COMPARATIVE EFFICIENCY OF MARKET INDICES: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY

This study ranks eight widely used market indices using two mean-variance efficiency scores developed from Roll's geometric representation of the Shanken's CRS T² test statistic and the likelihood ratio test statistic of Kandel. The results indicate that, over the period of 1973–1982, the CRSP equally weighted, CRSP value weighted, and S&P 500 emerge consistently as the three most efficient indices under all market conditions.     

THE TESTING OF AUSTRALIAN STOCK MARKET INDICES FOR MEAN-VARIANCE EFFICIENCY

Three different market indices are tested for mean-variance efficiency using monthly data for leading Australian securities, and following the methodologies suggested in Roll (1979). The balance of the evidence is against index efficiency and against the two-parameter asset pricing theory. However, this could be influenced by imperfections in the tests, inadequate data, and sampling errors in the betas.     

THE LEGALITY OF THE SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS BY-LAW IN DELAWARE: PRESERVING THE MARKET FOR CORPORATE CONTROL

Just as some lawyers almost killed the takeover market with the invention of the poison pill in the 1980s, others are now about to reinvigorate it with another legal invention. The “shareholder rights bylaw,” which promises to be the next major legal battleground in the market for corporate control, aims to eliminate the current ability of target company boards of directors to block changes of control by keeping their poison pill defenses in place. The new bylaws require the poison pill (and other defensive measures) to expire automatically whenever the firm receives an allcash offer for 100% of the firm's stock at a price at least 25% above the prebid market price. The firm can keep its poison pill, but only if shareholders vote to keep it after receiving the offer. Although the legality of the share-holder rights bylaw has been challenged as an undue infringement on boards of directors' power to run companies, this article argues that their legality will be upheld for three reasons:

• ? First, shareholder rights bylaws merely reinforce the corporate manager's responsibility to manage the firm to maximize shareholder value.
• ? Second, Delaware and most other jurisdictions give shareholders the specific right to amend the bylaws of a corporation; and the shareholder rights by-law is a straightforward exercise of this explicit right granted to shareholders.
• ? Third, the adoption of shareholders rights by-law does not prevent the board of directors from advising share-holders to vote to reject a takeover bid, nor does it prevent shareholders from giving management the authority to use defensive mechanisms such as the poison pill.

As the article concludes, upholding this right of shareholders to choose whether a poison pill is used to block a takeover is critical to the vitality of the takeover market and, hence, to the preservation of the agency relationship between directors and shareholders. Upholding this right may also prove critical to Delaware's ability to maintain its predominance in the market for corporate chartering.     

MOVING STOCHASTIC DOMINANCE: AN ALTERNATIVE METHOD FOR TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY

The purposes of this study are: (1) to propose a more general method—moving stochastic dominance (MSD)—for testing market efficiency, (2) to compare and contrast the MSD method with the cumulative average residual (CAR) risk-return analysis, and (3) to illustrate the MSD methodology on a sample of stock splits. The constant CAR analysis results are consistent with previous studies. The moving CAR results are in conflict with previous studies and indicate that investors are worse off after a stock split irrespective of the subsequent dividend change. The MSD results indicate that investors are approximately equally well off irrespective of the subsequent dividend change.     

DYNAMIC RELATIONS BETWEEN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND THE JAPANESE STOCK MARKET: AN APPLICATION OF A VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL

By employing the vector error correction model (VECM) in a system of seven equations, we find that the Japanese stock market is cointegrated with a group of six macroeconomic variables. The signs of the long-term elasticity coefficients of the macroeconomic variables on stock prices generally support the hypothesized equilibrium relations. Our findings are robust to different combinations of macroeconomic variables in six-dimension systems and two subperiods. Also, the VECM consistently outperforms the vector autoregressive model in forecasting ability.     

AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION OF FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION AND THE EFFICIENCY OF EMERGING MARKET STOCK PRICES

The efficient markets hypothesis in finance suggests that as equity markets are liberalized and made more open to the public, equity prices should reflect the increased availability of information and be more efficiently priced. In this paper, we examine whether emerging market equity prices have become more efficient after financial liberalization. Using two sets of financial liberalization dates, a battery of econometric tests, and data from sixteen countries and three composite portfolios, we find that in spite of theory suggesting the opposite, liberalization does not seem to have improved the efficiency of emerging markets. In fact, most of our statistical tests indicate that the markets were already efficient before the actual liberalization.     

A CROSS-SECTIONAL REGRESSION TEST OF THE MEAN-VARIANCE EFFICIENCY OF AN AUSTRALIAN VALUE WEIGHTED MARKET PORTFOLIO

This paper tests the Mean-Variance efficiency of a value weighted Australian market portfolio using a multivariate cross-sectional regression approach developed by Shanken (1985). This test methodology is sufficiently powerful to reject the null hypothesis that the market portfolio is ex ante Mean-Variance efficient when test assets are constructed on the basis of size (market capitalisation). However, when test assets are constructed on the basis of industry classification the model is unable to reject the Mean-Variance efficiency of the market portfolio. This test statistic provides some useful diagnostics which are examined in the paper.