. The bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modeling are used on monthly data from January 2001 to December 2014 to determine the short-run and long-run relationship between emerging stock market returns and the returns of the developed stock markets. The results show evidence of the existence of short-run integration among stock markets in emerging countries and the developed markets. However, the long-run coefficients for stock market returns in all emerging countries show a significant relationship only with Germany stock market return. The empirical findings in this study have important implications for academicians, international investors, and policymakers in emerging markets. 相似文献
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We empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market and world oil prices in the period 1997:10–2012:02. We also analyze countries that can be considered to be relatively similar to Russia, e.g., Poland, the Czech Republic, and South Africa. First, we apply a rolling regression to identify periods when oil prices or stock indices in the United States and Japan were important. Surprisingly, oil prices are not significant for the Russian stock market after 2006. Second, we employ a TGARCH-BEKK model to assess the degree of correlation between the markets in question, taking into account the global market stochastic trend. Correlation between markets increased between 2000 and 2012. 相似文献
14.
Rising asset prices spurred by Asia's emerging economy have drawn much attention recently. This study examines one source of growth patterns in asset prices by analyzing the integration relationship between stock markets and real estate markets in Asia. Six economies are selected for empirical analysis: China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan. Results show that stock markets are integrated with real estate markets in Japan, and partially integrated with real estate markets in China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. This implies that these two investment vehicles are substitutable in China, Hong Kong, Japan, and Taiwan, and provide diversification potential for investment portfolios in South Korea and Singapore. Examining the timing of market changes, we found the real estate market leading the stock market in some countries, and the stock market leading the real estate market in others. We conclude that stock and real estate markets show a variety of inter-relationships depending on economic and political policy environments. 相似文献
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We contribute to the literature by providing a more comprehensive understanding of the impact the euro has had on financial market integration with economies of different characteristics outside and within the European market via inclusion of market conditions influence on the level of financial integration. Our paper employs the recently developed cross-quantilogram (Han et al., 2016) approach to examine quantile dependence between the conditional stock return distributions of Germany and the UK with that of three common currency groups within EMU (Finland, France, and Italy), two global leading markets (the US and Japan), and two of the most promising emerging markets (China and India). We find three key results. First, both the EU membership and the common currency union affect the degree of financial market integration. Nevertheless, disentangling the effects of EU membership from the common currency shows that the common currency group has an additional impact on financial integration, as the degree of dependence is stronger in the common currency group than in the sovereign currency group and other groups. Second, there is a heterogeneous dependence structure, which is strongly observed for the UK and German stock returns with that of developed (the US and Japan) and emerging markets (India and China). Third, cross-quantile correlations change over time, especially in low and high quantiles, indicating that they are prone to jumps and discontinuities in the dependence structure. As far as we are aware, this is the first study in this field employing a cross-quantilogram method to examine the impact of different market conditions on the correlations, making our study a pioneer in the field of stock market integration. 相似文献
16.
This study analyzes why the negative momentum effect appears in Asian (China, Japan, Korea) stock markets, contrary to the U.S. market. We use principal component momentum (PMOM), a newly devised momentum measure. The PMOM is constructed by extracting commonalities from traditional momentum measures using principal component analysis. The results show evidence of positive and negative momentum profits in the U.S. and Asian markets, respectively. Negative momentum profits in Asian markets are attributable to the strong performance reversal of small stocks in the loser portfolio. Conversely, the positive momentum profits of the U.S. market are driven by the performance continuity of small stocks in the winner portfolio. The PMOM strategy is significantly more advantageous than traditional momentum strategies, based on the economic and statistical perspectives of momentum profits. These results are robust to changes in empirical designs. 相似文献
17.
中小企业债券市场发展:国际经验与创新借鉴 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
本文在对中国中小企业债券市场发展历程、现状和存在的问题进行分析的基础上,结合美国等国家中小企业债券市场发展的经验和趋势,探讨中国中小企业债券市场在多层次资本市场体系中的地位、发展路径和产品的创新,并在中小企业信息收集和信息共享机制、政府角色方面提出若干政策建议。 相似文献
18.
This paper analyzes stock returns and volatility relations between the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) and the global market as represented by stock markets in the US, the UK, Japan and Germany. Results from monthly data and multivariate cointegration tests suggest that the ISE became significantly integrated in the global market only in the period following market liberalization in late 1989. We also find evidence based on GARCH estimations that capital liberalization actually mitigated, rather than intensified, volatility in the ISE. Our results further suggest that the Asian crisis in mid‐1997 and the consequent Russian economic meltdown in mid‐1998 are partly responsible for the recent excessive volatility in the Turkish market. The results also identify the US and the UK markets as dominate sources of volatility spillovers for the ISE, even in the period following the Asian‐Russian crises. Consequently, it appears that the two matured markets of the US and the UK shoulder significant responsibility for the stability and financial health of smaller emerging markets like the ISE. 相似文献
19.
《Global Finance Journal》2001,12(1):79-93
This study examines continuous time variation paths of sensitivities of the Hong Kong and South Korea stock markets to the US stock market and bond market (proxied by long-term interest rates) by using the Flexible Least Squares (FLS) estimation technique. The FLS findings suggest that changes in both the US stock market and US long-term interest rates may simultaneously have significant effects on the Hong Kong stock market in some time periods. In other periods, neither may have significant effects on the Hong Kong stock market. The results also indicate that the South Korea stock market is overall insensitive to changes in the US capital markets. However, it becomes more sensitive in the 1990s. Some macroeconomic variables may explain changes in the sensitivities of the Hong Kong and South Korea stock markets to changes in the US capital markets. 相似文献
20.
This study explores the issue of financial integration among stock markets of ASEAN5 economies, plus China (mainland China and Hong Kong), Japan and South Korea (referred to as ASEAN5+4). Using both graph theory and a Vector Autoregressive (VAR)-based method, together with a rolling window approach, we show that the level of interconnectedness among these markets is high but with clear time varying patterns. A large share of this seemingly high level of integration is shown to be driven by common global factors. After filtering these factors from each stock market, the magnitude of interconnectedness falls substantially. Our results therefore suggest that stock market integration in East and Southeast Asia is not as strong as it looks. Although governments in this region have been promoting financial market collaboration and integration, barriers remain significant. The overestimated interconnectedness is mainly a simple reflection of stronger global influences on individual markets, while their interconnectedness attributable to non-global factors shows a descending trend after the crisis. 相似文献