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1.
    
With the development of an MCMC algorithm, Bayesian model selection for the p 2 model for directed graphs has become possible. This paper presents an empirical exploration in using approximate Bayes factors for model selection. For a social network of Dutch secondary school pupils from different ethnic backgrounds it is investigated whether pupils report that they receive more emotional support from within their own ethnic group. Approximated Bayes factors seem to work, but considerable margins of error have to be reckoned with.  相似文献   

2.
    
The class of p2 models is suitable for modeling binary relation data in social network analysis. A p2 model is essentially a regression model for bivariate binary responses, featuring within‐dyad dependence and correlated crossed random effects to represent heterogeneity of actors. Despite some desirable properties, these models are used less frequently in empirical applications than other models for network data. A possible reason for this is due to the limited possibilities for this model for accounting for (and explicitly modeling) structural dependence beyond the dyad as can be done in exponential random graph models. Another motive, however, may lie in the computational difficulties existing to estimate such models by means of the methods proposed in the literature, such as joint maximization methods and Bayesian methods. The aim of this article is to investigate maximum likelihood estimation based on the Laplace approximation approach, that can be refined by importance sampling. Practical implementation of such methods can be performed in an efficient manner, and the article provides details on a software implementation using R . Numerical examples and simulation studies illustrate the methodology.  相似文献   

3.
    
A widely used approach to modeling discrete-time network data assumes that discrete-time network data are generated by an unobserved continuous-time Markov process. While such models can capture a wide range of network phenomena and are popular in social network analysis, the models are based on the homogeneity assumption that all nodes share the same parameters. We remove the homogeneity assumption by allowing nodes to belong to unobserved subsets of nodes, called blocks, and assuming that nodes in the same block have the same parameters, whereas nodes in distinct blocks have distinct parameters. The resulting models capture unobserved heterogeneity across nodes and admit model-based clustering of nodes based on network properties chosen by researchers. We develop Bayesian data-augmentation methods and apply them to discrete-time observations of an ownership network of non-financial companies in Slovenia in its critical transition from a socialist economy to a market economy. We detect a small subset of shadow-financial companies that outpaces others in terms of the rate of change and the desire to accumulate stocks of other companies.  相似文献   

4.
    
As the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak evolves, statistical network analysis is playing an essential role in informing policy decisions. Therefore, researchers who are new to such studies need to understand the techniques available to them. As a field, statistical network analysis aims to develop methods that account for the complex dependencies found in network data. Over the last few decades, the area has rapidly accumulated methods, including techniques for network modelling and simulating the spread of infectious disease. This article reviews these network modelling techniques and their applications to the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.  相似文献   

5.
In this paper we study the relationship between regression analysis and a multivariate dependency measure. If the general regression model Y=f() holds for some function f, where 1i1< i2<···im k, and X1,...,Xk is a set of possible explanatory random variables for Y. Then there exists a dependency relation between the random variable Y and the random vector (). Using the dependency statistic defined below, we can detect such dependency even if the function f is not linear. We present several examples with real and simulated data to illustrate this assertion. We also present a way to select the appropriate subset among the random variables X1,X2,...,Xk, which better explain Y.  相似文献   

6.
    
During the last years, graphical models have become a popular tool to represent dependencies among variables in many scientific areas. Typically, the objective is to discover dependence relationships that can be represented through a directed acyclic graph (DAG). The set of all conditional independencies encoded by a DAG determines its Markov property. In general, DAGs encoding the same conditional independencies are not distinguishable from observational data and can be collected into equivalence classes, each one represented by a chain graph called essential graph (EG). However, both the DAG and EG space grow super exponentially in the number of variables, and so, graph structural learning requires the adoption of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. In this paper, we review some recent results on Bayesian model selection of Gaussian DAG models under a unified framework. These results are based on closed-form expressions for the marginal likelihood of a DAG and EG structure, which is obtained from a few suitable assumptions on the prior for model parameters. We then introduce a general MCMC scheme that can be adopted both for model selection of DAGs and EGs together with a couple of applications on real data sets.  相似文献   

7.
Statistical analysis of change in networks   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
A survey is given of random graphs and random graph processes which can be used to describe and analyze networks that are changing with time. Marko-vian change over time, log-linear models for change, and conditionally uniform models for change are described. It is noted that estimation is usually complex if the random graph involves dependent dyads. Models with deterministic change over time may be a way to avoid the difficulties implied by dependent dyads. Logit regression methods are described that can be used to estimate such models.  相似文献   

8.
    
We review some results on the analysis of longitudinal data or, more generally, of repeated measures via linear mixed models starting with some exploratory statistical tools that may be employed to specify a tentative model. We follow with a summary of inferential procedures under a Gaussian set‐up and then discuss different diagnostic methods focusing on residual analysis but also addressing global and local influence. Based on the interpretation of diagnostic plots related to three types of residuals (marginal, conditional and predicted random effects) as well as on other tools, we proceed to identify remedial measures for possible violations of the proposed model assumptions, ranging from fine‐tuning of the model to the use of elliptically symmetric or skew‐elliptical linear mixed models as well as of robust estimation methods. We specify many results available in the literature in a unified notation and highlight those with greater practical appeal. In each case, we discuss the availability of model diagnostics as well as of software and give general guidelines for model selection. We conclude with analyses of three practical examples and suggest further directions for research.  相似文献   

9.
Graphical chain models are a powerful tool for analyzing multivariate data. Their practical use may still be cumbersome in some respects, since fitting the model requires a lengthy selection strategy based on the calculation of an enormous number of different regressions. In this paper, we present a computer system especially designed for the calculation of graphical chain models, which will not only automatically carry out the model search but also visualize the corresponding graph at each stage of the model fit. In addition, it allows the user to modify the graph and to fit the model interactively.  相似文献   

10.
A tightened linkage between theory and data would enhance cumulative sociological knowledge. Toward that end this article selectivity reviews and develops social structural theories – theories that explain data. It focuses on statistical methods and process models because both approaches advance cumulative social science, and the tension between their advocates works against disciplinary solidarity. Boudon’s structural schematics cover all of the examples, suggesting a common perspective that can lessen the friction among practitioners of these forms of quantitative analysis and refocus much of the diversity of current sociology. An erratum to this article is available at .  相似文献   

11.
    
The network perspective is rapidly becoming a lingua franca across virtually all of the sciences from anthropology to physics. In this paper, we provide supply chain researchers with an overview of social network analysis, covering both specific concepts (such as structural holes or betweenness centrality) and the generic explanatory mechanisms that network theorists often invoke to relate network variables to outcomes of interest. One reason for discussing mechanisms is to facilitate appropriate translation and context‐specific modification of concepts rather than blind copying. We have also taken care to apply network concepts to both “hard” types of ties (e.g., materials and money flows) and “soft” types of ties (e.g., friendships and sharing‐of‐information), as both are crucial (and mutually embedded) in the supply chain context. Another aim of the review is to point to areas in other fields that we think are particularly suitable for supply chain management (SCM) to draw network concepts from, such as sociology, ecology, input–output research and even the study of romantic networks. We believe the portability of many network concepts provides a potential for unifying many fields, and a consequence of this for SCM may be to decrease the distance between SCM and other branches of management science.  相似文献   

12.
    
We review probabilistic and graphical rules for detecting situations in which a dependence of one variable on another is altered by adjusting for a third variable (i.e., non‐collapsibility or non‐invariance under adjustment), whether that dependence is causal or purely predictive. We focus on distinguishing situations in which adjustment will reduce, increase, or leave unchanged the degree of bias in an association that is taken to represent a causal effect of one variable on the other. We then consider situations in which adjustment may partially remove or introduce a bias in estimating causal effects, and some additional special cases useful for case‐control studies, cohort studies with loss, and trials with non‐compliance (non‐adherence).  相似文献   

13.
付尧 《价值工程》2013,(36):271-272
做好布设的安全性和经济费用的花销是输油管布设的关键,本文就安全经济布置对输油管的线路进行了分析和研究。  相似文献   

14.
    
Social network analysis (SNA) has become increasingly popular in many scientific applications and is applied widely in human resource development (HRD) research. Leveraging social networks can influence learning processes within organizations and provide opportunities for problem‐solving and the generation of new ideas. This article offers a look at the methodological basics of analyzing social networks and the major concepts in social capital theory from the social network perspective. A practical case is made to use SNA in the HRD context. After an analysis of hypothetical network data and application of social capital theory, the case shows how some actors in the network can create social capital from strong supportive relations, whereas others might expect to gain brokerage advantages by playing a role in structural holes. This article also serves as a brief guide for beginners using SNA with R in HRD research.  相似文献   

15.
The paper deals with the question of how to include time dependent explanatory variables at the context-level in multilevel event history models. In general, context-level explanatory variables in multilevel models are assumed to be time constant. Only time constant context-level explanatory variables perform the task of reducing context-level error variance. Thus, it will be suggested that the analysis should be extended to a three-level model. In this model, time periods of persons constitute level 1 units, time periods of contexts constitute level 2 units and the contexts themselves constitute level 3 units – in which in turn level 2 units are clustered. Considering mobility between local labour markets as an example, four different ways of modelling time varying context-level variables are compared. The result is that the proposed three-level model leads to the most conservative results.  相似文献   

16.
    
We consider a class of stochastic approximation (SA) algorithms for solving a system of estimating equations. The standard condition for the convergence of the SA algorithms is that the estimating functions are locally Lipschitz continuous. Here, we show that this condition can be relaxed to the extent that the estimating functions are bounded and continuous almost everywhere. As a consequence, the use of the SA algorithm can be extended to some problems with irregular estimating functions. Our theoretical results are illustrated by solving an estimation problem for exponential power mixture models.  相似文献   

17.
Information visualisation is a key component of support tools for many applications in science and engineering. A graph is an abstract structure that is widely used to model information for its visualisation. In this paper, we consider practical and general graph formalism called hierarchical graphs and present the Higres and Visual Graph systems aimed at supporting information visualisation on the base of hierarchical graph models.  相似文献   

18.
陈晓君 《价值工程》2019,38(14):58-61
作为企业开放式创新的重要实现平台,众包创新虚拟社区的参与用户数量众多、来源广泛,用户之间的互动行为与关系强度对众包创新绩效起着重要作用。以典型众包创新虚拟社区——戴尔公司IdeaStorm为例,运用社会网络分析方法(Social Network Analysis,SNA)研究该社区的网络结构特征,探测参与用户的互动行为模式。结果显示,IdeaStorm众包创新社区中的大部分用户为边缘用户,只有少数用户积极参与互动;小世界效应反映出再网络结构中用户之间的知识传播较为快捷,但互动强度不够。上述研究对理解众包创新虚拟社区的用户异质性行为,引导用户积极参与,进而提升众包创新绩效具有指导意义。  相似文献   

19.
A random effects model is proposed for the analysis of binary dyadic data that represent a social network or directed graph, using nodal and/or dyadic attributes as covariates. The network structure is reflected by modeling the dependence between the relations to and from the same actor or node. Parameter estimates are proposed that are based on an iterated generalized least-squares procedure. An application is presented to a data set on friendship relations between American lawyers.  相似文献   

20.
In this paper we consider Markov chains of the following type: the state space is the set of vertices of a connected, regular graph, and for each vertex transitions are to the adjacent vertices, with equal probabilities. When the mean first–passage matrix F of such a Markov chain is symmetric, the expectation and variance of first–entrance times, recurrence times, number of visits to a vertex and the expectation of the number of different vertices visited, can easily be computed from the entries of F. The method is most effective, when the underlying graph is distance–regular; then F is symmetric and the entries of F can easily be obtained from the graph.  相似文献   

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