现代物流业对进出口贸易的影响——基于我国1995-2004年数据的实证研究

本文根据统计数据,对物流业与我国进出口贸易之间的关系进行了相关性分析和弹性分析。所得到的结论是:我国物流业发展对进出口贸易有积极的促进作用,就全国而言,物流每变化(增长或减少)1%,进出口贸易额就相应地变化(增长或减少)2.19%(或5.13%)。地区和个案研究也得到了类似的结论。     

Inefficient trade patterns: Excessive trade, cross-hauling and dumping

I study an example of a competitive environment in which trade occurs in a sequential manner. In this example, a country with a stable demand may suffer from trade with a country with unstable demand, there may be too much trade, a country may import and export the same good in the same period (cross-hauling) and dumping may occur. The timing of delivery is important. When delivery occurs before trade (delivery to stocks), trade improves welfare, there is dumping but no cross-hauling. When delivery occurs after trade (delivery to order), trade may reduce welfare and cross-hauling may occur.     

Im/Ex in March Witnesses Recovery Signal

China＇s import and export in March, 2009 continued to be another month of decreasing trade. On April 10, General Administration of Customs of the People＇s Republic of China announced the profile of China foreign trade import and export in the first quarter of this year. According to the customs＇ statistics, the total import and export value for March amounted to US$162.02 billion, 20.9% decreasing compared with the same period last year. Among the total value, the export value amounted to US$90.29 billion, down 17.1% year-on-year,     

Secret in Exchange Rate ＆ Foreign Trade？

China＇s import and export growth in November has dropped drastically. Year-on-year export growth rate dropped from 19.2 percent to -2.2percent and the year-on-year import growth rate dropped from 15.6 percent to -17.9 percent. The trade surplus amounted to 40.09 billion U.S. dollars. This is the first time in China＇s exports monthly negative growth dating back to June 2001 （see Chart 1 ）.     

Tariffs,the balance of payments,and the demand for money

This paper shows that in a small country the impact of a tariff on the balance of payments depends crutially on the role of relative prices in the demand function for money. An import (export) duty has a perverse impact on the balance of payments if importables (exportables) and money are net complements, but both import and export duties cannot have a perverse impact. A relation between the impact of export and import duties is also derived and is used to reestablish a well-known theorem of Meade on the equivalence of replacing import with export duties and currency depreciation.     

Market knowledge: Evidence from importers

Previous firm‐level literature established that there are substantial costs of entry into new export markets. Chaney (The American Economic Review, 104, 2014, 3600) opens the black‐box of entry costs by building a dynamic network model of international trade where firms acquire customers in new destinations through their existing customers in other destinations. Following his conjecture, this paper examines whether firms use their existing suppliers in a destination to find their first clients in those markets. I use a disaggregated data set on Turkish firms' exports and imports for the 2003–08 period, and investigate the effect of import experience on export entry. By identifying import experience using instrumental variables, and shutting down productivity channels with firm‐year fixed effects, I find that having a supplier in the destination country raises the probability of starting to export to that country by 5.5 percentage points on average, revealing a “market knowledge” phenomenon. The paper's main contribution to the literature is finding that firms' country‐specific import experience increases the likelihood of export‐market entry. Digging further to explore heterogeneous effects, I find that this effect does not exist when trading with low‐income countries, but it increases with the destination country's size, proximity, language similarity and the size of its Turkish immigrant community. Moreover, the strength of the firm's relationship with its supplier as proxied by several variables such as the share of imported products that are differentiated increases the probability of export‐market entry.     

Im/Ex Difficulty Lasts in the First 5 Months

On June l 1, General Administration of Customs of the People＇s Reptlblic of China announced the profile of China foreign trade import and export in the first 5 months of this year. According to the customs＇ statistics, the total import anti export value for the first five months amounted to US$763.49 billion, 24.7% decreasing compared with the same period last year. Among the total value, the export value amounted to US$426.14 billion, down 21.8% year-on-year, while the import US$337.35 billion, 28% decreased year-on-year. And the trade surplus from January to May achieved US$88.79 billion, 15.7% growth year-on-year, a net growth of US$12.05 billion.     

April,Another Recovering Month for Im/Ex

China＇s import and export in April,2009 continued to be another month of decreasing trade, the consecutive sixth month from last November.On May 12,General Administration of Customs of the People＇s Republic of China announced the profile of China foreign trade import and export in the first 4 months of this year.According to the customs＇ statistics,the total     

Im/Ex in May,2010：Exports Continued Recovery in May

On June 10, 2010, General Administration of Customs of the People＇s China （GAC） Republic of released the profile of China foreign trade import and export in May and the first five months of this year. China returned to a trade surplus in April on strong exports growth after posting its first monthly deficit in almost six years in March, and Chinas exports surged by 48.5 percent year on year in May, while the imports climbed 48.3 percent, the General Administration of Customs （GAC） announced.     

汇率影响进出口国别结构的机理分析及弹性测度

通过机理分析,建立了汇率变化影响进出口国别结构的数理模型,计算出当汇率贬值或升值时,我国对各国出口、进口比重上升或下降,出口、进口需求价格弹性必须满足的条件。同时运用回归和弹性定义法,使用估算和精算相结合,测算了我国对五大贸易伙伴国进出口需求弹性,并将机理分析与弹性测度进行对比。     

Im/Ex in Feb Continues to Fall

February of 2009 witnessed the fourth consecutive months of shrinking trade value of China. On March 11, General Administration of Customs of the People＇s Republic of China announced the profile of China foreign trade import and export in the first two months of this year. According to the customs＇ statistics, the total import and export value for the first two months amounted to US$266.77 billion, 27.2% decreasing compared with the same period last year. Among the total value, the export value amounted to US$155.33 billion, down 21.1% year-on-year, while the import US$111.44 billion, 34.2% decreased year-on-year. And the trade surplus in January and February achieved US$43.89 billion, 59.6% growth year-on-year.     

浅析国际分销中的进出口业务

国际分销中涉及到进出口业务,尽管进出口业务存在着一些差别,但进出口业务中有很多业务基本上是相同的。这就要求企业应熟悉进出口单证、货运和销售条件、收付货款、包装和标识等主要的进出口业务,以便对进出口业务进行有效的管理。     

2009中国外贸200强

连续10年保持强劲增长的中国外贸在2009年“熄火”了,受困于外需疲软,2009中国外贸200强的门槛首次下调。尽管上榜企业还是先于整体形势回暖,但榜单中外资企业比重过大、加工贸易主导的格局并未改变。     

纺织品自愿出口限制的福利分析

我国入世后由于配额的取消使纺织品出口明显增加,这导致了美国欧盟等国纷纷对我国出口的纺织品设限,贸易摩擦日益凸现。在此背景下,本文试图从福利分析的角度来论证实施自愿出口限制对出口国和进口国的市场均衡和福利的影响。在分析时本文选取包含两个进出口大国的基本模型,并对此模型作进一步的扩展,研究中国和美国等国在实施自愿出口限制的情况下,各国市场的均衡变化,生产者、消费者和各国福利的变化,并提出相应的政策建议。     

中国对英国蔬菜出口的实证分析

本文在简介英国农业发展和蔬菜供求特点的基础上,利用蔬菜进出口数量、金额、出口均价以及进口率等指标,分别从中国出口蔬菜和英国进口蔬菜的角度,对两国蔬菜贸易特征进行实证研究,据此提出中国深入开拓英国乃至欧盟蔬菜市场的主要建议蔬菜出口企业应注重提高产品质量;在出口市场定位上考虑发挥中国蔬菜的差异化竞争优势。同时,政府应为蔬菜出口企业提供相应的信息和政策支持等服务。     

浅谈出口企业应对经济壁垒的措施

近年来,我国出口的外部环境日益严重,以技术贸易壁垒为核心的新贸易壁垒对我国出口贸易的影响愈加严重.新贸易壁垒已成为我国对外贸易的最大障碍.熟悉新贸易壁垒的内容、主要特点及其发展趋势,对于防范和减少新贸易壁垒对我国对外贸易的负面影响,以及采取正确措施对其进行突破,并确保我国对外贸易的可持续发展具有重要意义.文章分析了新贸易壁垒产生的原因,以及它所含的主要内容,并提出了加强我国进出口企业技术性贸易治理,提高我国出口产品竞争力的措施,作为打破新贸易壁垒的有效手段.     

对我国水果进出口贸易的思考

近20年来,我国水果总产量增长迅速,水果进出口贸易增长的幅度也很快,但是水果进口额增长速度远远高于出口额增长速度。目前我国水果出口存在很多问题,如没有自己的品牌,经营观念落后等。这造成了我国虽然是水果的生产大国,却是出口小国。本文对我国水果出口存在的问题,提出了一些解决方法。     

进出口对浙江经济增长拉动作用的实证研究

本文利用浙江省1980-2004年的统计数据,采用协整检验和VAR模型,从短期波动和长期均衡角度就进出口对浙江经济增长的拉动作用进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,从长期来看,出口对经济增长的拉动作用具有显著的持续性,而进口对经济增长的拉动作用具有非显著的持续性;从短期来看,进出口对经济增长都有拉动作用,但进口对经济增长的拉动作用小于出口。     

Guangdong： Make It through the Hard Times

A difficult but successful survival
Guangdong province is universally acknowledged to be the forefront of the country s reform and opening up. Since 1978, GDP in Guangdong has increased by an average of 13.45 percent,3.5 percentage points higher than the nation＇s average.     

“大胃王”中粮

<正>中粮注定备受世人瞩目,因为宁高宁的加入。中粮的历史可以追溯到1952年,它是中国从事农产品和食品进出口贸易历史最悠久、实力最雄厚的企业,几十年一直是国家小麦、玉米、大米、食糖等大宗农产品贸易的主导者。中粮集团目前下设中粮粮油、