浅谈人口普查中基层普查机构的组建及“两员”的选调

人口普查可以查清我国人口总量、人口分布、人口基本结构、人口地域分布状况等。本文阐述了基层普查机构的组建及两员选调的现状及特点,并提出了建议与对策。     

温州市水利普查典型经验浅谈

自开展水利普查以来,温州市根据全国水利普查工作统一部署,在国家、省水普办的正确领导下,围绕普查数据质量控制这一主线,加强领导,加大投入,周密部署,精心组织,扎实推进,顺利实现了全市水利普查各项阶段的既定目标,取得了一定的工作成绩,得到了国普办、太湖流域水普办及浙江省水普办的充分肯定。本文就温州市水利普查工作中积累的工作亮点和成功经验,谈了一些自己的看法。     

CORS系统和传统测量方式在城市部件普查工作中的比较

CORS系统应用于市政部件普查,是现代城市管理的新方法与趋势。本文给出了CORS的原理,详细介绍了CORS和传统测量方式在市政部件数据采集中的应用,并对二者进行了比较。     

测量不确定度评定流程和实例

文章对测量不确定度的评定做简要分析,详细介绍其评定流程,用实例阐明不确定度评定过程。     

A Q-Analysis of Census Data: Intra-Household Income Allocation and School Attendance in Chiapas, Mexico

Q-analysis, introduced by a mathematician Ron Atkin, is a useful tool to explore social structures. I introduce essential concepts and techniques of q-analysis to show q-analysis’s potential ability to analyze and extract information from census data – the work that most researchers have done mainly with statistical methods. Using Mexican census and q-analysis, I examine whether children of female-headed household aged 15–19 were more likely to attend school than male-headed household children in Chiapas, Mexico in 2000. My findings are consistent with the large body of previous research, many of which were conducted with statistical methods: women’s control of income tends to results in a better welfare for their children, defined as children’s school attendance by the sex of heads of household in my study. I evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of a-analysis of census data. I conclude that while it has some weaknesses, q-analysis is a complimentary method to statistical methods for analysis of census data that may overcome some limitations that statistical methods often face such as an incapability of handling a small sample.     

Localised Estimates of Dynamics of Multi‐dimensional Disadvantage: An Application of the Small Area Estimation Technique Using Australian Survey and Census Data

Deep and persistent disadvantage is an important, but statistically rare, phenomenon in the population, and sample sizes are usually not large enough to provide reliable estimates for disaggregated analysis. Survey samples are typically designed to produce estimates of population characteristics of planned areas. The sample sizes are calculated so that the survey estimator for each of the planned areas is of a desired level of precision. However, in many instances, estimators are required for areas of the population for which the survey providing the data was unplanned. Then, for areas with small sample sizes, direct estimation of population characteristics based only on the data available from the particular area tends to be unreliable. This has led to the development of a class of indirect estimators that make use of information from related areas through modelling. A model is used to link similar areas to enhance the estimation of unplanned areas; in other words, they borrow strength from the other areas. Doing so improves the precision of estimated characteristics in the small area, especially in areas with smaller sample sizes. Social science researchers have increasingly employed small area estimation to provide localised estimates of population characteristics from surveys. We explore how to extend this approach within the context of deep and persistent disadvantage in Australia. We find that because of the unique circumstances of the Australian population distribution, direct estimates of disadvantage have substantial variation, but by applying small area estimation, there are significant improvements in precision of estimates.     

嵌入性网络、关系质量与国际合资企业不稳定演化

为防止国际合资企业在预期生命周期内的单方非意愿不稳定,提高国际合资企业的绩效,本文从国际合资企业的嵌入性网络出发,分析了组织间依赖关系质量对国际合资企业不稳定演化的决定机理,并构建演化模型全面剖析了组织间依赖关系质量与国际合资企业不稳定演化的动态关系,最后提出了防范国际合资企业不稳定的策略。     

ISO 10668的内容、影响与应对之策

品牌竞争已经成为国际竞争的焦点,品牌价值评估是品牌竞争的重要手段。作为世界上第一部品牌价值评估的国际标准,ISO10668的颁布实施将成为该领域一个新的里程碑。文章介绍了ISO10668的框架和主要内容,分析了它对我国可能产生的影响,并提出在我国成立品牌价值测算标准化技术委员会等相关建议。     

物流企业的质量管理与质量评价

随着我国经济的腾飞和国际化的日趋发展,改进物流服务质量,提高客户满意度、提升市场竞争能力成为物流企业持续发展的有力保障。本文阐述了物流质量管理的基本内容与目的,建立了物流企业进行质量管理的基本框架,并在这个框架的基础上提出了两种质量评价的定量模型（层次分析法和服务质量差距模型）,为企业进一步改进物流质量指明了努力的方向。     

Imputation: Methods, Simulation Experiments and Practical Examples

When conducting surveys, two kinds of nonresponse may cause incomplete data files: unit nonresponse (complete nonresponse) and item nonresponse (partial nonresponse). The selectivity of the unit nonresponse is often corrected for. Various imputation techniques can be used for the missing values because of item nonresponse. Several of these imputation techniques are discussed in this report. One is the hot deck imputation. This paper describes two simulation experiments of the hot deck method. In the first study, data are randomly generated, and various percentages of missing values are then non-randomly'added'to the data. The hot deck method is used to reconstruct the data in this Monte Carlo experiment. The performance of the method is evaluated for the means, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients and compared with the available case method. In the second study, the quality of an imputation method is studied by running a simulation experiment. A selection of the data of the Dutch Housing Demand Survey is perturbed by leaving out specific values on a variable. Again hot deck imputations are used to reconstruct the data. The imputations are then compared with the true values. In both experiments the conclusion is that the hot deck method generally performs better than the available case method. This paper also deals with the questions which variables should be imputed and what the duration of the imputation process is. Finally the theory is illustrated by the imputation approaches of the Dutch Housing Demand Survey, the European Community Household Panel Survey (ECHP) and the new Dutch Structure of Earnings Survey (SES). These examples illustrate the levels of missing data that can be experienced in such surveys and the practical problems associated with choosing an appropriate imputation strategy for key items from each survey.     

A Bayesian Model for Estimating Census Undercount,Taking Emigration Data from Foreign Censuses*

The new method of measuring net undercount in a census of population is a variant of demographic analysis and is founded in the belief that the most reliable counts of people are the counts of births and deaths. It has been applied to the 1991 census of England and Wales (E&W). The method has two distinctive features. The first is that it bases its estimates of numbers of emigrants on figures of persons born here and recorded as residents in the 1990–91 censuses of other countries. The corresponding data on immigrants are taken from our own census. The method does not therefore require the data on migratory flows that are an essential component of conventional demographic analysis. The second feature is the Bayesian approach in which (1) each of 30 uncertain elements in the calculations is given an a priori error distribution and (2) three empirical constraints are imposed on the sex-age profile of percentage net undercount. This, in conjunction with a Monte Carlo process, generates an error distribution for net undercount. These merits of the method are offset by the demerit that the calculations must await results from the censuses of the other countries in which substantial numbers of our emigrants reside.     

基于灰色模糊理论的服务质量评价

服务质量评价一直是服务质量管理的一个难题,目前大多数学者都接受的评价方法是SERVQUAL评价方法。本文以灰色模糊理论为基础,建立数学模型,结合SERVQUAL评价指标,得出一种新的服务质量评价方法。     

商业银行财务绩效评价体系的评述和构建

文章从我国银行业改革的历史进程研究出发，对我国和国外商业银行绩效评价体系的演进进行分析和比较，在借鉴国外经验和结合我国银行业实际情况的基础上试图构建一套适合我国商业银行、更为科学合理的绩效评价体系。     

现代物流企业知识绩效评价指标体系研究

现代物流企业知识绩效评价指标体系是现代物流企业知识绩效管理的基础,文章从内部知识绩效和外部知识绩效两个方面构建现代物流企业知识绩效评价指标体系。现代物流企业通过对知识绩效的评价。可以找出企业在技术、人才、资金投入等方面存在的问题,创造一个良好的创新氛围,从而提高企业的核心竞争力。     

对高等院校人文素质教育评价的相关研究

对高等院校人文素质教育评价时所依附的原则和评价内容是构建和完善人文素质教育评价体系的两个重要方面,本文旨在对这两方面做一些探讨。     

工程项目施工质量控制效果评价研究

本文首先分析了工程项目施工质量控制的特点,指出了影响施工质量的五要素:人、机械、材料、方法、环境等,然后从中提取影响施工质量的37个关键因素构建了质量控制效果评价体系,并运用模糊综合评价方法,对广州新客站XKZ-3标段施工质量控制效果进行评价。     

浅谈现代企业人力资源绩效考核新思路

绩效考核在现代人力资源管理中起着非常重要的作用。人才是企业的第一生产要素,随着企业各项制度的完善和发展的需求,势必要建立一种与之相适应的能够增强企业员工劳动积极性的运行机制。在这一机制的作用下,企业员工也能够参与到企业的管理与民主测评,从而也使得这一机制成为提高企业经营效益的关键。现如今很多企业的考核机制都比较单一,他们通常是用薪酬来考核绩效,但企业员工的多样性决定了如果只是依靠单一的考核制度是达不到应有的效果的,因此,企业的考核机制还涉及到与其激励相关的其他因素。绩效与激励之间应维持一种动态的平衡。笔者试图通过分析,谈一谈现代企业人力资源绩效考核的新思路,使企业建立行之有效的绩效考核方案,达成留住人才、抓住市场的目的。     

采用国际标准评价方法研究

传统采标率已不能科学地反映我国采标工作的水平和国家标准的水平。文章在调查研究的基础上，提出了相关联采标率的概念和新的评价我国采标水平的方法，并就国家标准达到国际水平的情况进行了分析。     

核电站模块施工质量综合评价研究

我国第三代AP1000核电站采用模块化建造技术,模块施工周期长、重量重、体积大,这对施工质量控制提出了更高、更严格的要求。在建造过程中对施工质量进行综合评价,能更全面了解目前质量控制水平,更好地指导开展质量控制工作,确保模块施工质量。文章根据浙江三门AP1000核电站模块施工的现状和特点,结合已完工的CA01、CA20模块施工,运用层次分析法和模糊数学评价方法,提出了一种适合核电站模块的施工质量综合评价方法。采用该方法能够较为客观和全面地反映核电站模块施工质量水平,也为核电站其他领域的施工质量评价提供思路。     

快递企业服务质量可靠性评价初探

文章在提出快递企业服务质量可靠性定义的基础上,运用可靠性理论建立快递服务可靠性评价体系,并从系统效能角度分析快递企业服务质量可靠性,为消费者和快递企业决策提供指导性建议。