基于多元统计分析的封闭式基金业绩评价

本文引入在险价值(VaR)和基金折价率指标,利用因子分析和聚类分析方法对基金业绩进行综合评价。实证分析发现我国封闭式基金收益率优于市场收益率,少数几只基金业绩相对突出,实现低风险高收益的目标。但封闭式基金折价幅度较大,基金内部收益水平与外部评价状况背离,反映了市场投资者的投资非理性现象。     

基于多元统计分析的封闭式基金业绩评价

本文引入在险价值(VaR)和基金折价率指标,利用因子分析和聚类分析方法对基金业绩进行综合评价.实证分析发现我国封闭式基金收益率优于市场收益率,少数几只基金业绩相对突出,实现低风险高收益的目标.但封闭式基金折价幅度较大,基金内部收益水平与外部评价状况背离,反映了市场投资者的投资非理性现象.     

流动性对封闭式基金折(溢)价影响的半参数回归分析

本文用半参数回归模型对47家封闭式基金2004～2007年的数据进行精确的拟合。实证研究结果表明,流动性与封闭式基金的折(溢)价率呈显著负(正)相关,但影响系数较小。这说明流动性对封闭式基金折(溢)价的影响虽然在统计意义上显著但实际影响并不明显,所以通过提高流动性来解决封闭式基金的折价问题并不是有效选择。     

封闭式基金绩效研究

本文对封闭式基金的绩效进行实证研究,分别从基金净收益、风险收益及基金经理的选股能力和择时能力三大方面进行。封闭式基金虽然表现出了自己独特的优势,但总体上我国的基金发展还存在一些问题,需进一步加强管理和逐步完善。     

我国封闭式基金折价问题研究

本文针对我国封闭式基金存在的高折价现象,分析了其产生的主要原因是净值偏差、边缘化、市场低迷、基金本身管理运作不规范等。基于目前封闭式基金存在的高折价现象及部分基金到期日的临近,封闭式基金将面临包括到期清算、延期或转型的选择。最后指出“封转开”模式是符合基金各方当事人利益及我国基金业发展趋势的较为理想模式。     

我国封闭式基金折价实证研究

文章首先对国内外关于封闭式基金折价问题的研究现状进行了较全面的回顾，然后以54只封闭式基金为研究样本，选取可能影响我国封闭式基金折价的因素，建立一个多因素模型，并用逐步回归法对系数进行评估。研究结果表明基金规模、前期净值增长率、基金分红、距离到期日时间和市场因素对基金折价具有显著影响。     

证券投资基金需求与其风格关系的实证分析

以组合管理为基本方法的证券投资基金,由于其投资风格选择的不同会导致投资者对其投资偏好的差异,加之证券市场的非有效性和投资者的非完全理性,投资者对基金的投资决策更多基于心理动机和行为因素的判断。本文运用行为组合理论,对我国证券市场封闭式基金的折价状况进行了考察,分析了证券投资基金投资风格选择对基金需求的影响,针对我国证券市场投资者的需求特点和偏好状况进行了研究。     

基于AHP的投资基金绩效综合评价模型及其实证研究

选取投资基金风险、收益、选股择时能力、绩效持续性和基金资产运作能力等5类共13个指标,利用层次分析法(AHP)建立基金绩效综合评价模型,并结合我国发行过的27只开放式基金在2001年9月26日到2013年9月26日的相关数据样本,对模型进行了实证研究。发现综合评价模型中收益率水平、风险水平和绩效持续性水平等指标占有较大权重;比较绩效排名发现综合评价模型既能克服风险收益权衡指标过于单一的不足,又能平抑指标决策过激的现象。     

封闭式基金的折价问题研究

本文在分析封闭式基金折价内在合理性的前提下，对我国封闭式基金的折价进行了实证分析。并结合我国证券市场的实际情况对我国封闭式基金的折价进行了解释。     

我国证券投资基金资产组合管理合理性的实证研究

本文基于风险与收益相匹配的综合评价标准,对我国35支股票型开放式证券投资基金近五年来的组合管理能力进行了研究,并进而分析了基金组合管理合理性对于基金绩效的影响。研究结果进一步证明了我国证券投资基金合理性对于绩效存在显著影响,并据此提出相关的启示和建议。     

开放式证券投资基金费用率的实证研究

我国证券投资基金费用结构的设计较多地借鉴了美国投资基金业的经验,但由于依附的资本市场发展程度不尽相同,在费用种类和费用比率方面还存在着一定差异。基金运作费用是我国投资基金管理过程中一个有争议的话题。本文从多角度对我国开放式证券投资基金运作费用的现状进行了实证研究采用多元线性回归方法,以中国开放式证券基金费用率为主要研究对象,结合国外对于此问题的相关研究,从基金的业绩,单个基金的规模,以及基金类型三个方面进行实证分析。     

Emerging market mutual fund performance: Evidence for Poland

This paper provides evidence on the performance of mutual funds in a prominent emerging market; Poland. Studying an emerging market provides an excellent opportunity to test whether the consensus on the inability of mutual funds in developed and highly efficient markets to beat the market, also holds in less efficient markets. While the weaknesses of legal institutions and underdeveloped capital markets in emerging countries could negatively contribute to performance, a certain level of market inefficiency might also enable fund managers to successfully apply security selection and therefore beat the market. This paper presents an overview of the Polish mutual fund industry and investigates mutual fund performance using a survivorship bias controlled sample of 140 funds. The latter is done using the Carhart (1997) 4-factor asset-pricing model. In addition, we investigate whether Polish fund managers exhibit “hot hands”, persistence in performance. Finally the influence of fund characteristics on risk-adjusted performance is considered. Our overall results suggest that Polish mutual funds on average are not able to add value, as indicated by their negative net alphas. Interestingly, domestic funds outperform internationally investing funds, which points at informational advantages of local over foreign investors. Finally, we detect strong persistence in mean returns up to 1 year. It is striking that “winning” funds are able to significantly beat the market, based on their significantly positive alpha's. These results deviate from studies on developed markets that conclude that even past winners are not able to significantly beat the market.     

社保基金持股后上市公司的股权筹资偏好与盈余管理

本文通过前期在我国资本市场做的大量实证研究发现,资本市场会提前获知社保基金持股信息,上市公司被社保基金持股后的短时间内,股价会产生超额收益;而从上市公司被社保基金持股后的较长时间看,公司的盈余管理行为明显减少.本文介绍了社保基金投资的基本情况,结合相关的理论和前期研究成果分析上市公司被持股后股权筹资偏好,重点对股权筹资偏好产生的原因及其对盈余管理的影响进行论述,提出相应的结论与对策.     

开放式基金和基金家族业绩持续性研究

我国证券投资基金快速发展,从属于同一家基金管理公司的单个基金越来越多,形成基金家族。本文研究从单个基金和基金家族的整体两个层面,采用实证检验方法对其业绩持续性进行研究,研究表明我国开放式基金仅具有短期的业绩持续性,而基金家族的整体业绩不存在持续性,籍此结果提示投资者不应仅仅关注基金的短期业绩,应更多关注基金的长期业绩表现,规避投资中对家族和规模的偏好,关注高价值基金,才能最大程度保障资金安全和自身的利益。     

公募基金内部羊群行为研究

以往对公募基金羊群行为的研究聚焦于宏观层面不同基金公司所持股票组合的相似性,而该研究则从微观视角研究了羊群行为:(1)单个公募基金公司所管理的多个基金相互模仿投资策略所呈现的羊群行为;(2)基金经理的交易行为所呈现的羊群行为。使用LSV模型测量2010—2019年多个公募基金公司内部的羊群行为,发现同个公募基金公司所管理的多个不同基金存在相互模仿投资策略的羊群行为,程度高于宏观层面不同公募基金之间相互模仿的羊群行为。此外,还发现基金经理的买入卖出交易行为存在羊群效应。研究从新的视角检验了微观层面的羊群行为,为基金公司加强内部管理、避免基金经理跟风投资造成风险聚集提供参考。     

Herding in Open-end Funds: Evidence from China

This paper aims to detect the herding of Chinese open-end fund managers and examine the role that structural features of their industry play in their herding. The herding behaviour is investigated by employing the cross-sectional absolute deviation (CSAD) model, drawing on the Chinese open-end fund market for the 2007–2020 period. Our findings suggest that the presence of herding has been confirmed in all other types of funds except for income funds, with their herding being mainly driven by non-fundamental factors. Most types of funds show more pronounced herding when the market is rising and the fund flow is positive. Up markets foster positive fund flows, which promote herding to a certain extent. The structural characteristics of fund networks of common asset holdings produce an impact on the fund herding. Herding is observed in the network with larger centrality index and the disassortative network. Moreover, we also find that herding in most types of funds is more pronounced under conditions of high volatility and high economic policy uncertainty, and the fund herding tends to grow inversely with fund-size.     

规范我国私募证券基金发展研究

我国私募证券基金的飞速发展,已成为证券市场不可忽视的力量,无论是国际趋势还是我国的私募证券基金的发展现状,都由于我国市场发展的不成熟,使我国的私募证券基金的发展受到的制约因素较多。特别是法律环境的不健全,既为私募基金的发展提供了发展的空间,但同时也为私募证券基金的发展留下了隐患。加快对私募证券基金的立法,从各个方面加强对它的监管,协调私募证券基金与有关法律的关系是当务之急。     

Fund immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese equity funds

This paper discusses the connection between public equity fund characteristics and performance reactions to COVID-19 using data over 1300 equity funds across 105 Chinese fund companies. Empirical evidences from over 20 fund characteristics show that the liquidity, diversification and pre-2020 Sharpe ratio, fund management abilities, agency costs can determine the fund immunity to COVID-19. Based on these characteristics mentioned, our empirical results can explain why COVID-19-induced drop in fund performance is milder among open-end funds, active funds, ETFs, and growth funds, and also can explain why funds controlled by private companies or by sino-foreign joint ventures or by companies with more independent directors of financial experiences perform better in the pandemic. Our work also provides some valuable suggestions for investors and regulators confronting an exogenous shock.     

基金经理个人特性对基金业绩影响的研究

本文在国内外有关影响证券投资基金绩效因素研究的基础上,定性分析了基金业绩与基金经理之间的关系。通过研究我国开放式基金经理的市场状况、个人特征,并以此为基础找出影响基金业绩的基金经理个人特性,再采用定量的方法,通过构建模型,进行相关系数分析和回归分析。发现我国基金业还处于发展初期,不成熟,基金经理个人特性中的某些因素对基金业绩有重要影响。     

Hedge funds,fund attributes and risk adjusted returns

We use proprietary data to examine factors that lead hedge fund managers to offer hurdle rates and investigate relative hedge fund performance based on risk-adjusted returns. Using data from 3,571 hedge funds over a 15 year period, we find that funds that do not offer a hurdle rate outperform those that do. Funds offering a high watermark charge substantially higher performance fees. Further, emerging market, fixed income, and funds of funds are significantly more likely to offer a hurdle rate than other types of funds. Performance fees have a positive impact on the likelihood of offering a hurdle rate. Fund leverage and management fees are negatively associated with hurdle rates. The cross-sectional regressions show that funds, which offer a hurdle rate, underperform those that do not. Funds that charge a high performance fee appear to outperform those that charge a relatively low fee. The results are consistent with the view that those managers who wish to improve risk-adjusted returns should not focus on hurdle rates.