打破技术瓶颈 同城双活中心一体化运行

交通银行2006年完成数据大集中,在上海浦东张江建立数据中心,2007年将海外分行系统从香港迁移到张江数据中心,实现境内外一体化数据中心运行。为保障业务连续性。     

分行特色业务平台建设的基本思路

中国建设银行由于全国数据集中（简称DCC）项目的成功建设,全行的信息系统架构发生了巨大变化,由分行为数据中心的核心业务系统,上升为全行统一的南北数据中心,总行各个核心业务系统提供数数据下传分行服务。如何在目前状态下,建立分行级的特色业务平台．结合分行特色业务,以客户为中心,提供各类数据查询、统计、分析服务,为分行业务经营管理部门提供客户特色服务,为分行业务管理部门经营决策提供辅助信息,是各个分行信息技术部门需要思考的问题。建行浙江省分行针对这个问题,在2005年初提出建立分行的特色业务平台．为分行信息系统建设进行了有益探索。     

数据集中后二级分行的网络安全隐患及对策

农行的联机网络系统正逐步由以市地分行为数据中心向省域数据中心集中,最终实现全国数据大集中。数据中心的上移使二级分行的网络安全管理重点发生了新的变化。由于综合应用系统(ABIS)数据高度集中,业务种类广泛,网络覆盖面广,对网络安全管理工作提出了很高的要求,因而如何保障网络安全、高效运行就成为二级分行科技部门的一项重要任务。本文结合农行滨州市分行近两年的运行实践,就数据集中后二级分行的网络安全存在的隐患及采取的对策进行分析探讨。     

由OPEN/TP 1.0移植到TUXEDO 6.5的方法

为了适应建设银行经营机制由粗放型向集约型的转变,按照建设银行总体发展规划,2001年底前原有以二级分行为单位建立数据中心的城市综合网系统(即银行柜面业务联网系统),将实现数据中心到一级分行的集中工作.由于大部分原有城市综合网系统软件采用的是以OPEN/TP 1.0为主的两层客户/服务器结构,为了保证数据集中系统的安全运行,需要将应用系统改造为采用成熟中间件产品的三层客户/服务器结构.下面是我行由OPEN/TP1.0向BEA TUXEDO 6.5移植的方法和经验.     

福建省中行中间业务平台及综合柜员整合方案

一、项目背景 中国银行目前正在进行大集中整合,中国银行福建省分行的主机业务系统将迁移到上海,并且,其零售业务系统将采用中国银行上海分行的版本。上海分行零售系统版本为总行统一推广皈本,其中包含理财卡等新的业务品种。另外,主机上的零售业务与前置RS/6000上的客户服务平台相结     

数据上收后市分行科技部门如何实现职能转变

随着核心业务数据从省域数据中心集中到全国数据中心，银行业务系统实行全国统一版本、统一平台，系统开发任务将主要集中在总行软件开发中心；与此同时，省分行科技部门也必然进行相应职能的调整，分散的前置系统将逐步集中，外围的程序开发将逐步统一，走集约化科技管理之路。这对市分行的科技工作产生了一定影响：一是软件开发的工作量逐渐减少，特别是前后台的业务应用系统程序开发已经没有必要。只能利用统一的开发平台，     

省级数据中心自建系统数据集中存储备份平台建设

为了充分发挥数据集中存储管理与备份的优势,人民银行广州分行省级数据中心启动省级数据中心自建系统数据集中存储备份平台（以下简称“自建系统数据集中存储备份平台”）建设,逐步将自建系统的数据迁移到省级数据中心存储备份平台中,依托集中存储系统与IBM磁带库,进一步提高数据存储与备份管理的规范性、科学性。     

试论商业银行内部服务流程再造

从2000年开始，国内各商业银行先后完成了对业务生产系统的集中——将各自省级分行的业务主机上收总行，在全国设立一个或几个数据中心，将全行全部生产数据集中到总行大机中，分行仅保留应用前置机等主机辅助系统或分行的特色业务处理平台。这一举措实施后，银行完成了应用系统数据层面的整合，在信息共享、信息安全等方面发挥了巨大的作用。     

由OPEN／TP 1.0移动到TUXEDO6.5的方法

为了适应建设银行经营机制由粗放型向集约型的转变，按照建设银行总体发展规划，２００１年底前原有以二级分行为单位建立数据中心的城市综合网系统（即银行柜面业务联网系统），将实现数据中心到一级分行的集中工作。由于大部分原有城市综合网系统软件采用的是以OPEN／TP１．０为主的两层客户／服务器结构，为了保证数据集中系统的安全运行，需要将应用系统改造为采用成熟中间件产品的三层客户／服务器结构。下面是我行由OPEN／TP１．０向BEATUXEDO６．５移植的方法和经验。一、移植的必要性严格地说，OPEN／TP１．０不能称之为…     

省级数据中心信息系统整合探析

中国人民银行省级数据中心部署的信息系统包括总行推广的系统以及分行自建系统。信息系统整合是为了将这些系统有机结合在一起，形成一个完整、高效、易于扩充的信息系统。结合分行业务现状、应用现状和基础设施现状，笔者提出进行展现整合、应用整合、数据整合和基础设施整合的框架设计思路。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.