长三角民营企业融资困境的制度性分析与对策探讨

长三角是民营企业的重要聚集区,在长三角经济发展过程中民营企业发挥充当经济增长引擎、创造就业机会以及优化调整产业结构等独特功能已为各界所认同,其重要性不言而喻。但目前我国宏观经济出现波动,“融资难”日益成为其健康发展的巨大障碍。本文从制度维度对长三角民营企业融资困境进行该性分析并从该层面提出相应策略。     

家庭生育选择行为影响因素测度及经济分析——基于离散选择经济计量模型分析视角

我国生育选择特征表现在:对子女数量的追求由多变少、男孩与女孩相比的效用优势正逐步消失、农村家庭正从生育行为转向教育行为。教育和职业对生育模式的选择影响最大,其次是年龄和婚姻状态。基于分析结果,笔者认为,促进人力资本的教育投资、消除收入分配与就业之间的差距、建立公平的社会保障制度等,将有利于强化计划生育政策的积极影响。     

中小企业板上市公司独立董事制度研究

在不完全契约框架下,企业具有绝对的权力,这是导致企业财务管理出现诚信问题的根本原因。改变这种情况的基本路径是建立利益相关者参与企业战略的通道,以影响企业战略决策过程。独立董事制度是值得探索的方式,提升独立董事制在公司治理中的意义,根本则在于保证独立董事具有参与企业决策的主动性。     

东北地区就业密度分布的空间特征——基于两次经济普查数据的空间计量经济分析

基于区域密度方程和空间统计方法,利用两次经济普查的就业数据对东北地区就业密度的空间特征进行了研究。结果表明,东北地区形成了一个向右倾斜的倒Y字型就业密度格局,从北向南已经形成和正在形成的次中心逐渐增多,沿海化趋势和局域融合趋势也比较明显,东北地区多中心就业格局已经形成。2004—2008年,东北地区整体就业密度的集中性还在继续加强,但不同局域就业中心表现出了不同的增长模式,黑龙江处于中心增长型扩散的单中心阶段,吉林省和辽宁省处于向心集聚和中心增长型扩散并存的多中心阶段,大部分就业中心均处于中心增长型扩散阶段,尚无去中心化扩散的就业中心。     

Amenity values of spatial configurations of forest landscapes over space and time in the Southern Appalachian Highlands

This research analyzes amenity values of spatial configurations of forest landscapes over space and time in the Southern Appalachian Highlands using geographically weighted regression (GWR) in a hedonic housing-price framework with a census-block group (CBG) dataset. Results show that housing-price response to mean forest-patch size and forest-patch density increased substantially between 1990 and 2000 in a few specific areas with economically significant amenity values. The spatial and temporal dynamics of the resulting amenity-value estimates are evaluated for potential use as site-selection indicators for implementation of forest conservation programs.     

江浙模式及民营经济在全国的发展

Along with the implementation of reform and open up policy in China, Jiangsu and Zhejiang, two provinces have got rapid economic development and greatly contributed to China’s market transition. Jiangsu, Zhejiang together with Shanghai, have shaped China’s economic heartland—the Yangtze River Delta Economic Region. Undoubtedly, the private sector is the driving force for the tremendous economic development in the Yangtze River Delta, particularly for facilitating institutional transition and economic development. Fortunately, this kind of economic development driven by the private sector was not only restricted in the Yangtze River Delta Region, but also across the country as it has been gradually extended nationwide. This paper is to look at the development of the private sector in Jiangsu and Zhejiang areas and particularly trace its fantastic effects on nationwide economic development and market transition.      

Five reasons for the use of network analysis in the history of economics

ABSTRACT

Network analysis is increasingly appreciated as a methodology in the social sciences. In recent years, it is also receiving attention among historians of science. History of economics is no exception in that researchers have begun to use network analysis to study a variety of topics, including collaborations and interactions in scientific communities, the spread of economic theories within and across fields, or the formation of new specialties in the discipline of economics. Against this backdrop, a debate is emerging about how network analysis can help address questions that are pertinent to the history of economics. With this paper, we want to push this debate one step forward by offering and discussing five reasons why network analysis should have a future in the history of economics.     

The analysis of consumer demand in Greece. Model selection and dynamic specification

The paper analyses the pattern of consumer demand in Greece exploring systematically the questions of the functional form of demand that best fits the data, the appropriate dynamic structure and the empirical validity of the constraints of demand theory. A general dynamic Almost Ideal demand model for four categories of consumer non-durables for the period 1958–1994 is estimated. The maintained specification rejects the static AI, its counterparts implied by the partial adjustment and autoregressive disturbances models and, upon applying a non-nested test, the Rotterdam specification. However, it cannot reject homogeneity and symmetry nor the hypothesis of structural stability.     

Interactive software for the capture,management, and analysis of data in Delphi inquiries

Studies utilizing the Delphi method are typically the subject of extensive research design. Such studies also have a reputation for being expensive when compared with some other forms of social research. There is a large class of research that may benefit from the use of off-the-shelf software that is used not only in data analysis but also as a medium of communication and data management.This paper focuses on one such software package that incorporates these three aspects with the aim of streamlining Delphi-based research.     

Structural decomposition analysis and input-output subsystems: Changes in CO2 emissions of Spanish service sectors (2000-2005)

The analysis of gas emissions by an input-output subsystem approach provides detailed insight into pollution generation in an economy. Structural decomposition analysis, on the other hand, identifies the factors behind the changes in key variables over time. Extending the input-output subsystem model to account for the changes in these variables reveals the channels by which environmental burdens are caused and transmitted throughout the production system. In this paper we propose a decomposition of the changes in the components of CO₂ emissions captured by an input-output subsystems representation. The empirical application is for the Spanish service sector, and the economic and environmental data are for years 2000 and 2005. Our results show that services increased their CO₂ emissions mainly because of a rise in the emissions generated by non-services to cover the final demand for services. The decomposed effects show a decrease in CO₂ emissions due to technological changes between 2000 and 2005 compensated by an increase in emissions caused by the rise in final demand of services. Finally, large asymmetries exist not only in the quantitative changes in the CO₂ emissions of the various services but also in the decomposed effects of these changes.     

《经济学家》载文和引文定量分析

运用文献计量学的方法,依据、<中文社会科学引文索引CSSCI>、<中国学术期刊综合引证报告>的数据,对全国中文核心期刊--<经济学家>创刊以来,特别是2000年以后所发论文的载文(包括载文量、作者地区、作者行业、栏目载文量)和引文(包括被引频次、影响因子、被引作者、被它刊引用)的定量分析,客观揭示该刊在我国学术界的整体水平和重要影响,以及社会科学研究者对该刊物的借鉴、汲取情况.     

论我国中小企业融资的信用制度建设

现代经济是信用经济，信用是一切投融资活动的基础。众多学者的研究表明，中小企业信用缺失是造成企业融资困难的主要原因之一。基于此，首先从信息经济学理论角度对信用制度在中小企业融资中的作用作了具体分析；其次说明了中小企业融资难的现实状况，并从博弈理论和现实制度两个层面剖析了信用缺失是中小企业融资难的根源；最后探讨了加强中小企业融资信用制度建设的对策。     

Sensitivity analysis for applied general equilibrium models in the presence of multiple Walrasian equilibria

Summary. Pagan and Shannon's (1985) widely used approach employs local linearizations of a system of non-linear equations to obtain asymptotic distributions for the endogenous parameters (such as prices) from distributions over the exogenous parameters (such as estimates of taste, technology, or policy variables, for example). However, this approach ignores both the possibility of multiple equilibria as well as the problem (related to that of multiplicity) that critical points might be contained in the confidence interval of an exogenous parameter. We generalize Pagan and Shannon's approach to account for multiple equilibria by assuming that the choice of equilibrium is described by a random selection. We develop an asymptotic theory regarding equilibrium prices, which establishes that their probability density function is multimodal and that it converges to a weighted sum of normal density functions. An important insight is that if a model allows multiple equilibria, say , but multiplicity is ignored, then the computed solution for the i-th equilibrium generally no longer coincides with the expected value of that i-th equilibrium. The error can be large and correspond to several standard deviations of the mean's estimate. Received: December 7, 1999; revised version: December 4, 2000     

The cost-effectiveness of biologic versus non-biologic treatments and the health-related quality of life among a sample of patients with inflammatory bowel disease in a tertiary care center in Saudi Arabia

Abstract

Aims

This study’s objectives were to examine and compare the cost-effectiveness of biologic and non-biologic therapies in the improvement of the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in Saudi Arabia.     

家族企业治理结构的演进逻辑与效用分析

家族企业是市场经济中现代企业群体的母体和重要的企业组织形态，其相应的公司治理结构在家族企业的不同成长时期既呈现出优势的一面又呈现出劣势的一面，但其效率本身并无绝对的高低之分。随着家族企业的发展，家族企业的治理模式也应不断的优化，相应地构建适合其发展进程的治理结构，其生命力才能得到不断的延伸。     

Corporate labour share of income and the shadow economy: a cross-country analysis

This article addresses a link between the size of the shadow economy and the corporate labour share of income in the European Union. Fixed individual and time effects models suggest that there is a negative link between these two indicators. The coefficients are statistically significant if we control for other variables related to labour markets, such as unemployment rates or strictness of employment protection (regular contracts). Depending on the exact model specification, our estimates suggest that an increase in the shadow economy by 1% of GDP results in a 0.5–1% decline in the labour share of income in the corporate sector.     

Exogeneity, causality, and co-breaking in economic policy analysis of a small econometric model of money in the UK

Since the objective of economic policy is to change target variables in the DGP, when economic policy analysis uses an econometric model, it is important that the model delivers reliable inferences about policy responses in the DGP. This requires that the model be congruent and encompassing, and hence exogeneity, causality, cointegration, co-breaking, and invariance all play major roles. We discuss these roles in linear cointegrated VARs, prior to illustrating their importance in a bivariate model of money and interest rates in the UK over the last century.Financial support from the UK Economic and Social Research Council under grant L116251015, and the EUI Research Council grantEconometric Modelling of Economic Time Series, is gratefully acknowledged. Early research for the paper was done whilst Mizon was Visiting Fellow in the Economics Program of the RSSS at ANU, where he benefited from the excellent research environment and discussions with Adrian Pagan. We are grateful to Hans-Martin Krolzig for helpful discussions on the topic. We also thank members of the Research Department, Norges Bank, Oslo, the particpants at theWorkshop on Money Demand in Europe, Humboldt University, October 1997, two referees, and the editors Helmut Lütkepohl and Jürgen Wolters for their valuable comments. The data may be obtained from the internet, http://wotan.wiwi.huberlin.de/oekonometric./engl/data.html     

AHP法在成都某地低碳经济评价分析中的运用

发展低碳经济是近年来学界研究的热点和社会发展的潮流,是我国构建和谐社会,促进循环经济发展重要的步骤。为了促进成都某地低碳经济的发展,在该地已有的建设目标体系的基础上,按照构建原则构建低碳经济评价指标体系,运用层次分析法来确定各层指标的权重,对照区域低碳经济规划目标,并与国内代表地区人均二氧化碳比较,综合评价该地区低碳经济的发展情况。     

中国经济增长阶段的识别与解读

有关经济增长阶段性的研究尚存许多争议,主要原因之一在于研究方法是否考虑到经济增长的随机性因素。为此,将有序样本聚类与变点分析结合起来,对中国经济增长的长时间跨期数据进行了实证分析,不仅找到了与同类研究高度一致的变点,还发现了一些新变点,并给出了这些变点更真实的解读。     

中国经济增长与能源消耗的现状分析与对策

能源是国民经济发展的先决条件，中国经济发展具有较强的“能源依赖”、“能源高耗”等特征，能源紧张已成为制约中国经济增长的“瓶颈”。在此背景下，对中国经济增长与能源消耗的现状进行分析，总结经济增长与能源消耗的规律及其阶段特征，并提出中国经济增长与能源消耗协调发展的对策建议。