Forecast of mortgage-lending development in Russia subject to socioeconomic factors

Trends observed in mortgage lending in Russia between 2005 and 2012 are discussed in the paper, as well as their correlation with changes in the unemployment rate, one of the major indicators of socioeconomic development. The analysis is carried out at two levels, national and regional. The nationwide analysis employed an approach developed to reconcile scenario-based forecasts of the development of mortgage lending with different scenarios of unemployment forecast. It is argued that, going forward, there is a possibility of a pessimistic scenario with growing unemployment and a slowdown of growth in the mortgage debt levels. The differences in the degree of correlation between mortgage and unemployment rate by the regions of the Russian Federation, as well as factors behind them, are discussed at the regional level.     

Typological analysis of Russia’s border regions by the level of socioeconomic development (case study of the Republic of Tuva)

This article analyzes the development specifics of Russian border regions in two aspects: their place in the general typology of Russian regions in terms of socioeconomic development and their typology in terms of development in the aspect of border regions.     

Differentiation of the regions of Russia based on level of economic development

Assessments of the level of interregional differences by per capita GRP in current and constant prices are presented in the article. The tendencies of inequality in economic development of the regions of Russia in 1990–2013 have been studied.     

Transformation of the reproductive mechanism of the world economy and prospects for Russia’s socioeconomic development

The article substantiates the author??s view on the basic principles underlying the reproductive mechanism of the global economy. It shows the degree of specificity and consistency of the reproductive mechanism of the Russian economy in comparison with the global model. An evaluation is performed of the opportunities and conditions for a transition to Russia??s accelerated economic development and modernization of its productive apparatus.     

Scenario of the socioeconomic development of Russian regions up to 2030 in light of large-scale investment projects implemented in the regions

This paper presents a scenario of Russia’s socioeconomic development formed as part of macroeconomic forecasts by the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia based on the developed method. Trends in the regional and industrial structure of the national economy have been analyzed. The influence of prospective large-scale investment projects on the economic development of Russia and its regions has been evaluated.     

Interregional migration and socioeconomic differentiation of space in present-day Russia

An analysis of the scale and directions of interregional migration in Russia and its relation to most important economic indicators describing the standard of living and quality of life in regions. The feasibility of using migration indices as indicators of the level of social and economic development of constituent entities of the Russian Federation is discussed.     

The dynamics of socioeconomic reform in Russia: Medico-demographic indices

A medico-demographic periodization of Russian socioeconomic reforms is presented, according to which the state of public health is characterized by different vectors.     

Economic analysis of development prospects for air transport in Russia’s sparsely populated regions

This article analyzes the prospects for the development of air transport in remote and inaccessible regions of Russia with a low population density. The influence of the economic and geographical specificity of such regions on the duration and cost of air travel is studied. A complex of organizational and technological solutions and government support measures aimed at improving the quality and accessibility of air carriages for the population of sparsely populated regions is suggested.     

Socioeconomic modernization of Russia and its Arctic regions

This paper deals with the socioeconomic and technological development of Arctic regions of the Russian Federation in the context of a modernizing world. The methodological basis of the comparative analysis is the concept of primary and secondary modernization or integrated modernization for developing countries.     

Certain socioeconomic problems of development of the Arctic territories

The article discusses general problems of sustainable socioeconomic development on the foreign and Russian Arctic territories. We revealed examples of the Arctic territories where the best results in balanced socioeconomic development are achieved, i.e., Iceland, the northern provinces of Norway, and Sweden. The main challenges and risks for sustainable development of the Russian Arctic zone are indicated.     

Brazilian socioeconomic development: Issues for the eighties

Since 1964 Brazil has experienced rapid economic growth, exclusionary politics and a persistently unequal distribution of income. After 1973 rapid growth was maintained only at the cost of accelerating inflation and massive foreign borrowing, while a process of political liberalization was begun. A change in economic development strategy could increase the number of jobs created per unit of capital invested, concentrate benefits on those who have least profited from the growth process to date, decrease imports, and increase the productivity of the poor. Such a strategy, the outlines of which can be found in Brazil's Third National Development Plan, makes good social as well as economic sense.     

Scientific and innovative activities in regions of Northwest Russia

The paper presents statistical data on the state of scientific and innovative activities in the regions of Northwest Russia. The dynamics of their main indicators has been analyzed. Scientific factors that affect the effectiveness of innovative activities have been identified. The values of factors and their connection with the final results by region have been determined. The advisability of developing statistical accounting of process innovations and implementation of scientific potential of the region is noted.     

Sustainable development goals for the future of Russia

This paper reviews sustainable development goals adopted by the United Nations in 2015 and approved by all countries. The inclusion of the sustainability concept based on a balanced set of economic, social, and environmental factors in the strategic documents underpinning the long-term development of Russia is justified as part of a search for a new development model for the Russian economy.     

政府支持下农业保险发展思路

一、我国农业保险的现状及商业化经营的困境。我国农业保险业务自1982年恢复办理以来，曾经得到了迅速的发展。但由于自然灾害严重，赔付率过高，政府支持不够等原因，随着国有保险公司的商业化特征日益增强，我国农业保险出现了明显的萎缩。2002年，中国人民保险公司农业保险费收入比上一年度下降了20％；当年我国财产保险费总收入780亿元，其中农业保险费仅5亿元，还不到0．65％；而农、林、牧、渔就业人数3．2487亿，人均农业保险费才1．54元。     

Pressing problems of Russia’s development

This lecture reflects the author’s concepts of the present-day economic policy of Russia, problems of economic growth rate and resources, inflation policy, and urgent changes in the field of labor and labor compensation, as well as in the social sector of the economy.     

Long-term forecast of Vologda oblast’s socioeconomic development

The article generalizes the experience in working out a long-term forecast of Vologda oblast’s socioeconomic development. Dynamic and structural characteristics of the oblast’s development are analyzed on the basis of statistical data. A set of models for forecasting regional economic development is presented. The main scenarios of the region’s long-term evolution are described. Quantitative characteristics of the development of Vologda oblast for the period up to 2020 are presented.     

Central development spending in the regions post-decentralisation

The central government spends just under one-half of its development budget outside Jakarta. The centre provides more than one-third of total development spending carried out in the regions. Central development spending in the regions on primary and secondary sector activities and on education and culture is especially significant. The spatial distribution of consolidated public development expenditure is very unequal. However, central spending mitigates inequality in the geographic distribution of subnational development expenditure, at least to a certain extent. Agood deal of central government spending in the regions appears to be on tasks that have been turned over to subnational governments and is therefore illegal under current decentralisation legislation. Central support of specific decentralised activities could be implemented more transparently and efficiently through the government's specific purpose grant.     

我国政务服务评估发展研究

建设服务型政府是新时期社会治理的新要求,而开展政务服务评估是检验服务型政府工作绩效的必要手段。本文阐述了开展政务服务评估对我国现阶段的重要意义,并介绍了国内外开展政务服务评估的现状和经验,认为政务服务评估朝着评估程序规范化、制度化和法制化,评估主体第三方化,评估客体细分化的趋势发展。最后本文分析了政府服务评估面临的主要问题,提出了相应的对策建议。