辉煌柴达木

自本刊增设"改革开放30年成就专栏"以来,许多作者踊跃来稿,豪情满怀地抒写改革开放30年来柴达木的沧桑巨变和辉煌成就.鉴于本刊版面所限选登了具有代表性的优秀作品.这些作品集中反映了党的十一届三中全会以来,海西工农牧业发展的巨大成就和海西各族人民与时俱进,创造辉煌的精神风貌;反映了全州各族人民在中共海西州委的正确领导下,始终以解放思想为先导,坚持科学发展观,以改革促发展,以发展促和谐,以创新的精神全面推进海西经济社会又好又快发展,成功实现了从一个落后传统农牧区向现代工业区的历史性转变,走在了全省改革发展的前列.     

改革开放30年我国学校体育的发展

改革开放30年,我国各项事业均取得了喜人成绩,学校体育事业的发展也毫不逊色.为了更好地了解改革开放30年来我国学校体育的发展状况,主要采用文献资料、归纳等研究方法,对改革开放30年来我国学校体育发展所取得的成就进行了回眸,并从我国学校体育的发展历程中归纳总结出成功的经验,以期为指导我国学校体育的发展提供思路.     

从中国高等教育发展看改革开放30年

改革开放30年来,我国高等教育改革和发展经历了恢复发展、加速发展、积极发展、大力发展四个阶段,走出了一条超常规、跨跃式、内涵外延交互发挥作用的发展道路。高等教育发展的历程与改革开放的大环境息息相关,从其发展可以对改革开放30年的历程、成就给予回顾和展望。     

改革开放以来党内民主建设的成就和启示

党内民主建设,不但是提高党的执政能力、增强党的活力的根本途径,也是政治体制改革的重要内容.改革开放30年,我们党在党内民主建设方面取得了巨大的成就,系统总结这些成就,对于今后党内民主建设,完成党的建设新的伟大工程和中国特色社会主义伟大事业,都具有十分重要的指导意义.     

中国改革开放的精彩缩影——广东改革开放30年的巨大成就、发展模式、独特贡献与经验启示

改革开放30年来．广东作为我国改革开放的先行地区．经济和社会各项事业都取得了令人瞩目的成就。广东的发展成就，是改革开放以来我国实现历史性变革和取得伟大成就的一个精彩缩影，是社会主义中国蓬勃生机和光明前景的一个生动反映．是我们党勇于站在时代前列带领人民不断开创事业发展新局面的一个有力印证。实践充分证明．改革开放是广东的魂，广东靠改革开放起步．也靠改革开放起飞。     

十四大以来深圳经济特区的经济社会发展

<正>1992年10月,中国共产党召开了具有伟大历史意义的第十四次全国代表大会,确定了建立有中国特色的社会主义市场经济体制和进一步全方位开放的总体目标。5年来,我国在经济体制改革、对外开放和社会经济发展等各方面均取得了举世瞩目的成就。深圳作为中国改革开放的“窗口”和“试验场”,在这一历史机遇面前,又一次领全国风气之先。1992年初,邓小平同志视察上海、深圳等南方城市,对中国改革开放的一系列重大问题发表了纲领性意见,为党的十四大的召开做了思想和理论上的     

“十二五”规划：改革攻坚向纵深推进

党的十七届五中全会10月15日至18日在北京举行。会议审议通过了《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划的建议》，为未来五年中国的经济社会发展总体规划定下了基调、指明了方向。全会认为“十二五”时期是中国全面建设小康社会的关键时期，是深化改革开放、加快转变经济发展方式的攻坚时期。这意味着中国未来5年将着力破解经济社会发展中遇到的瓶颈问题。     

略谈唯物史观视野下的中国政治发展

改革开放30年来,中国特色社会主义政治发展取得显著成就.在唯物史观视野下,改革开放实现了基于生产力发展的技术层面、意识层面、结构层面的突破.从生产力到社会政治结构三个维度的层层决定过程中,笔者试图在生产力及其决定的经济基础、经济发展和体制改革、政治主体三个方面寻找政治发展的动力.     

科学发展引领航程改革创新铸就辉煌——平凉市改革开放30年发展慨述

30年来,甘肃省平凉市历届班子带领全市各族人民坚持党的基本路线不动摇,自力更生、艰苦创业、锐意改革、开拓进取,历经6个五年规划的持续发展,书写了改革开放和现代化建设的崭新篇章.     

深圳特区十年建设的回顾与展望

深圳特区自1980年创办以来,已经走过十年的里程,这是艰苦创业,奠定基础的十年,是开拓创新,不断发展的十年。十年来,在中央、省委的正确领导和全国人民的大力支持下,深圳人民以经济建设为中心,坚持四项基本原则,坚持改革开放,取得了显著的成就,深圳特区发生了巨大的变化。一、国民经济持续、稳定、协调发展——到1989年底止,累计完成基建投资182亿元,建设各类房屋面积2,206万平方米,开发新城区61平方公里,建成初具规模各有侧重的8个工业区、1个科技工业园、50个住宅区,6个港口,1个直升飞机场,5个出入境口岸和城市道路,广深铁路复线、铁     

我国当前运动心理咨询中存在的问题探析

从上个世纪八十年代开始，我国开始关注运动员的心理状态，从1986年的我国第六届全运会第一次设立心理咨询机构，到2007年我国第一批运动心理咨询专家获得认证。我国运动心理咨询领域在这二十几年中得到了一定的发展。但是，相较于国外成熟完善的运动心理咨询体系，我国现有的运动心理咨询还存在一些不足。本文作者通过分析我国目前运动心理咨询中存在的问题，旨在促进我国运动心理咨询的发展，进而更好地提高我国运动员的心理素质，为运动员们在世界性范围内的体育比赛中取得优异成绩做好充足准备。     

Capital inputs in the Chinese economy: Estimates for the total economy,industry and manufacturing

This paper presents new estimates of capital inputs in the Chinese economy. Estimates are made for the total economy (1953–2007), for the industrial sector (1953–2007) and for manufacturing (1985–2007). The capital input estimates for industry and manufacturing are also broken down by thirty regions. The paper makes a systematic attempt to apply SNA (System of National Accounts) concepts to the estimation of capital inputs, according to the Perpetual Inventory Method. It makes a clear distinction between capital services from a productivity perspective and wealth capital stocks. The paper provides a detailed analysis of the relevant Chinese statistical concepts and data. It provides an explanation of the procedures followed in constructing the new national and regional capital input series.     

新疆各区域产业结构对经济增长的贡献研究——基于panel—data的实证分析

新疆地域广大,各区域经济发展很不平衡,区域产业结构对经济增长的贡献有很大不同。本文通过panel—data计量模型,采用1978年-2007年（1978=100）30年的统计数据,对新疆各区域产业结构对经济增长的贡献作用进行了实证分析,得出一些启示和建议,为政府优化产业结构、促进区域经济协调发展提供理论依据。     

Wage growth and inequality in urban China: 1988–2013

We investigate the evolution of wage levels, wage inequality, and wage determinants among urban residents in China using China Household Income Project data from 1988, 1995, 2002, 2007, and 2013.Average wage grew impressively between each pair of years. Wage inequality had long been on the increase, but between 2007 and 2013 no clear changes occurred. In 1988, age and wages were positively related throughout working life, but more recently older workers' wages have been lower than those of middle-aged workers. The relationship between education and wages was weak in 1988 but strengthened rapidly thereafter—a process that came to a halt in 2007.During the period in which China was a planned economy the gender wage gap was small in urban China, but it widened rapidly between 1995 and 2007. We also report the existence of a premium for being employed in a foreign-owned firm or in the state sector.     

省区市纺织产业结构相似性研究

本文选取2002年和2007年国内31个省区市纺织业2～4位截面数据,运用同构系数计算公式比较近年各省区纺织行业内部结构的相似性。研究结果显示,2002年纺织实力较强的省区间,同构系数均比较低,但2007年,排在前13位的纺织强省其同构系数大幅提高。总体看,大范围的、全局性的纺织行业结构趋同现象已经出现,且有加剧趋势。产业集聚形成的地区纺织业结构趋同现象,在一定程度上能够促成省区间形成纺织业的水平分工,属于合意的结构趋同,但非合意的结构趋同,则会造成严重的负面影响。基于以上实证结果,本文给出了相应的对策建议。     

You’re Fired!: The Impact of Race on the Firing of Black Head Coaches in Major College Football

It is well known that the hiring rate of black head coaches in major college football is not representative of the number of student-athletes that are black. However, less obvious is the fact that black head coaches may be treated unfairly when decision-makers decide whether to retain or fire their institution’s current head coach. In this paper, I use a rich dataset of National Collegiate Athletic Associate football coaches from 1990 to 2012, containing measures of coaching performance and school expectations, as well as information on each coach’s race and whether he was fired or retained in each season. Using this data, I estimate a discrete-time hazard model of the probability that a head coach is fired, allowing the hazard rate of black head coaches and white head coaches to differ, and find that black head coaches are 5.28 percentage points more likely to be fired than their white counterparts. Additionally, I find that black head coaches are more likely to be fired in the initial 3 years of tenure, and again in their seventh and eighth years, but that the difference in the probability of release between black and white head coaches in the fourth through sixth years of tenure is small and statistically insignificant.     

Determinants of Indonesian rural secondary school enrolment: gender,neighbourhood and school characteristics

In recent years the school enrolment rates of children aged 13–15 and 16–18 years have increased sharply in Indonesia, not only in urban but also in rural areas. Using various data sets spanning the years from 1993 to 2007, this paper investigates changes in factors associated with the enrolment of secondary school aged children in rural areas. It sheds light on the roles of gender and of neighbourhood and school characteristics, which have rarely been examined in the Indonesian context. The study finds that the disappearance of a gender gap in secondary enrolments between 1993 and 2007 contributed significantly to the rise in the overall enrolment rate. The findings also show that children living in wealthier communities and communities with a high proportion of enrolled children are more likely to attend school. Finally, various school characteristics are shown not to be strongly or consistently correlated with school enrolment.     

Discrepancy between Registered and Actual Unemployment Rates in China： An Investigation inProvincial Capital Cities

The unemployment rate is a key indicator of labor market and economic performance. Based on a unique survey, we estimate the unemployment rate at 13.44percent in 30 provincial capital cities in China in 2007, which is well above the officially announced registered unemployment rate. The discrepancy results from inaccuracy in the calculation of registered unemployment. The discrepancy is not stably evolving across regions or over the years, making it difficult to recover the true unemployment rate using a simple multiplier approach. We further investigate the sources of the discrepancy by examining the determinants of unemployment registration. It is evident that participation in certain public activities, which would facilitate the spread of knowledge related to job-searching and unemployment registration, encouraged unemployment registration. Social attention to government antiunemployment programs also encouraged unemployment registration. These findings confirm the behavioral hypothesis that incomplete knowledge and limited attention can cause deviation from optimal choice. The policy implications of the findings of the study are discussed.     

基于协整理论的中国人均收入增长与产业结构变动关系研究

改革开放30年来,我国农村居民人均纯收入与城镇居民可支配收入均有了较大增长。文章利用协整理论分析了1978～2007年二者与产业结构之间的关系。研究表明,农民人均收入在1978～1991年仅与第一产业存在协整关系,在1992～2007年与第一、二产业均存在协整关系,与第三产业始终未出现协整;城镇居民人均收入在1978～2007年始终与第二产业协整,与第一产业未出现协整,与第三产业的协整出现于1996～2007年。     

地域因素、行业特征与FDI的技术溢出效应——基于珠三角地区面板数据的实证研究

本文运用基于DEA的Malmquist指数方法分析珠三角地区1996～2007年28个内资制造行业全要素生产率(TFP)及其分解变量的变化规律,考察了外商直接投资的技术溢出效应与地区经济增长的关系。经研究发现FDI从整体上对内资制造行业产生了正溢出效应,且这种溢出效应主要通过后向关联效应在技术进步方面得以实现。