外国直接投资、外国证券投资与经济增长:以美国为例

本文以美国1972-2002年的统计数据为例,在建立VAR模型的基础上通过脉冲响应曲线和方差分解表对流入美国的外国直接投资(FDI)、外国证券投资(FPI)和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究,结果表明流入美国的FDI和FPI均有助于美国经济的增长。但相对而言,美国经济增长更加依赖于外国证券投资,研究还发现流入美国的FDI与FPI之间关系紧密,两者之间存在积极的良性互动关系,且FPI对FDI的影响明显大于FDI对FPI的影响。     

Foreign Direct Investment in Hungary

Abstract

When in 1989 the markets in Central and Eastern Europe opened, western firms were quick to move in. Hungary treated foreign firms equal to domestic ones in the privatization process. It attracted most foreign direct investment in the region. Now, other countries are likely to follow the Hungarian path and allow foreign firms to take over domestic firms. This contribution discusses the experience of six Dutch multinational firms in Hungary and discusses whether these can be useful for expansion into other countries in the region. The results indicate that firms easily underestimate the cost of reconstructing acquired enterprises and that building a market position is more expensive than anticipated.     

Foreign Direct Investment in China

Summary

China has attracted the second largest amount of foreign direct investment in the world each year since 1993. Hundreds of thousands of foreign-invested enterprises are in operation in China. However, what drive the success or cause the failure of foreign investments is still not well understood. This paper critically examines one success factor, i.e., the importance of timing of marketing entry into China. It begins with a brief review of the literature on first-mover advantages and the recent empirical research. It then attempts to theorize on why timing of market entry matters in the context of foreign direct investment. Apart from drawing upon the four recent studies in this area, this paper focuses on the auto industry in China and the case of Volkswagen to illustrate the importance of early entry into an overseas market. It calls for foreign investors to seize the first-wave opportunities when the door is opened a certain sector. It pays in the long run both in terms of the market share position and profitability.     

国际直接投资理论的发展脉络及最新进展

跨国公司活动的增加为国际直接投资的研究提供了更多的素材,也引发了更多的思考,这一趋势一方面体现为研究方法的丰富化;另一方面体现为研究视角的多元化。本文运用与前人不同的梳理方式对国际直接投资理论的发展脉络进行了回顾,而且有侧重地介绍了这一领域最近几年的研究成果,并在适当评论的基础上对未来研究方向进行了展望。     

地方经济增长目标对外商直接投资的影响与机制研究

经济增长目标管理是中国宏观经济的重要现象,外商直接投资的注入为经济增长提供了重要的源泉。文章基于中国各地级市政府工作报告公布的年度经济增长目标,形成284个地级市2001~2016年面板数据,检验经济增长目标对吸引外资的影响。研究发现,经济增长目标的提高显著增大了实际利用外资数量,该发现是稳健的,在进行了变换度量变量、回归样本和考虑内生性的稳健性检验之后,结论依然成立。究其机制,在既定的经济增长目标的激励下,地方政府扩大土地出让面积,增大人均财政支出,以此吸引外商直接投资。文章还发现,地方经济增长目标的提高将导致外商直接投资显著增加的效应,仅在欠发达的中西部地区成立,在2012年之前出现。文章的发现为进一步优化政府目标管理实现经济高质量发展提供了有益的参考。     

我国企业对外直接投资的区位选择

我国理论界关于是否应该将发达国家作为我国企业对外直接投资的重点目标问题上产生的不同意见,在相当程度上反映了我国对外直接投资区位选择所面临的对外直接投资动因与能力的矛盾。实证检验证实我国企业目前的对外直接投资区位还是以与我国经贸关系密切、市场规模相对狭小的国家和地区为主。但从长远看,发达国家和地区应成为我国企业对外直接投资区位选择的重点目标。     

外资进入我国商业零售业问题研究

零售业是中国对外开放较晚的领域。加入WTO后我国服务业的开放领域大大拓宽,商业零售领域对外商的吸引力日益彰显。全球知名的零售企业目前在中国零售业格局中已扮演重要角色。因此,必须分析外资进入我国商业零售业的规模、方式及所带来的相关效应。     

国际直接投资的就业结构效应研究——基于东道国视角

国际直接投资引起了世界各国经济和社会的变革,其中一个重要的方面就是对各国国内就业的影响和冲击。本文以东道国为视角,通过理论模型和计量分析两种方法,重点研究FDI对东道国国内就业结构的影响。研究表明,FDI对东道国就业结构具有深刻影响,这种影响取决于各部门所占的劳动比例、各部门中劳动生产率对劳动的弹性以及FDI在各部门中所占的比例;FDI对中国就业结构优化有着积极的促进作用。     

外商直接投资、对外直接投资与国际收支——基于国际收支平衡的我国对外直接投资

在我国,引进外商直接投资和对外直接投资之间存在着严重的不对称性。我国国际收支中投资收益逆差抵消了大量的贸易顺差,在未来贸易顺差和外资流入减少的情况下,这将会导致中国国际收支的恶化。因此,需要大力推进我国的对外直接投资以谋求国际收支平衡。     

长江三角洲地区外商直接投资的对外贸易效应

本文由长三角地区(16城市)FDI与对外贸易的简单数量关系,构筑了地区层面的对外贸易模型,运用面板数据(PanelData)方法对长三角地区FDI的对外贸易效应及FDI在上海双边贸易中的作用进行了分析。结果表明,FDI对长三角地区的对外贸易及上海的双边贸易均起到了显著的正向推动作用,长三角地区FDI与对外贸易之间存在互补关系。     

Attracting Chinese Foreign Direct Investment to Small,Developed Economies: The Case of Ireland

In response to the unparalleled growth in foreign direct investment (FDI) from China in recent years, we present a multilevel, in‐depth analysis of Chinese investment in Ireland using semi‐structured interviews and case studies. Our findings suggest that while Chinese FDI can be explained to an extent through classical theories of FDI, such investment is unconventional in many regards and thus requires the extension of established theories. We also find that factors above and beyond those that apply to traditional sources of investment are at play in the case of China, including the presence of host‐country clusters, the strength of intergovernmental relations, and the degree of alignment between China's development priorities and the host. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

外商直接投资对中国产业结构影响的实证研究

文章运用1983-2004年时间序列数据,应用Engle-Granger协整检验和Granger因果关系检验对外商直接投资对中国产业结构的影响进行了实证研究。研究结果显示:外商直接投资促进产业结构优化,但外商直接投资和产业结构变动之间不存在长期稳定的关系。在此基础上,文章建议积极引导外资为我国产业结构的优化升级做出更大贡献。     

国际直接投资的新思维——实物期权思想的融入

全球化经济时代的到来 ,为经济理论提出了新课题 ,FDI作为跨国经营的主要形式成为研究重点。实物期权理论在评估高风险、高灵活性的投资项目时有不可替代的作用 ,而FDI恰恰属于此类投资项目。将实物期权思想融入FDI理论 ,不仅解释了FDI近来快速增长的现象 ,也为FDI理论开辟了新的研究领域     

制造业及物流业吸收FDI对我国对外贸易的影响研究

外商直接投资(FDI)作为跨国公司经营资源的综合体,成为发达国家向发展中国家进行技术转移和扩散的重要载体。由于我国物流服务水平低,目前进入我国的制造业、商贸业的跨国公司,通常要把其物流的国际合作伙伴带入中国。随着全球产业的转移,中国成为世界制造业中心,外资物流也随着制造业的转移进入中国。本文在对FDI结构变化分析的基础上,结合我国FDI结构现状,探讨我国吸收FDI的对策。     

外商直接投资与服务贸易国际竞争力——来自77个国家的经验证据

近年来,部分学者在FDI对服务贸易国际竞争力的影响效应方面进行了研究,结论却截然不同。为从一般意义上揭示两者间的关系,文章选取77个国家1980-2008年相关数据,并采取只考虑出口因素的lnRXA指数及同时考虑进出口因素的RC指数来衡量服务贸易国际竞争力,分别从总体、经济发展水平及服务业FDI限入水平三个层面进行了实证检验,结果表明:总体来看,FDI流入不会提高一国服务贸易国际竞争力,而不同经济发展水平及服务业FDI限入水平国家的FDI流入会产生不同的影响效应;除高限入水平国家外,服务业GDP不会提升服务贸易国际竞争力;服务出口及货物出口分别会对服务贸易国际竞争力产生显著的正向及负向影响效应。此外,服务贸易国际竞争力衡量指数选取的不同会造成FDI流入的影响效应产生较大差异。     

Ireland's Foreign Direct Investment Competitive Advantage and Japanese Outward Foreign Direct Investment

This article addresses Ireland's record in attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI has been identified as one of the key factors that has spurred the growth of the Celtic Tiger. An adaptation of Porter's Diamond is offered to explain the determinants of Ireland's competitive advantage in attracting FDI. The overall trends in FDI inflows to Ireland are considered. The study then focuses on Japanese FDI into Europe and Ireland in particular. The pattern of Japanese FDI flows into Ireland is analysed in the context of Ireland's determinants of FDI competitive advantage. Future considerations around Ireland's model of competitive advantage are addressed.     

经济发展水平对我国对外直接投资影响的实证研究

近30年来,我国经济一直保持较快的增长速度,我国不仅作为世界经济最具活力的地区而吸引了大量来自世界各地的投资,而且,正在成为新兴的以对外直接投资来参与世界经济的重要力量。通过运用格兰杰因果关系,对我国经济发展水平与我国对外直接投资间的关系进行了实证分析和检验,也进一步说明了我国的经济增长与对外直接投资具有明显的相关性,且经济增长成为推动我国对外直接投资的原因。     

Japanese Foreign Direct Investment in the UK Electronic Industry: The Eclectic Approach

This article analyses the combined effects of Japanese firms' ownership and location advantages on the size of foreign direct investment (FDI). The size of FDI is measured by two proxies, the firm's employment level and its total assets. Econometric models are estimated. The estimated regression models show that the parent company's firm-specific resources and the external economies in the located region determine the flow of FDI at the time of entry of Japanese electronic firms in the UK. This result shows that empirical analysis on FDI flows should combine both the ownership and location advantages, as suggested by Dunning's eclectic paradigm.     

The Effect of National Corporate Responsibility Environment on Japanese Foreign Direct Investment

We examine the relationship between Japanese foreign direct investment (FDI) and the national corporate responsibility (NCR) environment in host countries using corporate social responsibility and international business theories. Based on data from the Japanese Government’s Ministry of Finance AccountAbility, and other sources, we find that the level of NCR has a positive relationship with FDI inflow for developing countries. The relationship for developed countries is negative but not statistically significant. The underlying host country development stage moderates the relationship. The results can help deepen understanding of FDI behaviors and have practical implications for host countries in terms of attracting FDI.     

中国外商投资环境竞争力研究

在建立中国省域和主要城市外商投资环境竞争力评价指标体系的基础上,运用主成分分析法、借助SPSS软件对我国省域和主要城市外商投资环境竞争力进行了定量评估,揭示了其区域差异特点和规律,提出了我国省域和主要城市外商投资环境竞争力的提升对策。