国际资本流入与证券市场的发展

国际资本流入与证券市场的发展●巴劲松九十年代以来，国际金融领域最为引人注目的现象之一，就是国际资本大量涌入迅速增长的发展中国家。从国际资本流入的形式来看，证券投资占有越来越重要的地位。国际资本的流入，在推动发展中国家经济起飞的同时，也给这些新兴证券市...     

国际资本流入对发展中国家资本形成与经济增长的影响

依据发展经济学理论,当发展中国家的储蓄不足以支撑其经济发展所需要的投资,即出现储蓄—投资缺口时,可以通过国际资本流入加以弥补,并提高国内资本形成的能力,从而促进经济增长。具体来说,国际资本通过对发展中国家储蓄供给,储蓄转化为投资机制(融资机制)和投资需求这三个环节的作用机制,从而对经济增长产生影响。一、国际资本流入对发展中国家储蓄供给的影响国际资本流入主要通过对发展中国家国民收入和消费来影响国内储蓄。当资本流入对国民收入的影响大于其对消费的影响时,表明资本流入对国内储蓄具有促进作用,即资本流入可以增加国内储…     

国际过剩资本流入助涨资本市场

持续的贸易顺差带来外汇储备的日益高企,然而日益高企的外汇储备却恰恰为巨大的海外游资打开了进入国内的通道,外资的大量涌入就需要不断地增加外汇占款,从而加重了人民币流动性泛滥。但庞大的外资流入恰恰在全流通的市场环境和持续高额的IPO和增发额度下,成为了直接导致资本市场大涨重要动力。     

国际资本流入：福兮？祸兮？

一、骏马奔腾，东亚经济驶入快车道过去３０多年的历史表明，东亚经济的发展与国际资本的大量流入有直接关系。国际资本犹如一匹奔腾的骏马，使东亚经济驶入快车道。大规模国际资本流入支撑了东亚经济的高速增长，实现了“东亚奇迹”，因而可以说，国际资本对东亚经济的崛...     

国际人才流入、社会资本对创新效率的影响

构建随机前沿模型,基于2000-2015年中国内地30个省市（除西藏外）数据,分析国际人才流入、社会资本对中间产出及最终产出两类创新效率的影响。研究发现：①相比资本投入,劳动投入对两类创新效率的影响更大;②国际人才流入对两类创新效率均具有正向影响,且对中部（最终产出）、西部（中间产出）影响更大;③认知型社会资本对两类创新效率均呈显著负向影响,东中西部存在差异性,结构型社会资本对最终产出创新效率具有显著负向影响,东部则相反;④国际人才流入对两类创新效率的影响均与认知型社会资本和结构型社会资本有关;⑤最终产出创新效率远低于中间产出创新效率,两者均呈东-中-西下降趋势。     

国际资本流入对我国货币政策目标的影响北大核心CSSCISSCI

一、引言 2002年以来,国际资本的跨境流动进入新一轮高潮,我国跨境资本流动性也出现了一些新的特征：私人资本流动存在管制,但非贸易、非FDI资金流动规模急剧增加,贸易收支和FDI等与实体经济联系紧密的资本流动形式的波动性加大,以国际收支双顺差形式流人的大量国际资金带来外汇储备增长过快。     

国际资本流入动因:全球性、区域性还是异质性

基于43个国家金融与资本项目下贷方数据,利用动态分层因子模型将国际资本流入的波动来源分解为全球因子、区域因子与国家异质性成分,测算不同层级动因对国际资本流入的影响程度。研究结果表明,异质性因素作用最大,区域因素次之,最后是全球因素。此外,各层级因素的影响体现出资本结构、地区结构及经济体类型的差异性。从资本结构看,全球因素主要影响证券投资,异质性因素主要影响直接投资;从地区结构看,全球因素对欧元区经济体资本流入的影响最大,对亚洲及太平洋地区经济体资本流入的作用最小;从国家类型看,异质性因素对发达经济体资本流入的影响要小于对新兴经济体资本流入的影响,全球因子对两类经济体的影响程度则相反。     

论国际资本流入对中国经济的影响

20世纪以来,世界经济发展最重要的特征就是国际资本大量流入新兴市场经济体。资本本来是物物关系,但却体现了人与人之间的社会关系。在全球化的今天,资本已经成为了主体性存在。国际资本具有主体性、阶级性和牟利性的本质特征,其大量流入将对中国经济产生巨大影响。     

国际资本流动风险及有效监管

本文通过分析国际间资本流入,尤其是短期的投机资本流入和对外债务资金流入的风险,以及资本流出的风险,揭示了田际资本流动对中国经济所造成的巨大影响,同时,针对目前国际资本流动的主角--私人资本流动的现象进行了剖析,提出了加强对国际资本流动的监管,提高金融监管有效性的政策建议.     

A Note on the Taxation of International Capital Income Flows

Seemingly persuasive arguments can be made to suggest that income from foreign-owned capital should be taxed by a small open economy and that it should not be taxed I show that the case for taxing foreign capital income as part of an 'optimal' tax scheme rests on the assumption that tax rates on other forms of income are not set optimally. In particular, if economic profit is not fully taxed, a tax on foreign capital income is desirable. If all tax rates are set optimally, foreign capital income should not be taxed by the capital-importing country.     

Risk Aversion, Wealth and International Capital Flows

This paper models capital flows in a rich–poor, two-country, two-asset, dual-risk economy with decreasing absolute risk aversion. The first risk is asset-specific. The second is political and dependent; i.e., related to particular asset outcomes. In this framework, the role of wealth in determining asset preferences is demonstrated, and the conditions for diversification are derived. The wealth effect and diversification conditions are applied to explain ongoing two-way capital flows in general as well as the apparent paradox of domestic capital flight with simultaneous inflows of foreign capital.     

Domestic Credit Growth and International Capital Flows*

During the pre‐crisis period, Europe experienced substantial cross‐country variation in domestic credit growth and cross‐border capital flows. We investigate the inter‐relations between domestic credit growth and international capital flows during the period 1993–2008, with a special focus on the boom period of 2003–2008. We establish that domestic credit growth in European countries is strongly related to net debt inflows but not to net equity inflows. This pattern also holds for an extended sample of 54 advanced and emerging economies.     

A Solution to Two Paradoxes of International Capital Flows

International capital flows from rich to poor countries can be regarded as either too small(the Lucas paradox in a one-sector model)or too large(when compared with the logic of factor price equalization in a two-sector model).To resolve the paradoxes,we introduce a non-neoclassical model which features financial contracts and firm heterogeneity.In our model,free trade in goods does not imply equal returns to capital across countries.In addition,rich patterns of gross capital flows emerge as a function of financial and property rights institutions.A poor country with an inefficient financial system may simultaneously experience an outflow of financial capital but an inflow of FDI,resulting in a small net flow.In comparison,a country with a low capital-to-labor ratio but a high risk of expropriation may experience an outflow of financial capital without a compensating inflow of FDI.     

The Effect of Customs Unions Among Specialized Countries on International Capital Flows*

This paper examines the effect on international capital flows of a customs union formed by specialized countries. We assume no economies of scale, and use a general equilibrium model with internationally mobile capital. It is shown that integration among countries with characteristics generally associated with having specialized economies will lead to a flow of capital into the union. These characteristics specifically concern the types of goods they trade among themselves, and with the rest of the world, and their ability to absorb capital inflows.     

跨境资本异常流动下双支柱政策的有效协调

本文基于我国2005-2019年数据,运用动态溢出指数的方法,实证研究在不同跨境资本异常流动情形下双支柱政策的有效协调问题.结果 表明,相对于境内投资者,境外投资者对我国跨境资本异常流动的影响更加频繁.货币政策和宏观审慎政策的总溢出指数和二者间的定向溢出指数均呈现明显的时变特征.在不同跨境资本异常流动的情形下,双支柱政策交互影响中的主导地位不同:当跨境资本异常流动导致货币供应量增加时,货币政策在双支柱调控框架中起主要影响;反之,宏观审慎政策处于主导地位.价格型货币政策和宏观审慎政策的平均交互影响水平大于数量型货币政策和宏观审慎政策的总溢出指数.本文契合扩大金融业对外开放的背景,为改进宏观经济政策的决策和操作提供支持与借鉴.     

Patterns of International Capital Flows and Productivity Growth: New Evidence

Recent evidence from developing and emerging economies shows a negative correlation between growth and net capital inflows, a contradiction to neoclassical growth theory. I provide updated and disaggregated evidence on the origins of this puzzle. An analysis of the components of capital flows and of gross portfolio positions shows that foreign direct investment is directed towards countries with the highest growth rates, but that portfolio investment outflows exceed these inflows. Liberalized capital accounts further exacerbate this pattern. My results suggest a desire for international portfolio diversification in liquid assets by fast‐growing countries lies at the heart of the puzzle.     

国际资本流动对经济增长的影响分析——基于国际数据的实证研究

基于1994～2009年68个国家的年度数据构建Panel Data变截距固定效应模型,通过对资本流向和流动方式的进一步细分,来考察资本流动对不同发展水平国家经济增长的影响。结果显示:境外国际资本流入对转型国家经济增长的促进作用明显强于发达国家,对发展中国家经济效应不显著;国际资本流出仅对发达国家经济增长有显著的促进作用,对发展中国家和转型国家的经济效应均不显著。