欧盟金融业一体化程度衡量与分析

欧盟被认为是世界范围内银行业市场一体化程度最高的地区之一，然而大量文献又显示金融业市场的一体化实践远未达到完全一体化的程度。应该衡量金融一体化的程度。分析其背景、过程和效应。本文通过利率指标、基于风险分担的金融业一体化衡量指标、基于企业选择的一体化衡量指标从多个角度衡量了欧盟金融业的一体化程度，发现欧盟的金融市场仍然有很大的分割．主要体现在消费者和公司仍然很难直接获得跨国金融机构提供的服务，因而进一步促进零售业务市场一体化程度提高的推动力量主要来自于跨国借贷和跨国银行兼并收购。     

虚拟经济全球化及其对中国的影响

进入21世纪以来,世界经济格局正在经历巨大变化,其重要表现之一就是虚拟经济全球化的趋势.在全球贸易持续增长的同时,全球虚拟资本的流动迅猛增加.在过去20年中,发达工业化国家的跨国金融流动从仅占GDP的5％,一跃达到占GDP的20％:近10年来,国际金融市场的一体化程度进一步加深,国际资本流动迅猛增长.与此同时,国际金融市场还存在监管合作薄弱、国际金融体系不完善等现象,信息和交易成本等金融市场摩擦仍然普遍存在.在此背景下,虚拟经济的活跃表现,有利于促进资本的跨国配置和跨国风险的分担,但同时也加剧了经济周期的跨国波动.     

实际汇率与居民消费风险分担的动态关系——基于预期的视角

通过考虑居民预期行为的作用，实际汇率与居民消费风险分担的动态关系是一个附带预期的渐进调整过程。在利用东亚9个主要经济体的数据对该关系进行研究后发现：（1）东亚各国居民之间的消费风险分担程度较低，但是从2000年之后，居民消费风险分担程度在逐渐提高；（2）实际汇率变动基本上没有平滑东亚各国（地区）居民的消费变动；（3）持有静态预期行为的居民朝向长期消费风险分担均衡的调整程度较小，并且该调整速度较慢，同时持有理性预期行为的居民、持有适应性预期行为的居民背离长期消费风险分担均衡的调整程度较大，并且该调整速度较快，这是造成非完全消费风险分担均衡的重要原因。     

美国巨灾期权的运作及借鉴

随着经济全球化、金融一体化的发展,国际保险业呈现金融化趋势。在保险市场与资本市场融合发展的基础上,开发巨灾风险证券化和资本的融合已成为国际保险业发展的潮流。如何遵循金融业发展的内在规律,建立和健全我国保险市场与资本市场融合发展的有效机制,实现保险市场与资本市场的互动发展,从而实现"双赢"的局面,也成为我国金融业面临的重大课题。国内外巨灾发生情况及风险分担方式以巨灾多发的2004年为例:2004年6月至10月间,日本遭遇桑达、蝎虎、逞芭等9次强台风袭击和一次6.9级地震,     

东亚金融一体化程度研究

本文通过使用汇率波动率、人均消费增长率的相关度、未抛补的利率平价偏差、双边贸易强度、利率相关度这五个指标来反映中国、日本、韩国以及中国香港、中国台湾任意两个经济体之间金融一体化的程度,并采用主成分分析的方法计算出了任意两个经济体之间金融一体化程度的大小。最后,本文依照分析结果结合目前东亚金融合作现状、东亚经济体面临的国际国内经济环境提出了促进东亚金融一体化的政策建议。     

台州科技金融结合的探索实践及绩效研究

台州科技金融结合虽然取得了显著成效,对科技创新支撑力度大幅增强,但是依然存在科技金融服务机构单一、科技专属金融产品相对不足和科技型小微企业融资风险分担机制不完善等问题.需要借鉴韩国等国科技金融发展的成功经验,进一步加大对科技金融服务机构发展及产品创新的支持力度,完善科技型小微企业融资风险分担机制,引导商业银行增加对科技型企业的信贷投放.     

对当前我国住房消费金融模式发展的思考和探讨

自1988年住房体制改革启动以来,我国住房消费金融从无到有、从小到大,逐步形成了"以商业按揭贷款为主、住房公积金为辅,其他形式为补充"的模式和格局。但近两年,受房地产市场发展政策转变、消费主体状况变化等因素影响,其不足日益凸现,对如何在新的形势下进一步发挥好满足住房消费金融服务需求、促进社会和谐发展的职能提出了重大挑战。为此,本文通过对当前国外主要住房消费金融模式基本情况的深入分析,探究其内在特征并以此框架,对目前我国住房消费金融模式形成的内在机理及其在当前形势下所面临的挑战进行探讨,进而就如何进一步发展和完善我国住房消费金融模式提出有针对性的建议及对策。     

北京承接金融服务外包的发展路径选择

正金融服务外包是当前国际服务外包业务的重要领域,已成为跨国金融机构降低成本、转移风险、提升核心竞争力从而实现战略目标的重要手段。北京作为中国金融监督和管理机构的所在地,发展金融后台服务有着得天独厚的优势,如何抓住有利时机提高北京市承接金融外包的竞争力、改善北京在国际国内金融服务外包市场上的竞争地位,发展路径的选择等是承包企业和金融企业值得关切的问题。北     

租赁消费扩大内需的机理及对策研究

该文通过与占有型消费的比较,分析租赁消费促进临时及短期性消费需求、满足耐用消费品需求、降低经验产品与新产品及网络购物中的消费风险、满足体验消费方式、促进外源资金多元化,从而促进内需的扩大。为促进租赁消费发展,提出大力发展现代消费租赁方式,完善租赁消费市场的监管以降低租赁风险,政府加强租赁消费的支持力度,转变人们消费观念及引导人们消费行为等策略。     

互联网浪潮下我国消费信用发展状况及风险防范

随着互联网时代下电子商务盛行,我国消费信用迅速发展且发展规模仍将进一步扩大。但与此同时,我国消费金融行业仍处于发展初期,相应的市场风险以及相关法律不健全的问题也相继凸显。我国应利用大数据建立完善的个人信用管理体系,制定个人信用法律法规,完善社会保障制度,从而降低消费金融公司行业的不良贷款率,实现我国消费信用持续稳定的发展进程。     

Channels of international risk-sharing: capital gains versus income flows

Global financial integration unlocks a huge potential for international risk sharing. We examine the degree to which international equity holdings act as a risk sharing device in industrial and emerging economies. We split equity returns into investment income (dividend distribution) and capital gains to investigate which of the two channels delivers the largest potential for risk sharing. Our evidence suggests that net capital gains are a more potent channel of risk sharing. They behave in a countercyclical way, that is they tend to be positive (negative) when the domestic economy is growing more slowly (rapidly) than the rest of the world. Countries with more countercyclical net capital gains experience improved consumption risk sharing. The empirical analysis furthermore suggests that these risk sharing properties of net capital gains have increased through time, in particular in the 1990s and early-2000s, on the back of a declining equity home bias and financial market deepening.     

International financial integration and risk sharing among countries: A production-based approach

This paper develops a production-based model for analyzing a role of asset trade in pooling risks among countries and provides new evidence for the international consumption-output puzzle and risk sharing among countries. Efficient risk sharing rules among countries are the same as the conditions for full financial integration. Input prices and interest rates as well as technology shocks are found to be the driving variables for cross-country output co-movements. The international correlation puzzle reflects an inability to account for production risk sharing among countries in previous studies. The degree of international risk sharing is substantial relative to earlier estimates, which is largely realized from pooling production risks rather than consumption risks among countries.     

Risk Sharing: A Long Run Issue?

We suggest, by means of integration and cointegration tools, and error correction model regressions, that international risk sharing is predominantly a short run concern. This finding has been obtained by using some new variants of the standard consumption insurance tests, and runs counter to some other recent empirical evidence. Moreover, we find mixed evidence as to the fact that the recent surge in international financial liberalization has improved on risk sharing, at least in the long run.     

International Risk Sharing and Government Moral Hazard

This paper analyzes incentive problems caused by international risk sharing. They arise because international risk sharing contributes to the insurance of domestic consumption and thus lowers governments’ incentives to increase output. We show that the resulting distortions can lead to substantial efficiency losses. Complete risk sharing is, therefore, undesirable and the optimal degree of risk sharing may be low. Furthermore, we show that households’ risk sharing decisions are socially inefficient and are effectively maximizing government moral hazard. As a result, financial innovation and integration may reduce welfare by increasing households’ risk sharing opportunities.

A provincial view of consumption risk sharing in Korea:Asset classes as shock absorbers

Using a unique data set on provincial net factor income flows disaggregated across the three asset classes of debt, equity and Foreign Direct Investment reinvested earnings in Korea, we investigated how these asset channels impacted consumption risk sharing during the Global Financial Crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis. Adopting spatial panel methods, this study found in the main that net factor flows of debt, equity and Foreign Direct Investment retained earnings have all contributed favourably to consumption risk sharing during these episodes, with Foreign Direct Investment retained earnings robust in its positive contribution in buffering shocks to consumption. These results suggest that one of the alleged benefits of financial integration in terms of providing the insurance needed to cushion the economy against adverse shocks is tangible and real at least in the context of Korea. We also obtain evidence that apart from asset channels, the combination of the government's social transfer payments and a certain measure of labour mobility help to contribute in mitigating shocks to consumption.     

构建中原经济区经济与金融协调发展机制分析

建立中原经济区经济与金融业协调发展运行机制势在必行。其任务主要有:建立区域金融中心,形成金融合力机制;建立金融产品与服务的持续创新机制;建立诚信资源共享机制;建立财政资金引导机制;建立信息网络与金融网络一体化机制。机制运行的预期效果:有利于优化金融结构,有利于优化金融生态,有利于提高金融机构运作效率,有利于解决诚信缺失问题,有利于解决资源配置失灵问题,有利于消除城市壁垒。     

网络财务安全风险及防范对策

飞速发展的互联网和电子商务在促进网络财务兴起并发展的同时,也因互联网的开放性和信息共享性等原因使网络财务面临着巨大的安全风险。本文从财务信息、网络系统、内部控制和法律环境等四个方面分析了目前网络财务所面临的安全风险,并在此基础上给出了相应的风险防范对策。     

Intranational Consumption Risk Sharing in South Korea: 2000–2016

This paper examines consumption risk sharing among 16 regions in South Korea over the 2000–2016 period. The empirical results show that 91.8 percent of shocks to gross regional domestic product are smoothed in South Korea. Capital markets, the tax‐transfer system and credit markets absorb 29.9, 28.9 and 33.0 percent of shocks to gross regional domestic product, respectively. Most notably, South Korea relies more on credit markets for risk sharing than capital markets, an opposite pattern to advanced countries like the USA, Canada and Australia. Furthermore, the patterns of consumption risk sharing are different before and after the 2007–2008 global financial crisis, and differences in regional industrial structure and local development can influence these patterns. This paper attempts to infer the connection between these findings and both the rapid economic growth of South Korea and the Asian and global financial crises.     

The two-sided effect of financial globalization on output volatility

This paper provides evidence for a significant relation between international financial markets integration and output volatility. In the framework of a threshold model, it is empirically shown that this relation depends on the financial risk of a country as perceived by investors. In order to proxy financial risk, a financial risk rating employed by multinational firms, banks, and equity and currency traders is used. This rating relies on debt to GDP ratios amongst other indicators. In countries with low financial risk, financial openness decreases output volatility while financial openness increases output volatility in countries with high financial risk. Extensive robustness checks confirm this result.