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A Long-Run Relationship between Eastern European Stock Markets? Cointegration and the 1997/98 Crisis in Emerging Markets. — This paper describes the behavior of the Eastern European stock price indices for the period between 1995 and 1998. Particular emphasis has been directed toward the effects of the 1997/98 emerging market crisis. Using the Johansen methodology, a long-run relationship connecting these markets can be found for the pre-crisis period. The common stochastic trend vanished following the third quarter of 1997, and a massive change in the short-run behavior of the markets is shown. Developments on the Russian exchange are found to have a dominating influence during that period.  相似文献   

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I. Introduction In the early 1980s China set about transforming its moribund economy by adopting, in stages, various elements of the market-based systems. Among the reforms were thederegulation of prices and the introduction of financial markets for assets. The first stock market was set up in Shanghai in 1991 and in the same year the first commodities market opened in Zhengzhou, Henan Province. Since then, both the stock market and the commodities futures markets have expanded substantiall…  相似文献   

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This paper examines both the return-volume and volatility-volume movements on Bucharest stock exchange, in order to evaluate the impact of changes in stock market liquidity on stock returns and on volatility of returns. We employ linear Granger-causality tests to investigate the dynamic relation between trading volume, stock returns and returns volatility on the Romanian stock market, using daily logarithmic returns for the composite index BET-C, as a proxy for the market, and daily logarithmic change in trading volume during the period January 2004-July 2008. As a proxy for return volatility we employ absolute values of daily deviation of return from its mean value during the considered time period. We can report unidirectional linear causality from returns to volume and also from volume to volatility.  相似文献   

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In recent years, financial economists have provided much evidence of regularities in security market returns, and consequently the notion of market efficiency has been questioned. In this paper, seasonal effects are tested for the stock returns of Chinese A-share price index covering the period 1997-2005. The empirical research is conducted by using the conventional linear regression model. Finally the results obtained in this paper confirm the existence of the February effect and no evidence support for the day-of-the-week effects, and therefore these results provide some support of the informational efficiency aspect of the market efficiency.  相似文献   

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This paper investigates how a firm's characteristics restrict the influence of monetary policy changes on its investment behavior. Focusing on China's listed companies for a sample period from the first quarter of 2002 to the first quarter of 2011, we find that quantity‐oriented and price‐based monetary policies have heterogeneous impacts on corporate investment behavior, but the influence of monetary policies is constrained by the liquidity, inventory, size and asset–liability ratio of a firm. Firms with higher liquidity, lower inventory level and lower asset–liability ratios are less sensitive to the impact from two kinds of monetary policies. The larger the size of the firm, the less it is subject to influence from quantity‐oriented monetary policy; it responds more to price‐based monetary policy. The policy implication is that the monetary authorities should pay attention to the importance of policy‐making based on the monetary demand of microeconomic entities.  相似文献   

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Yan  Jing  Yu  Feng 《Review of World Economics》2021,157(4):777-798

This study investigates the effect of international coproduction on the performance of cultural products in the global markets. As a result of institutional barriers and cultural distances, coproduction, which allows a foreign producer to partner with the local firms, has emerged as a way of increasing cultural product performance in the global markets. Using the data on the Chinese movie market from 2012 to 2018, the authors find that international coproduction can promote movie performance and that the coproduction effect is mainly explained by the institutional variables. They further examine the heterogeneous effects and find that coproduction effect is stronger for culturally sensitive movies, and that the magnitude of the coproduction effect increases with the level of cooperation. They also confirm that the results are robust to different measurements of performance.

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Along with the development of Chinese social economy and the innovation of government policy, Chinese Architectural Industry is playing a more and more vital role in the entire national economy. This paper first abstracts the connotation and basic characteristic of the Architectural Industry, then discusses the present situation of the development of Chinese Architectural Industry and carries on the analysis on the entire construction industry. Finally discusses the development tendency of Chinese architectural industry, and put forward the corresponding policy proposals to its developmental strategy.  相似文献   

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The banking sector plays the critical function of financial intermediary in a nations economy.In the past few years, as a result of the rapid growth of the Chinese economy andaccommodating monetary policy, Chinas banking sector has experienced remarkableexpansion.1 However, many issues still remained in Chinas banking sector, such as assetquality, capital adequacy, management and risk control. These issues, if not appropriatelydealt with, may hinder the sustainable development of, and even im…  相似文献   

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In China, the responsibility of protecting the environment lies largely with local governments. Within the framework of spatial econometrics, we investigate empirically the consequence of such an institutional setting. Using city‐level data for China, the present study finds that city governments behave strategically in making spending decisions regarding environmental protection. This paper finds that a city government appears to cut its own spending as a response to the rise in environmental protection spending by its neighbors. Hence, environmental protection tends to be underprovided. As a result, we suggest that centralizing the environmental protection responsibility to a higher level of government would be beneficial in terms of controlling pollution in China.  相似文献   

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Using simple statistical analysis of count-level budgetary data from across all of China's counties, the present paper examines whether the post-1994 fiscal decentralization has affected redistribution at the count-level. The new fiscal system has been less able to narrow inter-county dispersion in ftscal imbalances than the old one, even after taking intergovernmental transfer payments into account. Although with the post-1994 system there has been a modest increase in per capita welfare spending in all counties on average, much of the new-found fiscal resources have been spent on salary and administrative expenses rather than spending on public goods. Therefore, it is imperative that the reform of China's tax system is intensified.  相似文献   

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This paper discusses the model construction and the association between the Hong Kong and the Japanese stock markets. The data period is from January 4, 1999 to December 30, 2005. This paper also utilizes student's t distribution to analyze the proposed model. The empirical results show that the bivariate asymmetric-GARCH (1, 2) model with a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) seemed to be appropriate in evaluating the relationship between them. The empirical result also indicates a positive relation between the Hong Kong and the Japanese stock markets returns. The average estimation value of DCC coefficient equals to 0.5196, which implies that these two stock markets' return volatility had synchronized influence on each other. In addition, the empirical results also show that the Hong Kong and the Japanese stock markets have an asymmetrical effect. Based on the idea of the good and bad news, the explanatory ability of proposed model is better than the model of the bivariate GARCH with a DCC.  相似文献   

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What began as a downturn in the US housing sector in the summer of 2007 had mushroomed into a global financial crisis by September 2008: the most severe since the 1930s. Developing countries, including China and India, at first seemingly sheltered from the worst of the turmoil, have not been immune to the contagion's spillover effects. What are China and India's precise vulnerabilities, and what can each do to better insulate their economies from the vagaries of global financial marker turmoil? Equally important, what long-term strategies must each country adopt to make their economies more resilient to global market downturns?  相似文献   

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Using matched firm‐level trade and production data over the period 2000–2006, we study the product‐destination portfolio and dynamics of Chinese industrial exporters and make a thorough comparison among four types of firms and between two kinds of trade modes. We find that ownership structure and trading modes do matter to the destination and product mix choices of Chinese industrial exporters. In particular, foreign firms' exports and processing trade tend to be more destination‐specific and products are more specialized. Therefore, foreign firms are more likely to maintain a particular link within a specific global supply chain.  相似文献   

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Usingfirm-level data for China "s state-owned coal mines, this paper examines the impact of privatization, corporatization and debt restructuring of state-owned enterprises on technical efficiency. A stochastic frontier production method is applied to a panel dataset from 2000 to 2007. The simultaneous study of these three measures makes it possible to study individual effects more precisely than otherwise. The study shows that the three reform initiatives are all able to improve technical efficiency in state-owned coal mines. The finding of a significant efficiency improvement from relinquishing state ownership provides an alternative to privatization. The study of debt restructuring and technical efficiency has not been documented in the published literature.  相似文献   

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I.IntroductionWell-functioninginterbankmarketsareofutmostimportanceinmodernfinancialsystems.Theirpurposeistoefficientlyallocateliquidityamongfinancialinstitutionsandregions,shiftfundstoinstitutionsandregionsthatneeditmost,andallowforasmoothworkingofthepaymentsystem.1Inmostmodernbankingsystems,depositoryfinancialinstitutionsarelegallyrequiredtomaintainminimumreserves.Duetolargetemporarypayments,individualdepositoryinstitutionsmaybeeitheraboveorbelowtheirrequiredreservepositions.Sincesuchreserv…  相似文献   

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This paper presents and tests a series of sources of regional variations in self‐employment rate in China in the 2000s, and illustrates that the stage of economic development is a major explanation for the variations of self‐employment rate across regions over the past decade. The negative relationship between the stage of economic development and self‐employment rate identified in the paper indicates that China has entered the process of fast industrialization, and self‐employment is playing a diminishing role in economic growth and employment. We also find a substitution effect between self‐employment and private enterprises. While both are important components of China's private sector, private enterprises are becoming an increasingly important source of China's economic growth and employment. Furthermore, our findings also imply that when job opportunities are limited, self‐employment in China is likely a forced choice of disadvantaged people who are not qualified for wage jobs.  相似文献   

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This study uses an event study methodology to examine how the Chinese market reacts to announcements of involvement in corporate social responsibilitY (CSR) by Southern Weekend (a Chinese newspaper)for Chinese firms from 2008 to 2012. Our results show significant and pcsitive market reactions, supporting the instrumental stakeholder theory. We attribute the positive market response to social capital development and real growth options related to the CSR involvement by the Chinese firms.  相似文献   

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