中小板上市公司财务预警与实证分析

本文以我国深沪两地上市公司A股为研究对象,采用定性分析和定量分析相结合的方法,从基础指标中确定了5个指标作为模型指标(模型自变量),以这些样本企业发生财务危机前一年和前两年的数据资料为基础,建立了我国上市公司的Logistic模型.该模型的回代结果显示:在企业发生财务危机前一年,Logistic模型的回代准确率94.2%;在企业发生财务危机前两年,Logistic模型的回代准确率86.5%.最后,本文又选取了38家中小板上市公司(2004年上市),利用发生财务危机前一年的Logistic模型对其进行财务预警.     

钢铁上市公司财务绩效评价与对策分析

采用主成分分析法对我国钢铁上市公司2006年的财务绩效进行了综合评价,并分析了引起绩效优劣的动因。研究表明：2006年钢铁上市公司的综合财务绩效整体较好,仅个别企业表现不佳;大部分企业的财务核心能力接近,两端企业差异较大;财务管理的目标呈内外两极分化。同时,提出了钢铁上市公司提高财务绩效的对策。     

高速公路上市公司财务风险评价研究

在高速公路企业快速发展的同时,企业财务风险的客观存在性与风险管理的滞后性之间的矛盾逐渐显露。本文以我国高速公路上市公司2021年财务数据为研究对象,针对高速公路行业样本量小、财务风险难以评判等特点,从成本控制、资金管理、投资回收三个方面构建财务风险评价指标体系,采用CRITIC-TOPSIS-SOM模型进行财务风险评价并划分风险等级,结果表明：我国高速公路上市公司的财务风险受区域经济和经营水平的影响较大,在融资方式上积极创新、发展多元化经营可以有效降低财务风险。研究结果可以为高速公路上市公司财务风险的控制提供参考。     

基于SVM模型的上市公司财务困境预警研究

本文运用支持向量机技术,以我国上市公司为研究样本,建立了一种新型的财务困境预警模型.通过对该模型的反复调整,得到了较高的预测精度和较好的推广能力.与其它财务困境预警模型相比,我们所建立的支持向量机模型在对上市公司财务困境预警方面具有便于使用、预测精度高等特点.具有广阔的实际应用前景.     

美国上市公司财务治理的分析与借鉴

本文首先从资本结构、财权配置、激励约束机制、财务信息披露四个方面对美国上市公司的财务治理现状进行了分析,然后结合我国上市公司财务治理中存在的问题,提出了完善我国上市公司财务治理机制的具体方法。     

房地产上市公司财务风险识别及处置措施研究

论文以我国沪深两市8家房地产上市公司为研究样本,采用上市公司发生财务危机前2年的实际财务数据,选用主成分分析方法建立了财务风险识别模型,进行财务风险识别,并提出了房地产企业财务风险控制以及财务风险处置措施,如降低资产负债率、合理安排收款计划、加快房地产的变现等,为房地产企业进行财务风险管理提供参考。针对该类公司财务风险管理方面存在的一些问题提出了相应的解决对策,即调整资产负债结构、加强对外担保管理等。     

运用Z计分模型对上市公司财务风险的实证研究

本文在介绍Altman的Z计分模型的基础上,以2003年山东上市公司67只A股作样本,对上市公司财务风险进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,Z计分模型在评价企业财务风险方面具有较强的有效性。     

我国制造业上市公司财务预警研究

随着我国经济体制的不断改革,企业面对日益激烈的竞争,其陷入财务危机甚至破产的风险也越来越大。上市公司作为我国证券市场的基石,其质量好坏与证券市场的稳定与发展息息相关。而占据我国上市公司一半以上的制造业公司,更是国民经济的重要组成部分。证监会实施特别处理机制以来,先后有上百家公司被ST,其中大部分为制造业公司。因此,研究制造业公司的财务预警模型,以便于提前预测是否会发生财务危机,具有重大意义。本文在借鉴该领域前人的研究成果上,以国内制造业上市公司为样本,以是否被ST作为判别财务危机的标志,采用多元判别分析法,根据上市公司发布的2008年财务数据,建立了这类公司的财务预警模型。同时使用2010年数据对模型进行了检验。本文结论表明,我国证券市场的数据是有效的,所建立的模型能够得到较高的正确率。     

美国上市公司财务治理的分析与借鉴

本文首先从资本结构、财权配置、激励约束机制、财务信息披露四个方面对美国上市公司的财务治理现状进行了分析,然后结合我国上市公司财务治理中存在的问题,提出了完善我国上市公司财务治理机制的具体方法.     

基于主成分分析的煤炭上市公司财务绩效评价

以2013—2018年在上海交易所和深圳交易所上市的34家煤炭上市公司为研究对象,选取9个反映煤炭上市公司财务发展状况的指标,采用主成分分析法对我国煤炭上市企业的财务绩效进行评价,对同期各家上市公司的偿债、盈利、营运和发展能力进行比较。实证结果表明,在各个主成分中,盈利能力和偿债能力对煤炭上市公司的财务绩效影响较大。     

Global Financial Integration and Real Estate Security Returns

Have globalization and increasing economic and financial integration affected the rates of return of publicly traded real estate companies around the world? Using a set of multifactor models for annual data for 946 firms from 16 countries over the sample period, 1995–2002, we estimate the impact of a country's economic openness on returns of publicly traded real estate firms, controlling for the effects of global capital markets, domestic macroeconomic conditions and firm‐specific variables. We find that a country's real estate security excess (risk‐adjusted) returns are negatively related to its openness. The results are robust across different multifactor model specifications and are a testament to increasing global financial integration and its interplay with the real estate sector.     

Stock market reaction to CEO certification: the signaling role of CEO background

As a direct result of the corporate scandals that started with Enron and led to general unrest in the financial markets, the Securities and Exchange Commission required chief executive officers (CEOs) and chief financial officers of large publicly traded companies to certify their financial statements. Using market signaling theory, we propose that attributes of the CEO send important signals to the investment community as to the credibility of the CEO certification and thus the quality of the firm's financial statements, which in turn impact the stock market reaction to the CEO certification. We find that a CEO's shareholdings and external directorships are positively related to the abnormal returns of CEO certification. Further, the stock market penalizes a firm with a CEO who is associated with the firm's prior financial restatement and rewards a firm with a CEO who is appointed after the firm's prior financial restatement. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

研发补助影响企业价值的规模差异

研发补助通过两种路径影响企业价值,不同规模企业融资实力、财务约束的差异导致补助影响企业价值效果的差异。本文利用上市公司2007～2009年的数据,以股票回报率、财务业绩和市场价值作为企业价值的代理,对研发补助影响企业价值的效果及其规模差异进行了检验。发现补助并不能显著增加企业价值,但中小企业的研发补助显著增加了企业价值,对补助的负作用有显著抑制作用。本文的结论为评价和改进我国补助政策、设立中小企业创新基金提供了重要证据。     

基于产业类型的财务公司业务模式比较

本文通过对先进国家财务公司业务模式的比较研究，特别是针对石油化工、汽车、信息通信和电气等四个行业的大型跨国公司附属财务公司的比较研究，发现不同行业的财务公司具有明显的业务模式特征。这种基于产业类型的财务公司的业务拓展模式有别于任何其他金融机构，这对中国企业集团财务公司的发展具有重要借鉴意义。中国的财务公司应在业务准确定位的基础上，拓展和产业相关的业务模式，这样才能在整个金融服务体系中形成自己的竞争优势，并更好地为企业集团的产业发展提供服务。     

The Effects of the Real Estate Crisis on Institutional Stock Prices

This article investigates the contagious movement of financial institutions' common stock prices in response to real estate news. The basic hypothesis is that because real estate assets are traded infrequently, the market has incomplete information about their true value. The stock price reaction by banks, thrifts and insurance companies to announcements of poorly performing real estate portfolios is studied. Consistent with the hypothesis, significantly negative reactions obtain, both within and across industries, to these announcements. Reflecting the differential regulatory environment and disclosure policies, insurance companies, in general, react more strongly to adverse real estate news. Also, the price reaction of an individual firm is significantly associated with the level of its real estate exposure.     

Broad-Based Employee Ownership and Labour Productivity During the 2008 Recession: Evidence from Public Firms in Europe

Did publicly traded European firms with employee ownership (EO) realize higher firm performance during or after the Great Recession? Contributing to the growing interest in exploring the association between EO and firm performance during and after the 2008 economic crisis, we draw on a longitudinal sample of 4,259 firm-years representing 892 publicly traded firms from 28 European countries. The results show that compared to firms without EO, those with EO experienced higher firm performance during or after the recession, albeit with small effect size. Consistent with past findings, we found that firms with EO were less likely to lower their employee count during or after the recession. Findings are robust to controlling for contemporaneous endogeneity and alternate specifications. Our results indicate that publicly traded European firms with EO, on average, realized higher firm performance in the face of the Great Recession.     

创业板上市公司基于新指标视角的发展能力评价模型及应用研究

本文以创业板355家上市公司为研究样本,结合创业板公司自身特点,从基本指标和发展指标视角设计创业板公司发展能力评价模型,基本指标包括营运能力指标、盈利能力及偿债能力指标,发展指标包括创新研发能力、企业管理技术阶层和全体职工基本素质水平,企业发展前景和企业创利能力等。依据所建模型采用因子分析法对创业板公司的发展能力进行综合评价,并根据因子分析结果将样本公司分为发展能力高低两组,分别从所属行业、资本结构、公司业绩因素、公司创新能力影响因素方面对两组样本公司进行对比分析。研究的主要结论：（１）创业板的355家样本公司总体发展能力较弱,主要原因是我国创业板上市公司两级分化现象较为严重,其中创新能力、营运能力和行业发展能力相对较差。（２）我国创业板上市公司中第一大行业信息技术行业集中度较高并且成长持续性效果较好,而第二大行业新材料与新能源行业成长持续性较差,究其原因是我国新材料与新能源是新兴起行业,行业总体水平较差,需要加强研发。     

Employment Growth and Stability under Profit-Sharing: A Longitudinal Study

This study tests the hypotheses that employment will increase and become more stable when firms replace traditional reward systems with a bifurcated approach incorporating profit-sharing. Time-series data for 443 publicly traded profit-sharing firms and a closely matched group of industry non-sharers were analysed before and after plan implementation. While there was evidence that profit-sharing generated short-term growth, little support emerged for its theorized effect on employment variability. Unlike previous reports, organizational size was more likely to influence the impact of share arrangements than was industry type.     

The Impact of Industrial Design Effectiveness on Corporate Financial Performance*

Despite the growing recognition of industrial design's value in creating sustainable competitive advantage, few studies have attempted to quantify the contribution that design makes to company financial performance. This article examines the relationship between industrial design and company financial performance in order to assess industrial design's contribution to this performance. Effective industrial design was evaluated by asking a panel of 138 industrial design experts to rank the industrial design effectiveness of publicly traded firms within nine selected manufacturing industries; the ranking process yielded 93 firms. Based on the rankings, firms within each industry were divided into two groups: those judged as exhibiting high design effectiveness versus those judged as low in design effectiveness. Audited financial data reported to the SEC across a seven‐year period from 1995 to 2001 were used to evaluate financial performance. Using traditional financial ratios senior managers consider essential performance measures, those firms with high design effectiveness were hypothesized to have higher returns on sales, returns on assets, and growth rates of sales, net income, and cash flow than firms with low design effectiveness. High design effectiveness firms further were hypothesized to have higher stock market returns. These comprehensive, corporate financial measures incorporate expenditures made on industrial design (industrial designers' salaries, design consultants' fees, computer‐aided industrial design equipment) and expenditures that designers influence through their design choices (material costs, manufacturing equipment). This analysis reveals that firms rated as having “good” design were stronger on all measures except growth rate measures. These results provide strong evidence that good industrial design is related to corporate financial performance and stock market performance even after considering expenditures on industrial design. Further, the patterns of financial performance over the seven‐year horizon suggest that these effects are persistent.