Analysis and forecast of labor commuting in the Moscow region, the case of Dubna

The proportion of push-pull labor migrants (LC) in the city of Dubna (Moscow region) has been obtained on the basis of microdata for 2001 as well as the industrial composition of their workplaces. Results are presented of the assessed shadow wages, comparative analysis is performed of the residents employed in their home town and LC allowing for the age and gender. Dynamics and forecast of LC in Dubna are presented based on the analysis of economic macroindicators for 2001–2006 and the legislative activity of the city government. It is shown that the results obtained on the basis of micro-and macroanalysis are in satisfactory agreement both with each other and with the data of the earlier authors’ macroeconomic studies of LC in the Moscow region [1, 2].     

制约农村剩余劳动力转移的障碍因素分析

我国农村剩余劳动力转移面临严峻形势,之所以面临如此严峻的形势,是因为有历史因素、现实因素和农村劳动力个人的因素等诸多障碍因素。正确认识这些障碍因素有利于解决农村剩余劳动力的转移问题,进而促进社会主义新农村建设。     

影响西部农村劳动力转移因素的实证分析

本文在时间序列数据严重不足的情况下,运用西部省（市、自治区）2004年截面数据．对2003年西部农村劳动力的转移比重与城乡二元经济结构、农村经济结构、人力资本状况等影响因素的相关性进行了实证分析,并就户籍制度、农用土地制度等深层影响因素作了简要说明。     

Prediction of foreign labor migration dynamics at the regional level

The dynamics of the foreign workforce in the Far Eastern Federal District is analyzed in the paper, as well as the role of foreign migrant workers in the economic development of Jewish Autonomous Oblast. A mathematical model of the interaction between the economically active population and foreign workers in the regional labor market is proposed.     

Employment and labor market dynamics in the Russian Federation until 2030

The paper considers inertial and factor forecasts of the basic parameters of the employment and labor market dynamics in Russia. Estimates of the future state in the area of employment are given for the national and regional levels by types of economic activity. The basic factors acting on the employment and labor market dynamics are also analyzed at the national and regional levels.     

The dynamics of regional labor markets and active labor market policy: Swedish evidence

This paper analyses the repercussions of region-specific shocksto labor demand. Active labor market programs have been targetedat high unemployment regions in Sweden, a fact that should influencethe regional adjustment process. Fears have been expressed thatsome of the programs may have adverse effects on adjustmentby, for instance, locking-in displaced workers in depressedregions. The empirical results indicate that Swedish regionaladjustment has been comparatively rapid; labor mobility in responseto shocks, for instance, appears to be high by European standards.On the whole, labor market programs do not seem to have impededregional adjustment substantially.     

政府在劳务经济发展中的功能分析

劳务经济是转移农村富余劳动力、实现农民增收、促进农业工业化和农村城市化的有效方法。目前我国在发展劳务经济的过程中存在着很多的问题,要解决这些问题,促进劳务经济的健康发展,就必须正确认识政府在劳务经济发展中的功能与地位。政府正确引导、管理与服务是促进劳务经济健康发展的必要条件。     

Forecasting of labor market demand dynamics on different stages of crisis in Russian economics

This paper presents the evaluation of medium-term additional labor force demand based on analysis of projection scenarios of basic macroeconomic indicators of Russian Federation economics during crisis and post-crisis period until 2015. Modeling of additional labor force demand with regard for crisis processes in Russian economics was implemented by formalization of factors that influence labor force dynamics. The verification of projection evaluation of additional labor force demand based on 2009 crisis monitoring data and conditions of dismissed labor force back up during the post-crisis period.     

农村劳动力转移战略中的政府行为分析

农村劳动力转移是社会主义现代化进程中不可或缺的重要内容。通过我国农村劳动力转移历程的分析,政府行为变迁直接决定着我国农村劳动力转移进程的快慢。实施农村劳动力转移战略应该充分发挥政府主导作用。政府行为是当前和今后制约我国农村劳动力顺利转移的首要问题。立足于现代化和城市化建设的要求以及农村劳动力亟待转移这一现实国情,政府应该在与农村劳动力转移密切相关的土地制度、迁移自由、就业环境以及社会保障等方面有所作为,切实推进农村劳动力转移战略的成功实现。     

The evaluation of the long-term economic development of the Irkutsk region in the system of the all-Russian forecasting

The long-term forecasting of the development of the Irkutsk region by economic sectors is considered. The evaluations of the structural changes and the interregional relationships by the variants of the potential trends of development of the economy of Siberia and Russia in a whole are presented. The forecast is made by the production output data, which are the basis of the target growth of the final consumption.     

广东工业结构调整的劳动力资源分析

一、广东工业结构调整对劳动力资源的长远需求1.广东工业结构的现状与调整趋势①广东工业结构的现状。2003年广东人均GDP达17213元,超过钱纳里所认为的工业化后期阶段标准,但考虑到占全省面大部分的两翼地区(9152元)和山区(7604元)与经济发达的珠三角洲(39782元)差距很大,所以广东总体上已经进入工业化后期阶段。根据发达国家经验,在此阶段各种重工业行业将快发展,并对经济发展起主导作用。1990～2003年间广东轻工业产值增长10倍多(按1990年不变价),而重工业增长了23倍,2003年轻工业占工业总产值46%,重工业占54%,已经改变长期以来轻工业为…     

中国通货膨胀长期影响因素的研究——基于状态空间模型的时变参数分析

通货膨胀成为目前我国经济中一个显著问题,因此研究我国通货膨胀趋势的决定因素成为必要,中国通货膨胀长期走势的决定因素主要有四个,其中代表货币因素的M2和代表国外输入型因素的国际大宗商品价格对通货膨胀的影响在上升,而劳动力价格和固定资产投资因素在长期中对通货膨胀的影响总体呈下降趋势。     

A labor force competition model of racial discrimination in the labor market

Conclusion This paper has developed a model of discrimination based on the standard maximization hypotheses. This model assumes an imperfectly competitive labor market. In particular, net differences in the benefits of jobs are not competed away, and labor market coalitions of workers exist. As we have indicated, the model is able to explain the major phenomena associated with labor market discrimination.     

The problems of labor supply and labor demand adjustment on the Russian labor market

This paper considers problems and specifics of labor demand and supply relations in the Russian labor market; it identifies and analyzes the underlying factors. It discusses the possibilities of inclusion in the analysis of structural characteristics of labor demand and supply and the dynamics of wages in the process of their conciliation in the Russian labor market, and it presents estimates of its basic parameters.     

Characteristics of labor market in Serbia - View on the labor demand on Belgrade and Banat labor markets

The labor market in Serbia is characterized by one of the highest unemployment rates of the working population （aged 15 to 64）. Also, it is notified that the unemployed level of the qualification is very low and that there isn＇t enough space in the existing formal educational system for any new introductions （such as prequalification courses, or lifelong educational concepts）. The research on the labor demand was aimed at assessing the state of the labor markets in the selected regions and at analyzing short-term demand for labor force. The analysis establishes： Which sectors of local/regional economy are being developed and are likely to require additional labor force in the next six months; which types of jobs are likely to be in demand in the aforementioned sectors; which additional knowledge and skills are needed for such occupations. The applied methodology also enabled to analyze information on vulnerable groups of unemployed, namely persons with disturbing factors in employment and the young unemployed of up to 24 years of age. In order to gather reliable data at regional level, a research was conducted on a stratified sample covering 1400 enterprises and some of the statistical labor market indicators were established indicating particularities of the labor markets in the surveyed regions -- Belgrade and Banat.     

农村剩余劳动力转移的公共政策分析

农村剩余劳动力转移现象是社会经济发展的必然产物，是随着社会工业化的快速发展而出现的必然结果。目前，我国农村剩余劳动力的转移进程受到阻碍，一方面是历史发展的必然，而更重要的是由于公共政策直接造成的结果。解铃还需系铃人，只有通过建立一套完备的，科学的公共政策体系并有效地执行，才能有效地解除障碍，顺利实现农村剩余劳动力的转移，推进社会经济的快速增长。     

Problems of the long-term planning of the development of a core transport network in the Far East and Baikal region

The report outlines the problems that occur during preparation of long-term plans for development of the transport infrastructure of the east of the country and are associated mainly with uncertainty of the global environment. The methodological approach is proposed, consisting in orientation of the budget capital investments for the most diversified projects that will pay off under different scenarios, and partially laying on the business the risks for those transportation projects that focus on certain exports. The need to account both direct and indirect effects of each project is emphasized.     

珠三角地区民工短缺现象的原因分析

民工短缺不但影响短期内企业的生产,必将在长期影响该地区的持续发展,本文从宏观、中观、微观3个方面分析了珠三角地区2004年以来所出现的民工短期现象的原因,当地政府、企业理应充分认识这些原因,并制定相应策略。     

中国劳动力市场发育的制度经济学分析

本文分析了中国劳动力市场发育的结构特征,并对转型期中国劳动力市场分割的制度变迁和制度均衡进行了分析,认为制度非均衡已成为中国劳动力市场发育的一种“常态”。中国劳动力市场的制度非均衡又成为该市场制度变迁的诱致因素,它的轨迹也就是劳动力市场制度变迁的轨迹。