Exporting, capital investment and financial constraints

Many firms cite financial constraints as some of the most important impediments to their investment and growth. Using a unique data set from the Czech Republic this paper investigates the importance of financing constraints in the context of exporters. It finds that exporters are less financially constrained than non-exporters. However, after carefully correcting for possible endogeneity and selection issues, the evidence points to less constrained firms self-selecting into exporting rather than exporting alleviating firms’ financial constraints.     

保险业与证券、银行业的金融合作探讨

一、保险业加强金融合作的必要性 (一)保险业金融合作是我国保险业发展的内在需求 近年来,我国保险业迅速发展,保费收入每年都大幅增长。1997年我国保费收入1072亿元,较1996年增长20％,1998年……     

The origins of formal collusion in Australian fire insurance 1870–1920

The market for insurance has become increasingly competitive in recent years. However, it has not always been so. At the end of the nineteenth century, it was characterized by a highly concentrated and tightly controlled oligopolistic market structure. As such, the history of the fire insurance industry provides an interesting case study in the development of collusive behaviour amongst firms. Up to 1897, pricing agreements among firms were generally short-lived, and were followed by periods of intense competition. After this point, an agreement was forged, which proved very resilient to market pressures and formed the basis of premium rate setting until the 1970s. This paper investigates the difference between this agreement and previous efforts to set premium rates, and points to some of the common features of the later compact, which explain its longevity.     

Production smoothing, firms' heterogeneity, and financial constraints: evidence from a panel of UK firms

In this paper we provide an empirical analysis of heterogeneityin firms' inventory behavior, using a panel of UK manufacturingfirms. We first investigate how the relative variance of productionand sales differs across firms. We then use variants of thelinear quadratic inventory model in order to analyze potentialheterogeneity in firms' incentives to smooth production. Theresults suggest that incentives to smooth production are notprevalent This conclusion also holds when firms are partitionedaccording to whether they are more or leu likely to face finanrialconstraints.     

Size, performance and financial conditions for Spanish real estate firms 2004-2007

Spanish real estate has experienced more than a decade of continuous buoyancy, from 1995 to mid 2006. High rates of return, especially in the housing sector, during this period, have prompted the entry of many firms in the market and the growth in activity of incumbents, with the subsequent excess capacity. This situation, combined with the reduction in demand associated with fiancial constraints, has brought about a deep crisis within the real estate industry. In the future scenario of reconfiguration and consolidation of the sector, many firms will be likely to disappear. One key question is that which type of real estate firm will survive. Casual evidence suggests that size may be a relevant factor through its connection with efficiency. This paper explores the roles of size, performance and financial leverage using a sample of Spanish developers and builders over the period 2004-2007. Basic results from a panel estimation suggest the existence of a positive correlation between size, proxied both by income and assets, and Return on Equity （ROE）. In turn, the estimates also suggest that larger firms display higher margins （computed as profits over sales） and are more leveraged in relative terms. Our interpretation is that many finns may lack the critical mass necessary to dilute fixed costs and achieve larger levels of efficiency. This feature endangers not only the possibility of profits in harder times, but also their survival. These empirical findings suggest, in addition, that a process of concentration among Spanish firms in the industry could entail gains in terms of efficiency.     

Financial constraints in China: Firm-level evidence

Using a unique micro-level data set over the period 1998–2005 on Chinese firms, this paper presents empirical findings on the presence of credit constraints. Our findings are threefold. Firstly, private Chinese firms are credit constrained while state-owned firms and foreign-owned firms in China are not; Secondly, the geographical and sectoral presence of foreign capital alleviates credit constraints faced by private Chinese firms. Thirdly, geographical and sectoral presence of state firms aggravates financial constraints for private Chinese firms (“crowding out”).     

转型中的社会养老保险制度:改革与发展

借鉴和吸取国外社会养老保险制度改革的经验与教训,充分考虑中国国情,结合中国的实际情况,探讨在经济转型和人口老龄化背景下,针对中国现行养老保险制度中突出的矛盾和问题,改革和完善我国社会养老保险制度。     

States and economic growth: Capacity and constraints

State capacity has become one of the most discussed concepts in development economics and political economy. In this survey we argue that the study of economic history provides vital insights into the process through which modern states have acquired ‘state capacity’. By evaluating the process of state building across a range of different countries in Europe and Asia, we are able to ‘decompress’ the relationship between state capacity and economic growth. Our analysis emphasizes the variegated nature of the state building process. We focus on recent research that helps to elucidate the mechanisms that relate state capacity to economic growth.     

Equity and efficiency in unemployment insurance

Summary This paper is concerned with equity and efficiency in unemployment insurance. It examines the rationales for unemployment insurance, or more generally, social security. It stresses that social security is a second-best solution, since, in practice, taxes that do not distort economic decisions and benefits without moral hazard are impossible. The paper determines a relation between the feasible levels of equity and efficiency,i.e., the output possibilities curve. Three typical views on equity are confronted with this output possibilities curve: the extreme liberal view, the moderate liberal view and the egalitarian view. We construct two output possibilities curves for unemployment insurance in The Netherlands: one curve, assuming that the Dutch labour market is characterized by excess supply and another curve, assuming that the Dutch labour market is instantaneously cleared by flexible wages. The equilibrium model yields substantially higher efficiency costs of Dutch unemployment insurance than the disequilibrium model. Finally, we calculate the output gains of a mini-system of unemployment insurance. Again, the results indicate that much depends on what is in the eye of the beholder.At the time of writing research fellow at the Applied Labour Economics Research Team (ALERT) of the Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam and the Tinbergen Institute. The author thanks an anonymous referee ofDe Economist, Frank den Butter, Bernard Compaijen, Edmond Malinvaud, Christopher Pissarides, Niels Westergaard-Nielsen, Rob van de Wijngaert, Gerrit Zalm and the participants of the ALERT/Tinbergen Institute workshops Modelling the Labour Market (6–8 January 1992 at the Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam) and Dutch Thoughts on Unemployment (18 March 1992 at the Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam) for their useful comments on earlier versions of this paper. The usual disclaimer applies.     

On the consumption insurance effects of long-term care insurance in Japan: Evidence from micro-level household data

Using micro-level household data in the 2001 Comprehensive Survey of the Living Conditions of the People on Health and Welfare compiled by the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, this paper examines how having a household member in need of long-term nursing care can result in welfare losses measured in terms of consumption. In so doing, this study evaluates the role of the public long-term care insurance scheme implemented in Japan in April 2000. The results indicate that when households include a disabled family member, household consumption net of long-term care costs do not decrease as much as before the introduction of long-term care insurance. Further, when compared with the surveys conducted in 1998, the adverse effects on consumption net of long-term care costs have become much weaker. These findings suggest that the introduction of social insurance in 2000 helped Japanese households to reduce the welfare losses associated with a disabled family member.     

Health insurance reform and economic growth: Simulation analysis in Japan

This paper evaluates the drastic reforms of Japanese public health insurance initiated in 2006. We employ a computable general equilibrium framework to numerically examine the reforms for an aging Japan in the dynamic context of overlapping generations. Our simulation produced the following results: first, an increase in the co-payment rate, a prominent feature of the 2006 reform, would promote economic growth and welfare by encouraging private saving. Second, the ex-post moral hazard behavior following the increase in co-payment rates, however, reduces economic growth. Third, Japan's trend of increasing the future public health insurance benefits can mainly be explained by its aging population, and increasing the co-payment rate does little to reduce future payments of public health insurance benefits. Fourth, the effect on future economic burdens of reducing medical costs through efficiencies in public health insurance, emphasis on preventive medical care, or technological progress in the medical field is small. Finally, a policy of maintaining public health insurance at a fixed percentage of GDP will require reducing public health insurance benefits, perhaps up to 45% by 2050. Such a policy also reduces economic growth until approximately 2035. Our simulation indicates that the reform does not significantly reduce future public health insurance benefits, but it can enhance economic growth and welfare by encouraging private saving.     

Innovation and exporting: evidence from Spanish manufacturing firms

This paper investigates the relationship between innovation and the export behavior of firms using data from a representative panel of Spanish firms over 1991–2002. It presents a simple theoretical model of the firm decision to export and innovate that guides the econometric analysis. Consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model, the econometric results suggest a positive effect of firm innovation on the probability of participation in export markets. The results further reveal the heterogeneous effects of different types of innovations on the firm export participation. In particular, product upgrading appears to have a larger effect on the firm export participation than the introduction of cost-saving innovations. These findings are robust to firm unobserved heterogeneity, dynamic specifications, and to the use of instrumental variables to control for the potential endogeneity between innovation and exporting.     

The Assessment: Financing and Managing Public Services

Public services can be, and are, delivered according to a varietyof different arrangements. The public sector can finance andprovide a service itself, or contract with the private sectorto participate in provision, or its role may be limited to regulatinga private provider. In this paper we examine the features determiningthe effectiveness of public-service delivery, including incentivesfor employees and teams within organizations providing publicservices, the structure of the organization and the competitiveframework that it faces, and the role of the private sector.We assess the reform programme in the UK, which has involvedsubstantial reorganization of public services and increasinginvolvement of the private sector. Reforms focus on the improvementof incentives; but while incentives are critical, the specialcharacteristics of public services (and the people who providethem) must be recognized in the implementation of new structuresand incentive schemes.     

裴钢：用智慧游刃钢铁森林

据说．在业界,可以用“高山仰止”来形容恒隆地产。究竟是何诀窍让恒隆成为香港地产界连续10年市盈率最高的上市公司？为何恒隆在中国内地的成功能让同侪艳羡不已？     

Financial constraints and foreign direct investment: firm-level evidence

Low productivity is an important barrier to the cross-border expansion of firms. But firms may also need external finance to shoulder the costs of entering foreign markets. We develop a model of multinational firms facing real and financial barriers to foreign direct investment (FDI), and we analyze their impact on the FDI decision. Theoretically, we show that financial constraints can affect highly productive firms more than firms with low productivity because the former are more likely to expand abroad. We provide empirical evidence based on a detailed dataset of German domestic and multinational firms which contains information on parent-level financial constraints as well as on the location the foreign affiliates. We find that financial factors constrain firms’ foreign investment decisions, an effect felt in particular by firms most likely to consider investing abroad. The locational information in our dataset allows exploiting cross-country differences in contract enforcement. Consistent with theory, we find that poor contract enforcement in the host country has a negative impact on FDI decisions.