WTO体制下成员方经济主权的让渡

文章通过对WTO体制下经济主权让渡现实情况的考察,试图澄清国际社会在经济主权让渡问题上的种种模糊认识。最终说明,各国在充分理解本国经济政策国际影响的基础上,应采取相应的变通手段,通过对经济主权行使方式的深入变革,实现在本质上更好地坚持经济主权。     

银保合作走进新时代

针对保险公司与商业银行合作中出现的一些不规范行为，中国保监会和银监会于近日联合下发了《关于规范银行代理保险业务的通知》。《通知》如一场及时雨，意味着账外给付的“行业潜规则”将被打破，一味地拼手续费的方式将被禁止，特别是将其利益“暗链”拦腰截断，银保合作中的商业贿赂等问题将会收敛。就是银保产品必须升级换代，银保合作要逐渐走“纸上协议”、“柜面代销”等简单层面，扩大合作的广度与深度。     

Allocation of authority under central grants

This study deals with an analysis of allocation of government authority between local and central governments. Using a relatively simple model, we examine three classes of issues: First, what type of public project is implemented under a (de)centralized system? Second, is the size of governments (or public projects) larger or smaller when the system is (de)centralized? Third, should the system be (de)centralized? Which level of government should be allocated an authority? The most interesting result of the analysis is that the optimal allocation of authority varies with the cost differential between local and central government in a non-monotonic way.     

Dimensionality reduction in forecasting with temporal hierarchies

Combining forecasts from multiple temporal aggregation levels exploits information differences and mitigates model uncertainty, while reconciliation ensures a unified prediction that supports aligned decisions at different horizons. It can be challenging to estimate the full cross-covariance matrix for a temporal hierarchy, which can easily be of very large dimension, yet it is difficult to know a priori which part of the error structure is most important. To address these issues, we propose to use eigendecomposition for dimensionality reduction when reconciling forecasts to extract as much information as possible from the error structure given the data available. We evaluate the proposed estimator in a simulation study and demonstrate its usefulness through applications to short-term electricity load and financial volatility forecasting. We find that accuracy can be improved uniformly across all aggregation levels, as the estimator achieves state-of-the-art accuracy while being applicable to hierarchies of all sizes.     

战略联盟中企业间知识转移影响因素研究

在知识经济时代,战略联盟为企业获取知识、增强创新能力提供了一个非常好的平台,联盟中企业间如何实现有效知识转移的问题开始被密切关注,找出影响知识转移的因素是解决这一问题的前提条件。     

A model for resource allocation in complex hierarchies

Most models of resource allocation activity usually assume either a black box or a simple pyramidal hierarchy of black boxes as the organizational context for decision making. However, there are a number of resource allocation activities that take place in more complex hierarchies. These cases have been slighted by researchers, in part, because of a lack of practicable models. This paper presents a multiple-criterion resource allocation model specifically directed towards non-pyramidal hierarchies and other more complex organizational structures. A number of examples are discussed and a numerical example is presented.     

强化国家审计权威:一个新世纪的话题

一、审计权威性：审计权力与审计威信的统一 　　权威性是审计监督的一个重要特征和要素。审计权威性就审计主体而言,一是要具有高超驾驭和操纵审计监督系统的本领,二是要有在监督活动中建立起极高威信所表现出来的改变审计客体及他人心理状态和行为的能力。审计权威性是审计权力和审计威信的有机统一,可以形象地表示为：审计权威性 =审计权力＋审计威信。一个没有多大审计权力的审计系统,则是一个发挥小作用的审计;一个“有权无威”的审计系统,那是一个令人失望的审计。因此,强化审计权威要求审计权力和审计威信的有机统一,形成…     

The not-so-secret-agent: Professional monitors,hierarchies and implementation

Abstract. It is well-known that, when agents in an organization possess private information that is unverifiable by an outside party, games where agents simply announce their information can have multiple equilibria that may impede the successful implementation of the organization's objectives. We show that the introduction of a professional monitor (e.g. auditor, regulator, supervisor) can help to destroy the “bad' equilibria when agents have private information but have incomplete info rmation about others' information. Received: 21 May 1998 / Accepted: 26 May 2000     

成都地铁换乘及换乘效率评价研究

地铁换乘站一经建成,站内各种换乘设施、换乘方式等都已基本确定,无法进行大规模改建。分析成都地铁线网客流、换乘客流、乘客行为特征;研究乘客换乘过程,梳理换乘流线;建立地铁网络换乘效率评价指标体系。通过成都地铁火车南站实例研究,分析乘客换乘流线,找出存在问题并提出解决措施。     

Local authority employment planning: An ex post case study of some policy instruments

This paper outlines some of the results of a three year study into a local employment Act. The principal powers under this Act are similar to those later provided in the Inner Urban Areas Act 1978. The employment effects of the policies are evaluated in terms of before and after comparisons, and with-without perspective. An input-output model assesses the multiplier effect of spending under the program, including secondary employment effects elsewhere in the local economy from the expansion of aided firms. The cost-effectiveness of the various policies are presented in terms of a number of criteria. Finally, the social benefits and costs of the program are also evaluated.     

国际转让价格

国际转让价格的制定历来是跨国公司经营战略的一大难题。影响国际转让价格制定的因素有所得税差别、关税壁垒、竞争、通货膨胀、外汇管制、政治风险等。制定国际转让价格的方法分为以成本和以市价为基础两种,两种方法各有优劣。在实务中,跨国公司应联系自身的经营目标、组织结构、生产规模、定价策略以及各国经济、文化背景等因素加以选择。     

现代产业转移研究综述

本文着眼于现代产业转移这一重要课题,从一般规律、经济动因、转移模式、转移效应、转移战略与对策五个方面进行了综合论述,为产业格局和产业结构当中产业承接方与产业转移方进行产业的科学评估和选择提供了理论基础。     

传化物流易主

合资双方均未透露项目涉及的具体金额,但从传化物流已经拥有的资源和设施规模及其品牌影响力来看,估计该合资项目涉及金额较大。     

The conceptualisation and measurement of occupational hierarchies: a review, a proposal and some illustrative analyses

Occupational data are central to much research in the field of social stratification. Yet there is little consensus on how such data are most appropriately classified and scaled. We evaluate occupational scales currently in use on the basis of a fourfold typology. This cross-classifies scales, on the one hand, according to whether they are intended to be ??synthetic?? or ??analytic?? and, on the other, according to whether they are based on ??subjective?? or ??objective?? data. Focusing chiefly on issues of validity, we argue that scales of the analytic-objective type are those which, for most purposes, can be used to best advantage in stratification research. We illustrate our argument by applying scales of occupational earnings and occupational status in analyses of the worklife occupational mobility of men in Britain, using the data-set of the National Child Development Study.     

档案交接的重要性

档案是与每个公民关系最密切的一种档案,它关系到每个公民的切身利益。材料缺失最容易出现的环节就是档案交接的过程。档案具有全面性、现实性、动态性等的特点,但当前档案在交接过程中存在许多问题,应从人员素质、制度建设、工作程序与信息技术方面进行解决。     

转移指令剖析

汇编语言编程,必然要用到转移指令,其格式较为复杂,本文予以详尽剖析。     

A policy-based rationalization of collective rules: Dimensionality,specialized houses,and decentralized authority

We offer a policy-basis for interpreting, justifying, and designing (3, 3)-political rules, a large class of collective rules analogous to those governing the selection of papers in peer-reviewed journals, where each referee chooses to accept, reject, or invite a resubmission of a paper, and an editor aggregates his own and referees’ opinions into one of these three recommendations. We prove that any such rule is a weighted multicameral rule: a policy is collectively approved at a given level if and only if it is approved by a minimal number of chambers — the dimension of the rule — where each chamber evaluates a different aspect of the policy using a weighted rule, with each evaluator’s weight or authority possibly varying across chambers depending on his area(s) of expertise. These results imply that a given rule is only suitable for evaluating finite-dimensional policies whose dimension corresponds to that of the rule, and they provide a rationale for using different rules to pass different policies even within the same organization. We further introduce the concept of compatibility with a rule and exploit its topological properties to propose a method to construct integer weights corresponding to evaluators’ possible judgments under a given rule, which are more intuitive and easier to interpret for policymakers. Our findings shed light on multicameralism in political institutions and multi-criteria group decision-making in the firm. We provide applications to peer review politics, rating systems, and real-world organizations.