Hedging under counterparty credit uncertainty

This study investigates optimal production and hedging decisions for firms facing price risk that can be hedged with vulnerable contracts, i.e., exposed to nonhedgeable endogenous counterparty credit risk. When vulnerable forward contracts are the only hedging instruments available, the firm's optimal level of production is lower than without credit risk. Under plausible conditions on the stochastic dependence between the commodity price and the counterparty's assets, the firm does not sell its entire production on the vulnerable forward market. When options on forward contracts are also available, the optimal hedging strategy requires a long put position. This provides a new rationale for the hedging role of options in the over‐the‐counter markets exposed to counterparty credit risk. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28: 248–263, 2008     

The influence of oil price uncertainty on stock liquidity

Using high-frequency intraday data, this study provides strong empirical evidence that elevated oil price uncertainty has a significant and negative influence on stock liquidity. More specifically, the results suggest that large oil-related corporations are most affected, followed by small-listed firms more generally. Further analysis reveals that liquidity providers widen the bid-ask spreads to protect themselves during periods of high oil price uncertainty for large-listed firms, particularly those in the oil industry. These findings are robust to various measures of oil price uncertainty, different market conditions, structural break analysis and show the influence of oil price movements extends to stock liquidity.     

Production,liquidity, and futures price dynamics

This study examines the optimal design of a futures hedge program for the competitive firm under output price uncertainty. All futures contracts are unbiased and marked to market in that they require interim cash settlement of gains and losses. The futures price dynamics follows a first-order autoregression with a random walk serving as a special case. The firm's futures hedge program is constituted of an endogenous provision for premature termination, which depends on how the futures prices are autocorrelated. Succinctly, the firm voluntarily commits to premature liquidation of its futures position on which the interim loss incurred exceeds a predetermined threshold level if the futures prices are positively autocorrelated. In this case, the liquidity constrained firm optimally opts for an over-hedge if its preferences exhibit either constant or increasing absolute risk aversion. If the futures prices are uncorrelated or negatively autocorrelated, the firm prefers to be liquidity unconstrained and thus adopts a full-hedge to completely eliminate the output price risk. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:749–762, 2008     

Profitability,uncertainty, and firm size

This paper examines the connections between variations in profit and loss rates among firms in small-firm and large-firm size classes as reflections of uncertainty. We find that, within industries, such variations are particularly great for firms in small-firm size classes, leading to operating policies for small firms best characterized as entrepreneurial. Large firms, in contrast, faced with less uncertainty in earning profit, appear to adopt policies that manifest an emphasis on strategic planning.The authors appreciate the helpful comments of John C. Woods, Bruce D. Philips, and anonymous referees on an earlier version of this paper. Data used in this study were developed under contract SBA-9216-AER-85 with the U.S. Small Business Administration. The authors alone are responsible for the results presented.     

Price uncertainty and competitive firm behavior: Testable hypotheses from expected utility maximization

This article derives the general implications of expected utility maximization for the static model of the competitive firm under output price uncertainty for any risk preference and probability structure. Implications of the results for the empirical analysis of risk-responsive behavior under uncertainty are discussed.     

On the ranking of price and quantity controls under uncertainty

It is shown that the equivalence of optimal price, optimal export quota and optimal import quota, known to hold under conditions of complete certainty, also holds if foreign demand is certain, however uncertain is the domestic production set. It is further shown that, even if foreign demand is uncertain, the three controls can be ranked in a special case.     

Hedging multiple price and quantity exposures

We examined the general hedging problem faced by a global portfolio manager or a pure exporting multinational firm. Most hedging models assume that these economic agents hold only a single asset in the spot market and are exposed only to a single source of price–quantity uncertainty. Such models are less relevant to many financial and exporting firms that face multiple sources of risk. In this study, we developed a general hedging model that explicitly recognizes that these hedgers are faced with multiple price and quantity uncertainties. Our model takes advantage of the full correlation structure of changes in spot prices, quantities, and forward prices. We performed simulations of the hedging model for a firm with two pairs of price and quantity exposures to demonstrate potential gains in hedging efficiency and effectiveness. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 21:145–172, 2001     

Productive opportunities,uncertainty, and science-based firm emergence

Small Business Economics - We provide greater theoretical precision to the concept of productive opportunities of Penrose. We show firm emergence as a recursive cycle of changing productive...     

Economic policy uncertainty,CDS spreads,and CDS liquidity provision

Using a news-based index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), we find that EPU is positively associated with credit default swap (CDS) spreads and negatively associated with the number of liquidity providers in the CDS market. A 10% increase in EPU leads to an 8.4% increase in CDS spreads and a 4.0% decrease in the number of liquidity providers. Furthermore, the effects of EPU are persistent and robust after controlling for macroeconomic variables. Our results are also robust to different econometric methodologies. Overall, our findings suggest that, when EPU is high, investors find credit protection more costly and difficult to purchase.     

Competitor identification,perceived environmental uncertainty,and firm performance

To create a competitive advantage and generate superior performance, firms must first identify rivals. However, there is little understanding of how perceived environmental uncertainty affects competitor identification, why some firms are better at identifying domestic versus foreign rivals, or how competitor identification is related to firm performance. In this paper we theorize that perceived environmental uncertainty is an important antecedent of competitor identification; it influences how many competitors a firm identifies. Our theory also suggests that different firm characteristics influence domestic/foreign competitor identification and that there is an inverted‐U shaped relationship between under/overidentification of competitors and firm performance. Based on a large sample of Taiwanese firms, we find support for each of these ideas. Our study helps reinforce the importance of competitor identification for firm success. Copyright © 2015 ASAC. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The optimal size of the competitive firm

In this article a simple derivation of the optimal long-run size of the competitive firm is given under general assumptions about the organization of the enterprise, and in a world where production occurs only under constant or increasing returns to scale. To do this, only the basic notion of a firm as some form of central coordinating agency is relied on.     

The relationship between liquidity,corporate governance,and firm valuation: Evidence from Russia

This paper examines the hypotheses that liquidity improves corporate governance, and better governance enhances valuation of Russian firms. We find a positive causal relationship between measures of liquidity and corporate governance. Additionally, we document the strong positive impact of corporate governance on valuation. Our results are economically significant. For example, we document that a 10% decrease in the proportion of zero return days implies a 0.34% increase in transparency and disclosure, which in turn leads to a 9.6% increase in firm valuation. Our research findings shed light on the important role of liquidity in improving corporate governance and valuation.     

Hedging nontradable risks with transaction costs and price impact

A risk‐averse agent hedges her exposure to a nontradable risk factor U using a correlated traded asset S and accounts for the impact of her trades on both factors. The effect of the agent's trades on U is referred to as cross‐impact. By solving the agent's stochastic control problem, we obtain a closed‐form expression for the optimal strategy when the agent holds a linear position in U. When the exposure to the nontradable risk factor is nonlinear, we provide an approximation to the optimal strategy in closed‐form, and prove that the value function is correctly approximated by this strategy when cross‐impact and risk‐aversion are small. We further prove that when is nonlinear, the approximate optimal strategy can be written in terms of the optimal strategy for a linear exposure with the size of the position changing dynamically according to the exposure's “Delta” under a particular probability measure.     

Effects of price uncertainty on consumer purchase budget and price thresholds

This article examines how uncertainty about prices affects: (1) the budget consumers allocate for purchasing a product and (2) consumer price thresholds (i.e., the prices that are considered too high or a good deal). In an experimental setting, the purchase budget as well as the absolute values of both thresholds for uncertain subjects were higher than those for certain subjects. Moreover, a relatively large decline from the budget was needed before a price was considered a good deal, whereas a relatively small increase from the budget was sufficient for a price to be considered too high. Price uncertainty widened the difference between the upper (i.e., too high) price threshold and the budget, making uncertain subjects more tolerant to prices exceeding the budget than certain subjects. However, price uncertainty did not have a significant effect on the difference between the budget and the lower (i.e., good deal) price threshold.We wish to thank the editor and anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments on an earlier draft. We also thank Professors S. P. Raj and Amiya Basu for their comments and suggestions at various stages of the study.     

Retailing under resale price maintenance: Economies of scale and scope,and firm strategic response,in the inter-war British retail pharmacy sector

The article examines the impact of resale price maintenance (RPM) on market structure, productivity, and competitive advantage in British retail pharmacy. In contrast to influential studies, but consistent with contemporary and recent work, it is shown that the major multiples were able to ameliorate the negative growth impacts of RPM. Higher profit margins ? principally from larger manufacturer discounts and backward integration – were used to fund initiatives aimed at boosting aggregate sales and economies of scale and scope. These relationships are explored using a recently discovered national establishment-level survey of retail pharmacists’ costs and margins, together with internal data for Boots Ltd.     

Ex-dividend day price behavior and liquidity in a tax-free emerging market

This paper investigates the effect of liquidity on the ex-dividend day price premium. It is well documented that prices drop less than the dividend amount on the ex-day; this market inefficiency is generally attributed to the tax-induced clientele effect and various structural frictions. We show that, even in a tax-free market characterized by the presence of large block holders and the absence of the usual microstructure impediments, abnormal returns persist. Using a newly defined free-float adjusted measure of market fluidity, we find that liquidity is economically and statistically significant in the determination of the ex-dividend day price anomaly, indicating that trading restrictions can partially explain the ex-dividend return puzzle.     

One firm,one product,two prices: Channel-based price differentiation and customer retention

Every multichannel retailer must decide whether and how to apply channel-based price differentiation. This study identifies channel-related price differentiation instruments and considers their effects on customer retention. It empirically tests hypotheses using a laboratory experiment and analytically investigates feasibility conditions. Results show that channel-based price differentiation positively affects customers through perceived value but harms retention through price unfairness and limited self-determination. The mobile communications retailer in this study would require 5.1% lower operating costs online to ensure its profitability. These results indicate that multichannel retailers with channel-based price differentiation should carefully select their price instruments and meet the feasibility conditions.     

Retail price discount depth and perceived quality uncertainty

This study analyzes the impact of retail price discount depth on consumer perception of quality uncertainty and its implications. While the extant research finds a negative relationship between perceived mean quality (indicated by the mean of quality perception) and price discount, we suggest an inverted-U-shaped relationship between perceived quality uncertainty (indicated by the variance of quality perception) and price discount. The underlying mechanism for this phenomenon is that consumer attribution of price promotion varies by discount depth. Specifically, when provided with a moderate discount (compared with a low or high discount), consumers cannot ascertain whether the discount is related to product quality; thus, they perceive a higher level of quality uncertainty and correspondingly rely more on other cues, such as country of origin and product popularity information, to make inferences about quality. Those findings have implications for setting the depth of retail price discounts and providing product quality-related information in the context of price promotion.