中国对外直接投资发展阶段实证检验和国际比较

本文选用1981-2007年的对外直接投资相关数据,从存量和流量数据、多种模型和国际比较等角度对中国投资发展阶段进行了实证检验,结果显示,中国对外直接投资发展符合Dunning的投资发展路径(IDP)理论,使用存量数据较流量数据更具优点,中国对外直接投资处于IDP第三阶段,与其他发展中国家相比,虽然中国人均GDP较低,但对外直接投资发展阶段并不落后。     

Foreign direct investment and productivity spillovers in Irish manufacturing industry: evidence from plant level panel data

It is often argued that foreign firms may enhance the productivity of indigenous firms in an economy, through forward or backward linkages. Such externality effects typically are called “productivity spillovers”. In terms of foreign direct investment (FDI), Ireland is one of the most globalized economies in the world, having pursued a strategy of promoting investment by foreign companies for over 40 years. This article examines possible productivity spillovers from foreign‐owned firms to indigenous firms in the Irish manufacturing sector, using plant‐level data on all manufacturing firms for the period 1991–1998. Despite Irish policy commitment to building linkages between foreign and domestic firms, we find only weak evidence of spillovers and this evidence is sensitive to the definition and measurement of foreign presence.     

21世纪发达国家间相互直接投资趋势分析

经济全球化的一个重要体现就是国际直接投资活动的扩大,发达国家是国际直接投资的主体,美国、欧盟和日本则是重中之重,本文通过研究认为,这三大经济体之间的相互直接投资在投资规模、投资方式和投资行业等方面突出体现了21世纪发达国家之间投资的特点和发展趋势。     

Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America in the 1990s

Summary

FDI in Latin America has witnessed a resurgence in the 1990s after the debt crisis and capital drought of the 1980s. This inflow results both from more market-friendly policies in the recipient countries and lower returns and growth in developed nations. The latter factor has also attracted many short-term, portfolio instruments to the continent which can be highly damaging to local economies when not properly regulated. Privatization has been among the more important country-specific variables attracting direct investors to the region. Despite the positive effects of FDI, Latin American countries are still beset with problems such as unequal distribution of income and poverty that direct investment is unlikely to ameliorate.     

俄罗斯吸引外国直接投资的政策研究

近年来,俄罗斯政治形势比较稳定,经济持续增长,吸引外国直接投资额迅速增长,同时是世界上吸引外国直接投资额增幅最大的国家之一。尽管还存在外国直接投资在外资总额和国内生产总值中比例不大、行业和地区分布不尽合理、投资环境也有待于进一步改善等问题,但是俄罗斯将成为外国直接投资热点之一已是不争的事实。     

Friend or Foe? On the role of institutional reforms in the investment development path of Central and East European economies

Many existing studies on emerging markets and firms have concentrated on the separate effects of institutional reforms and quality of the institutional infrastructure for attracting inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and fostering outward FDI. We argue that both these perspectives should be considered in an interplay, as there are links between inward and outward FDI in a country's economic development, which is captured by the investment development path (IDP) concept. Moreover, while predominant attention has been paid to emerging markets, little has so far been done to evaluate the sustainability of the institutional development, including later post-transition stages. We extend the IDP with insights from the institutional theory and conduct a comparative analysis of the effects of institutional reforms on IDP paths of ten Central and Eastern European (CEE) post-communist European Union (EU)-members. We find that while most of the studied post-transition economies follow a quadratic relationship between the net outward investment (NOI) position and each country's economic development, the role of institutional reforms is not in all cases accelerating the movement through the stages of the IDP. We attempt to explain the ambiguous role of institutions in an ensuing detailed discussion of the investigated countries.     

东道国劳工标准会影响中国对外直接投资吗?

本文根据劳动力产权理论并在总结国内外研究的基础上,选取了2003-2009年中国和152个东道国的面板数据,实证考察了东道国劳工标准对中国对外直接投资的影响,采用静态OLS和SYS-GMM方法对全样本、发达国家和发展中国家的样本进行验证。结果表明:中国的对外直接投资总体上更倾向于流入低劳工标准的国家,而发达国家和发展中国家劳工标准对中国对外直接投资的影响存在着截然不同的效应,发达国家的高劳工标准和发展中国家的低劳工标准分别吸引了中国的对外直接投资,此外通过分位数回归和广义最小二乘法及两阶段最小二乘估计法进行的稳健性检验不仅表明本文的结论是可靠的,而且发现中国的对外直接投资有向低劳工标准国家集聚的趋势。最后从规避劳工风险的角度提出了相应的政策建议。     

World market integration through the lens of foreign direct investors

This paper is motivated by the unparalleled increase in foreign direct investment to emerging market economies of the last 25 years. Using a large cross-country time-series data set, we evaluate the dependence of foreign direct investment on global factors, or worldwide sources of risk (i.e., factors that drive foreign direct investment across several countries). We construct a globalization measure that equals the share of explained variation in direct investment attributable to global factors. We show that our globalization measure has increased steadily for developing and developed countries. For the full sample of countries, the globalization measure rose by over 10-fold from 1985 to 1999. Furthermore, in recent years, developing countries' exposure to global factors has approached that of developed countries. Finally, our globalization measure correlates strongly with measures of capital market liberalization, supporting our hypothesis that increased market integration leads to a greater role for worldwide sources of risk. We discuss the implications of our results for public policies regarding capital market liberalization and policies directed at attracting foreign investment.     

An event study analysis of outward foreign direct investment: the case of Greece

The purpose of this article is twofold. Firstly, by applying the event study methodology, it provides detailed and updated evidence on the value generating effect of different modes of foreign direct investment (FDI) entry. Secondly, this is the first paper to empirically evaluate the impact of FDI on the stock returns of Greek firms participating in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). In the case of Greece, the cross‐section analysis revealed that successful outward FDI projects tend to be located in developed countries, performed in a high‐technology sector and linked to horizontal integration.     

外商直接投资对经济增长的影响分析

近年来,外商直接投资作为国际化经济的显著特征之一日益发展。它作为外资企业谋求经济利益的主要经济活动之一,与贸易并行的国际经济活动的一部分。以中国、巴基斯坦及日本为例,利用宏观经济数据,用计量经济模型,定量比较分析外商直接投资对经济增长的影响。结果表明:外商直接投资与贸易、人力资本等因素促进中国和巴基斯坦的经济增长,但是促进效果不同。     

Potential Market Opportunities in Hungary,Poland and Bulgaria

Central European economies are undergoing radical reforms changing from central planning to free market economies. If these changes are to be successful, there is a need for their govemments to liberalise legislation to allow privatisation to take place and to allow and encourage foreign investment in the countries. Potentially the most effective form of foreign investment is the participation of Western companies in the business of the country enabling development of the market and the local understanding of the methods of business in free market economies. Whether and to what extent this participation takes place depends on the macro-environmental climate and the specific market environments in the countries. This paper addresses both of these issues and is based on a twelve month study of marketing conditions in Hungary, Poland and Bulgaria. In the first part the macro changes taking place are explored and the overall attractiveness assessed by comparison with the published literature on the market entry strategies. The conclusion is that Hungary is the most attractive of the three countries concerned for Western company investment in terms of political stability, economic development and performance, cultural unity, and lower legal and geo-cultural similarity.     

我国对外直接投资比较利益的动态转换

我国对外直接投资中的境外投资近几年在数量和规模上发展很快,然而其中存在的问题也逐渐暴露出来,最为突出的问题是比较利益动态性未转换成动态化,也就是说没有充分体现出比较利益。本文认为要促进我国对外直接投资的健康快速发展,必须进行比较利益的动态转换,因而在对外投资中要遵循比较优势原则以期增加国际贸易收益。     

Corporate Social Responsibility as a Signalling Device for Foreign Direct Investment

A rise in CSR (corporate social responsibility) has accompanied rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) to developing countries in the 1990s. CSR may be serving a signalling function when the entering firm is of an unknown type. Although countries are now competing keenly to attract foreign firms, even so, excessive tax or excess transfers by firms can still cause a Prisoner’s Dilemma structure to the payoffs resulting in an inefficient Nash equilibrium. CSR allows the accommodating firm to reveal its type, making cooperation the equilibrium outcome. The game differs from standard models since signalling changes the payoffs. A unique separating equilibrium exists where only the accommodating firms signal. But, under certain parameter values, a pooling equilibrium where all firms signal, becomes possible. A number of results are derived including the size of CSR expenditure required as a fraction of profits. An example demonstrates their relevance in practical situations.     

An Analysis of Double Taxation Treaties and their Effect on Foreign Direct Investment

Double taxation treaties (DTTs) are intended to eliminate double taxation and thereby increase foreign direct investment (FDI). DTTs are also meant to prevent tax evasion which previous literature argues has a negative effect on FDI. Using matching econometrics and a large data set of developed to less developed country-pairs, I show that despite their intentions and the significant costs of entering into DTTs, the treaties have no effect on the flows of FDI. An analysis of the treaties in conjunction with the related domestic tax legislation shows why this is the case. Developed countries unilaterally provide for the relief of double taxation and the prevention of fiscal evasion regardless of the treaty status of a host country. This eliminates the key economic benefit and the risk that these treaties would otherwise create for the FDI location decisions of multinational enterprises.     

Environmental determinants of U.S. foreign direct investment in developed and developing countries: A structural analysis

This study attempts to explain theoretically and empirically the influence of developed and developing countries’ environments on foreign direct investment from the United States. It is postulated that foreign direct investment into these economies can be explained by examining interactions among three environmental constructs: technological development, quality of life, and political instability. A structural equation model is developed to test the concurrent and longitudinal influence of the three environmental constructs on foreign direct investment into these economies from the United States.     

外商直接投资地区集聚效应的实证研究

外商直接投资集聚的产生是一个动态的过程,它借助于产业集聚和国别集聚最终表现为区域集聚。本文以江苏省引进外资的数据对FDI地区集聚的特征、效应和形成机理展开深入的实证研究,结论表明集聚效应对外资的区位选择有着重要的影响,外商直接投资不同产业和国别的集聚效应有着很大的差异。     

中国对发达国家直接投资动因与障碍分析——以比利时为例

中国正逐渐成为全球对外直接投资的崛起力量,中国企业对海外市场的拓展引起了世界各国决策者以及公众媒体的关注。本文通过对Berhmann分类法以及Dunning折衷范式的补充,分析了中国企业对发达国家直接投资的动因与障碍。中国企业对发达国家直接投资宏观动因主要包括中国政府政策激励、发达国家投资环境激励、国内市场饱和压力、发达国家贸易保护主义压力;微观动因为寻求外部市场和战略资产。在发达国家直接投资过程中,中国企业不存在明显所有权优势和内部化优势,利用东道国区位优势的能力有待加强。通过对在比利时投资的中国企业实地调研,发现受访中国企业在比利时的投资活动处于初级阶段并遇到很多障碍,真正融入比利时乃至欧盟市场尚需时间。     

Can Globalisation and Global Localisation Explain Foreign Direct Investment? Japanese Firms in Europe

This paper uses logit regression on the responses of 383 Japanese manufacturing firms located in the member countries of the European Union to investigate the motives for foreign direct investment. Japan External Trade Organisation (JETRO) data, as published in their 8th Annual Survey (October 1992) classified by industry, were used. The results confirm that decisions leading to FDI cannot be explained by a single factor and, furthermore, different types of FDI are influenced by different combinations of motives.     

Injecting demand through spillovers: Foreign direct investment,domestic socio-political conditions,and host-country entrepreneurial activity

This study examines how foreign direct investment (FDI) spurs entrepreneurial activity in host countries. We also investigate why this relationship varies across countries because of domestic socio-political conditions. The findings from our panel analyses of 104 countries from 2000 to 2009 are consistent with our predictions that foreign direct investment positively relates to business creation and this positive effect is strongest in countries with poor institutional support, weak political stability, and low general human capital. Our work provides new insights into how cross-border investments and domestic socio-political conditions jointly influence entrepreneurial activity, especially in emerging and developing economies.     

Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern Europe

Foreign direct investment is an important catalyst for the economic changes in transition economies offering host countries external resources, technology, management, and access to foreign markets. It is therefore high on the public policy agenda in the transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe and the newly independent states of the former Soviet Union and figures prominently among assistance activities at the bilateral and multilateral level. This article analyses the legal and institutional framework and the economic performance of foreign direct investment in fourteen European economies in transition at the beginning of 1993.