IFRS in the United States – Developments and Current Status

International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are now required or permitted for use by companies in more than 100 countries, including the majority of the G20 members. However, domestic public companies domiciled in the United States (US) continue to be required to file financial statements with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in accordance with US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (US GAAP), and are prohibited from preparing them based on IFRS. This article describes the developments of IFRS‐related activities and initiatives in the US over the period 2007–2012, and provides an overview of the current status regarding potentially incorporating IFRS into the US financial reporting system based on recently issued reports by the SEC.     

Reinsurance and Capital Structure: Evidence From the United Kingdom Non‐Life Insurance Industry

Using a data set consisting of statutory returns of U.K. non‐life insurers from 1985 to 2002, I find that insurers with higher leverage tend to purchase more reinsurance, and insurers with higher reinsurance dependence tend to have a higher level of debt. My results are consistent with the expected bankruptcy costs argument, agency costs theory, risk‐bearing hypothesis, and renting capital hypothesis. I also find that the impact of leverage on reinsurance will be weaker for insurers that use more derivatives than those that use less. Moreover, high levels of derivative use increase the leverage gains attributable to reinsurance.     

美国的保险监管

从18世纪开始,美国对探索保险的监管方向做出不断的努力。本文作者为我们介绍了美国保险监管的发展历程和几次重大的立法与案例对其的影响,以及近期监管政府可能做出的政策选择。作者古奎特·李(L.Lee Colquitt)博士是美国奥本大学胡德夫金融学教授,此文由本刊的美国特约编辑杰姆斯·巴茨(James R.Barth)博士提供。     

The Theory-Practice Gap in Capital Budgeting: Evidence from the United Kingdom

We report the results of a survey of capital budgeting techniques used by United Kingdom firms. Where possible, the evidence is combined with data collected over a 22 year period to provide a basis for the discussion of causes of trends. We observe that there has been a substantial narrowing of the theory-practice gap in the use of project appraisal methods. The gap has also narrowed in other areas: the analysis of risk, inflation adjustment, capital budget preparation, WACC calculation and post-auditing. However, there are other elements of capital budgeting theory, e.g. probability and beta analysis which have been adopted by very few practising managers. We also discuss non-economic projects, capital rationing and hurdle rates.     

Management Compensation and Payback Method in Capital Budgeting: A Path Analysis

While discounted cash flow techniques, such as net present value, are the primary normative models of capital budgeting recommended by finance theory, our survey suggests that one of the so-called ‘naive methods’, the payback (PB) criterion, is widely used in practice. About 85% of the responding firms make some use of the payback criterion. Almost 50% of the responding firms indicate that the payback method plays a relatively important role in capital budgeting decisions, and the degree of the importance varies among firms. This study uses path analysis to empirically identify links between the use of payback and management compensation contracts. Controlling for uncertainty in estimating future cash flows and firm size, we find that the use of the payback method is positively related to the degree to which management compensation depends on accounting earnings. Furthermore, this study finds two indirect links between management compensation and the use of payback. The more management compensation depends on accounting earnings: the more important management perceives the earnings objective and, consequently, the greater the use of the payback method; and the less important management perceives the shareholder wealth objective and, consequently, the greater the use of the payback method. We conclude that owner-management conflict and management's self-interest behaviour induced by employment contracts are factors that promote the use of payback method.     

我国寿险投资问题分析及国际借鉴

我国保险业近年来飞速发展,但是保险资金存在着运用比重低、结构不合理等诸多问题.本文分析了我国寿险投资的现状和存在的问题,并同时与国际寿险公司投资的做法进行比较,提出了应该采取的风险管理对策.     

Analysis of Participating Life Insurance Contracts: A Unification Approach

Fair pricing of embedded options in life insurance contracts is usually conducted by using risk‐neutral valuation. This pricing framework assumes a perfect hedging strategy, which insurance companies can hardly pursue in practice. In this article, we extend the risk‐neutral valuation concept with a risk measurement approach. We accomplish this by first calibrating contract parameters that lead to the same market value using risk‐neutral valuation. We then measure the resulting risk assuming that insurers do not follow perfect hedging strategies. As the relevant risk measure, we use lower partial moments, comparing shortfall probability, expected shortfall, and downside variance. We show that even when contracts have the same market value, the insurance company's risk can vary widely, a finding that allows us to identify key risk drivers for participating life insurance contracts.     

Firm Investment and Stakeholder Choices: A Top‐Down Theory of Capital Budgeting

This paper develops a top‐down model of capital budgeting in which privately informed executives make investment choices that convey information to the firm's stakeholders (e.g., employees). Favorable information in this setting encourages stakeholders to take actions that positively contribute to the firm's success (e.g., employees work harder). Within this framework we examine how firms may distort their investment choices to influence the information conveyed to stakeholders and show that investment rigidities and overinvestment can arise as optimal investment distortions. We also examine investment distortions in multi‐divisional firms and compare such distortions to those in single‐division firms.     

Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States

We document that seasonal temperatures have significant and systematic effects on the U.S. economy, both at the aggregate level and across a wide cross section of economic sectors. This effect is particularly strong for the summer: a F increase in the average summer temperature is associated with a reduction in the annual growth rate of state‐level output of 0.15 to 0.25 percentage points. We combine our estimates with projected increases in seasonal temperatures and find that rising temperatures could reduce U.S. economic growth by up to one‐third over the next century.     

Firm Size and Growth in the United Kingdom Life Insurance Industry

This study tests whether the organic growth rates of United Kingdom (UK) life insurance firms are independent of size, as predicted by Gibrat's (1931) Law of Proportionate Effects. Using data for 1987–1996 and the three subperiods, 1987–1990, 1990–1993, and 1993–1996, we find that smaller life insurance firms tended to grow faster than larger ones in the 1987–1990 period and that larger life insurers tended to grow faster than smaller ones in the 1990–1993 and 1993–1996 periods. But over the ten‐year period, we find no significant difference between the growth rates of small and large firms, thus supporting Gibrat's Law as a long‐run tendency in the UK life insurance industry. When we examine firm‐specific determinants of asset growth, we find evidence in 1987–1996 and 1987–1990 that more diversified life insurance firms experienced higher growth rates on average than more specialized life insurers. We also find that the growth of life insurance firms was related to input costs during the 1990–1993 and 1993–1996 subperiods.     

STOCK MARKET RETURNS AND INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS: ADDITIONAL EVIDENCE FOR 1975–1979

This research investigates the impacts that inflationary expectations and errors in those expectations had upon the stock market during 1975 to 1979. Expected rates of inflation were obtained via (1) Box-Jenkins time-series analysis and (2) naive extrapolation. Statistical analysis indicates only weak support for a Fisher effect in determining stock prices. However, the analysis consistently indicates that unanticipated changes in inflation are negatively related to stock market returns.