美国为什么出不了“任志强”

前不久,关于房地产商究竟应该为谁盖房的讨论在国内大众网站的博客中热炒暴炒。任志强先生“我是一个商人,我不应该考虑穷人”、“只为富人盖房子”的几句话几乎引发了全国人对房地产大腕的关注。讨论的声音通过互联网也传到了美国。中国的房地产商如当红演艺明星般饱受追捧,每每在媒体上露面必定语出惊人、言惊四座。相较于美国房地产商所处的环境,中国“大佬”们“言论环境”确实太轻松了。在今日美国,一个房地产开发商如果想从政府手中购得土地,在项目规划上不但要平衡和考虑社会各方的利益,在言论上更需谨慎。     

旱涝保收的券商

尽管股市跌幅很大,但并没有影响券商的高收入。这一现象应该引起管理层的注意     

沃尔玛何以兴凯马特何以衰--兼论大型连锁超市的经营之道

在2001年度美国《财富》杂志评选出的全球500强企业中,美国的零售业巨头沃尔玛(Wal-Mart)超过了美国的通用汽车集团,首次登上了世界五百强企业之首。与此同时更加振奋人心的是沃尔玛的创始人山姆·沃尔顿(Sam Walton)超过比尔·盖茨成为了世界首富。 可是,令人感到巧合的是,美国的另一家成立于1899年,在美     

探秘宁高宁并购豪举

中粮集团的2009年注定充满争议——40亿打造粮油综合基地、收购五角道场、间接控股蒙牛……中粮的一系列动作是试水多元化发展战略之举吗？     

李宁，为什么？

提到“李宁”二字,人们立马想,到李宁体育用品公司,还有运动员李宁。前者作为中国本土体育用品领域的领导者,后者作为由运动员华丽转身的杰出企业家,不可避免地成为镁光灯聚集的焦点。     

Out-migration and economic cycles

Out-migration concerns foreigners who decide to leave a country where they used to live. Taking advantage of the OECD bilateral IMS database, we analyze the short-run determinants of out-migration using a panel of Schengen countries between 1995 and 2011. We find that out-migration is counter-cyclical: foreign nationals tend to leave host countries with high unemployment, while they are likelier to stay in good times (i.e. low unemployment). Typically, a 10 % increase in the unemployment rate leads to a 5 % increase in out-migration. Thus, short-term economic fluctuations have the same qualitative effect as restrictive migration policies in economic downturns. However, we find mixed evidence for the role of economic cycles in the potential destination countries of those flows. Movers appear to be sensitive to unemployment changes in their country of origin, but they do not seem to be sensitive to business cycles in potential destinations.     

International and intranational business cycles

This paper surveys and analyses the international real businesscycle literature. We re-explore two international business cycleanomalies emphasized by Backus, Kehoe, and Kydland (1995) aswell as establishing the pattern of productivity growth betweenindustries and countries. We then compare these findings forthe international business cycle to those obtained for databetween regions within a country - the so-called 'intranationalbusiness cycle'. Importantly, the intranational business cycleis a natural environment for thinking about the interactionsbetween economies when there are no trade frictions and whenthere are not multiple currencies. We summarize our findingswith a comparison between the stylized facts for internationaland intranational business cycles and draw some policy conclusions.     

Business cycles and long-run growth

In this survey, we discuss the effect of macroeconomic fluctuationson long-run growth from both a theoretical and empirical perspective.We emphasize the 'opportunity cost' approach, which states thatfirms will intertemporally substitute productivity-enhancingactivities for regular production activity during recessions.We provide aggregate evidence in favour of the opportunity-costapproach.     

"老外"喜欢重庆什么

直辖以来,重庆已成为外商投资的热土,其国际知名度日益提高。截止2004年底,已有5个国家在渝设立领事馆,4家境外新闻媒体设立办事机构,并与世界上170多个国家和地区建立了经济贸易关系;据不完全统计,2004年,外商在重庆的投资已达30多亿美元,新登记外商投资企业726户,比上年增加81%。     

名楼的由来

所谓名楼,即有名之楼,它是城市发展的必然,迎合了城市经济发展的要求,也是区域经济发达的显著标志。建筑是城市的记忆,它承载的不仅是建筑艺术,而是不同时期的社会文化、历史文化、民族文化、地域文化和政治文化等,统称为文化因素。     

The assessment: business cycles

This overview paper places in context eight papers coveringa wide spectrum of views on modern business cycle modelling.Inter alia, these address some gaps in the real business cycle(RBC) literature (e.g. the extremely limited treatment of creditand asset markets) and various other anomalies (e.g. the failureto explain volatility and persistence of employment and unemployment,and the non-cyclicality of real wages). The paper then focusesfurther on two issues central to RBC models. Such models aredriven by large and persistent technology shocks. However, empiricalevidence from UK manufacturing shows that correcting for cyclicalutilization results in shocks which are small and non-persistent.The second issue is one of empirical methodology. Though theRBC approach was intended as a response to the Lucas critique,by largely assuming away government policy feedback rules, thesemodels are far from policy-relevant. The alternative vectorautoregression (VAR) approach implicitly incorporates theserules, but ignores shifts in rules. A constructive responseto the Lucas critique needs to incorporate policy rule shiftsand private-sector reactions directly, which looks hard to achieveoutside the context of structural econometric modelling.     

“拼车”何来非法

在很多国家,对于“拼车”的车辆都给予了很多鼓励和优惠政策。但在国内,却对“拼车”现象百般限制,甚至出重拳打击,并被视为“非法拼车”     

Endogenous business cycles and dynamic inefficiency

This paper explores how the occurrence of local indeterminacy and endogenous business cycles relates to dynamic inefficiency, as defined by Malinvaud (1953), Phelps (1965) and Cass (1972). We follow Reichlin (1986) and Grandmont (1993) by considering a two-period overlapping generations model of capital accumulation with labor–leisure choice into the first-period of an agent's life and consumption in both periods. We first show that local indeterminacy and Hopf bifurcation are necessarily associated with a capital–labor ratio that is, at steady state, larger than the Golden Rule level. Consequently, paths converging asymptotically towards the steady state are shown to be dynamically inefficient, as there always exists another trajectory that starts with the same initial conditions and produces more aggregate consumption at all future dates. More surprising, however, is our main result showing that stable orbits, generated around a dynamically inefficient steady state through a supercritical Hopf bifurcation, may, in contrast, be dynamically efficient.     

Why economic growth is slow

This paper presents a general theory of economic progress in the LDCs: that increase in productivity is slow because, even given knowledge of the productive techniques used in the industrialized countries, for techno-economic reasons economic growth can proceed only in stages and requires a high degree of innovational talent, which is scarce in any country. The stages are delineated.It is then suggested that the theory is still more general; that, with consideration of one added factor, it provides a general explanation of variations among countries in the pace of increase in productivity.     

公务员为啥要特殊——专访复旦大学经济学院教授王克忠

公务员是中华人民共和国的公民,是国家法律的制定者、执行者,如果另搞一套养老保险制度,容易引起人民群众的疑虑、不满     

花儿为什么这样红——对黄楼镇花卉业发展情况的调查

花卉业作为一个高投入、高产出,高效益的新兴产业,已经成为装点家庭,美化城乡,绿化大地,保护和改善人类生存环境的生态农业和高效农业的重要组成部分,具有十分广阔的市场前景,近年来,青州市政蟥 楼镇党委,政府按照“建一个龙头,兴一个产业,富一方百姓”的工作思路,大力调整农业产业结构,全力实施以花“富民强镇”的花卉产业化战略,抓龙头,创名牌,抓特色,扩基地,拓市场,花卉产业成为全镇的特色支柱产业,目前,全镇花卉面积已达8200万亩,总产值1.6亿元,初步形成了“十里花街、百亩市场、千户经营,万亩基地”的发展格局,成为长江以北最大的花卉生产,销售集散地之一。