中国-东盟农产品贸易持续逆差研究

本文阐述了中国对东盟农产品贸易现状,从不同角度对中国对东盟农产品贸易持续逆差现象及其原因进行了分析,并发现中国对东盟农产品贸易逆差呈总体扩大趋势。得出如下结论:首先,中国-东盟农产品贸易逆差总体呈上升趋势;其次,中国对东盟主要农产品贸易逆差国为马来西亚、印度尼西亚和泰国;再者,主要出口农产品形成的贸易逆差是构成中国对东盟农产品贸易逆差的主要原因之一;最后,中国农产品比较优势下降,东盟主要农产品贸易逆差国的农产品的比较优势较为明显也是引起贸易逆差的原因之一。     

我国中部地区发展加工贸易的战略思考

目前东部地区加工贸易出口面临转型升级压力,国家也在不断加强政策力度以促进劳动密集型加工贸易向中西部地区转移,从而使得毗邻东部的中部地区迎来发展加工贸易的机遇.虽然中部地区发展加工贸易的条件与效益和东部地区相比存在着一定的差距,但从中部地区发展加工贸易的政策、区位和成本的综合优势看具有极大的潜力.文章针对中部地区的现实条件提出了发展加工贸易的思路,以带动经济发展.     

Analysis and Countermeasures on Textile Export Competition Between Pan-Zhujiang River Delta and ASEAN

With the economic cooperation between China and ASEAN developing rapidly, strong complementarity and quota of textile canceled, ASEAN are preparing for the conformity of their textile industry. So do ours. The position of Pan-zhujiang river delta is the front to the ASEAN. This paper analyses the existing problems and work out the countermeasures and proposals.     

Matching Economic Development Policy to the Local Context: Must We?

This paper examines 2013 data on high-tech manufacturing employment across metropolitan statistical areas in the United States. The purpose is to discover how a broad set of social/demographic/economic variables relate to varying densities of high-tech manufacturing employment. Two questions are asked: Do social and industrial circumstances evolve together, as suggested by institutionalist theories? Is there any evidence to suggest that economic development policy is likely to be effective at creating the conditions that might invite local development of high-tech manufacturing?     

贸易自由化、外商直接投资与出口贸易地区差异

文章检验了贸易自由化、外商直接投资流入与出口贸易地区差异的关系。通过构建3×2×2空间一般均衡模型和使用2002-2008年全国28个省份面板数据,研究发现外商直接投资与地区出口贸易之间关系不确定,外商直接投资流入与贸易自由化共同造成出口贸易地区间差异。此外,中国与东盟贸易自由区更利于内陆地区出口贸易,劳动力禀赋对出口没有显著影响,物质资本和人力资本禀赋对出口具有正向影响,人民币升值会促进而非抑制出口贸易。     

浅析中国巴西经贸关系

中国与巴西同为金砖国家,处在经济迅猛发展阶段,其相互合作意义重大。巴西原材料丰富,中国产品物美价廉,两国良好的经贸关系不仅体现在进出口上,在投资领域,经贸科研等方面也深入合作。近几年签署了多项大型合作项目,贸易往来能够通过本币进行结算,虽然巴西对来自中国进口商品的反倾销调查有所增加,但双边经贸关系发展前景广阔。     

东盟区域经济一体化——基于边境效应的实证分析

本文通过计算边境效应来测定自由贸易区与其他国家（地区）的贸易程度。通过2000-2009年这10年的面板数据,在理论上验证了以下结论：东盟区域内部各国之间的贸易壁垒和边境效应普遍降低;东盟作为一个整体对于世界其他主要贸易国家的边境效应却在不断提升,这反映出东盟的一体化进程在不断提高。此外,在本文的研究中还发现另外一个值得关注的情况：与其他自由贸易区的国家同质化结构不同,东盟区域内既有发展程度较高的国家,也有依然被联合国定义为贫穷、欠发达的国家,这样的国家结构必然会造成贸易层面上的分化,折射出东盟在内部融合的过程中出现的一些不协调和分化     

The impact of regional trade policy uncertainty on the productivity of Chinese export enterprises: The case of China–ASEAN Free Trade Area

Reduction of regional trade policy uncertainty is critical for promoting Chinese export enterprise productivity and will help the economy enter the high-quality development stage. We use the case of the China–ASEAN Free Trade Area to empirically tests the impact of the reduction of regional trade policy uncertainty on the productivity of Chinese export enterprises. We apply the difference-in-difference method to micro-enterprise level data from the “China industrial enterprise database” and “China Customs enterprise database” for 2007–2013. Our analysis and results show that establishing the China–ASEAN Free Trade Area has dramatically reduced regional trade policy uncertainty, significantly impacting the productivity of Chinese enterprises exporting to ASEAN. The results also show that enterprises with different ownership types, regions, factor density, and pollution emission intensity show significant heterogeneity in the level of productivity improvement. Applying a mechanism test, we found that the promotion of productivity from a reduction of regional trade policy uncertainty is achieved through the learning effect, the competition effect, and improving the trade environment of imported intermediate goods. The learning effect mechanism has the highest contribution, accounting for 39.01% of the net effect. The empirical results provide novel insight into promoting the productivity of Chinese enterprises exporting to ASEAN from the perspective of reducing regional trade policy uncertainty.     

中国-东盟高技术行业垂直产业内贸易水平及特征研究

作者通过对中国-东盟的贸易结构及模式的研究,发现中国-东盟之间的贸易模式并不符合发展中国家的一般模式.2005年中国-东盟在HS1996,85类产品的垂直产业内贸易水平高达65%,这与垂直产业内贸易的理论也是不一致的.上述现象是跨国公司在全球范围内进行分工的结果.     

西部开发中生态经济相关性的分析

生态环境与经济发展的关系是一组矛盾的统一体,生态环境是经济发展的基础,经济发展才能有足够的资金投入环境治理。中央在以生态环境的保护和建设为重要内容的西部大开发战略中,要求我们不能再走传统的浪费资源,破坏环境的路子,为此,在实施西部大开发战略中,认识和研究生态环境与经济发展的关系就显得十分必要。本文从短期与长期两个层次分析相互关系。     

China–US economic and trade relations,trade news,and short-term fluctuation of the RMB exchange rate

The trade war between the US and China affects the fluctuation of RMB exchange rate. We collect news on China–US trade policies and talks from January 2017 to July 2020. Results show that China–US dialogue and tariff imposition have the greatest impact on the percentage of RMB appreciation and depreciation. Additionally, tariff relaxation and increasing enterprise restrictions can cause a sharp appreciation and depreciation. “Policies” events and trade news from the US influence RMB fluctuations the most significantly. Finally, positive events cannot significantly cause RMB appreciation, but negative events can significantly cause RMB devaluation.     

我国收入贸易条件变动分析:1995～2004

收入贸易条件衡量的是一国在国际分工中获得的总体贸易利益的多少,在对我国贸易条件的变化进行分析时应当合理考虑收入贸易条件指数的变动。近年来我国的收入贸易条件指数呈现出持续改善的趋势,这表明外贸规模的扩大对国民经济发展做出了积极的贡献,仅仅根据商品贸易条件指数下降而得出我国贸易条件出现严重恶化的结论缺乏充分的根据。从国际经济竞争的现实背景来考虑,我国应当在保持收入贸易条件指数不恶化的情况下,继续大力推动出口贸易量较快地增长。     

Expanding international trade beyond the RTA border: The case of ASEAN's economic diplomacy

We examine the roles of regional trade agreements (RTAs) not only in regionalization processes but also in globalization of trade. Results from various specifications of the gravity equation model confirm that a country can noticeably increase directional trade through diplomatic relations as well as through membership.     

论民营对外贸易的经济贡献及发展策略

民营对外贸易的快速发展,拉动了国民经济增长,推动了所有制经济结构调整,增加了就业机会,扩大了财政收入和外汇储备,加快了外贸体制改革步伐。但仍存在准入门槛过高、出口退税滞后等诸多问题。为促进民营对外贸易的发展,管理部门要营造平等竞争的政策环境,进出口商会及中介组织要增强规范管理与服务,民营企业也要提高自身的竞争力。     

经济地理学近期研究的一个新方向分析

分析和评价了国际经济地理学界新近出现的一个新方向：来自经济学的新经济地理学和来自地理学的经验地理学有组织地交流和合作。讨论了新经济地理学的主要研究特点及其存在问题。这些新变化对经济地理学的可能影响包括：不同观点融合将进一步加强,经济地理学地位会明显提高,前瞻性研究成果有望逐渐增多,新的经济地理学学派有望出现。对我国经济地理学研究的启迪包括：科学地研究新经济地理学,正确对待学术研究的流派,在拓宽视野基础上求专精,培养严谨的分析习惯。     

中国农村工业化对经济发展的贡献

本文依据80年代以来中国农村工业化的实践、全面论述了农村工业化的兴起对社会经济发展的经济结构、经济效率、社会公平等贡献。     

Linder Revisited: Trade and Development in the Spanish Economy

The literature has tended to treat Linder’s hypothesis with excessive simplicity given the absence of any formalization for this intuitive theory on trade potential in manufacturers, closely related to the intra‐industry trade paradigm. Against this background, in this paper we first propose a complete empirical model of bilateral trade containing all the determinants suggested by Linder, with special emphasis being placed on non‐homothetic preferences, national income distribution, international economic convergence and geographic distance. We then test the model in an appropriate case, namely that of Spain during the period of its economic transition running from approximately 1959 to 1986. This period was characterized by increasing openness and structural change, as well as by convergence until that country’s integration into the then European Economic Community. The results confirm the importance of the characteristics of internal demand, essentially of income distribution and non‐homothetic preferences. We find that trade horizons delimited by bilateral proximity in development and geographical distance, together with multilateral convergence in economic development are the main indicators for selecting trade partners as markets and suppliers, thereby reinforcing the idea that foreign markets can be considered as an extension of the national market.