Long‐term Effects of the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis in Goodwin‐type Economies

The existence of an efficiency wage mechanism in Goodwin‐type models may lead to the unexpected appearance of an economically meaningful equilibrium with zero labour share, which is globally stable for some parameter constellation and allows the system to attain its ‘maximal growth'. A subsequent ‘normative’ comparison between the possible long‐term regimes of the economy shows that (1) the zero labour share equilibrium can be the ‘preferred’ equilibrium in terms of welfare; (2) in all the long‐term regimes the welfare is higher than in the original Goodwin model; (3) a point of maximal welfare exists. Moreover, the effects of rational behaviour of firms are compared with the ‘traditional’ situation in which rationality is not explicitly assumed. A striking result appears: myopic rationality can have deleterious effects on the profit of firms and on the overall welfare of the economy.     

Globalisation,Institutional Reforms and Financial Development in East Asian Economies

This study investigates the dynamic effects of globalisation on institutions and financial development in East Asian economies using panel data tests. Our empirical results demonstrate that globalisation has a significant influence on institutional quality, and that institutional reforms in turn facilitate and support financial development, in particular the development of the banking sector in East Asia. Globalisation is also found to have a favourable direct impact on stock market development without passing through an institutional quality channel.     

Structural Reforms and Labour‐market Outcomes: International Panel‐data Evidence

This paper explores the impact of structural reforms on a comprehensive set of macro‐level labour‐market outcomes, including the unemployment rate, the average wage index, and overall and female employment levels and labour force participation rates. Together, these outcome variables capture the overall health of the labour market and the aggregate welfare of workers. Yet, to our knowledge, there seems to be no other comprehensive empirical investigation in the existing literature of the impact of structural reforms at the cross‐country macro‐level on labour‐market outcomes other than the unemployment rate. After documenting the average trends across countries in the labour‐market outcomes up to 10 years on either side of each country's structural reform year, we run fixed‐effects ordinary least squares and instrumental variables regressions to account for the likely endogeneity of structural reforms to labour‐market outcomes. Overall, the results suggest that structural reforms lead to positive outcomes for labour. Redistributive effects in favour of workers, along the lines of the Stolper‐Samuelson effect, may be at work.     

Intellectual Property Rights in Agriculture and the Interests of Asian‐Pacific Economies

This paper describes recent and ongoing processes of technological change in agriculture, which has become a highly R&D‐intensive sector in many countries of the Asia‐Pacific region. It also considers the role of various forms of intellectual property rights (IPRs) in promoting such technological changes and in affecting their diffusion through the region. A central part of the discussion is a review of how these various IPRs operate and are protected in major economies of the region. There is an assessment of the economic interests of key countries, including the United States, Canada, Australia, China, Japan and the Republic of Korea, in global and regional policy evolution in agricultural IPRs. These interests are a mix of comparative advantage in farming, which is quite distinctive among these countries, and the technological basis of production, which is more convergent. A review of available measures of innovation in the region suggests that all of these economies are active in developing new agricultural technologies, although there is considerable specialisation in the types of processes developed. Given this mix of divergence in comparative costs and convergence in technology interests, it is difficult to describe sharply the preferences these economies may have in continued globalisation of agricultural IPRs. However, the analysis points to some areas in which countries may continue to specialise – thereby retaining the ability to remain in specific areas of farming – and other fields in which international collaboration may be sensible.     

The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Transition Economies: A Meta‐analysis

In this paper, we conduct a meta‐analysis of studies that empirically examine the relationship between economic transformation and foreign direct investment (FDI) performance in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union over the past quarter century. More specifically, we synthesise the empirical evidence reported in previous studies that deal with the determinants of FDI in transition economies, focusing on the impacts of transition factors. We also perform meta‐regression analysis to specify determinant factors of the heterogeneity among the relevant studies and the presence of publication‐selection bias. We find that the existing literature reports a statistically significant non‐zero effect as a whole, and a genuine effect is confirmed for some FDI determinants beyond the publication‐selection bias.     

How to Balance the Outcomes of the Economic Partnership Agreements for Sub‐Saharan African Economies?

Since 2002, the Sub‐Saharan African countries ( except South Africa which already has a free‐trade agreement with the EU ) have embarked on free‐trade agreement negotiations with the European Union. These arrangements will replace the Cotonou scheme, which requires these countries to eliminate their tariffs on ‘substantially’ all their European imports. Based on a general equilibrium analysis, this study estimates the potential effects of these agreements by considering different levels of reciprocity in the commitments of the Sub‐Saharan African countries. It shows that the ‘standard’ EU proposal, whereby Sub‐Saharan African countries would cut tariffs on 80 per cent of their European imports, would not be enough to balance the outcome of the Economic Partnership Agreements. As a result of the asymmetries between European and African protections and supply‐side capacities, African countries could experience a balance of trade deficit of USD 1.8 billion associated with a 0.1 per cent decrease in GDP. This proposal, which also induces an industrial restructuring to the benefit of the agro‐processing industries, will create a significant fiscal burden. A lesser level of commitment could largely mitigate these unfavourable results; by reciprocating tariff eliminations on only 60 per cent of their European imports, African countries would reduce the trade imbalance and fiscal losses induced by these agreements by 21 and 51 per cent respectively.     

Business Integrity in Transitional Economies: Central & Eastern Europe

What are the ethical concerns among the growing populations of business people in Central & Eastern Europe, and how might they be dealt with practically in the course of business life? David Murray has been a management consultant since 1979 working primarily with the Hay Group in the area of strategic organisational change. Since founding Maine Consulting Services in 1991 he spends most of his time in the field of business and professional ethics, also holding a Visiting Fellowship at the University of Central Lancashire. He is chairman of the Professional & Technical Board at the (British) Institute of Quality Assurance and a coordinating editor of the quarterly Organisations & People. Marek Kucia is a social researcher operating his own research agency (which organised the Polish part of this exercise) and an academic teaching sociology, and conducting and co-ordinating Central European Studies at the Jagiellonian University, Krakow. He studied political science, sociology and philosophy at Krakow and studied for his PhD at Oxford. He has also worked for Gallup, London, in opinion and market research. This survey report is based on presentations made in April 1994 to the EBEN Research Centres Conference in Prague, and in June 1994 to the conference on “Ethics in Transition” organised in Gödöllö, Hungary, by the Democracy after Communism Foundation, Budapest. The authors wish to acknowledge the major contribution to this work of Mr Juraj Kusnierik of the Central European Foundation, SEN, Bratislava, who co-ordinated the survey exercise. The project was sponsored by The Ethics Development Initiative, CARE, London; the Central European Foundation, SEN, Bratislava, Slovakia; SIS Ltd., Bratislava, Slovakia; and Maine Consulting Services, 16 Acrefield, Blackburn, Lancashire, England BB2 7BJ, to which all correspondence connected with this report should be addressed.     

Investment in Transition Economies

Summary

All centrally planned economies suffered from overinvestment. Due to low capital productivity, reasonable growth rates in output could be maintained only with high investment/GDP ratios. Nevertheless, the sharp reduction in investment during transformational recession and its slow growth during subsequent recovery are viewed as negative phenomena, since transition economies offer numerous opportunities to increase output with relatively small targeted investment.

This paper seeks to develop and test two major hypotheses. The first one explains the behavior of aggregate investment during transition: we find that changes in external financing (current account balance), in the government budget deficit and in the institutional capacity of the state (as measured by the share of government revenues in GDP) explain up to 75% of the variations in investment/GDP ratios during transition, while the progress in reforms (cumulative liberalisation index) and in privatisation (share of the private sector in GDP) do not matter a great deal. With respect to sources of investment financing, there is some evidence that better investment performance is supported by budgetary funds, by credits to the private sector and by the strength of the stock market, whereas foreign aid is a substitute rather than a complement (i.e., it is negatively related to investment) and the inflow of foreign direct investment is not important.

The second hypothesis deals with the impact of investment on economic performance as measured by changes in GDP during transition: we find that differences in performance arc, in great part, associated not with investment patterns, but with varying marginal capital productivity. The latter in turn is determined mainly by differing magnitudes of restructuring required in various countries, i.e., by the distortions in industrial structure and trade patterns inherited from central planning, and by the institutional capacity of the state (as measured by the share of shadow economy and government revenues in GDP). The degree of liberalisation in this case appears to be a relatively important determinant of capital productivity, while the rates of inflation are not.     

Financial versus Monetary Mercantilism: Long‐run View of Large International Reserves Hoarding

The sizeable hoarding of international reserves by several East Asian countries has been frequently attributed to a modern version of monetary mercantilism – hoarding international reserves in order to improve competitiveness. From a long‐run perspective, manufacturing exporters in East Asia adopted ‘financial’ mercantilism – subsidising the cost of capital – during decades of high growth. They switched to hoarding large international reserves when growth faltered, making it harder to disentangle the monetary mercantilism from the precautionary response to the heritage of past financial mercantilism. Monetary mercantilism also lowers the cost of hoarding, but may be associated with negative externalities leading to competitive hoarding. From this viewpoint, this paper makes three observations on the East Asian reserve accumulation. First, the recent large hoarding of reserves in Japan and Korea occurred in the aftermath of the growth strategy that combined export promotion and credit subsidisation (financial mercantilism). Second, whether the ultimate motive is mercantilist or precautionary, the ongoing reserve hoarding in Asia contains an element of competitive hoarding, which is likely to have negative externalities among countries involved. Finally, China's hoarding of reserves partly reflects the precaution against the financial fragility that is likely to follow the slowing of economic growth.     

房地产税立法中的税基与税率选择研究

在我国推进全面税收改革的新阶段,房地产税立法势在必行。通过介绍当前我国房地产税的税基和税率现状,分析了当前我国房地产税税基和税率存在的问题,结合沪渝房产税改革试点情况和发达国家实践经验提出相关建议。     

Human Transformation in the Transition Economies

Abstract

This paper discusses the human transformation in the transition economies exemplifying the case of Georgia in particular and analyzes the natures of homo Sovieticus, homo transformaticus, and homo economicus. It then argues that since homo economicus has some deficiencies and is thoroughly egoistic in nature, another model of man is to be found to explain his/her behaviours not only in the marketplace but also in the social life, and it introduces the model of man of society. Hypothesizing that individuals are in general men of society, this model is offered not only to make a paradigmatic transition from homo economicus to a real existing man/woman in a nonarbitrary fashion, but also to complement the homo economicus and thus to effectively deal with many problematic issues in the transformation period which is expected to lead to a democratic society with a balanced economy. The paper also includes the results of a survey conducted to find the evidence of man of society in the Georgian society.     

Vertical Control in Newly Regulated Economies

Abstract

This paper develops conceptual arguments to analyze RPM from the antitrust viewpoint. Through a general model, we conclude that minimum RPM in general would reduce consumer's price. Consequently, it could harm consumers only under very special circumstances, that can be checked by antitrust authorities in a very simple way. Thus, the paper suggests that the influence of the USA antitrust legislation and tradition in LDCs, and particularly in Chile, the country with the most advanced antitrust practice in the less developed world, has unnecessarily restricted franchising. Not surprisingly, though, the application of such dogmatic vision has created ways to by-pass the regulation, like vertical integration, that may be legal, but create cost for distribution channels.

RESUMEN

Este estudio desarrolla argumentos conceptuales para analizar el RPM desde la perspectiva del antitrust. A través de un modelo general, llegamos a la conclusión que, en forma general, un RPM mínimo reduciría el precio de consumo. Consecuentemente, sólo podría perjudicar a los consumidores bajo circunstancias muy especiales, que pueden ser investigadas por las autoridades antitrust en una manera muy simple. Por ene, este artículo sugiere que la influencia de la legislación antitrust estadounidense y los tradicionales LDCs, especialmente en Chile, el país con las prácticas antitrust más avanzadas del mundo menos desarrollado, ha restringido innecesariamente la concesión de franquicias (franchising). No es sorprendente, entonces, que la aplicación de una visión tan dogmática haya creado formas de circunvalar la norma, como la integración vertical que puede ser legal, pero crea un costo adicional para los canales de distribución.

RESUMO

Este estudo desenvolve argumentos conceituais, para analisar a Manutenção do Preço de Revenda (RPM), do ponto de vista antitruste. Através de um modelo comum, conclui-se que o mínimo de RPM, em geral, reduziria o preço ao consumidor. Conseqüentemente, ele só prejudicaria o consumidor em algumas circunstâncias muito especiais, que podem ser fiscalizadas pelas autoridades antitruste, de forma bem simples. Assim, este trabalho sugere que a influência da legislação antitruste americana e da tradição em Países Menos Desenvolvidos (LDCs), particularmente, no Chile, o país que possui a mais avançada prática antitruste do mundo menos desenvolvido, possui, desnecessariamente, franquias restritas. Embora não surpreenda que a aplicação de tal visão, tão dogmática, haja criado meios para contornar a regulamentação, como a integração vertical, que, apesar de legal, cria custos para os canais de distribuição.     

Small Business Retailing in Privatizing Economies

Summary

The paper advances a framework and a set of propositions regarding the relative influence of collectivist and individualistic values of small retail business managers on the management of the retail-mix and business performance, in the context of the privatizing economies of Central and Eastern Europe. The conceptual discussion, supported with two case illustrations from Romania, suggests that managers embracing the two value systems develop complementary retail strategies. Managers with more individualistic values tend to be more competitor-oriented and emphasize business growth and innovation, while managers with more collectivist values tend to be more customer-oriented and emphasize business relationships, stability and predictability.     

今年东南亚经济会是啥样?

去年11月,中国与东盟签署了《全面经济合作框架协议》,共同组建中国一东盟自贸区。今年是执行《协议》的第一年,这使得人们特别关注今年的东南亚经济,因其关系到世界上人口最多的自由贸易区能否顺利启动,关系到我国企业发展与东南亚的经贸合作。     

Corporate Governance Reforms in India

In recent years India has been moving further in the direction of adopting an Anglo-American model of corporate governance. This decision, the result more of international economic and political pressures than public debate, in effect represents a new development strategy for the world's most populous democracy. In light of this situation, it is important to ask two basic questions: 1) why has the Anglo-American model of corporate governance been adopted? and; 2) can it be justified? This paper addresses the first of these questions by distinguish and examining three historical models of governance in India: 1) the managing agency model in the colonial period; 2) the business house model that emerged after independence, and; 3) the Anglo-American model which has recently been adopted (and is still emerging). The second question is approached through an examination of the "development impact" of the new model, as indicated by such measures as growth, employment and respect for shareholder rights.