构建市场经济的良知体系

深刻反思转型中的我国国有企业．不难发现不仅所有人缺位．相应的法律法规也缺位．道德和良知更缺位。市场经济的本来含义是政府退出资源配置体系，行政官员不参与直接的收益分配，但今天我国正上演着权力与市场博弈的大戏，在市场经济体系还远未健全之时，严重地伤害了市场本身。因此．发现资本的良知，是我们     

我国创业投资基金运作的制约因素与对策研究

我国创业投资基金运作中存在诸多制约因素：政府职能不到位是创业投资基金运作中的首要制约因素．市场体系不健全是创业投资基金运作的严重障碍，创业投资基金自身的缺陷是影响其运作的内在制约因素。本文对促进我国创业投资基金良性运作提出以下对策措施：充分发挥政府作用，营造有利于创业投资基金运作的社会环境：加快市场体系建设步伐，营造适宜创业投资基金发展的市场环境；健全创业投资基金的激励和约束机制．促进基金规范运作；把有限合伙制作为未来创业投资基金的主要组织形式。     

建设良好的外汇市场生态环境——德意志银行上海分行董事总经理高峰专访

随着汇率制度改革的推进，人民币汇率形成机制逐步完善，对外汇市场提出了进一步发展的要求。外汇市场的发展需要管理当局进一步扩大市场空间．表现在几方面，一是对金融创新产品更多支持；二是建设好市场生态环境，包括建设健全信用体系、法律体系等。     

我国经济市场化进程的现状、问题与前景

中国市场化改革的进程已取得了重要突破和长足的进步，但在劳动市场，农业、农村、农产品市场，货币市场，西部市场等部门和领域仍然改革滞后，整体上发展不平衡。因此，应按照党的十六大提出“健全统一、开放、竞争、有序的现代市场体系”的目标，加快发展和健全我国社会主义市场经济体系，抓住重点，取得新的更大、更快的突破。     

论健全我国中央银行体系

论健全我国中央银行体系卫功琦健全我国中央银行体系的总体目标，是建立一个独立化的中央银行体系，使其可以独立地制定与按市场规则操作货币政策，调控全国的货币供应量和信用规模，保持人民币市值稳定，并依法监管全国金融事业，确保金融组织体系的稳定运行。一、中央银...     

资产处置效益最大化是海南信托机构市场退出的有效途径

本从建立信托资产处置体系与健全和完善资产处置环境方面探索海南信托机构市场退出资产处置最大化的有效途径，指出了海南信托机构市场退出中资产处置最大化的组织体系构架模式及健全和完善资产处置的外置的外部环境。     

台湾、英国创业板市场的经营管理及其启示——如何发展创业板市场——以台湾为例

首先，必须要有一个完备的法律、行政命令及规章制度体系，这由主管机关的规定及交易所订立的契约构成。因为对一个市场而言，首先要将权利、义务规范清楚。第二，交易所必须具有公信力，制定公平、台理、透明的市场规则。第三．要有数目众多的忧质上市公司，即制度健全、信誉好、盈利能     

资本市场发展要解决好结构性矛盾

经过十多年的发展，我国资本市场取得了举世瞩目的成就，资本市场初具规模，市场基础设施不断完善，法律法规日趋健全，市场监管体系逐步完善，市场规范化程度不断提高，投资者队伍不断扩大，已经成为社会主义市场经济体系的重要组成部分，资本市场为推动经济体制改革、促进国民经济发展和结构调整做出了重要的贡献。     

新世纪市场经济宏观调控的比较与借鉴

通过对市场主导型、政府主导型及混合型宏观调控等方面的论述，提出 了我国应培育健全的市场体系和如何改善适应经济发展的宏观调控体系的方法与措施。     

积极推进新疆征信市场建设

健全的信用体系和完善的信用制度，在提高市场资源配置效率，促进经济发展，防范各种风险等方面发的军着重要作用。本文分析了当前全区信用体系的建设情况及征信市场存在的问题，在此基础上，进一步提出了推进征信市场建设的政策建议。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

我国助学贷款改革刍议--"双担保"机制设计

国家新出台的助学贷款政策,还不过是既有的框架下的局部调整,存在诸多不完善的地方。为此,对国家助学贷款应构建高校与就业单位的“双担保”机制。从长期来看,要构建一个系统有效的“政府部门管理和商业银行运作相结合”、“多层次、多渠道、多方式”、“担保和非担保、贴息和非贴息、市场和非市场运作互相补充”的中国教育金融框架。