国内投资与外商直接投资就业效应的差异性研究——基于江苏省的数据分析

以江苏省1990～2007年的相关数据为研究对象,运用多元回归分析的方法,对国内投资、外商直接投资以及经济增长带来的就业效应进行估计,并对实证研究结果进行分析,发现国内投资与外商直接投资的就业效应有着明显的差异性,根据这一结论进一步探讨江苏省合理安排投资,促进就业的相应对策。     

国内投资与外商直接投资就业效应的差异性研究——基于江苏省的数据分析

以江苏省1990～2007年的相关数据为研究对象,运用多元回归分析的方法,对国内投资、外商直接投资以及经济增长带来的就业效应进行估计,并对实证研究结果进行分析,发现国内投资与外商直接投资的就业效应有着明显的差异性,根据这一结论进一步探讨江苏省合理安排投资,促进就业的相应对策。     

Asian Economic Problems and Prospects for Foreign Direct Investment: Local Evidence from the UK

This paper explores the implications of the Asian crises and economic problems in the Japanese economy on a UK region with a high dependence on employment in Asian manufacturing transplants. The paper examines the development of the Asian transplant sector in the case region (Wales), and maps out the economic significance of the sector on the local economy. Following a review of the potential impacts of economic problems in Asia on the local transplant sector, the paper uses local case evidence to explore recent changes in the Asian manufacturing base in Wales. Recent reversals in the transplant sector have largely been caused more by local manufacturing conditions. The paper concludes with a discussion of factors that are most likely to affect the trajectory of the Asian transplant sector in the case region in the new millennium.     

汇率调整对外商直接投资的影响——基于理论和实证的研究

本文基于市场导向和成本导向两类外商直接投资，建立了两个汇率影响理论模型，并证明对这两类直接投资，汇率变动会有不同的影响，人民币升值将会促进市场导向型直接投资、抑制成本导向型直接投资。并对日、关两国对中国直接投资进行实证检验，得到与理论相符的结论。构造了直接投资总体实证模型，分析了汇率变化对直接投资总额的影响，并提出了相应的政策建议。     

Foreign Direct Investment in China: Determinants and Effects

This paper attempts to assess the determinants of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in China and its effects on the whole economy. After presenting the main theoretical contributions and the previous works done about China’s inward-FDI, an empirical study has been implemented extending the previous ones with a different data set (more recent) and with different methodologies. The traditional determinants of FDI seem to be relevant for China: domestic market size, cost advantages and openness to the rest of the world. Concerning the consequences of FDI on the Chinese economy, our empirical evidence supports the view that FDI affects China’s growth through the diffusion of ideas. Through the introduction of new ideas, multinational firms develop technical progress and hence long-run economic growth. The transmission of ideas seems to have had a positive effect on the Chinese growth. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

欧盟外商直接投资审查条例改革对中国的影响及对策

欧盟外商直接投资审查条例构建了信息交换、双重审查和合作协调机制,是欧盟在国际投资格局重构中平衡投资自由化与投资规制权的立法实践。条例的实施将引发制度外溢效应,导致中国对欧盟的投资面临更复杂的外部环境,客观上导致审查范围扩大,引发对中国投资项目更严格、更广泛的审查,增加中国对欧盟投资的不确定性。此外,欧盟成员国内部差异性和中欧双边市场的客观需求对促进中国对欧盟投资的增长也有积极影响。中国应积极对待欧盟外商直接投资审查条例改革,加强沟通对话,增强政治互信,注重规制研究,提高中国企业应对欧盟投资合规审查的能力。     

Monetary Frameworks and Institutional Constraints: UK Monetary Policy Reaction Functions, 1985–2003

Monetary policy reaction functions are estimated for the UK over three periods – 1985–90, 1992–97 and 1997–2003 – in order to disentangle two effects: the switch from an emphasis on exchange rate stabilization to inflation targeting, and the introduction of instrument-independence in 1997. The external factors considered include US as well as German interest rates, and this leads to the identification of 'domestic' and 'international' models of the reaction function. The results suggest that it is the changes in the institutional arrangements rather than those in the targeting regime which have been decisive in the development of policy in this period.     

我国利用外商直接投资中的风险与防范

自从改革开放以来,利用外资是我国经济发展的主要动力之一。外商直接投资的比重,尤其是进入90年代以后,呈现逐年上升趋势。随着我国的外商直接投资的增多,各种利弊也逐渐的显示出来,本文将从风险的概念入手,进而引出外商直接投资的风险的定义。并指出外商直接投资的特点,以及其产生风险的根源,进而引申到我国的经济现实,提出对我国的外商直接投资风险的分析。     

中国对外直接投资和技术进步的关系研究

传统的外商直接投资带来的都是标准化的陈旧的技术,以市场换技术已不再适应中国发展的需要。中国企业通过对外直接投资,去接近技术源,获得技术外溢,能否促进技术进步?文中通过格兰杰检验,对1985～2009年中国对外直接投资和技术进步间的关系进行研究,发现中国对外直接投资是技术进步的原因,即对外直接投资促进了国内技术进步。     

外商直接投资与中国对外贸易间关系的实证研究

在中国的对外经济活动中,东亚的新兴工业化国家和美国都是中国的重要伙伴。文章把新加坡和泰国作为新兴工业化国家的代表与高度发达的美国相对应,采用协整分析和误差修正模型研究了中国对这些国家的贸易与其在华直接投资两者间的关系。研究结果显示,这种关系在两类不同国家间存在较大差异,长期以来,美商在华直接投资与我国对美出口之间具有双向格兰杰因果关系,而另外两个国家则只具有单向的格兰杰因果关系。     

House Prices and Housing Investment in Sweden and the UK: Econometric Analysis for the Period 1970–1998

We estimate quarterly dynamic housing demand and investment supply models for Sweden and the UK for the sample period 1970–1998, using an Error Correction Method (ECM). To facilitate comparisons of results between Sweden and the UK we model both countries identically with approximately almost the similar type of exogenous variables. The long–run income elasticities for Sweden and the UK are constrained to be 1.0, respectively. The long–run semi–elasticity for interest rates are 2.1 and 0.9 for Sweden and the UK. The speed of adjustment on the demand side is 0.12 and 0.23, while on the supply side it is 0.06 and 0.48 for Sweden and the UK, respectively. Granger causality tests indicate that income Granger causes house prices for Sweden, while for the UK there is also feedback from house prices to income. House prices Granger cause financial wealth for Sweden, while for the UK it is vice–versa. House prices cause household debt for Sweden, while for the UK there is a feedback from debt. Interest rates Granger cause house prices for the UK and Sweden. In both countries Tobin's q Granger cause housing investment. Generally, the diagnostic tests indicate that the model specifications were satisfactory to the unknown data generating process.     

外商直接投资与经济增长:基于动态VAR模型的分析

外商直接投资与经济增长的关系一直是国内外学者研究的热点。本文运用向量自回归(VAR)模型、脉冲响应函数、方差分解等计量经济学方法,基于2002年至2011年的季度数据,对外商直接投资与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:从长期来看,外商直接投资的增加有助于促进经济增长,但是短期这种促进作用并不明显;经济增长有助于外商直接投资的增加。     

The Determinants of Intra-European Foreign Direct Investment Flows: Market Integration and Policy Issues

SUMMARY

This paper reviews the literature on the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the European Community (EC), especially the few studies concerned with intra-European FDI. It applies international business theory to investigate the determinants of FDI flows within the EC over the period 1984–89. The key results are that the models found contrast with the standard US-EC literature, and also differ within the EC. Real variables assume the greatest importance, although financial variables do appear significant. The pattern of findings suggests that the growth of intra-EC FDI is linked to the adoption of a pan-European FDI strategy by EC firms, largely prompted by EC market integration.     

中印对外直接投资的母国决定因素

中印两个发展中大国的对外直接投资(OFDI)始于20世纪中后期,起步较发达国家晚,但总体呈快速增长趋势。文章选取1992-2014年中国和印度的对外直接投资水平、经济发展水平、资金成本及投资环境作为变量,运用向量自回归模型实证研究中印OFDI的母国决定因素。结果表明:中印两国的OFDI都受到本国的GDP增长率、贷款利率及外商直接投资流量的联合影响。此外,中国的外商直接投资是其对外直接投资的单向格兰杰原因,印度的对外直接投资与其它三个变量则互不构成格兰杰原因。     

外商直接投资对我国进出口贸易影响的实证分析

本文利用统计数据分析了1983年以来外商直接投资对我国进出口贸易总量及结构的影响,结果表明,前者对后者有重要促进作用。     

外商直接投资对我国劳动生产率影响的分析

近年来,我国利用外商直接投资的步伐不断加快,外商直接投资对我国经济发展的作用越来越明显。本文通过建立计量经济学模型,定量地分析了外商直接投资对我国劳动生产率增长的贡献。     

外商直接投资、区域经济发展:财政分权下的研究

文章从财政分权、外商直接投资和经济发展的角度分析了中国东中西部三个区域经济发展问题,发现中国区域经济增长的不平衡性也体现在财政分权的政府效率和经济发展阶段的不平衡。认为东部经济正在结构调整,分权需要深化;中部经济需要调整,分权需要继续推进;西部则需要改变政府效率,提高财政支出水平,改善投资环境。     

我国钢铁工业利用外商直接投资的现状和对策

本文对我国钢铁工业利用外商直接投资的现状和存在的问题进行了剖析,提出了利于钢铁工业利用外商直接投资健康有序发展的几点思考和建议。