政府与供电企业不对称双方叫价拍卖管制博弈研究

文章针对电力产业售配电阶段的垄断性,政府和供电企业之间存在的信息不对称,建立政府与供电企业的双方叫价拍卖的不完全信息管制博弈模型。假定消费者对电力价值的估值和供电企业的供电成本均为私有信息,根据政府与供电企业在博弈过程中的加价价格,求解得到模型的贝叶斯纳什均衡解。并通过政府和供电企业线性战略下均衡解的分析得出政府对供电企业需采取价格管制的区间,为政府对供电企业的管制程度提供决策依据。     

交易机制的博弈演化理论综述

以交易双方市场地位的变迁为线索,系统地梳理了国外从上世纪60年代初至今半个多世纪以来使用博弈论方法研究市场交易机制的文献,按照交易双方所处的市场地位不同,将市场交易的博弈机制理论划分为以下四种:拍卖机制、谈判机制、双向拍卖机制、逆向拍卖机制理论.阐述了相关文章的研究假设、研究思路和主要研究结论.在中国市场不断国际化的进程中,这对于提高市场主体参与市场博弈的效率、有效地建设社会主义市场经济体制都具有重要的参考价值.     

房地产市场高空置率现象及其博弈解释

中国的房地产市场存在着高隐性空置率的现象,本文利用博弈工具,依据双方叫价拍卖模型,构建房地产市场交易的不完全信息博弈模型。通过分析提出隐性空置率的产生和持续上涨主要是由于房地产开发商和房地产投资者即炒房者乐观供给预期过度,而消费者乐观消费预期不足所造成。并据此提出了相关的政策建议。     

知识型企业并购定价博弈模型分析

文章以探讨知识型企业并购定价的合理机制为目的，运用讨价还价和双向拍卖博弈模型对定价过程展开分析。首先在完全信息条件下对定价博弈过程的分析表明在主并组织强势时目标组织最多只能得到交易总剩余的四分之一；在目标组织强势时，其得益取决于本领域知识更新的速率；双方力量均衡且知识更新速度很慢时，双方均分总剩余。其次，在不完全信息条件下，双方在总剩余中的分配比例将取决于信任关系和知识距离的大小。最后，通过博弈机制分析得出让并购双方说出对目标知识资产真实估值的直接机制，即：并购定价等于双方声明的目标知识资产估值之和去除估值之积。     

旅行社与寡头垄断型景区门票价格博弈分析——基于双方叫价拍卖模型

寡头垄断型景区门票的价格直接影响到旅行社的经济效益和景区自身的持久发展。基于不完全信息静态双方叫价拍卖模型的运用,得出线性战略均衡价格优于单一价格均衡。通过一系列的数学推算,给出了结论和建议。     

医院广告策略的博弈分析

文章通过建立完全信息静态博弈框架下的基本博弈模型和扩展博弈模型,对我国医疗市场上医院的广告行为进行了初步的分析。认为公立综合大医院很少做广告和民营新建特色医院往往做广告的策略选择是双方博弈的均衡。并且初步分析了在部分外生条件改变时对博弈均衡策略的影响。     

诉讼调解与博弈均衡

博弈论是研究决策主体的行为发生直接相互作用时的决策以及这种决策均衡问题的理论.民事诉讼双方当事人之间举证、质证、辩论就是一场博弈,而当案件调解时,也就是双方各种力量、信息对比达成精炼贝叶斯-纳什均衡.当前,涉诉信访案件增多,给和谐社会的构建带来巨大压力,本文旨在民事诉讼过程中引入博弈理论,充分运用博弈论促使案件达成博弈均衡(调解)的结果.     

诉讼调解与博弈均衡

博弈论是研究决策主体的行为发生直接相互作用时的决策以及这种决策均衡问题的理论。民事诉讼双方当事人之间举证、质证、辩论就是一场博弈,而当案件调解时,也就是双方各种力量、信息对比达成精炼贝叶斯-纳什均衡。当前,涉诉信访案件增多,给和谐社会的构建带来巨大压力,本文旨在民事诉讼过程中引入博弈理论,充分运用博弈论促使案件达成博弈均衡(调解)的结果。     

双向拍卖中的“零信息”模型研究

首先介绍了双向拍卖与单向拍卖的本质区别，然后分析了双向拍卖市场中的买卖双方所面临的复杂报价决策过程，最后在分析“零信息”报价模型和“增强型零信息”报价模型的基础上，提出了一种通用的“零信息”报价模型－－k-ZI模型。     

最优拍卖理论及其实践述评

拍卖是机制设计理论的典型应用之一.最优拍卖所要解决的核心问题是卖者如何在不同的交易环境下通过有效的机制设计实现最大的期望收益.维克里的收益等价定理是拍卖理论的发展基石,但是收益等价定理依赖于独立私人估价假设,这些假设条件过于苛刻在现实中难以满足.因此,研究如何在独立私人估价假设不成立时实现最优拍卖就成为拍卖理论演进的基本线索.本文将沿着这一线索对最优拍卖理论及其实践加以评述,并揭示拍卖理论在中国的经济改革和发展中所具有的重要应用价值.     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.     

Information infrastructure: Who builds broadband networks?

This paper examines the essential difference between the U.S. and Japan, when one considers information infrastructure. There are seven perception gaps between the U.S. and Japan concerning Information Infrastructure policies. These gaps must be understood in order to compare the countries' governmental policies in this area. In looking at the present circumstances, the essential question to answer concerns who is to build, own and operate the network(s) of the infrastructure. Liberalization is certain to be a central factor in the ongoing telecommunications debates. Now that customers have had a taste of the liberalized market-place, the movement toward more open markets will be difficult to stop. When considering options, it is necessary to pay close attention to standardized network access and the increasingly important role software plays. These issues are causing us to take a new approach to the traditional role played by regulators. They also force a closer look at the appropriate structure of utility companies. This paper addresses the above issues in hopes of stimulating dialog on the new telecommunications infrastructure paradigm.     

Nonlinearity in Stock Exchange Markets: The Case of Bist 100 Indices

In this paper,using data for the Bist 100 index,we investigate the presence of nonlinearities by employing several nonlinearity tests.The Brock,Dechert,and Sche...     

Solidified Branding Function: How the Urban Brand Affects a Small Town’s Development? Case Study of Wangqingtuo,Tianjin, China

Chinese small towns are usually developed with single core industry,and the urban brand is the identity of a town that formed with the development of its indust...     

海岛地区产业演替及资源基础分析--以舟山群岛为例

改革开放以来,舟山市产业构成发生了显著变化,其经济发展过程可以划分为三个阶段。1992年前,是以产业结构渔业占绝对地位的单一结构阶段;1993—1998年,以旅游业为主的第三产业快速发展阶段;上世纪末以来,又进入了新一轮的经济发展时期,即工业产值比重快速增加阶段。根据海岛的自然资源基础和特点,在新世纪的经济发展过程中,舟山市应定位为生态型的港口旅游城市。以港口及临港工业为主导,以海岛旅游和海洋经济为特色,大力发展第二产业和第三产业。海岛地区的主导产业应体现海岛资源优势及区位优势,以集群性环保型产业为主。同时由于海岛地区淡水资源缺乏,主导产业也应着重选择低耗水型产业。