县辖邮政储蓄经营管理中存在的问题及对策

邮政储蓄作为我国金融业的组成部分,对聚集资金,增强中央银行的宏观调控能力发挥了积极作用.但由于基层邮政储蓄经营机制的非专业化,财务核算包含在邮政业务核算中,混业经营,加上人民银行对邮政储蓄的现场和非现场监管的偏簿弱,造成管理者对邮政储蓄高级管理人员、业务运营报批报审的忽视,对储蓄业务管理的不规范,严重制约了邮政储蓄的健康发展.为此,我们组成了课题组,对邮政储蓄经营和管理现状进行研究和分析,以寻求解决存在问题的对策.     

邮政储蓄机构改革势在必行

邮政储蓄是面向居民个人，依靠邮政营业网点资源办理的零售金融业务。1986年，根据人民银行总行和邮电部联合下发《关于开办邮政储蓄的协议》，邮政储蓄业务正式运营。近二十年来，邮政储蓄存款稳步发展，规模迅猛扩大，无论是在净增额方面，还是在市场     

如何打破县域邮储资金回流的瓶颈

（一）基层邮政储蓄机构没有资金运作权。尽管国家出台了政策允许邮政储蓄的新增存款开始走向市场，自主运作，但基层邮政储蓄机构没有资金自主运用的权力。监管部门规定，邮政储蓄自主运用资金的权力集中在国家邮政总局，邮政局省级及其以下机构无权开办大额“协议存款”业务。基层邮政储蓄部门的新增存款全部上划省局，导致邮政储蓄总局大量“吸收”农村地区的资金。这种权力集中化的运作模式使“协议存款”在基层无法发挥作用，邮政储蓄资金本地化难以实施。     

邮政储蓄体制改革的国际借鉴及启示

近年来,随着我国经济金融环境的不断变化,我国邮政储蓄现行的经营模式存在的问题和缺陷日益暴露,邮政储蓄的改革势在必行。本文在借鉴有关国家和地区邮政储蓄发展模式的基础上,对加快我国邮政储蓄改革提出了政策建议。     

邮政储蓄与农村信用社协议存款运作中存在的问题与建议

国家有关降低邮政储蓄在人民银行转存款利率以及允许邮政储蓄新增存款由邮政储蓄机构自主运用等一系列改革措施的出台已半年多了，但其实质性运作仍无法推进，政策传导梗阻，有关问题亟待解决。     

邮政储蓄分账核算中存在的问题不容忽视

对邮政储蓄业务和邮政业务实行分账核算，主要是全面、真实、合理反映邮政储蓄机构的经营过程和成效，促进邮政储蓄机构建立邮政储蓄业务账务管理、财务收支、档案管理等体系．并着重建立风险分析和预警体系。最近我们在对某省邮政局邮政储汇局邮政储蓄分账核算工作的调研中发现，邮政储蓄分账核算使邮政储蓄从业人员成本效益意识和责任意识得到提高，为邮政储蓄体制改革奠定了一定基础，但是存在的问题也不容忽视。     

邮政储蓄存在的问题和建议

近两年来，人民银行连续出台了对邮政储蓄转存款的一些改革措施，2003年8月1日对邮政储蓄实行新老存款划段，老的邮政储蓄转存款实行年利率4．131％，新存款年利率为1．89％；2005年9月21日实行邮政储蓄老存款账户余额分5年转出政策。这些措施的出台，使邮政储蓄转存款利率和管理方式发生重大变化，邮政储蓄资金的运作模式主要依赖于转存至央行靠央行支付高额利息的格局被打破，对邮政储蓄资金运营、邮政储蓄管理产生了一定的影响。     

邮政储蓄资金“反哺”农村的障碍分析及建议

国务院批准的邮政储蓄改革方案要求邮政储蓄业务与邮政业务实行分账核算,独立经营,并按照金融机构改革的方向,成立了中国邮政集团控股的中国邮政储蓄银行,所有邮政金融业务划归邮政储蓄银行管理,实现金融业务规范化管理,邮政储蓄业务即将步入新的历史发展机遇期。为适应邮政储蓄改革形势发展的需要,人行安康中支及早对邮政储蓄资金"反哺"农村的障碍因素进行了专题调研分析,提出了相应的对策和建议。     

对邮政储蓄实施有效监管的五个定位

邮政储蓄自1986年恢复开办以来,在央行倾斜性政策(主要是利率方面)支持下得到迅速发展,在许多地方,市场份额已赶上甚至超过当地部分国有商业银行,成为我国金融体系中一支不可忽视的力量.邮政与电信分营后,邮政储蓄因其转存款收入稳定、无风险而成为邮政企业扭亏增效的"支柱"业务,也成为邮政储蓄机构强劲的利益驱动机制.在这种利益机制驱动下,邮政储蓄不规范经营的情况时有发生,影响当地金融秩序的稳定.在当前邮储经营体制框架下,如何实现对邮政储蓄的有效监管,遏制邮政储蓄违规经营?本文结合监管实践,认为应该做到"五个定位".     

我国邮政储蓄的现状、问题及对策

本文分析了我国邮政储蓄业务发展的现状，指出了其中存在的主要问题，并就如何完善和进一步发展我国邮政储蓄提出了政策建议。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.